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Central Petroleum Limited (AU:CTP)
ASX:CTP

Central Petroleum Limited (CTP) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CTP

Central Petroleum Limited

(Sydney:CTP)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
AU$0.11
▲(76.67% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/06/26
The score is driven by attractive valuation (low P/E) and constructive technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD), reinforced by a strong earnings-call turnaround and shareholder-return initiatives. Offsetting these positives, the financial statements still show pressure on profitability (lower net margin) and weaker free cash flow generation.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Price Recovery
Sustained revenue growth driven by higher realized gas prices and stronger contract pricing improves long-term cash generation potential. Over 2-6 months this supports funding of development, lowers reliance on external financing, and validates commercial strategy in core basins.
Operational Execution
Consistent project execution reduces development risk and unit development costs, increasing margin resilience. Delivering wells on time and under budget demonstrates repeatable operating capability, improving tempo for future appraisal and lowering the probability of costly delays.
Leverage & Liquidity Improvement
Lower leverage and a longer amortisation profile materially extend financial flexibility, reducing near-term refinancing risk. Better balance sheet metrics support sustaining capex and shareholder returns while providing capacity to pursue opportunistic exploration or farm-in/out deals.
Negative Factors
Falling Net Profit Margin
A material drop in net margin indicates rising costs or one-off charges that erode profitability even as revenue grows. Persistently lower margins reduce retained earnings, constrain reinvestment, and make returns more sensitive to commodity or operating cost shocks over the medium term.
Weak Free Cash Flow Conversion
Declining free cash flow and poor conversion of earnings into FCF limit the company's ability to internally fund development, dividends or buybacks. Over months this restricts capital allocation flexibility and increases dependency on external funding for growth or unexpected costs.
Market & Exploration Uncertainty
Structural market uncertainty and delayed sub-salt exploration reduce visibility on future production and reserves replacement. Joint-venture and market risks can postpone high-impact projects, constraining medium-term growth and making reserve replenishment less certain.

Central Petroleum Limited (CTP) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Central Petroleum Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCentral Petroleum Limited engages in the development, production, processing, and marketing of hydrocarbons in Australia. It holds interests in various oil and gas properties comprising 181,743 square kilometers of exploration area located in the Amadeus, Southern Georgina, Wiso, and Surat Basins. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyCentral Petroleum makes money primarily by producing and selling natural gas and associated liquids (where applicable) from its operated and non-operated upstream assets. Revenue is generated through gas sales under supply arrangements with customers (typically priced per unit of gas delivered) and, depending on field and contract structures, may also include income from condensate or other by-products. Earnings are influenced by production volumes, realized sales prices (including any linkage to market benchmarks or contract pricing terms), operating and development costs, and the company’s working interests in each asset. The company may also generate cash inflows from asset-level transactions (such as farm-outs, asset sales, or funding arrangements) and, where relevant, from joint venture arrangements in which partners fund portions of exploration/development in exchange for equity interests; however, specific counterparties, contract terms, and the materiality of these items are null if not disclosed in the referenced public information.

