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CAR Group (AU:CAR)
ASX:CAR

CAR Group (CAR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CAR

CAR Group

(Sydney:CAR)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
AU$24.50
▲(0.08% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/10/26
Overall score reflects strong underlying financial performance and profitability, tempered by weak technical conditions (price below key moving averages with negative MACD and low RSI) and a relatively high P/E that limits valuation support.
Positive Factors
Very high profit margins
Exceptionally high gross and operating margins indicate durable pricing power and a highly scalable digital marketplace model. Sustained margin levels support long-term profitability, provide internal funding for product development and dealer services, and buffer against moderate revenue volatility over months.
Manageable leverage and strong equity base
A moderate debt-to-equity ratio and a 60.9% equity ratio reflect a conservative capital structure that preserves financial flexibility. This balance enables the company to invest in technology, pursue M&A or withstand cyclical downturns without over-reliance on external financing, supporting durable operations.
Solid cash generation and conversion
Strong operating cash flow coverage and healthy free-cash-flow-to-net-income conversion show the business converts profits into cash reliably. Consistent cash generation supports dividends, reinvestment in dealer products and platform improvements, and provides a buffer for multi-quarter strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Declining free cash flow growth
A 13.1% decline in free cash flow growth points to weakening incremental cash generation. If this trend persists it could limit funding for product investment, dealer incentives or capital returns, reducing strategic flexibility and potentially slowing durable growth initiatives over several quarters.
Modest revenue growth and middling ROE
Revenue growth is modest while return on equity is only mid-single digits, implying the company may not be sufficiently scaling its high-margin model or using capital efficiently. Sustained improvement in top-line momentum or asset returns is needed to translate operational strength into stronger long-term shareholder returns.
Revenue sensitivity to automotive cycles
The business is structurally exposed to dealer marketing budgets, consumer traffic and vehicle inventory turnover, making revenue and monetisation cyclical. This dependence reduces predictability and can amplify downside during prolonged automotive market slowdowns, affecting durable revenue visibility.

CAR Group (CAR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

CAR Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCAR Group Limited operates online automotive, motorcycle, and marine classifieds business in Australia, Brazil, South Korea, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, Chile, China, the United States, and Mexico. The company operates through Online Advertising Services; Data, Research and Services; Carsales Investments; North America; Latin America; and Asia segments. The Online Advertising Services segment offers classified advertising that allows private and dealer customers to advertise automotive and non-automotive goods and services for sale across the carsales network; products, including subscriptions, lead fees, listing fees, and priority placement services; and display advertising services, such as placing advertisements on carsales network websites for corporate customers comprising automotive manufacturers and finance companies. The Data, Research and Services segment offers software as a service, research and reporting, valuation, appraisals, and website development and hosting services, as well as photography services. The Carsales Investments segment holds investment in consumer and wholesale tyre markets, as well as provides mobility and vehicle inspection services. The North America segment operates digital non-automotive marketplaces. The Latin America segment digital automotive marketplaces. The Asia segment is involved in digital automotive classified business, as well as provides automotive data and advertising services. The company was formerly known as carsales.com Ltd and changed its name to CAR Group Limited in November 2023. CAR Group Limited was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyCAR primarily makes money by monetising its online automotive marketplaces through paid products and services sold to dealers, OEMs, and (in some cases) private sellers. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) dealer subscriptions and listing fees for inventory advertising on CAR’s platforms, often packaged in tiered plans that bundle listings with features such as prominence, merchandising tools, and lead management; (2) advertising and media revenue from automotive brands and other advertisers purchasing digital display, sponsored placements, and promotional campaigns across CAR’s sites and apps; (3) value-added products for dealers and industry participants, which may include software/tools to manage leads and inventory, analytics, and data-driven insights derived from marketplace activity; and (4) other ancillary marketplace-related services tied to improving conversion for sellers (e.g., paid enhancements to increase listing visibility). Earnings are influenced by dealer demand for digital marketing, consumer traffic to the marketplaces, inventory levels and turnover in the car market, and the company’s ability to upsell premium placements and data/technology products. Specific partnership details: null.

