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Grange Resources Limited (AU:GRR)
ASX:GRR

Grange Resources Limited (GRR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:GRR

Grange Resources Limited

(Sydney:GRR)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.20
▼(-19.60% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/01/26
The score is supported most by financial resilience from an exceptionally low-debt balance sheet and a low P/E valuation. Offsetting these positives are weaker recent operating performance (contracting revenue, sharply lower margins/returns, and negative 2025 free cash flow) and bearish/weak technical signals (negative MACD, RSI below 50, and price below key short-to-mid-term moving averages).
Positive Factors
Exceptionally conservative balance sheet
Near-zero leverage and a sizable equity base provide durable financial flexibility through commodity cycles. This structural strength reduces refinancing risk, supports capital allocation choices (capex, dividends, M&A) and cushions downturns, preserving strategic optionality over months.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue trend
A multi-year top-line decline erodes scale, limits the firm's ability to spread fixed costs, and reduces pricing leverage. Persisting lower volumes or weaker price realizations will constrain margin recovery, capex funding and long-term reinvestment capacity unless revenues stabilize or reverse.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Exceptionally conservative balance sheet
Near-zero leverage and a sizable equity base provide durable financial flexibility through commodity cycles. This structural strength reduces refinancing risk, supports capital allocation choices (capex, dividends, M&A) and cushions downturns, preserving strategic optionality over months.
Read all positive factors

Grange Resources Limited (GRR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Grange Resources Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Grange Resources Limited (GRR) is an Australian mining company primarily engaged in the exploration, development, and production of iron ore. The company operates in the mining sector and is known for its significant iron ore projects, including t...
How the Company Makes Money
Grange Resources primarily makes money by selling iron ore products—most notably iron ore pellets—produced from its mining and processing operations in Tasmania. Revenue is generated from contracts and spot sales to customers in steelmaking supply...

Grange Resources Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Very strong balance sheet with near-zero leverage supports resilience, but operating fundamentals have weakened: revenue has declined in 2024–2025, margins/returns compressed sharply versus 2021–2023, and 2025 free cash flow turned negative despite solid operating cash flow.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
93
Very Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue477.85M520.80M614.74M594.55M781.66M
Gross Profit59.41M61.32M199.51M239.40M435.55M
EBITDA171.75M243.74M274.53M308.67M538.92M
Net Income46.60M58.55M150.10M171.74M322.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.44B1.30B1.24B1.10B1.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments275.15M298.05M282.61M298.61M464.69M
Total Debt261.00K1.32M2.21M6.48M17.45M
Total Liabilities335.10M240.06M212.82M194.09M249.02M
Stockholders Equity1.11B1.06B1.03B904.13M871.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-21.91M40.13M8.92M-27.63M418.09M
Operating Cash Flow132.51M239.92M267.11M196.94M498.16M
Investing Cash Flow-109.52M-253.38M-241.90M-396.24M-79.57M
Financing Cash Flow-1.79M-30.73M-25.19M-145.55M-165.25M

Grange Resources Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.25
Price Trends
50DMA
0.22
Negative
100DMA
0.24
Negative
200DMA
0.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
42.53
Neutral
STOCH
42.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:GRR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.19, above the 50-day MA of 0.22, and above the 200-day MA of 0.23, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:GRR.

Grange Resources Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
AU$219.89M7.084.27%-13.54%-56.86%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
AU$256.26M9.297.38%2.17%21.95%-84.84%
51
Neutral
AU$347.52M-4.82-53.29%
45
Neutral
AU$103.05M-21.61-10.82%-166.67%
42
Neutral
AU$143.80M-6.42-8.06%37.04%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:GRR
Grange Resources Limited
0.19
-0.01
-5.00%
AU:FEX
Fenix Resources Limited
0.34
0.05
18.79%
AU:DRE
Dreadnought Resources Limited
0.02
<0.01
50.00%
AU:CBE
Cobre Limited
0.15
0.09
150.00%
AU:CTM
Centaurus Metals Limited
0.62
0.27
75.71%

Grange Resources Limited Corporate Events

Grange Resources Holds Savage River Reserves Steady as Underground Development Advances
Apr 2, 2026
Grange Resources reported that Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves at its Savage River operation as at 31 December 2025 remain broadly in line with the prior year, with only modest reductions due mainly to mining depletion and refinements to mine d...
Grange Resources Sets May Date and Nomination Deadline for 2026 AGM
Mar 24, 2026
Grange Resources has scheduled its 2026 Annual General Meeting for 13 May, where one of the key items of business will be the election of directors to its board. The company has set 31 March 2026, by 5.00pm AEDT, as the deadline for receipt of dir...
Grange Resources Appoints Guo Wei to Board With No Initial Shareholdings
Mar 10, 2026
Grange Resources Limited has notified the ASX of the appointment of Guo Wei as a director effective 9 March 2026, in line with its disclosure obligations under listing rule 3.19A.1 and the Corporations Act. The initial director&#8217;s interest no...
Grange Resources Adds Shagang Group CFO Guo Wei to Board
Mar 10, 2026
Grange Resources Limited has appointed Jiangsu Shagang Group Co. Chief Financial Officer Guo Wei as a non-independent, non-executive director, effective 9 March 2026. His long tenure and leadership across finance, import and export, and investment...
Grange Resources Emphasises Reconciliation in 2025 Sustainability Report
Feb 26, 2026
Grange Resources has released a 2025 Sustainability Report that underscores its commitment to reconciliation with Tasmanian Aboriginal communities. The company formally acknowledges the traditional custodians of the lands and waterways where it op...
Grange Resources Issues 2025 Full-Year Financial Report
Feb 26, 2026
Grange Resources Limited has released its financial report for the year ended 31 December 2025, detailing the group&#8217;s consolidated results, financial position, cash flows, and changes in equity. The report, authorised by the board on 26 Febr...
Grange Resources posts lower 2025 profit and revenue, holds back dividend
Feb 26, 2026
Grange Resources has reported lower full-year results for the 12 months to 31 December 2025, with revenue from ordinary activities falling 8% to $477.9 million compared with the prior year. Profit from ordinary activities after tax attributable to...
Grange Resources Lifts Production and Cuts Costs in Strong December Quarter
Jan 27, 2026
Grange Resources reported a strong December 2025 quarter, highlighting continued leading safety performance with 967 days without a lost time injury and robust operational results at its Savage River operations. Concentrate production rose to 623k...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 01, 2026