Central Petroleum Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 17, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong operational and financial achievements, with significant profit turnaround, revenue growth, and shareholder returns. Despite some challenges such as oil offtake constraints and long-term market uncertainties, the company's strategic initiatives and financial health position it well for future growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operational and Financial Progress
Central Petroleum achieved significant milestones, including a multiyear gas sales agreement, two new production wells completed ahead of schedule and under budget, and a debt restructuring extending to 2030, enhancing financial flexibility.
Impressive Turnaround in Profits
The company reported a statutory profit of $7.7 million, with an underlying profit of $6.5 million compared to an underlying loss of $1.4 million in the previous year.
Revenue and Margin Growth
Revenues increased by 17% to $43.6 million, with realized prices up 19%. Underlying EBITDAX rose 43% to $19.6 million, and gross margins improved by 26%.
Shareholder Returns Initiated
Central Petroleum commenced its first on-market share buyback program, planning to buy back up to 10% of issued capital over the next 12 months.
Successful Gas Contracting Strategy
New gas contracts led to more reliable volumes and higher prices, with a 27% jump in second-half average prices.
Record Demand and Production
Record demand for gas from the Dingo field and two new Mereenie wells contributed to increased volumes, with oil production up 14%.
Cost Control and Financial Position
Corporate and administration costs decreased by 39%, and the company reported its highest net cash position in over a decade at $3.9 million.
Reserves Upgrade
The company effectively replaced 96% of its FY 2025 production with an upgrade of proved and probable reserves.
Negative Updates
Oil Offtake Constraints
Oil offtake was partially constrained in the fourth quarter, which affected gas production, though solutions have been implemented.
Seasonal Demand Fluctuations
Seasonal demand fluctuations affected volumes, with a projected 8% lower gas volume in the September quarter compared to June.
Uncertainty in Long-term Gas Market
There is considerable uncertainty in the long-term gas market, particularly regarding production from Blacktip and appraisal results from the Beetaloo.
Challenges in Sub-salt Exploration
Sub-salt exploration activities have been stalled due to joint venture complexities, though plans are in place to resume by mid-2027.
Company Guidance
During the call, Central Petroleum's leadership provided extensive guidance on their fiscal performance and strategic direction for 2025. The company reported a statutory profit of $7.7 million, highlighting a significant turnaround from the previous year's underlying loss of $1.4 million. Revenues increased by 17% to $43.6 million, driven by a 19% rise in realized gas prices to $9.02 per gigajoule. Operational successes included the drilling and commissioning of two new Mereenie wells, which exceeded production expectations and were completed ahead of schedule and under budget. Financially, the company restructured its debt, extending amortization to 2030, and ended the fiscal year with a cash position of $27.5 million. Central Petroleum also announced its first-ever share buyback program and is considering sustainable dividends. Looking forward, they are focused on maintaining momentum through firm gas contracts, cost control, and exploration opportunities, including further drilling at Palm Valley and Mereenie and exploring high-potential prospects like Mount Kitty. The company aims to balance shareholder returns with long-term growth.

Central Petroleum Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue growth rebounded strongly and leverage improved, but net profit margin declined materially and free cash flow fell, signaling weaker cash conversion despite stable operating cash flow.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Central Petroleum Limited has shown a significant improvement in revenue growth with a 20.9% increase in the latest year, reversing the previous declining trend. The gross profit margin has improved to 33.3%, indicating better cost management. However, the net profit margin decreased to 17.7% from 33.4% the previous year, suggesting increased expenses or other financial pressures. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory, but profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.64, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. However, the return on equity has decreased significantly to 18.9% from 38.2%, reflecting reduced profitability. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. While leverage is under control, the decline in ROE is a potential risk.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow has improved, covering net income adequately with a ratio of 1.02. However, free cash flow has decreased by 30.7%, indicating potential liquidity issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is at 0.40, reflecting challenges in converting earnings into free cash flow. While operational cash flow is stable, the decline in free cash flow growth is concerning.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue43.63M37.15M39.26M42.15M59.83M
Gross Profit14.54M4.43M19.14M14.80M30.98M
EBITDA15.65M24.06M3.70M32.39M18.43M
Net Income7.73M12.42M-7.96M21.32M251.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets114.01M103.64M98.13M122.29M174.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.47M24.98M13.83M21.65M37.16M
Total Debt26.05M24.21M28.15M31.81M68.32M
Total Liabilities73.11M71.08M78.74M95.76M170.48M
Stockholders Equity40.91M32.55M19.39M26.53M3.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.78M3.92M-4.91M-7.15M17.65M
Operating Cash Flow14.30M6.86M-2.06M3.64M24.14M
Investing Cash Flow-10.11M9.45M-1.50M17.41M-8.04M
Financing Cash Flow-1.70M-5.15M-4.27M-36.56M-4.85M

Central Petroleum Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.06
Price Trends
50DMA
0.07
Positive
100DMA
0.07
Positive
200DMA
0.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
59.61
Neutral
STOCH
92.26
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CTP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.08, below the 50-day MA of 0.07, and below the 200-day MA of 0.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.26 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CTP.

