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FOS Capital Ltd (AU:FOS)
ASX:FOS
Australian Market

FOS Capital Ltd (FOS) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:FOS

FOS Capital Ltd

(Sydney:FOS)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.23
▼(-8.40% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (rapid revenue growth, improving margins, and a solid balance sheet), partially offset by very weak technical signals (below all major moving averages, negative MACD, extremely low RSI). Valuation is supportive with a moderate P/E and a healthy dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Significant revenue growth indicates successful investment strategies and market expansion, enhancing long-term business sustainability.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation supports operational flexibility and investment capacity, crucial for sustaining growth and managing debt.
Operational Efficiency
Improved margins reflect efficient operations, enhancing profitability and competitive positioning in the long term.
Negative Factors
Net Profit Margin
Despite improvements, the relatively low net profit margin suggests limited profitability, which could hinder reinvestment and growth.
Cash Flow Management
Inconsistent cash flow management could impact liquidity and financial stability, necessitating careful oversight to ensure ongoing operations.
Debt Monitoring
While current debt levels are manageable, vigilant monitoring is essential to prevent financial strain and ensure long-term stability.

FOS Capital Ltd (FOS) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

FOS Capital Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFOS Capital Ltd, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes commercial luminaires, outdoor fittings, linear extruded lighting, and architectural lighting solutions in Australia and New Zealand. Its brand portfolio includes JSB Lighting, FORMA Lighting, VEKTA PROFILES, FREND Lighting, MEGABAY, and LIGHTING YOUNGKONG. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Richmond, Australia. FOS Capital Limited is a subsidiary of SKM Investment Group Pty Ltd.
How the Company Makes MoneyFOS Capital Ltd generates revenue primarily through capital appreciation and management fees associated with its investment funds. The company earns a percentage of the profits from successful exits of its portfolio companies, including initial public offerings (IPOs) and mergers and acquisitions (M&A). Additionally, FOS charges management fees based on the assets under management (AUM) in its venture capital and private equity funds. Strategic partnerships with other investment firms and industry experts also bolster its investment strategy, allowing FOS to access exclusive deals and enhance its portfolio's performance, contributing to its overall earnings.

FOS Capital Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FOS Capital Ltd shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability, supported by effective cost management and operational efficiency. The balance sheet is robust with a healthy equity base and manageable debt levels. Cash flow generation has improved significantly, although historical fluctuations suggest the need for ongoing cash management.
Income Statement
FOS Capital Ltd has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 74.3% increase in the latest year. Gross profit margin improved to 44.2%, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin increased to 3.7%, showing enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins also improved, reflecting operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin remains relatively low, suggesting room for further profitability improvements.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio decreased to 0.48, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is stable at 6.6%, reflecting consistent shareholder returns. The equity ratio stands at 55%, showing a strong equity base relative to total assets. While the balance sheet is solid, the company should continue to monitor its debt levels to maintain financial stability.
Cash Flow
FOS Capital Ltd achieved a 42.4% growth in free cash flow, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.32, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.99, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, the company experienced negative operating cash flow in previous years, highlighting the need for consistent cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.49M25.49M24.53M17.12M13.51M8.16M
Gross Profit11.28M11.28M9.15M5.79M5.72M3.28M
EBITDA1.96M3.44M2.46M1.58M1.29M1.46M
Net Income932.65K932.65K632.16K583.94K348.94K742.11K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.67M25.67M21.78M13.62M11.79M10.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.50M2.50M1.68M1.41M1.89M2.97M
Total Debt6.72M6.72M5.20M1.09M1.46M1.31M
Total Liabilities11.55M11.55M11.87M4.34M4.25M4.06M
Stockholders Equity14.12M14.12M9.91M9.29M7.54M6.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.29M2.29M949.96K-347.76K609.17K-902.38K
Operating Cash Flow2.30M2.30M1.01M-115.56K704.63K-902.38K
Investing Cash Flow-4.32M-4.32M-2.33M-830.45K-849.76K1.20M
Financing Cash Flow2.81M2.81M1.59M441.96K-831.95K2.02M

FOS Capital Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.25
Price Trends
50DMA
0.26
Negative
100DMA
0.27
Negative
200DMA
0.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
9.70
Positive
STOCH
70.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:FOS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.25, below the 50-day MA of 0.26, and below the 200-day MA of 0.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 9.70 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:FOS.

