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Cue Energy Resources Limited (AU:CUE)
ASX:CUE
Australian Market

Cue Energy Resources Limited (CUE) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CUE

Cue Energy Resources Limited

(Sydney:CUE)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
AU$0.13
â–²(11.67% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/18/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial footing (very low leverage) and strong operational efficiency alongside revenue growth, supported by highly attractive valuation (low P/E and strong dividend yield). These positives are tempered by weakening profitability and free cash flow trends, and mixed technical signals with soft near-term momentum.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
An extremely low debt-to-equity ratio provides durable financial flexibility for an upstream operator. It lowers default and refinancing risk during commodity cycles, supports funding of development or maintenance outlays, and preserves optionality for farm-outs or asset investments over the next several quarters.
Robust operating margins
Sustained high EBIT and EBITDA margins signal structural operational efficiency in production and cost control. For an E&P business, these margins support internal funding of operating needs and development capex, improving resilience to moderate commodity price swings over a multi-month horizon.
Consistent revenue growth
Year-over-year revenue growth near mid-teens suggests expanding production or improved realizations that are not purely transitory. Durable revenue increases strengthen scale economics, support margin maintenance, and provide a foundation for reinvestment or distributions across the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Declining gross & net margins
Substantial falls in gross and net margins point to rising unit costs, weaker realizations, or higher royalties/transport charges. If these cost or pricing pressures persist, they will erode long-term profitability, reduce retained earnings available for capex or dividends, and strain margins across planning cycles.
Weakening free cash flow
A large drop in free cash flow and deteriorating cash conversion reduce the firm's ability to self-fund development, service unexpected costs, or sustain distributions. For upstream companies, persistent FCF weakness constrains capital programs and increases reliance on partners or asset sales.
Earnings per share decline
A notable decline in EPS reflects lower shareholder earnings and may signal operational or price headwinds not yet reversed. Continued EPS erosion undermines return on equity and investor returns, and can limit internal capital accumulation needed for exploration and maintenance over the medium term.

Cue Energy Resources Limited (CUE) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Cue Energy Resources Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCue Energy Resources Limited, an oil and gas exploration and production company, explores for, develops, and produces petroleum. It has petroleum assets in Australia, New Zealand, and Indonesia. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyCUE makes money primarily from upstream petroleum revenues generated by its ownership interests in oil and gas fields. Under typical joint venture structures in the upstream sector, an operator markets production and sells hydrocarbons (e.g., natural gas and liquids) to customers, and CUE receives its share of gross sales proceeds in proportion to its working interest, net of royalties, tariffs/transport, and other sales-related deductions where applicable. These receipts are then reduced by CUE’s share of operating expenditures (ongoing production and maintenance costs) and development/capital expenditures (drilling and facility investment) to determine net operating cash flow from each asset. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) gas sales—where revenue is driven by produced volumes and realized gas prices under spot sales and/or contract sales, depending on the asset; (2) liquids sales (crude oil and/or condensate and associated products), where revenue depends on production volumes and benchmark-linked pricing net of quality and shipping adjustments; and (3) other upstream receipts tied to its asset interests (e.g., balancing/settlement adjustments) when applicable. Beyond production income, CUE may also generate cash through portfolio management activities such as farm-outs, asset sales, or other disposals where consideration is received (cash and/or contingent payments), though the availability and materiality of such proceeds are asset- and transaction-dependent. Significant factors influencing earnings include commodity prices, production uptime and field performance, the timing and cost of development and drilling programs, and the terms of joint venture/operating agreements (including how marketing is handled by the operator). CUE’s partnerships are primarily with joint venture operators and co-venturers who operate the fields and manage sales/marketing; CUE’s earnings therefore depend on these partners’ operational execution as well as the broader oil and gas market environment.