Central Petroleum Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
AU$67.75M5.4521.06%17.42%-38.46%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
AU$44.81M1.954.88%53.56%-67.96%
55
Neutral
AU$151.45M-13.93-96.62%-100.00%-2093.33%
46
Neutral
AU$72.92M-40.15-2.89%-20.00%
44
Neutral
AU$41.94M-29.16-14.52%40.00%
40
Underperform
AU$42.30M-9.62-34.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CTP
Central Petroleum Limited
0.09
0.02
32.35%
AU:EXR
Elixir Energy Limited
0.08
0.05
173.33%
AU:BRK
Brookside Energy
0.47
0.09
24.00%
AU:NGY
NuEnergy Gas Limited
0.04
0.02
111.11%
AU:JGH
Jade Gas Holdings Limited
0.02
>-0.01
-25.81%
AU:TDO
3D Oil Limited
0.08
-0.02
-20.00%

Central Petroleum Limited Corporate Events

Horizon Oil Extends Deadline for Mereenie Gas Sales Deal
Mar 2, 2026

Horizon Oil and its Mereenie Joint Venture partners have reached an agreement with the Northern Territory’s Power and Water Corporation to extend the deadline for finalising a binding gas sales agreement. The execution date has been moved from 2 March 2026 to 24 March 2026, giving the parties additional time to conclude commercial terms that are expected to underpin ongoing gas supply arrangements and provide greater clarity for stakeholders reliant on Mereenie gas.

The extension suggests that negotiations are progressing but require further work before being locked into a binding contract. For Horizon and its partners, securing this agreement is likely to be important for revenue visibility and field planning, while for the Power and Water Corporation it would support continuity of gas supply for power generation in the Northern Territory.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.08 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Wins Extension to Finalise NT Gas Sales Deals
Mar 2, 2026

Central Petroleum and its Mereenie and Palm Valley joint venture partners have secured an extension from Northern Territory’s Power and Water Corporation to finalise binding gas sales agreements. The deadline has been pushed from 2 March 2026 to 24 March 2026, giving the parties additional time to convert existing letters of intent into firm contracts.

The extension preserves momentum on potential gas supply arrangements that are important for Central’s production planning and revenue visibility. It also underscores the strategic role of Central’s Northern Territory assets in regional energy supply, with stakeholders watching for finalisation of the agreements later in March.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.08 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Horizon Oil Wins Extension to Finalise Mereenie Gas Sales Deal
Feb 20, 2026

Horizon Oil and its Mereenie Joint Venture partners have secured a short extension to finalise a long-term gas sales agreement with the Northern Territory’s Power and Water Corporation. The deadline to execute the binding contract for gas from the Mereenie field has been pushed from 20 February 2026 to 2 March 2026, providing additional time to complete negotiations on a deal that is expected to underpin new drilling and long-term regional gas supply.

The extension signals continued commitment from both the suppliers and the utility to lock in a substantial gas offtake arrangement, which could enhance revenue certainty for Horizon and its partners. It also underscores the strategic importance of Mereenie gas in meeting the Northern Territory’s power needs and may support further investment in field development once final terms are agreed.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.08 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Extends Deadline to Finalise NT Gas Sales Agreements
Feb 20, 2026

Central Petroleum and its joint venture partners at the Mereenie and Palm Valley gas fields have secured an extension from Northern Territory utility Power and Water Corporation to finalise binding gas sales agreements. The deadline to execute these long-term supply contracts has been pushed back from 20 February to 2 March 2026, giving the parties additional time to convert their letter of intent into definitive arrangements.

The short extension preserves momentum on prospective long-term gas supply from Mereenie and Palm Valley, which underpin Central’s position as a major onshore gas supplier in the Northern Territory. Finalisation of these agreements would support continued regional energy supply and revenue visibility for Central and its partners, while the revised timetable signals ongoing but still incomplete commercial negotiations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.08 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum to Detail Growth Push in Investor Webinar
Feb 9, 2026

Central Petroleum will host an online investor update on 12 February 2026 to brief the market on recently announced strategic and commercial initiatives. The session will be led by the managing director, chief operating officer and chief financial officer, underscoring the importance of the update for investors.

The company plans to outline potential new long-term gas sale agreements in the Northern Territory that would underwrite four new wells to lift production, as well as its expansion into the Otway and Cooper basins. These initiatives signal a push to grow output and diversify Central Petroleum’s asset base, with implications for its production profile and market positioning in Australia’s domestic gas sector.