FOS Capital Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
AU$17.18M14.537.76%4.00%3.94%45.76%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
43
Neutral
AU$4.15M-16.67-4.55%-39.95%-220.00%
42
Neutral
AU$6.95M-5.56-35.32%47.06%
38
Underperform
AU$10.50M-0.84-37.44%10.36%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:FOS
FOS Capital Ltd
0.21
-0.11
-34.38%
AU:RYZ
Magnis Energy Technologies Limited
0.04
0.00
0.00%
AU:RFT
Rectifier Technologies Ltd
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:H2G
Tempo Australia Ltd
0.01
-0.01
-50.00%
AU:EGY
Energy Technologies Limited
0.02
-0.01
-41.67%

FOS Capital Ltd Corporate Events

FOS Capital Targets Cost Savings and Acquisition Synergies Amid Softer 1H26 Trading
Dec 22, 2025

FOS Capital has reported softer trading for the first half of FY26, with expected sales of $12–12.2 million and EBITDA of $600,000–$700,000, down on the prior corresponding period, though modestly ahead of the second half of FY25. Despite longer lead times to secure orders, management anticipates a half-on-half sales improvement in the second half supported by a $9 million order book, $110 million quote pipeline and contributions from recent acquisitions, while a program of headcount reductions and import replacement is forecast to deliver $1.5 million in annualised cost savings and gross profit improvements from the third quarter of FY26. The turnaround of the Aldridge Traffic Systems business, acquired in June 2025, is progressing with a dedicated team now in place, $1 million of sales and orders secured, $5.5 million in active quotes, $0.7 million generated from non-core asset sales and profitability targeted by June 2026. Meanwhile, the integration of Glowing Structures, acquired in May 2025, has broadened FOS Capital’s lighting services capability and generated $2 million in orders and specifications since acquisition that are expected to support second-half sales, enhancing the group’s ability to convert design specifications into product revenue.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FOS) stock is a Buy with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FOS Capital Ltd stock, see the AU:FOS Stock Forecast page.

FOS Capital Ltd Director Increases Shareholding
Dec 10, 2025

FOS Capital Ltd has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically concerning Mr. Constantin Scrinis. Mr. Scrinis, who holds indirect interests through Boom Capital Pty Ltd and SKM Investment Group Pty Ltd, has increased his holdings by acquiring additional shares on the market. This acquisition reflects a strategic move by the director, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future performance and stability, which could have implications for stakeholders and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FOS) stock is a Buy with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FOS Capital Ltd stock, see the AU:FOS Stock Forecast page.

FOS Capital Announces Change of Auditor to Support Growth Strategy
Nov 25, 2025

FOS Capital Limited has announced a change in its auditing firm, with William Buck Audit resigning and Connect National Audit Pty Ltd being appointed as the new auditor, pending shareholder approval. This change is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its operational framework as it continues to pursue growth in a fragmented market, aiming for a significant increase in market share.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FOS) stock is a Buy with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FOS Capital Ltd stock, see the AU:FOS Stock Forecast page.

FOS Capital Director Increases Shareholding
Nov 11, 2025

FOS Capital Ltd announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically regarding Mr. Alexander Beard’s acquisition of 150,000 ordinary shares through an on-market purchase. This change increases his total holdings to 480,000 shares. The transaction, valued at $39,924.90, reflects a significant increase in Mr. Beard’s investment in the company, potentially indicating confidence in the company’s future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FOS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FOS Capital Ltd stock, see the AU:FOS Stock Forecast page.

FOS Capital Ltd Secures Shareholder Approval for Key Resolutions at 2025 AGM
Oct 28, 2025

FOS Capital Ltd announced that all resolutions proposed at its 2025 Annual General Meeting were passed by the requisite majority. This includes the adoption of the remuneration report, re-election of a director, and ratification of share issues to vendors, employees, and sophisticated investors, indicating strong shareholder support for the company’s strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FOS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FOS Capital Ltd stock, see the AU:FOS Stock Forecast page.

FOS Capital Ltd Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Oct 21, 2025

FOS Capital Ltd has announced the application for quotation of 1,488,373 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), with an issue date of October 27, 2025. This move is part of a dividend or distribution plan, potentially impacting the company’s market presence and offering stakeholders an opportunity to assess the company’s financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FOS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FOS Capital Ltd stock, see the AU:FOS Stock Forecast page.

FOS Capital Announces DRP Issue Price for FY2025
Oct 14, 2025

FOS Capital Limited has announced the Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) issue price of $0.28 per share for the final dividend of FY2025, calculated based on the average market price over a specified period. The DRP shares, set to be issued on October 27, 2025, will hold equal ranking with existing securities, reflecting the company’s strategic financial management and commitment to shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FOS) stock is a Buy with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FOS Capital Ltd stock, see the AU:FOS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026