CAR Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and operating efficiency (95.2% gross margin, 23.3% net margin, 38.9% EBIT margin, 53.4% EBITDA margin) with modest revenue growth (+3.2%). Balance sheet leverage is manageable (debt-to-equity 0.47) with a solid equity base (60.9% equity ratio), but ROE is modest (9.3%). Cash generation is solid (operating cash flow coverage 1.94; FCF/NI 0.77) though free cash flow growth declined (-13.1%).
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
CAR Group has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a 3.2% increase in the latest period. The company maintains a high gross profit margin of 95.2%, indicating strong pricing power and cost management. Net profit margin is robust at 23.3%, reflecting effective control over expenses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 38.9% and 53.4%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects strong profitability and growth.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is modest at 9.3%, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 60.9%, reflecting a solid capital structure with a strong equity base. Overall, the balance sheet is stable, with manageable debt levels and a strong equity position.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong, with a coverage ratio of 1.94, indicating sufficient cash generation to cover net income. However, free cash flow growth has declined by 13.1%, which could be a concern if it persists. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.77, suggesting good cash conversion. Overall, cash flow is solid but shows some signs of pressure in free cash flow growth.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.23B1.18B1.10B781.24M509.08M427.16M
Gross Profit891.04M1.13B769.81M550.89M377.51M327.44M
EBITDA672.51M631.75M585.49M400.36M286.32M242.10M
Net Income295.36M275.49M249.97M645.62M160.82M130.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.78B4.89B4.67B4.68B1.86B1.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments232.44M289.33M308.31M198.71M117.45M284.00M
Total Debt1.50B1.41B1.34B1.24B714.17M106.58M
Total Liabilities1.89B1.84B1.73B1.56B847.71M223.09M
Stockholders Equity2.82B2.98B2.88B3.07B1.01B938.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow498.96M401.22M314.39M167.38M145.67M156.46M
Operating Cash Flow507.99M520.13M416.19M254.38M193.94M189.76M
Investing Cash Flow-338.96M-214.81M-137.61M-1.57B-831.53M-54.13M
Financing Cash Flow-158.45M-331.27M-190.62M1.37B472.26M-30.08M

CAR Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price24.48
Price Trends
50DMA
26.31
Negative
100DMA
29.35
Negative
200DMA
33.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.73
Positive
RSI
35.98
Neutral
STOCH
6.15
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CAR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.62, below the 50-day MA of 26.31, and below the 200-day MA of 33.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.15 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:CAR.

CAR Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
AU$20.73B18.0028.87%1.33%13.09%123.97%
62
Neutral
AU$8.80B20.2910.19%2.57%7.75%10.03%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
52
Neutral
AU$56.83M-4.52-76.28%0.72%17.24%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CAR
CAR Group
23.26
-9.14
-28.20%
AU:REA
REA Group Ltd
156.91
-70.52
-31.01%
AU:RNT
Rent.com.au Ltd
0.05
0.03
145.00%

CAR Group Corporate Events

CAR Group appoints interim company secretary after Birman steps down
Feb 20, 2026

CAR Group Limited, a global operator of online vehicle marketplaces and related advertising and technology solutions, runs platforms across multiple vehicle categories and key international markets including Australia, South Korea, the U.S., Chile and Brazil. Its portfolio includes well-known brands such as carsales, Encar, Trader Interactive, chileautos and a majority stake in webmotors.

CAR Group announced that Nicole Birman has stepped down as Company Secretary with immediate effect, and the board acknowledged her significant contribution during her tenure. Associate General Counsel David McIndoe has been appointed interim Company Secretary and will serve as the primary contact with the ASX, ensuring continuity of governance and regulatory communication while a permanent replacement is sought.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAR) stock is a Buy with a A$38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CAR Group stock, see the AU:CAR Stock Forecast page.

CAR Group Releases Half-Year Update and Clarifies Use of Non-IFRS Metrics
Feb 8, 2026

CAR Group Limited has released a half-year results presentation for the period ended 31 December 2025 that offers a high-level update on its business activities and financial reporting approach. The document emphasises that the material is general background information only and cautions investors not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements or summary data when making investment decisions.

The company reiterates that its primary statutory results are prepared under IFRS, but it supplements these with non‑IFRS measures like adjusted and pro forma figures used internally for performance assessment and resource allocation. Stakeholders are advised to treat these non‑IFRS metrics as unaudited management tools rather than substitutes for statutory accounts and to seek independent financial advice before acting on the information provided.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAR) stock is a Buy with a A$42.55 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CAR Group stock, see the AU:CAR Stock Forecast page.

