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Gibb River Diamonds Limited (AU:GIB)
ASX:GIB

Gibb River Diamonds Limited (GIB) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:GIB

Gibb River Diamonds Limited

(Sydney:GIB)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.06
▼(-3.33% Downside)
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance (negligible revenue, persistent losses, and recurring cash burn alongside a shrinking equity base). Technicals are only modestly supportive (above the 200DMA but weak near-term momentum), and valuation is not compelling given loss-making status and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Low financial leverage
Sustained low debt reduces fixed financial obligations and interest risk, preserving strategic optionality. For a cash‑burning explorer, minimal leverage lowers bankruptcy probability and makes equity or project financing easier to structure, supporting longer runway for operational plans.
Improving cash burn trend
A reduction in operating and free cash outflows indicates the company is narrowing its funding gap. If sustained, this improves the likelihood of reaching positive cash conversion or needing less dilution; it also reduces near‑term financing frequency and supports project continuity.
Lean operating structure
A very small headcount implies a low fixed cost base and operational flexibility. This conserves cash, allows management to extend runway without large capital raises, and enables nimble reallocation of resources as exploration or project milestones dictate.
Negative Factors
Negligible revenue base
Almost no sales activity means the company lacks a revenue engine to support operations or fund growth. Over months, absence of recurring revenue forces reliance on external financing, preventing reinvestment, hindering scale, and raising structural sustainability concerns.
Consistent negative cash generation
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow shows the business cannot self‑fund operations or development. This structural cash deficit necessitates recurring capital raises, dilutes existing holders, and constrains long‑term project execution and investment capacity.
Shrinking equity base / going‑concern pressure
A materially reduced equity buffer reflects accumulated losses and/or dilution, leaving limited capital to absorb setbacks. This heightens going‑concern risk, narrows funding options, and increases the probability that future financing will be costly or materially dilutive.

Gibb River Diamonds Limited (GIB) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Gibb River Diamonds Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGibb River Diamonds Limited engages in the mineral exploration business in Australia. It holds 100% interests in the Ellendale Diamond project located in Kimberley Region, Western Australia; and the Highland Plains Phosphate project situated in Northern Territory, Australia. The company also has a 20% interest in the Iroquois Zinc-Lead project in the Earaheedy Basin (tenement E69/2820) located to the north-east of Wiluna, Western Australia. In addition, it holds an option to acquire a 100% interest in the Edjudina Gold project situated in the Eastern Goldfields region of Western Australia. The company was formerly known as POZ Minerals Limited and changed its name to Gibb River Diamonds Limited in November 2018. Gibb River Diamonds Limited was incorporated in 2008 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyGibb River Diamonds Limited generates revenue primarily through the exploration and potential future extraction and sale of diamond resources. The company's revenue streams are expected to arise from successful exploration and development of its diamond projects, which could lead to the sale of diamond resources in the market. Additionally, Gibb River Diamonds may engage in strategic partnerships, joint ventures, or agreements with other mining companies to further develop their projects and share in the profits generated from these collaborations. These partnerships could provide additional funding or technical expertise, enhancing the company's ability to monetize its mineral assets. As an exploration company, Gibb River Diamonds' earnings are highly dependent on its ability to discover economically viable diamond deposits and advance these projects towards production.

Gibb River Diamonds Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials indicate high risk: revenue is effectively zero, gross profit is consistently negative, and net losses persist through 2022–2025. Cash flow remains meaningfully negative (ongoing operating/FCF burn), implying reliance on external funding. Low leverage helps, but equity has fallen sharply over time, increasing dilution/going-concern pressure.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Earnings quality is weak: revenue is effectively zero across most years, while gross profit is consistently negative, indicating an ongoing cost base without a supporting sales engine. Losses remain sizable in 2022–2025 (annual net losses of roughly $0.7M–$1.6M), with only 2021 showing a one-off profit that does not appear repeatable given the immediate return to losses. Overall profitability and trajectory are unfavorable, with limited evidence of improving operating momentum.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Leverage is low (debt-to-equity remains around ~0.9%–1.7% in recent years), which reduces financial risk and provides some flexibility. However, the equity base has shrunk materially over time (from ~$8.5M in 2021 to ~$0.7M in 2025), reflecting sustained losses and raising dilution/going-concern pressure if losses continue. Returns on equity are negative in most years, underscoring that capital is not currently being compounded.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation is consistently negative, with operating cash flow and free cash flow remaining meaningfully below zero each year (including roughly -$1.0M operating/free cash flow in 2025). While 2024–2025 show some improvement versus the deeper burn in 2023–2024, the business is still not self-funding. The pattern implies ongoing reliance on external financing to sustain operations until revenue traction improves.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.00325.00
Gross Profit-66.12K-48.86K-64.47K-56.57K-48.16K-36.14K
EBITDA-1.33M-1.08M-1.44M-1.60M-941.00K2.01M
Net Income-838.76K-1.13M-1.59M-684.00K-989.00K1.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.43M998.27K2.05M3.41M3.79M8.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.14M720.00K1.74M759.03K2.11M2.32M
Total Debt11.31K12.21K28.27K27.53K54.80K33.61K
Total Liabilities185.34K276.70K363.93K296.65K390.34K237.87K
Stockholders Equity1.24M721.57K1.68M3.11M3.40M8.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.20K-981.81K-1.17M-1.32M-404.17K-1.89M
Operating Cash Flow-1.19K-981.81K-1.16M-1.27M-400.56K-343.27K
Investing Cash Flow-8.63K0.002.17M-52.86K216.39K477.67K
Financing Cash Flow-17.60K-35.43K-34.84K-29.58K-23.72K1.50M

