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Calix Ltd. (AU:CXL)
ASX:CXL
Australian Market

Calix Ltd. (CXL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CXL

Calix Ltd.

(Sydney:CXL)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
AU$1.50
▲(23.97% Upside)
The score is lifted by strong technical momentum and a clear uptrend, but capped by weak financial performance driven by ongoing losses and negative operating cash flow. Valuation also screens poorly due to negative earnings and no provided dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Recurring revenue mix
A business mix of subscription cloud services and ongoing maintenance creates durable, recurring revenue that smooths cash flows and increases customer lifetime value. Over months this supports predictable revenue, easier capacity planning, and recurring margin opportunities via upsells and retention.
Low financial leverage
Very low leverage provides lasting financial flexibility to fund R&D, capex, or strategic investments without heavy interest burdens. It reduces bankruptcy risk in downturns and enables opportunistic M&A or partner investments that can strengthen market position over a multi-quarter horizon.
Positive revenue growth
Consistent top-line growth demonstrates product-market fit and expanding adoption among service providers. Sustained revenue increases allow better absorption of fixed costs, potential operating leverage, and the ability to reinvest in network software and hardware roadmaps to deepen customer relationships over time.
Negative Factors
Negative profitability
Persistent negative EBIT and net margins indicate the business is not yet converting sales into sustainable profits. Over several quarters this weakens retained earnings, forces reliance on external capital to fund operations, and raises execution risk around achieving durable margin improvement.
Negative operating cash flow
Negative operating cash flow signals the core business is not generating sufficient cash to fund working capital and growth. Reliance on financing or improved free cash flow trends is risky; sustained negative OCF can constrain investments, limit agility, and pressure liquidity over the medium term.
Negative return on equity
A negative ROE over time shows the company is destroying shareholder capital rather than generating returns. This structural issue can lead to capital raises or dilution, undermine investor confidence, and require strategic shifts to restore profitable growth and justify long-term equity investment.

Calix Ltd. (CXL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Calix Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCalix Limited provides industrial solutions to address global sustainability challenges in Australia, Europe, the United States, and South East Asia. Its solutions include ACTI-Mag for biogas and wastewater; AQUA-Cal+, a water conditioner for shrimp farming and lake remediation; BOOSTER-Mag, an agricultural solution for increased yield, fertilizer usage, insect/pest management, and fungal control; and low emissions intensity lime and cement (LEILAC) for cement and lime companies to mitigate carbon dioxide emissions. The company also provides chemical dosing wastewater treatment for controlled delivery of chemicals into the process stream to adjust and maintain the pH, reduce hydrogen sulphide odours, prevent corrosion of sewer assets, and remove undesirable elements comprising phosphorous or fats oils, and grease. It serves agriculture, aquaculture, cement and lime, food and beverage, lake and pond remediation, marine coatings, winery, water utilities, and mining and mineral processing industries. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyCalix generates revenue primarily through the sale of its hardware, software, and services to telecommunications service providers. Key revenue streams include the sale of broadband access equipment, such as optical network terminals (ONTs) and network switches, as well as subscription-based cloud services that provide ongoing software support and analytics. Additionally, Calix benefits from maintenance and support services offered to its customers post-sale. The company has formed strategic partnerships with various telecommunications operators, which help to expand its market reach and drive sales. The demand for improved broadband infrastructure, especially with the increasing adoption of remote work and digital services, significantly contributes to Calix's earnings potential.

Calix Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Calix Ltd. shows revenue growth but struggles with profitability, as indicated by negative margins. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, yet the company has negative returns on equity. Cash flow management shows some improvement, but operational cash flows remain negative.
Income Statement
Calix Ltd. shows a positive revenue growth rate of 8.68% in the latest year, indicating some potential for expansion. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has decreased from the previous year, suggesting challenges in cost management or pricing strategy.
Balance Sheet
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, indicating conservative leverage and financial stability. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses and inefficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio is relatively healthy, suggesting a solid asset base supported by equity.
Cash Flow
Calix Ltd. has shown improvement in free cash flow growth, but the operating cash flow remains negative, highlighting operational challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to generate cash relative to net losses, but overall cash flow management needs improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.17M27.74M24.19M18.60M18.47M19.21M
Gross Profit4.96M10.22M10.29M-2.40M1.01M1.86M
EBITDA-20.42M-11.24M-19.52M-25.03M-12.69M-5.81M
Net Income-19.17M-19.17M-25.26M-23.19M-16.34M-9.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets110.38M110.38M112.40M127.51M61.21M51.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.98M22.98M42.96M74.47M24.98M15.13M
Total Debt2.63M2.63M3.26M1.32M1.47M1.29M
Total Liabilities22.83M22.83M28.39M22.55M16.41M13.48M
Stockholders Equity88.29M88.29M83.79M103.73M43.49M38.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-38.95M-39.59M-33.13M-30.29M-12.76M-15.06M
Operating Cash Flow-28.67M-28.67M-13.68M-17.26M-3.74M-8.12M
Investing Cash Flow-10.64M-10.64M-17.55M-13.03M13.83M-6.94M
Financing Cash Flow19.33M19.33M-280.00K79.77M-232.33K19.11M

Calix Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.21
Price Trends
50DMA
0.64
Positive
100DMA
0.53
Positive
200DMA
0.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Negative
RSI
65.14
Neutral
STOCH
75.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CXL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.83, above the 50-day MA of 0.64, and above the 200-day MA of 0.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CXL.