The presentation will also cover December-quarter results and planned near-term activities, giving investors greater visibility on operational performance and upcoming work programs. A Q&A segment will allow participants to query management directly, potentially shaping market perceptions of Central Petroleum’s growth trajectory and execution plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.08 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Secures Long-Term Gas Deals and Expands Exploration Footprint
Jan 30, 2026

Central Petroleum has reported a strategically significant December quarter, securing a government-backed long-term gas supply framework that, once converted into binding agreements, is expected to provide up to 25.5 petajoules of gas through 2034 and underpin the drilling of four new wells at the Mereenie and Palm Valley fields from mid-2026. The company also signed a new two‑year gas sales agreement with McArthur River Mining, moved to acquire assets in the Otway and Cooper Basins with at least three exploration wells planned in the next 18 months, and agreed to sell two sub‑salt permits in exchange for an equity stake in Georgina Energy, positioning itself for potential helium and hydrocarbon upside. Operationally, Central reported an average realised gas price of $9.59 per gigajoule, slightly lower quarterly sales volumes and revenue due to oil offtake constraints, but finished the quarter with a stronger cash balance of $29.4 million and net cash of $5.3 million. The company also initiated its first on‑market share buy-back, signalling confidence in its balance sheet, while its expanded drilling program across three basins could materially increase production and reserves, enhancing its role in regional energy supply and providing greater cash flow visibility for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Completes Otway and Cooper Basin Deal, Plans Enterprise North Drilling
Jan 27, 2026

Central Petroleum has completed the acquisition of interests in conventional exploration permits in the onshore Otway and Cooper basins from ADZ Energy, securing a 20% stake in Victoria’s PEP 169 and a 49% interest in multiple petroleum retention licences and an exploration licence in South Australia, with ADZ remaining as operator. The partners plan a multi-well exploration program over the next 18 months, starting with the Enterprise North well in PEP 169 in the second half of 2026, targeting high-permeability natural gas in the Waarre Formation close to existing pipelines and processing plants; if successful, the well is designed to transition quickly to production and could underpin both early gas sales into the Victorian market and longer-term gas storage opportunities, strengthening Central’s growth pipeline and exposure to premium domestic gas pricing.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Deal for Cooper and Otway Basins Turns Unconditional
Jan 19, 2026

Central Petroleum Limited has confirmed that its previously announced transaction with ADZ Energy to expand into the Cooper and Otway basins has become unconditional, with all conditions precedent now satisfied and completion scheduled for 23 January 2026. The finalisation of this deal marks a key step in Central’s strategic expansion beyond its Northern Territory base, potentially broadening its production footprint and strengthening its role in Australia’s onshore gas sector and domestic energy supply chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Appoints New Director With No Current Equity Interests
Jan 16, 2026

Central Petroleum Limited has appointed Joel Lynn Riddle as a director effective 12 January 2026, and has lodged the required initial director’s interest notice with the ASX. The filing confirms that Riddle currently holds no relevant interests in Central Petroleum securities and has no interests in any related contracts, indicating a starting position free of equity or contractual ties as he joins the board, which may be relevant for governance and alignment considerations among investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Provides Daily Update on Ongoing On‑Market Share Buy-Back
Jan 15, 2026

Central Petroleum Limited has provided an update on its on‑market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares listed on the ASX under the code CTP.

The company reported that, as of 15 January 2026, it had repurchased a cumulative total of 1,956,130 shares prior to the previous trading day and a further 229,000 shares on the previous day, as part of a buy-back program initially notified in July 2025 and updated daily. The continuing buy-back activity indicates ongoing capital management efforts that may influence the company’s share structure and potentially enhance value for remaining shareholders through reduced shares on issue.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Reports Daily Progress on On‑Market Share Buy‑Back
Jan 14, 2026

Central Petroleum Limited has updated the market on its ongoing on‑market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares, reporting that a total of 1,727,130 shares had been repurchased before the previous trading day, with a further 229,000 shares bought back on the prior day. The continued execution of the buy‑back, originally notified in July 2025 and now subject to daily updates, signals management’s commitment to capital management and may indicate confidence in the company’s valuation, with potential implications for share liquidity and earnings per share for existing investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Updates Daily On-Market Share Buy-Back Activity
Jan 13, 2026

Central Petroleum Limited has disclosed an update to its on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares listed on the ASX under the code CTP. The company reported that a total of 1,498,130 shares had been repurchased prior to the latest trading day, with an additional 229,000 shares bought back on the previous day, signalling continued execution of its capital management strategy and a potential tightening of the company’s free float for existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Updates On-Market Share Buy-Back Activity
Jan 12, 2026

