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Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd (AU:CCE)
ASX:CCE

Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd (CCE) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CCE

Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd

(Sydney:CCE)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.06
▼(-25.00% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/12/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance (declining revenue, ongoing losses, and unstable free cash flow). Technical signals also remain negative with price below key long-term moving averages and a negative MACD. Valuation provides limited support because the negative P/E reflects unprofitable operations and no dividend yield is available.
Positive Factors
Manageable Leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26 indicates manageable leverage, giving the company structural financial flexibility. Over the next 2-6 months this reduces interest burden risk, supports continued R&D and pilot work without immediate distress, and eases access to additional financing if needed.
Strong Gross Margin
A 47.29% gross margin suggests the company retains meaningful value after direct costs, reflecting efficiency in technology development or project execution. Sustained margins support longer-term profitability potential as revenue stabilizes and scale improves, underpinning product competitiveness.
Operating Cash Generation
A positive operating-cash-to-net-income ratio shows core activities generate cash despite accounting losses. This durable operational cash conversion can fund working capital and near-term project milestones, reducing immediate reliance on equity raises and supporting ongoing commercialization efforts.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue & Losses
Revenue down 10.98% and ongoing negative net profit constrains scale economics and slows commercialization of CCE's technologies. Persisting top-line decline reduces margin absorption, raises the cost of capital, and makes multi-quarter recovery harder without demonstrable contract wins or new revenue streams.
Volatile Free Cash Flow
A sharp -239.41% free cash flow swing signals unstable cash conversion and heavy discretionary or project spending. Over a medium-term horizon this heightens execution risk, increases dependence on external funding, and can limit the firm's ability to complete pilots or scale deployments without dilutive financing.
Negative Profitability & ROE
Negative EBIT and net margins, coupled with a negative return on equity, indicate the company currently fails to generate acceptable returns on invested capital. Structurally, this challenges investor confidence and the long-term viability of commercialization until margins or revenue mix materiallly improve.

Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd (CCE) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCarnegie Clean Energy Ltd (CCE) is an Australian renewable energy company focused on delivering innovative and sustainable energy solutions. The company specializes in wave energy technology, solar energy systems, and energy storage solutions. CCE is committed to harnessing the power of natural resources to provide clean energy alternatives, contributing to a transition towards a low-carbon economy.
How the Company Makes MoneyCCE’s revenue model is not consistently disclosed in a way that allows a complete, current breakdown of how it makes money across all operating periods; therefore, specific revenue streams and their relative contributions are null. Historically, companies in CCE’s position have typically generated or sought to generate income through a combination of: (1) development and commercialization of proprietary ocean-energy technology via licensing or sale of intellectual property; (2) engineering/project development services and milestone payments under funded demonstration projects; (3) government grants or public funding tied to renewable-energy R&D and pilot deployments; and (4) potential revenue from electricity generation from operating assets where projects reach operation. However, without up-to-date, company-confirmed figures or disclosures for the relevant period (e.g., recent annual reports detailing revenue composition, customer contracts, project economics, or named partners), the specific mechanisms by which CCE currently earns revenue, its key paying customers/partners, and the materiality of each stream are null.

Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals driven by declining revenue (-10.98%) and persistent losses with negative net profit and EBIT margins. Leverage is manageable (debt-to-equity 0.26) and gross margin is relatively strong (47.29%), but cash flow is unstable with sharply negative free cash flow growth (-239.41%), keeping the overall financial profile pressured.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd has faced declining revenue with a negative growth rate of -10.98% in the latest year. The company struggles with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit and EBIT margins. However, the gross profit margin remains relatively strong at 47.29%, suggesting some efficiency in cost management despite overall losses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26, indicating manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid asset base relative to equity, but profitability remains a concern.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals significant volatility, with a large negative free cash flow growth rate of -239.41%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some ability to generate cash from operations, but the overall cash flow position is weak, reflecting financial instability.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue417.09K317.36K346.92K383.74K321.94K60.95K
Gross Profit-630.94K150.09K194.61K383.74K321.94K60.95K
EBITDA-1.54M-1.56M-1.99M-176.07K-2.00M-199.00K
Net Income-2.64M-2.33M-2.32M-630.00K-1.93M-932.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.64M27.53M22.40M22.49M21.52M21.99M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.95M2.90M3.73M2.00M4.10M3.63M
Total Debt2.31M5.04M34.22K110.92K167.62K47.16K
Total Liabilities5.12M8.29M1.30M1.26M785.90K544.94K
Stockholders Equity19.52M19.24M21.10M21.22M20.73M21.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.27M3.47M-1.85M-2.84M-50.86K-1.14M
Operating Cash Flow3.30M3.47M-1.83M-1.72M960.54K166.91K
Investing Cash Flow1.95M573.96K1.88M-1.12M-1.01M-1.31M
Financing Cash Flow1.73M2.08M1.68M745.70K512.38K1.36M

Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.08
Price Trends
50DMA
0.07
Positive
100DMA
0.07
Negative
200DMA
0.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
60.07
Neutral
STOCH
91.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CCE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, above the 50-day MA of 0.07, and above the 200-day MA of 0.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CCE.

Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
59
Neutral
AU$24.55M31.826.92%-11.85%6.25%
50
Neutral
AU$16.62M3.47-45.61%2.69%-273.87%
45
Neutral
AU$27.32M-3.24-13.64%-8.52%13.51%
44
Neutral
AU$7.49M-0.61-108.64%-15.24%
43
Neutral
AU$20.93M-4.53-129.44%-29.97%-284.16%
34
Underperform
AU$14.04M0.05-31.05%91.54%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CCE
Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd
0.07
0.03
81.08%
AU:JNS
ReNu Energy Limited
0.12
-0.08
-40.00%
AU:DEL
Delorean Corporation Ltd
0.10
-0.07
-40.63%
AU:LPE
Locality Planning Energy Holdings Limited
0.09
-0.03
-24.17%
AU:14D
1414 Degrees Ltd.
0.02
>-0.01
-5.26%
AU:VPR
Volt Power Group Ltd
0.15
0.03
30.43%

Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd Corporate Events

Carnegie Clean Energy Secures $568,630 R&D Tax Rebate to Advance Wave Power Technologies
Mar 9, 2026

Carnegie Clean Energy has received a Research and Development Tax Incentive cash rebate of $568,630 from the Australian Tax Office for the financial year ended 30 June 2025. The rebate reflects eligible research and development expenditure incurred during the year, underscoring the company’s ongoing investment in advancing its ocean energy technologies.

The company also plans to lodge a further application for the R&D Tax Incentive based on eligible expenditure for the year ending 30 June 2026. Continued access to this government support is expected to help Carnegie fund innovation activities and maintain momentum across its CETO and MoorPower programmes, reinforcing its position in the emerging ocean renewables sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CCE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd stock, see the AU:CCE Stock Forecast page.

Carnegie Clean Energy Narrows Half-Year Loss as Revenue Rises from Microgrid Operations
Feb 25, 2026

Carnegie Clean Energy reported a 45.4% increase in revenue from ordinary activities to $270,483 for the half-year ended 31 December 2025, driven primarily by income from the Garden Island Micro Grid. Despite the higher revenue and capitalisation of technology development costs, the company posted a net loss attributable to members of $1.7 million, a 22.7% improvement on the prior period, reflecting ongoing operating and overhead expenses.

No interim or final dividend was declared, and there is no dividend reinvestment plan in place, underlining the company’s continued focus on reinvestment and development rather than shareholder payouts. Net tangible asset backing per share fell to 0.63 cents from 1.22 cents a year earlier, indicating balance sheet dilution as Carnegie advances its clean energy projects without gaining control of new entities or associates during the period.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CCE) stock is a Sell with a A$0.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd stock, see the AU:CCE Stock Forecast page.

Carnegie Clean Energy Advances European CETO Deployment and Secures New EU Wave Energy Funding
Jan 30, 2026

Carnegie Clean Energy reported continued progress in commercialising its wave energy portfolio during the quarter to 31 December 2025, with construction and integrated assembly of its first European CETO unit under the ACHIEVE Programme advancing ahead of planned deployment at the Biscay Marine Energy Platform. The company initiated the €4 million EU-funded COIN project to develop CETO-based cost-reduction innovations, successfully completed factory acceptance testing on key components, and prepared power take-off system assembly with engineering partner SKF in Germany, while also completing four EuropeWave milestones and receiving related funding, alongside Basque R&D tax credit sales and COIN pre-financing. These developments, combined with an Australian Department of Defence innovation award highlighting potential defence applications and growing interest from aquaculture, strengthen Carnegie’s strategic positioning in wave energy, support its push toward commercial-scale deployment, and underline emerging high-value market opportunities for its technologies in global decarbonisation efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CCE) stock is a Sell with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd stock, see the AU:CCE Stock Forecast page.

Carnegie Clean Energy Secures Further EuropeWave Funding for CETO Deployment
Jan 5, 2026

Carnegie Clean Energy’s Irish subsidiary, CETO Wave Energy Ireland, has received two EuropeWave Phase 3 milestone payments totalling €350,643 (about A$613,000) after completing key fabrication work on the CETO unit’s buoyant actuator, mooring connectors and foundation structures for the ACHIEVE Programme at the Biscay Marine Energy Platform in Spain. The latest funds mean 57% of the €3.75 million EuropeWave Phase 3 contract has now been drawn down, underscoring steady technical and financial progress toward the first European deployment of CETO technology, a pivotal step in Carnegie’s commercialisation pathway and its positioning within the competitive wave energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CCE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd stock, see the AU:CCE Stock Forecast page.

Carnegie Clean Energy Monetises Basque R&D Tax Deductions for €773,000
Dec 23, 2025

Carnegie Clean Energy’s Spanish subsidiary, Carnegie Technologies Spain, has monetised its 2025 Basque research and development tax deductions linked to the ACHIEVE Programme, securing €773,163 (about A$1.37 million) in cash funding from third-party financiers, less approximately €70,000 in associated fees. The binding tax assessment recognises the ACHIEVE Programme, including eligible spending on CETO components, as R&D for 2025–2027, enabling the creation and sale of tax deductions; the resulting non-dilutive funding strengthens Carnegie’s balance sheet and supports ongoing deployment and validation of its CETO wave energy technology in the Basque region, advancing its commercialisation pathway and reinforcing its positioning within Europe’s emerging wave energy ecosystem.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CCE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd stock, see the AU:CCE Stock Forecast page.

Carnegie Clean Energy Advances ACHIEVE Programme for Wave Energy Deployment
Dec 17, 2025

Carnegie Clean Energy has provided an update on progress within its ACHIEVE Programme, which aims to deploy and operate a scaled CETO unit at the BiMEP test site in the Basque Country by summer 2026. The company has completed key fabrication milestones, including the Factory Acceptance Testing of components, and advanced onshore testing campaigns to mitigate technical risk and ensure efficient system deployment. These efforts signify a strategic step forward for Carnegie in advancing wave energy technology and reinforcing its position in the renewable energy market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CCE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd stock, see the AU:CCE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 12, 2026