Gibb River Diamonds Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.06
Price Trends
50DMA
0.06
Negative
100DMA
0.06
Negative
200DMA
0.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
37.41
Neutral
STOCH
2.78
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:GIB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.07, below the 50-day MA of 0.06, and above the 200-day MA of 0.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.78 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:GIB.

Gibb River Diamonds Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
49
Neutral
AU$60.68M-6.09-53.67%
48
Neutral
AU$6.31M-4.42-9.21%54.74%
48
Neutral
AU$10.85M-1.83-94.59%27.23%
46
Neutral
AU$11.06M-7.22-9.51%-17.39%
44
Neutral
AU$11.37M-10.38-92.62%29.33%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:GIB
Gibb River Diamonds Limited
0.06
0.02
44.74%
AU:RCR
Rincon Resources Ltd.
0.02
<0.01
58.33%
AU:CBY
Canterbury Resources Ltd.
0.04
0.01
56.00%
AU:C1X
Cosmos Exploration Limited
0.09
0.02
33.82%
AU:HAR
Haranga Resources Limited
0.15
0.10
245.24%

Gibb River Diamonds Limited Corporate Events

Gibb River Diamonds Nears Completion of Edjudina Gold Processing as First Cash Flows Approach
Jan 22, 2026

Gibb River Diamonds has completed processing 33,528 tonnes of ore from the Neta Gold Mine at the Three Mile Hill plant, yielding an unreconciled estimate of 1,377 ounces of gold at 90.9% recovery, with dore bars already dispatched to a refinery. At the Lakewood plant, processing is ongoing, with about 70,520 tonnes treated out of 99,110 tonnes trucked, three gold pours producing an estimated 2,841 ounces and initial gold sales exceeding A$7.5 million at strong realised prices. Mining at the Neta pit is now finished, with grade outcomes below expectations due to challenging, spotty mineralisation, pit wall failure and dilution, though this has been partly offset by higher tonnages and a surging gold price, and a low-grade stockpile remains for future treatment. The company expects the Lakewood campaign to conclude in late January, to receive first cash proceeds in February–March 2026, and plans to reinvest initial joint venture cash distributions into drilling further high-potential gold targets at the Edjudina Project, while progressing rehabilitation at Neta.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GIB) stock is a Hold with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gibb River Diamonds Limited stock, see the AU:GIB Stock Forecast page.

Gibb River Diamonds Advances Neta Gold Project with New Processing Agreements
Dec 16, 2025

Gibb River Diamonds Limited has announced the commencement of trucking and processing operations for 130,000 tonnes of material from the Neta Gold Mine, with processing agreements in place at the Three Mile Hill and Lakewood Mills. Despite a minor pit wall incident, operations continue smoothly, with high-grade material prioritized for processing and sales anticipated in the spot gold market by early 2026.

Gibb River Diamonds Announces Successful AGM Resolutions
Nov 10, 2025

Gibb River Diamonds Limited announced the successful outcomes of all resolutions presented at its Annual General Meeting held on November 10, 2025. The resolutions, including the approval of the remuneration report, re-election of a director, and an approval for a 10% capacity increase, were all passed by a poll. This positive outcome reflects shareholder support and may strengthen the company’s governance and operational capacity, potentially impacting its strategic positioning and stakeholder confidence.

Gibb River Diamonds to Boost Operations at Neta Gold Prospect
Nov 10, 2025

Gibb River Diamonds Limited has announced its operations at the Neta Gold Prospect located in the Eastern Goldfields of Western Australia. The company is involved in mining activities, focusing on extracting gold from open pit ore blocks. This development is expected to generate anticipated cash flow by February or March 2026. The announcement highlights the company’s market capitalization of $12.2 million and its current cash on hand of $415,000 as of September 30. The mining operations at Neta Gold Prospect are poised to impact the company’s financial outlook positively, potentially enhancing its market position and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 23, 2026