Central Petroleum Limited, an Australian oil and gas producer listed on the ASX under the code CTP, operates through its ordinary fully paid shares, which form the basis of its capital market presence. The company has provided an update on its on-market share buy-back program, reporting that a total of 1,268,130 shares had been repurchased before the previous trading day, with an additional 230,000 shares bought back on the previous day, as part of a continuing program first notified in July 2025 and updated regularly. This ongoing buy-back reduces the number of shares on issue and may support earnings per share and capital management objectives for existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Issues Daily Update on Ongoing On-Market Share Buy-Back
Jan 9, 2026

Central Petroleum Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares. As of 9 January 2026, the company reports that it has repurchased a cumulative total of 1,033,830 shares prior to the previous day and an additional 234,300 shares on the previous trading day, reflecting continued execution of the capital management initiative first notified in July 2025. The daily disclosure underscores the company’s active use of buy-backs as a tool to manage its capital structure, which may support earnings per share and signal management’s confidence in the company’s valuation to shareholders and the broader market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Updates Market on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back
Jan 8, 2026

Central Petroleum Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX on its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares (CTP), reporting that a total of 799,500 shares had been bought back prior to the latest trading day and a further 234,330 shares were repurchased on the previous day alone. The continuing execution of the buy-back, first notified in July 2025 and now updated as of 8 January 2026, signals management’s active capital management strategy and may support the company’s share price and earnings per share, with implications for existing shareholders’ ownership concentration and the liquidity of CTP stock on the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Adds Former Tamboran CEO Joel Riddle to Board
Jan 7, 2026

Central Petroleum Limited has appointed experienced upstream executive Joel Riddle as a non-executive director, effective 12 January 2026, following a formal search process. Riddle, who previously led Tamboran Resources’ transformation into the largest operated acreage holder in the Beetaloo Basin, is expected to strengthen Central’s board with extensive E&P experience across multiple regions, including onshore Australia. His appointment comes as Central seeks to leverage its leading onshore gas position and producing assets in the Northern Territory to deliver near-term growth and support its long-term strategy and value creation for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Updates Market on Daily Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back
Dec 23, 2025

Central Petroleum Limited has provided an update on its on-market share buy-back program, confirming that it repurchased 799,500 ordinary fully paid shares on the previous trading day, bringing the cumulative total bought back from zero prior to that date. The ongoing daily notifications signal active execution of the buy-back first announced in July 2025, indicating management’s current capital management priorities and potentially reflecting confidence in the company’s valuation, with implications for share liquidity and earnings per share for existing investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Targets Growth With Strategic Entry Into Otway and Cooper Basins
Dec 22, 2025

Central Petroleum Limited has agreed to acquire interests in highly prospective exploration acreage in the onshore Otway and Cooper Basins from ADZ Energy, marking a strategic multi‑basin expansion of its Australian conventional oil and gas portfolio. Under the binding sale and purchase agreements, Central will pay an upfront $9.2 million plus back-costs to secure a 20% stake in Victorian permit PEP169, targeting the Enterprise North gas prospect in the Otway Basin, and a 49% stake in 24 South Australian retention leases and permit PEL677 in the Cooper Basin, with further contingent payments and a royalty on future Cooper production, while ADZ remains operator. The program envisages three to four near‑term exploration wells between 2026 and early 2027, including a production‑ready Enterprise North well located near existing pipelines and processing plants in the Victorian gas market; if successful, Central expects a low implied acquisition cost per gigajoule and a near‑doubling of its equity gas production, underscoring the potential for meaningful growth in supply to the east coast gas market and strengthening the company’s position in prolific conventional basins.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Reshapes Sub-Salt Permit Sale, Retains Helium Unit and Books Impairment
Dec 19, 2025

Central Petroleum has amended its recently announced sale of several Northern Territory sub-salt exploration permits to Georgina Energy, removing EP82, which contains the smaller Magee/Mahler prospects, from the transaction and retaining ownership of its subsidiary Helium Australia Pty Ltd. The change allows Georgina to concentrate on the larger, higher-potential EP112 (Dukas) and EP125 (Mt Kitty) permits and other Amadeus and Officer Basin targets, while Central has notified its withdrawal from the EP82 joint venture with Santos and expects to book a $4.2 million impairment charge in its FY26 accounts, signalling a strategic refocus on more commercially attractive helium, hydrogen and hydrocarbon opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Increases Share Rights Holding of Non-Executive Director Hirschfeld
Dec 18, 2025

