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FOS Capital Ltd (AU:FOS)
ASX:FOS
Australian Market
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FOS Capital Ltd (FOS) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:FOS

FOS Capital Ltd

(Sydney:FOS)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.11
▼(-55.20% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is driven primarily by moderate financial performance (improving operating margins but thin net profitability, a recent revenue pullback, rising leverage, and uneven cash-flow consistency). Technicals are a meaningful drag due to a weak longer-term price trend and stretched momentum readings. Valuation is mixed: a high dividend yield helps, but the negative P/E limits confidence in earnings-based value.
Positive Factors
Improving operating margins
Gross margin near 44% and an EBITDA margin around 13% in 2025 indicate durable operating leverage from manufacturing efficiency and product mix. Sustained mid-teens operating margins give room to absorb modest revenue volatility and fund reinvestment, supporting longer-term cash conversion and resilience.
Negative Factors
Recent revenue pullback
An ~11% revenue decline in 2025 interrupts the prior expansion trend and reduces scale benefits. Revenue swings impair fixed-cost absorption and amplify earnings and cash-flow sensitivity, making medium-term forecasting and margin sustainability more uncertain until top-line stability is re-established.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving operating margins
Gross margin near 44% and an EBITDA margin around 13% in 2025 indicate durable operating leverage from manufacturing efficiency and product mix. Sustained mid-teens operating margins give room to absorb modest revenue volatility and fund reinvestment, supporting longer-term cash conversion and resilience.
Read all positive factors

FOS Capital Ltd (FOS) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

FOS Capital Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
FOS Capital Limited, operating through its subsidiaries, is a manufacturer and distributor of diverse lighting solutions across Australia and New Zealand. These offerings include commercial luminaires, outdoor fittings, linear extruded lighting, a...
How the Company Makes Money
FOS Capital Ltd generates revenue primarily through the sale of its commercial and industrial lighting products, including LED lighting systems and customized lighting designs tailored to client requirements. The company earns income by serving bu...

FOS Capital Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Moderate fundamentals: long-term revenue expansion and improving gross/operating margins, but 2025 revenue declined (~11% YoY), net margin remains thin (~3.7%), leverage has risen versus earlier years (2025 debt-to-equity ~0.48), and cash flow has been historically volatile with 2025 free cash flow down sharply (~44% vs. 2024).
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.82M25.49M24.53M17.12M13.51M8.16M
Gross Profit9.72M11.28M9.15M5.79M5.72M3.28M
EBITDA1.82M3.44M2.46M1.58M1.29M1.46M
Net Income-461.06K932.65K632.16K583.94K348.94K742.11K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.66M25.67M21.78M13.62M11.79M10.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.69M2.50M1.68M1.41M1.89M2.97M
Total Debt5.87M6.72M5.20M1.09M1.46M1.31M
Total Liabilities10.52M11.55M11.87M4.34M4.25M4.06M
Stockholders Equity13.14M14.12M9.91M9.29M7.54M6.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow185.33K2.29M949.96K-347.76K609.17K-902.38K
Operating Cash Flow221.31K2.30M1.01M-115.56K704.63K-902.38K
Investing Cash Flow-3.09M-4.32M-2.33M-830.45K-849.76K1.20M
Financing Cash Flow3.41M2.81M1.59M441.96K-831.95K2.02M

FOS Capital Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.25
Price Trends
50DMA
0.13
Negative
100DMA
0.15
Negative
200DMA
0.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
25.70
Positive
STOCH
48.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:FOS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.13, above the 50-day MA of 0.13, and above the 200-day MA of 0.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.70 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:FOS.

FOS Capital Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
AU$9.62M-20.50-3.38%4.00%-16.92%-126.67%
46
Neutral
AU$6.91M-2.06-4.55%-68.94%-207.41%
42
Neutral
AU$7.19M-5.70-32.64%
41
Neutral
AU$13.33M-1.1455.70%-46.50%2.35%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:FOS
FOS Capital Ltd
0.14
-0.15
-51.72%
AU:RFT
Rectifier Technologies Ltd
AU:H2G
Tempo Australia Ltd
0.01
-0.01
-50.00%
AU:EGY
Energy Technologies Limited
0.02
-0.01
-31.25%

FOS Capital Ltd Corporate Events

FOS Capital Wins Key Eastern Freeway Lighting Contract, Lifts Order Book to $9m
Jun 3, 2026
FOS Capital, through its Aldridge Traffic Systems subsidiary, has secured one of several contracts to supply intelligent transport system roadway lighting and control equipment for the NELP Eastern Freeway Upgrades in Victoria, valued at $0.5 mill...
FOS Capital Wins Major Eastern Freeway Lighting Contract as Order Book Hits $9m
May 31, 2026
FOS Capital, through its Aldridge Traffic Systems subsidiary, has secured a $0.5 million contract to supply intelligent roadway lighting and control equipment for Victoria&#8217;s NELP Eastern Freeway upgrades. The contract showcases ATS&#8217;s n...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026