Cue Energy Resources Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth (15.5%) and robust operating margins (EBIT 34.9%, EBITDA 51.2%) support the score, reinforced by an exceptionally low debt-to-equity ratio (0.004). Offsetting factors include notable declines in gross margin (to 46.2%), net margin (to 11.5%), and weakening free cash flow (FCF growth -39% and lower cash conversion).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Cue Energy Resources Limited has shown a strong revenue growth rate of 15.5% in the latest year, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin has decreased from 73.2% to 46.2%, suggesting increased cost pressures. Net profit margin has also declined to 11.5% from 28.6%, reflecting reduced profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust at 34.9% and 51.2% respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The company maintains a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.004, indicating minimal leverage and financial stability. Return on equity has decreased to 10.9% from 21.9%, but remains healthy. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a solid capital structure with stockholders' equity comprising a significant portion of total assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.55, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow has decreased significantly, with a negative growth rate of -39%, raising concerns about cash availability for reinvestment. The free cash flow to net income ratio has also declined to 0.35, suggesting reduced cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue53.44M54.84M49.66M51.60M44.44M22.45M
Gross Profit22.74M25.32M36.34M23.48M24.45M-1.14M
EBITDA27.90M28.10M32.41M27.19M27.25M-4.34M
Net Income7.09M6.32M14.19M15.21M16.07M-12.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets126.38M113.52M113.28M118.00M106.91M56.10M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.18M10.83M16.26M15.24M23.22M17.64M
Total Debt376.00K258.00K217.00K4.08M7.10M197.00K
Total Liabilities66.83M55.47M48.37M53.81M58.97M26.18M
Stockholders Equity59.55M58.05M64.91M64.19M47.94M29.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.35M8.45M19.43M1.39M11.07M-11.55M
Operating Cash Flow20.15M23.83M26.94M12.65M17.66M-8.03M
Investing Cash Flow-14.86M-15.40M-7.74M-17.63M-19.11M-3.52M
Financing Cash Flow-10.56M-14.05M-18.05M-3.08M6.85M-84.00K

Cue Energy Resources Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.12
Price Trends
50DMA
0.12
Positive
100DMA
0.12
Positive
200DMA
0.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
55.83
Neutral
STOCH
84.85
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CUE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.13, below the 50-day MA of 0.12, and above the 200-day MA of 0.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.85 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CUE.

Cue Energy Resources Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
AU$97.97M3.9412.05%13.04%10.44%-55.67%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
56
Neutral
AU$96.30M-40.182.32%6.72%――
49
Neutral
AU$26.47M-4.02-6.67%――-220.00%
46
Neutral
AU$91.15M-30.38-13.37%――33.33%
44
Neutral
AU$72.16M-15.66-3.37%――22.50%
43
Neutral
AU$84.49M-9.56-5.81%――17.02%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CUE
Cue Energy Resources Limited
0.14
0.05
48.94%
AU:MAY
Melbana Energy Limited
0.01
-0.02
-67.74%
AU:ECH
New Zealand Oil & Gas Limited
0.43
0.07
18.46%
AU:PCL
Pancontinental Energy NL
0.01
>-0.01
-8.33%
AU:IVZ
Invictus Energy Limited
0.05
-0.02
-25.00%
AU:KKO
Kinetiko Energy Ltd.
0.06
-0.02
-21.43%

Cue Energy Resources Limited Corporate Events

Cue Energy appoints advisers as it weighs Horizon Oil takeover bid
Mar 12, 2026

Cue Energy Resources has acknowledged Horizon Oil Limited’s intention to launch an off-market takeover offer for all Cue shares it does not already own, following Horizon’s announcement earlier in March. In response, Cue’s Independent Board Committee has engaged legal advisor Gilbert + Tobin and financial advisor Azure Capital to assess the proposal.

The offer has not yet opened, and the committee has reiterated that shareholders do not need to take any action at this stage. Cue plans to issue a Target’s Statement containing formal recommendations from committee members, ensuring shareholders receive it with sufficient time to evaluate their options before the offer period closes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CUE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cue Energy Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CUE Stock Forecast page.

Cue Energy Forms Independent Board to Assess Horizon Oil Takeover Bid
Mar 3, 2026

Cue Energy Resources has disclosed that Horizon Oil Limited intends to launch an off-market takeover bid for all Cue shares it does not already control, offering a mix of cash and Horizon shares per Cue share. The proposal underscores ongoing consolidation in the regional oil and gas sector and could reshape Cue’s shareholder base and strategic direction if completed.

In response, Cue has formed an Independent Board Committee of its non-executive directors to evaluate the Horizon proposal with the assistance of external advisers and to provide a formal recommendation to shareholders in a forthcoming target’s statement. Until that advice is issued, the board has urged investors not to take any action, highlighting that the offer will remain open for at least one month once dispatched, giving shareholders time to assess their options.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CUE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cue Energy Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CUE Stock Forecast page.

Cue Energy JV Wins Extension to Finalise Northern Territory Gas Sales Deal
Mar 2, 2026

Cue Energy Resources Limited, an ASX-listed Melbourne-based oil and gas producer and explorer, derives its revenue from a portfolio spanning Indonesia’s Mahato and Sampang PSCs, the Mereenie, Palm Valley and Dingo fields in onshore Australia, and the Maari field offshore New Zealand. The company reported first-half FY26 revenue of $25.7 million from these operations.