Central Petroleum Limited has reported a change in the interests of non-executive director Katherine Anne Hirschfeld, who has been issued 325,729 additional share rights (CTPAA) at no consideration under the company’s Employee Rights Plan and the 2026 Non-Executive Director Offer approved at the 2025 annual general meeting. Following this issuance, Hirschfeld’s holding increases to 912,466 ordinary fully paid shares and 472,010 share rights, underscoring the company’s continued use of equity-based remuneration to align director incentives with long-term shareholder value, with no trades occurring during a closed period.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Issues Additional Share Rights to Non-Executive Director
Dec 18, 2025

Central Petroleum Limited has announced a change in the interests of non-executive director Stephen William Gardiner, reflecting an increase in his equity-linked exposure to the company. Gardiner has been issued 325,729 additional share rights under Central Petroleum’s Employee Rights Plan and the 2026 Non-Executive Director Offer, as approved by shareholders at the 2025 annual general meeting, lifting his holding to 691,432 share rights while his ordinary shareholding remains unchanged. The nil consideration for the grant underscores that this is a board-approved remuneration and alignment mechanism rather than a market transaction, signalling continued use of equity-based incentives to align director interests with those of shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Increases Managing Director’s Equity Through Long-Term Incentive Grant
Dec 18, 2025

Central Petroleum Limited has disclosed a change in the interests of Managing Director Leon Goss Devaney, who has been granted 6,120,198 additional CTPAA share rights at no cost, taking his holding to 19,272,752 CTPAA share rights alongside 8,050,721 ordinary shares. The new share rights were issued under the company’s Employee Rights Plan and FY2026 Long Term Incentive Plan, previously approved by shareholders at the 2025 annual general meeting, underscoring the company’s ongoing use of equity-based incentives to align executive remuneration with long-term shareholder value and corporate performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Issues Additional Share Rights to Non-Executive Director
Dec 18, 2025

Central Petroleum Limited has disclosed a change in director Agu Jan Kantsler’s interests, with the non-executive director being issued 606,217 CTPAA share rights at nil consideration. The new share rights, granted under the company’s Employee Rights Plan and a 2026 Non-Executive Director offer approved at the 2025 annual general meeting, increase Kantsler’s holdings to 1,130,925 ordinary fully paid shares and 606,217 share rights, reflecting ongoing use of equity-based incentives to align board remuneration with shareholder interests without involving on-market transactions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Share Rights Lapse After Conditions Not Met
Dec 18, 2025

Central Petroleum Limited has announced the lapse of 44,454 share rights (CTPAA) after the conditions attached to these conditional rights were not met or became incapable of being satisfied, resulting in their cessation as of 18 December 2025. The change modestly reduces the company’s pool of potential equity-based securities, which may slightly affect future dilution dynamics for existing shareholders but does not alter the current issued share capital or indicate any change in operational strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum Grants 7.4 Million Unquoted Share Rights Under Employee Scheme
Dec 18, 2025

Central Petroleum Limited has issued 7,377,873 unquoted share rights under its employee incentive scheme, effective 18 December 2025. The award of these unlisted equity securities is designed to align staff and executive interests with shareholders and supports the company’s ongoing efforts to retain and motivate key personnel, although it does not immediately affect the number of quoted shares on the ASX.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Horizon Oil to Boost Gas Production with New Drilling Program
Dec 15, 2025

Horizon Oil Limited and its Mereenie Joint Venture partners have signed a Letter of Intent with the Northern Territory’s Power and Water Corporation to accelerate the drilling of two new wells and establish long-term gas supply agreements. This initiative aims to boost gas production from the Mereenie field by mid-2026, ensuring a stable supply through 2034, thereby enhancing energy security in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Central Petroleum to Boost NT Gas Supply with New Drilling Program
Dec 15, 2025

Central Petroleum Limited and its joint venture partners have signed a Letter of Intent with the Northern Territory’s Power and Water Corporation to commence an accelerated drilling program for four new wells at Mereenie and Palm Valley. This initiative aims to increase gas supply, with up to 25.5 PJ of uncontracted firm gas production to be sold through the end of 2034. The agreement signifies a substantial commitment to enhance gas supply security in the Northern Territory, with the drilling program expected to meet over 20% of the region’s total gas demand. The proposed gas sale agreements will provide Central Petroleum with a reliable income stream, supporting its operations and positioning in the energy market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CTP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Central Petroleum Limited stock, see the AU:CTP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 06, 2026