tiprankstipranks
FOS Capital Ltd (AU:FOS)
ASX:FOS
Australian Market

FOS Capital Ltd (FOS) AI Stock Analysis

2 Followers

Top Page

AU:FOS

FOS Capital Ltd

(Sydney:FOS)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.13
▼(-47.60% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is primarily constrained by very weak technical momentum (price below all key moving averages with negative MACD and extremely low RSI/stochastic). Financial performance is moderate with improving operating margins but thin net profitability, a recent revenue pullback, higher leverage than prior years, and uneven cash flow. Valuation is mixed: the high dividend yield supports the score, while the negative P/E is a meaningful offset.
Positive Factors
Product / Market Fit
FOS’s core business—designing and supplying energy-efficient LED systems and tailored lighting solutions to institutional and commercial sectors—aligns with long-term efficiency and retrofit trends. This supports recurring institutional demand, service contracts, and stable addressable markets over years.
Negative Factors
Revenue Volatility
A meaningful recent revenue pullback and negative multi-year growth highlight demand cyclicality or execution shortfalls. Reduced scale undermines unit economics, makes fixed costs harder to cover, and increases uncertainty around achieving sustainable top-line recovery over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Product / Market Fit
FOS’s core business—designing and supplying energy-efficient LED systems and tailored lighting solutions to institutional and commercial sectors—aligns with long-term efficiency and retrofit trends. This supports recurring institutional demand, service contracts, and stable addressable markets over years.
Read all positive factors

FOS Capital Ltd (FOS) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

FOS Capital Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
FOS Capital Ltd, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes commercial luminaires, outdoor fittings, linear extruded lighting, and architectural lighting solutions in Australia and New Zealand. Its brand portfolio includes JSB Lighting...

FOS Capital Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are stable-to-moderate quality: long-term revenue growth and improving gross/operating margins are positives, but the latest year shows a meaningful revenue decline, net margins remain thin, leverage has risen versus earlier years, and cash flow has been historically volatile with a sharp free-cash-flow drop in 2025.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.82M25.49M24.53M17.12M13.51M8.16M
Gross Profit9.72M11.28M9.15M5.79M5.72M3.28M
EBITDA1.82M3.44M2.46M1.58M1.29M1.46M
Net Income-461.06K932.65K632.16K583.94K348.94K742.11K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.66M25.67M21.78M13.62M11.79M10.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.69M2.50M1.68M1.41M1.89M2.97M
Total Debt5.87M6.72M5.20M1.09M1.46M1.31M
Total Liabilities10.52M11.55M11.87M4.34M4.25M4.06M
Stockholders Equity13.14M14.12M9.91M9.29M7.54M6.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow185.33K2.29M949.96K-347.76K609.17K-902.38K
Operating Cash Flow221.31K2.30M1.01M-115.56K704.63K-902.38K
Investing Cash Flow-3.09M-4.32M-2.33M-830.45K-849.76K1.20M
Financing Cash Flow3.41M2.81M1.59M441.96K-831.95K2.02M

FOS Capital Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.25
Price Trends
50DMA
0.17
Negative
100DMA
0.21
Negative
200DMA
0.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
20.28
Positive
STOCH
<0.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:FOS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.14, above the 50-day MA of 0.17, and above the 200-day MA of 0.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 20.28 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of <0.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:FOS.

FOS Capital Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
52
Neutral
AU$8.59M-6.82-3.38%4.00%3.94%45.76%
46
Neutral
AU$5.53M-0.44-4.55%-39.95%-220.00%
42
Neutral
AU$8.41M-5.64-32.64%47.06%
41
Neutral
AU$12.50M-0.4655.70%-37.44%10.36%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:FOS
FOS Capital Ltd
0.13
-0.11
-47.92%
AU:RYZ
Magnis Energy Technologies Limited
AU:RFT
Rectifier Technologies Ltd
AU:H2G
Tempo Australia Ltd
0.01
<0.01
10.00%
AU:EGY
Energy Technologies Limited
0.03
>-0.01
-16.67%

FOS Capital Ltd Corporate Events

FOS Capital Director Scrinis Lifts Indirect Stake via On‑Market Purchase
Feb 25, 2026
FOS Capital director Constantin Scrinis has increased his indirect shareholding in the company via an on-market purchase executed through SKM Investment Group Pty Ltd, in which he is a director and 37.5% equity holder. The transaction, which added...
FOS Capital Posts 1H26 Results Amid Tight Ownership and Modest Market Value
Feb 23, 2026
FOS Capital reported its first-half 2026 results against the backdrop of a modest $0.20 share price and a market value of $13.7 million, highlighting a balance sheet showing $1.7 million in cash and $1.8 million in net debt at the end of December ...
FOS Capital Releases Half-Year Financial Report for December 2025
Feb 23, 2026
FOS Capital Ltd has released its half-year report for the period ended 31 December 2025, providing shareholders with condensed financial statements and accompanying notes. The report includes profit or loss and comprehensive income, financial posi...
FOS Capital Swings to Half-Year Loss as Revenue Falls and Restructuring Weighs
Feb 23, 2026
FOS Capital has reported a 11.9% drop in revenue to $12.37 million for the half year to 31 December 2025, with a statutory pre-tax loss of $807,437 and a net loss after tax of $605,931, reflecting pressures on its operations and margin profile. Un...
FOS Capital sets investor webinar to present 1H FY26 results
Feb 22, 2026
FOS Capital has scheduled the release of its first-half FY26 results and will present them via an investor webinar on 24 February 2026 at 11 a.m. AEDT. The online session will give investors an opportunity to hear management&#8217;s commentary on ...
FOS Capital Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Anagenics After Dilution
Feb 9, 2026
FOS Capital Ltd has notified Anagenics Ltd that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in the company as of 9 February 2026. The change follows a dilution of FOS Capital&#8217;s voting interest caused by an increase in the number of shares issue...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026