Cue has announced that the Mereenie and Palm Valley joint venture partners have reached agreement with the Northern Territory’s Power and Water Corporation to extend the deadline to execute binding gas sales agreements from 2 March 2026 to 24 March 2026. The extension provides additional time for finalising long-term gas supply arrangements, which are important for revenue visibility and planning for both the joint venture participants and the regional power utility.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CUE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cue Energy Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CUE Stock Forecast page.

Horizon Oil Extends Deadline for Mereenie Gas Sales Agreement
Mar 2, 2026

Horizon Oil Limited and its Mereenie Joint Venture partners have reached an agreement with the Northern Territory’s Power and Water Corporation to extend the deadline for signing a binding gas sales agreement tied to the Mereenie project. The execution date has been pushed from 2 March 2026 to 24 March 2026, providing additional time for commercial and contractual finalisation, and signalling that negotiations remain active and potentially material for Horizon’s future gas sales and regional supply arrangements.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CUE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cue Energy Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CUE Stock Forecast page.

Cue Energy lifts profit and pivots cash to long-term NT gas growth
Feb 25, 2026

Cue Energy Resources has reported half-year FY26 revenue of $25.7 million and an 18% rise in after-tax profit to $5.1 million, driven by strong performance from its Indonesian, New Zealand, and Australian production assets. The company declared a reduced interim dividend of 0.25 cents per share, bringing total shareholder returns to more than $33 million over the past two years while preserving cash for growth.

Management is prioritising near-term growth in Australia’s Northern Territory, planning four development wells at the Mereenie and Palm Valley fields and progressing a long-term gas sales agreement with NT Power and Water Corporation to 2034. These initiatives, alongside recently secured sales to McArthur River Mining, are expected to lift contracted gas volumes by more than 150%, underpin predictable long-term revenue, reducing exposure to oil price volatility, and reinforcing Cue’s position in a tightening domestic gas market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CUE) stock is a Buy with a A$0.16 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cue Energy Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CUE Stock Forecast page.

Cue Energy Declares Interim Dividend for Half-Year to December 2025
Feb 25, 2026

Cue Energy Resources Limited has declared an interim dividend on its ordinary fully paid shares, reflecting earnings from the six-month financial period ended 31 December 2025. The company will pay a distribution of AUD 0.0025 per share on 26 March 2026, with the stock trading ex-dividend on 11 March and a record date of 12 March, signalling continued capital returns to shareholders and providing clarity on near-term income for investors.

The announcement specifies that the payout is tied to the latest half-year reporting period, underscoring Cue Energy’s current cash generation capacity and commitment to regular distributions. While no additional approvals are required, the modest dividend size highlights a conservative approach to capital management, balancing shareholder returns with the need to retain funds for ongoing operations in a cyclical energy market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CUE) stock is a Buy with a A$0.16 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cue Energy Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CUE Stock Forecast page.

Cue Energy Lifts Profit Despite Revenue Dip and Declares Lower Interim Dividend
Feb 25, 2026

Cue Energy Resources Limited reported a 5.2% decline in operating revenue to $25.7 million for the half-year to 31 December 2025, while gross profit fell 19.5% to $10.4 million. Despite this, profit after tax attributable to shareholders rose 17.8% to $5.1 million, supported by lower exploration expenses and stable EBITDA of $13.4 million.

Total comprehensive income slipped 17.6% to $4.9 million, but the company strengthened its balance sheet, with net assets up 2.6% to $59.5 million and cash rising 3.2% to $11.2 million. Cue declared an unfranked interim dividend of 0.25 cents per share payable in March 2026, lower than prior-period payouts, signalling continued shareholder returns while preserving capital amid softer revenues and margin pressure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CUE) stock is a Buy with a A$0.16 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cue Energy Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CUE Stock Forecast page.

Echelon Wins Extension on Key Northern Territory Gas Sales Deadline
Feb 22, 2026

Echelon Resources Limited has secured an extension to the deadline for executing binding gas sales agreements with the Northern Territory’s Power and Water Corporation, pushing the date from 20 February 2026 to 2 March 2026. The extension relates to the Mereenie and Palm Valley gas projects, where Echelon holds substantial interests alongside Central Petroleum, Cue Energy and Horizon Australia Energy, and it provides additional time to finalise commercial terms that are important for unlocking growth and value from four planned new wells.

The Mereenie permits OL4 and OL5 are operated by Central Petroleum with Echelon holding the largest single stake, while the Palm Valley OL3 permit is also operated by Central with Echelon as a major partner. These joint venture structures underscore Echelon’s strategy of leveraging partnerships to develop its regional gas portfolio, with the revised deadline reducing near-term contracting pressure and helping preserve momentum on planned development activities that are central to its growth plans in the Northern Territory gas market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CUE) stock is a Buy with a A$0.16 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cue Energy Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CUE Stock Forecast page.