CAR Group posts strong H1 FY26 result as AI and global platforms drive growth
Feb 8, 2026

CAR Group reported a strong first half for FY26, with proforma revenue rising 13% to $626 million and proforma EBITDA up 12%, underpinned by double-digit growth across all key financial metrics and markets. Reported NPAT increased 16%, cash conversion remained high at 95%, and the company lifted its interim dividend by 10%, signalling confidence in its earnings quality and balance sheet strength.

Operationally, the group delivered broad-based growth, maintaining market leadership for carsales in Australia, achieving excellent performance at Trader Interactive in North America, and expanding webmotors’ market share in Brazil. In Asia, Encar advanced its Guarantee inspection products, while CAR Group deepened its data-led competitive moat and accelerated AI deployment, including a new global AI hub in Brazil and features like voice search and AI companions to enhance dealer efficiency and consumer experience.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAR) stock is a Buy with a A$42.55 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CAR Group stock, see the AU:CAR Stock Forecast page.

CAR Group declares interim dividend of AUD 0.425 per share
Feb 8, 2026

CAR Group Limited, listed on the ASX under the ticker CAR with ordinary fully paid shares, reports its financial performance on a six‑month cycle in line with standard corporate reporting periods. The company’s shareholder base is eligible to receive distributions in Australian dollars according to the timetable set out in its latest declaration.

The company has declared an ordinary dividend of AUD 0.425 per share for the six months ended 31 December 2025, with an ex‑dividend date of 13 March 2026 and record date of 16 March 2026. Payment is scheduled for 13 April 2026, and a dividend reinvestment plan election cutoff of 17 March 2026 offers investors the option to reinvest distributions rather than receive cash.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAR) stock is a Buy with a A$42.55 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CAR Group stock, see the AU:CAR Stock Forecast page.

CAR Group lifts half-year profit and raises interim dividend amid ongoing expansion
Feb 8, 2026

CAR Group Limited reported an 8.0% rise in revenue from continuing operations to A$625.8 million for the half year ended 31 December 2025, with statutory net profit after tax up 16.2% to A$152.3 million and net profit attributable to members up 16.1% to A$143.3 million. Adjusted net profit attributable to members, which excludes non-recurring and non-cash items, increased 11.5% to A$196.8 million, underlining solid underlying earnings growth and supporting an interim dividend increase to 42.50 cents per share despite a negative net tangible asset backing per share of 348.40 cents.

The board declared a 2026 interim dividend of 42.50 cents per share, higher than prior dividends, with a record date of 16 March 2026 and payment due on 13 April 2026. The company also restated prior-period net tangible assets to reflect revised fair values from its 2025 U.S. acquisitions Dealership Performance CRM, LLC and Pop Sells, LLC, highlighting ongoing integration of these businesses into CAR Group’s broader automotive technology portfolio and signalling continued investment-led balance sheet impacts alongside growing cash earnings and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAR) stock is a Buy with a A$42.55 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CAR Group stock, see the AU:CAR Stock Forecast page.

CAR Group Tightens Governance After Late Director Trade Disclosure and Blackout-Period Breach
Feb 6, 2026

CAR Group Limited has disclosed a late lodgement of an Appendix 3Y relating to director Edwina Gilbert, after an external investment manager, acting under a discretionary mandate for a testamentary trust connected to Gilbert, acquired 690 CAR Group ordinary shares on various dates between November 2025 and mid-January 2026 without her prior knowledge. One of these trades, a purchase of 105 shares on 14 January 2026, occurred during a blackout period under the company’s securities trading policy, prompting CAR Group to review and strengthen its internal procedures and guidance for directors and employees, while Gilbert has adjusted the administration of the investment mandate to ensure future compliance with disclosure and trading obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAR) stock is a Buy with a A$42.55 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CAR Group stock, see the AU:CAR Stock Forecast page.

CAR Group Sets Date to Release Half-Year 2025 Results
Jan 7, 2026

CAR Group Limited has announced it will release its financial results for the half year ended 31 December 2025 on 9 February 2026, accompanied by a results briefing hosted by managing director and CEO William Elliott the same morning. The presentation will be made available on the company’s investor website, signalling ongoing efforts to maintain transparent communication with investors and other stakeholders ahead of a key trading update for the international online vehicle marketplace operator.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CAR) stock is a Buy with a A$42.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CAR Group stock, see the AU:CAR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 10, 2026