Calix Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
57
Neutral
AU$260.85M-12.31-22.28%16.47%29.53%
55
Neutral
AU$42.03M-5.36-67.76%7.08%33.70%
53
Neutral
AU$85.54M-97.83-1.75%-5.37%-140.00%
53
Neutral
AU$21.86M-8.01-63.81%52.66%
41
Neutral
AU$27.03M-2.69-869.14%340.27%19.44%
37
Underperform
AU$16.60M-2.78-263.52%-32.85%28.00%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CXL
Calix Ltd.
1.21
0.47
63.51%
AU:AJX
Alexium International Group
0.01
>-0.01
-23.08%
AU:DTZ
Dotz Nano Limited
0.04
-0.05
-56.67%
AU:SDV
SciDev Ltd
0.45
-0.08
-15.09%
AU:SPN
Sparc Technologies Ltd
0.19
-0.05
-22.92%
AU:CG1
Carbonxt Group Ltd.
0.10
0.03
46.97%

Calix Ltd. Corporate Events

Calix says it knows of no undisclosed information behind sharp share price rise
Jan 2, 2026

Calix Limited has responded to an Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) price query after its share price climbed sharply from $0.73 on 24 December 2025 to an intraday high of $1.185, accompanied by a significant increase in trading volumes from 29 December 2025. The company told ASX it is not aware of any undisclosed information that could explain the recent trading activity, provided no alternative explanation for the price and volume surge, and confirmed it remains in full compliance with ASX Listing Rules, including its continuous disclosure obligations, with the response authorised by its CFO and Managing Director.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXL) stock is a Hold with a A$0.88 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calix Ltd. stock, see the AU:CXL Stock Forecast page.

Calix Completes Construction of Lithium Mid-Stream Demonstration Plant in WA
Dec 22, 2025

Calix Limited has completed construction of its lithium Mid-Stream Demonstration Plant, an electric calciner facility developed in joint venture with PLS Group at the Pilgangoora operation in Western Australia. The completion marks a key milestone in advancing Calix’s decarbonisation-focused processing technology into the lithium value chain, with commissioning and operating plans to be detailed later by the joint venture, underscoring the company’s strategic push into critical minerals processing and its broader role in enabling lower-carbon industrial operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXL) stock is a Hold with a A$0.67 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calix Ltd. stock, see the AU:CXL Stock Forecast page.

Calix Secures US Water Treatment Contract Worth Up to A$10m Annually
Dec 18, 2025

Calix has signed a three-year contract, with options for a further two years, to supply magnesium hydroxide water treatment products to a major global agriculture company in the United States, using its existing production and distribution facilities in the US Midwest. The deal is expected to deliver up to A$10 million in additional annual product and services revenue from the first quarter of the 2026 calendar year, underscoring the growing commercial traction of Calix’s water treatment solutions and strengthening its position in the US market without requiring new capacity investment, with the company confirming that all material information relevant to assessing the contract’s impact on its securities has been disclosed.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXL) stock is a Hold with a A$0.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calix Ltd. stock, see the AU:CXL Stock Forecast page.

Calix and Rio Tinto Advance Zesty Green Iron Project
Dec 14, 2025

Calix Limited announced the completion of due diligence for the Zesty Green Iron Demonstration Project in partnership with Rio Tinto, clearing the way for a $3 million cash contribution from Rio Tinto. The project aims to produce green iron and steel using Calix’s Zesty technology, which combines electric heating and hydrogen reduction. The demonstration plant is designed to produce up to 30,000 tonnes per annum of hydrogen direct reduced iron or hot briquetted iron, supporting the development of a green iron industry in Australia. The project is supported by a grant from the Australian Renewable Energy Agency, and has entered its detailed design engineering phase.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXL) stock is a Hold with a A$0.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calix Ltd. stock, see the AU:CXL Stock Forecast page.

Calix Limited Issues New Shares in Strategic Move
Dec 5, 2025

Calix Limited has issued 516,667 new fully paid ordinary shares in lieu of Directors’ Fees, following approval at its 2025 Annual General Meeting. This move aligns with the company’s compliance with relevant accounting and disclosure requirements, reinforcing its commitment to transparency and operational efficiency. The issuance of shares without disclosure under Part 6D.2 of the Corporations Act reflects Calix’s strategic financial management, potentially impacting its financial structure and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXL) stock is a Hold with a A$0.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calix Ltd. stock, see the AU:CXL Stock Forecast page.

