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Big River Industries Ltd.
(Sydney:BRI)
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Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
AU$1.50
▲(9.49% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance: strong and improving free cash flow offsets a weak 2025 income picture (net loss and sharp revenue decline) and slightly higher leverage. Technicals add support with price above key moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation detracts due to a relatively high P/E with only a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong, improving free cash flow
Free cash flow remained positive even in the loss year and improved versus the prior year, demonstrating durable cash generation. That sustained FCF supports capital spending, working-capital flexibility and potential debt reductions, giving the business breathing room while earnings recover.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline (~-68% in 2025)
A roughly 68% revenue drop is a structural headwind that reduces scale economics, strains customer relationships and weakens negotiating leverage. Persistent top-line contraction will make margin recovery and fixed-cost absorption difficult, increasing execution risk over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong, improving free cash flow
Free cash flow remained positive even in the loss year and improved versus the prior year, demonstrating durable cash generation. That sustained FCF supports capital spending, working-capital flexibility and potential debt reductions, giving the business breathing room while earnings recover.
Read all positive factors
Big River Industries Ltd. (BRI) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$133.75M
Dividend Yield2.76%
Average Volume (3M)116.12K
Price to Earnings (P/E)33.4
Beta (1Y)0.10
Revenue Growth-1.93%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryAU
Employees570
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryPaper, Lumber & Forest Products
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.04
Shares Outstanding94,190,636
10 Day Avg. Volume72,095
30 Day Avg. Volume116,119
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.03
Price to Book (P/B)1.18
Price to Sales (P/S)0.30
P/FCF Ratio5.66
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$1.65Price Target Upside20.44% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.1
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$472.15M
Big River Industries Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Big River Industries Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, distribution, and retail of timber and building products in Australia and New Zealand. The company operates through Panels and Construction segments. It offe...
Big River Industries Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
67
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 399.55M | 405.09M | 414.68M | 449.45M | 409.26M | 281.38M |
| Gross Profit | 37.08M | 105.38M | 106.91M | 64.09M | 58.99M | 31.95M |
| EBITDA | 28.19M | 7.71M | 30.64M | 49.43M | 46.04M | 11.12M |
| Net Income | 3.63M | -14.75M | 8.03M | 22.18M | 21.27M | 1.82M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 258.07M | 245.81M | 272.63M | 288.48M | 272.88M | 218.68M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 21.74M | 23.10M | 20.76M | 34.29M | 19.80M | 7.85M |
| Total Debt | 92.66M | 75.80M | 78.73M | 72.42M | 63.76M | 53.19M |
| Total Liabilities | 145.90M | 144.43M | 153.38M | 167.77M | 160.46M | 123.99M |
| Stockholders Equity | 112.17M | 101.38M | 119.25M | 120.71M | 112.42M | 94.69M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 20.36M | 21.13M | 15.79M | 40.90M | 30.93M | 11.96M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 23.59M | 23.29M | 18.65M | 45.24M | 37.16M | 14.15M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -3.54M | -4.63M | -11.84M | -10.78M | -21.66M | -24.33M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -17.11M | -16.35M | -18.00M | -20.06M | -4.56M | 10.72M |
Big River Industries Ltd. Technical Analysis
Positive
1.37
Price Trends
1.38
Positive
1.36
Positive
1.38
Positive
Market Momentum
<0.01
Negative
56.15
Neutral
77.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:BRI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.40, below the 50-day MA of 1.38, and below the 200-day MA of 1.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:BRI.
Big River Industries Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | AU$254.62M | 12.41 | 24.98% | 9.45% | 3.98% | 18.90% | |
68 Neutral | AU$182.82M | 5.50 | 15.06% | 2.79% | 5.59% | 14.14% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
60 Neutral | AU$133.75M | 33.41 | 3.40% | 2.86% | -1.93% | ― | |
56 Neutral | AU$163.59M | 78.95 | 3.13% | 3.70% | 14.43% | -81.86% | |
56 Neutral | AU$109.41M | 12.47 | 13.72% | ― | -6.93% | 96.28% | |
46 Neutral | AU$72.33M | -1.57 | -73.16% | ― | 21.36% | -70.37% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
AU:BRI
Big River Industries Ltd.
1.42
0.04
3.27%
AU:BIS
Bisalloy Steel Group Ltd
5.15
1.39
36.82%
AU:MYE
Metarock Group Limited
0.60
0.45
300.00%
AU:MSV
Mitchell Services Limited
0.53
0.29
118.75%
AU:CXL
Calix Ltd.
0.37
-0.18
-32.41%
AU:CAA
Capral Limited
11.74
0.56
4.98%
Big River Industries Ltd. Corporate Events
Big River Industries Sets Date for FY2026 Results Briefing
Jul 15, 2026
Big River Industries Limited has announced that it will release its full-year financial results for the period ended 30 June 2026 on the morning of Tuesday, 25 August 2026. The company is arranging investor access through both a conference call an...
Big River Industries Reports Lapse of 252,857 Performance Rights
Jul 13, 2026
Big River Industries has reported the lapse of 252,857 performance rights, which ceased on 30 June 2026 after the conditions attached to these rights were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. The cessation reduces the pool of potential ...
Big River Industries Targets Earnings Growth as Board Launches Strategic Review
Jun 28, 2026
Big River Industries has reaffirmed its resilience in a volatile macroeconomic and geopolitical environment, guiding to FY26 EBITDA broadly in line with market expectations and about 8% year-on-year growth, marking a return to full-year earnings e...
Big River Industries Director Modestly Increases Shareholding
May 6, 2026
Big River Industries has disclosed a minor change in the shareholding of director Martin Monro, who increased his direct holding through an on-market purchase. Monro acquired 478 fully paid ordinary shares at $1.367 per share on 6 May 2026, liftin...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.