Cue Energy Secures Extension for Mereenie and Palm Valley Gas Sales Deadline
Feb 20, 2026

Cue Energy Resources Limited has updated the market on gas sales negotiations involving its Mereenie and Palm Valley interests in Australia’s Northern Territory. The company, together with its joint venture partners, is focused on supplying gas from these onshore fields to regional utility customers as part of its broader upstream oil and gas portfolio.

The Mereenie and Palm Valley joint venture partners have agreed with the Northern Territory’s Power and Water Corporation to extend the deadline for executing binding gas sales agreements from 20 February 2026 to 2 March 2026. The short extension suggests commercial terms are still being finalised, and timely completion will be important for securing long-term gas offtake arrangements and providing greater revenue visibility for Cue and its partners.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CUE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cue Energy Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CUE Stock Forecast page.

Horizon Oil Wins Extension to Finalise Mereenie Gas Sales Deal
Feb 20, 2026

Horizon Oil and its Mereenie Joint Venture partners have secured an extension from Northern Territory’s Power and Water Corporation to finalise a long-term gas sales agreement linked to two new wells at the Mereenie field. The deadline to execute the binding contract has been pushed back from 20 February 2026 to 2 March 2026, giving the parties additional time to conclude commercial terms that could underpin future gas supply and revenue visibility for the venture.

The extension signals continued progress in negotiations with the territory’s key utility buyer and suggests Horizon and its partners remain on track to convert the earlier letter of intent into a firm sales agreement. A successful deal is expected to support ongoing development of Mereenie, strengthen Horizon’s contracted gas portfolio and provide greater certainty for stakeholders reliant on long-term gas supplies from the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CUE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cue Energy Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CUE Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Wins Extension to Finalise NT Gas Sales Agreements
Feb 20, 2026

Central Petroleum has secured a short extension to its deadline to finalise binding gas sales agreements with the Northern Territory’s Power and Water Corporation for gas from the Mereenie and Palm Valley fields. The execution deadline has been pushed from 20 February 2026 to 2 March 2026, giving the company and its joint venture partners additional time to convert earlier letters of intent into long-term supply contracts.

The brief extension maintains momentum on Central’s planned long-term gas supply arrangements while providing a narrow window to complete commercial terms. Successful completion of these agreements would underpin production from key Northern Territory assets and further consolidate Central’s role as a core supplier in regional gas markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CUE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cue Energy Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CUE Stock Forecast page.

Cue Energy Highlights Portfolio Quality, Growth and Dividends at MST Webinar
Feb 11, 2026

Cue Energy Resources used an MST Financial webinar titled “New Technologies, New Frontiers: The Next Generation of ASX Oil & Gas Winners” to highlight its strategy of managing a high-quality portfolio, delivering near-term growth and returning attractive dividends to shareholders. The presentation underscores both the growth ambitions and the inherent exploration and production risks in its oil and gas assets, signalling a focus on capital discipline and shareholder returns while navigating commodity price and reserve uncertainties.

The company emphasised that exploration for oil and gas remains expensive and speculative, and that outcomes depend on recoverable reserves and production levels at its current and future properties. It also reiterated that information presented, particularly around future operations and financial prospects, is subject to significant uncertainty and should be weighed carefully by investors in light of their individual financial circumstances.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CUE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.12 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cue Energy Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CUE Stock Forecast page.

Cue Energy Holds Production Steady as Long-Term Gas Deals and Drilling Plans Advance
Jan 29, 2026

Cue Energy Resources Limited reported steady quarterly production of about 1,680 barrels of oil equivalent per day and ended the December 2025 quarter with a solid cash balance of $11.2 million, though cash receipts fell to $9.9 million due mainly to revised lifting arrangements at Indonesia’s Mahato PSC and infrastructure constraints affecting Australian liquids offtake. Operationally, the company advanced its Australian gas strategy by signing a letter of intent with Northern Territory Power and Water Corporation for long-term gas sales from the Mereenie and Palm Valley fields through 2034 and preparing a four-well development drilling campaign starting mid‑2026, while in Indonesia it continued planning for Phase 3 development at Mahato to expand production from the Telisa reservoir and progressed towards a final investment decision on the Paus Biru gas project, positioning the portfolio for future production growth and contracted revenue visibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CUE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.12 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cue Energy Resources Limited stock, see the AU:CUE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 18, 2026