Calix Ltd. Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Dec 5, 2025

Calix Ltd. has announced the quotation of 516,667 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code CXL. This move is part of a previously announced transaction, indicating an expansion in the company’s market activities and potentially enhancing its liquidity and investor base.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXL) stock is a Hold with a A$0.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calix Ltd. stock, see the AU:CXL Stock Forecast page.

Calix Ltd. Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Dec 4, 2025

Calix Ltd. announced a proposed issue of 516,667 ordinary fully paid securities, with the issuance date set for December 5, 2025. This move is part of a placement or other type of issue, which could impact the company’s market positioning by potentially increasing its capital base and enhancing its ability to invest in its core technologies and market expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXL) stock is a Hold with a A$0.61 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calix Ltd. stock, see the AU:CXL Stock Forecast page.

Calix Ltd. AGM Results: Key Resolutions Passed
Nov 18, 2025

Calix Ltd. held its Annual General Meeting on November 18, 2025, where several resolutions were passed. Key outcomes included the adoption of the Remuneration Report and the re-election of Alison Deans as Director. Additionally, approvals were granted for STI and LTI Performance Rights for CEO Phil Hodgson, and the issuance of Director Shares to several directors in lieu of fees. These decisions reflect the company’s strategic focus on aligning executive incentives with performance and ensuring robust governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXL) stock is a Buy with a A$1.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calix Ltd. stock, see the AU:CXL Stock Forecast page.

Calix Ltd. Advances Sustainable Technologies with Strategic Partnerships and Revenue Growth
Nov 17, 2025

Calix Ltd. announced significant advancements at its 2025 Annual General Meeting, highlighting strategic partnerships and commercial milestones. The company secured a $35 million commitment from Rio Tinto for its Zero Emission Steel Technology and partnered with Norske Hydro to develop zero emissions alumina technology. The completion of a lithium demonstration plant and advancements in cement, lime, and water treatment projects underscore Calix’s growth and commitment to sustainability. Despite some challenges in the U.S. market, Calix reported a 17% increase in revenue and a 23% reduction in operating costs for FY2025, continuing its positive financial trajectory.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXL) stock is a Buy with a A$1.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calix Ltd. stock, see the AU:CXL Stock Forecast page.

Calix and Rio Tinto Partner on Joint Development Agreement
Nov 17, 2025

Calix Limited has announced a Joint Development Agreement with Rio Tinto, which will be discussed in an investor webinar. This collaboration is expected to enhance Calix’s position in the industry by leveraging its core technology to meet the increasing demand for sustainable industrial solutions. The agreement signifies a strategic move to strengthen Calix’s operations and impact in the environmental technology sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXL) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calix Ltd. stock, see the AU:CXL Stock Forecast page.

Calix Showcases Environmental Tech at Australian Microcap Conference
Oct 20, 2025

Calix Limited presented at the 14th Australian Microcap Investment Conference in Melbourne, highlighting its advancements in environmental technology. The company’s focus on industrial decarbonisation and sustainability positions it as a key player in addressing global environmental challenges, potentially impacting its operations and industry standing positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXL) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calix Ltd. stock, see the AU:CXL Stock Forecast page.

Calix Limited Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting
Oct 17, 2025

Calix Limited has announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting, scheduled for November 18, 2025, which will be held as a hybrid meeting allowing both online and in-person participation. The meeting will cover the company’s financial report, the adoption of the remuneration report, and the re-election of Alison Deans as a director. This AGM is significant for stakeholders as it addresses key governance and strategic decisions impacting the company’s future direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXL) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calix Ltd. stock, see the AU:CXL Stock Forecast page.

Calix Ltd. Enhances Capital Structure with New Securities Quotation
Oct 15, 2025

Calix Ltd. announced the quotation of 179,130 new ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), following the exercise of options or conversion of other convertible securities. This move is expected to enhance the company’s capital structure and potentially improve its market positioning by increasing liquidity and investor interest.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXL) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calix Ltd. stock, see the AU:CXL Stock Forecast page.

Calix Limited Announces Major Milestones and Partnerships in Sustainability Efforts
Oct 13, 2025

Calix Limited has released its latest newsletter detailing significant commercial milestones, including a $44.9 million ARENA grant for a Green Iron Demonstration Plant and a new partnership with Hydro. The company also reported successful upgrades and testing of its Leilac-1 project, progress in its lithium demonstration project, and expansion in the magnesia market in Queensland. These developments indicate Calix’s strong focus on sustainability and its growing impact on the industrial sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXL) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calix Ltd. stock, see the AU:CXL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 10, 2026