tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Aroa Biosurgery Ltd (AU:ARX)
ASX:ARX
Australian Market

Aroa Biosurgery Ltd (ARX) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
58 Followers

Top Page

AU:ARX

Aroa Biosurgery Ltd

(Sydney:ARX)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.72
▲(5.29% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by improving but still mixed financial performance (strong growth and balance sheet strength offset by losses and negative free cash flow). Technical signals are neutral-to-weak, and valuation is pressured by negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained ~17% revenue growth reflects expanding clinical adoption of Aroa's ECM products across wound care and reconstructive applications. Over 2–6 months this trend supports scale benefits, broader payer/provider familiarity and provides a larger base to convert operating leverage into margin and cash‑flow improvements.
Balance Sheet Strength
A high equity ratio and low leverage give the company financial flexibility to invest in commercialization, R&D and inventory without immediate refinancing. This durability reduces bankruptcy and liquidity risk, allowing management to sustain growth investments while operating losses are resolved.
Improving Profitability
A strong gross margin combined with a shift to positive EBITDA demonstrates operational improvements and emerging unit economics. If sustained by revenue growth, this structural improvement supports a credible path from loss-making to cash-generative operations and reduces reliance on external capital over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Persistent negative free cash flow constrains the firm's ability to self-fund growth, capex and working capital needs. Over several months this raises the likelihood of external financing, which can dilute shareholders or increase interest burden, and limits nimbleness in scaling commercial efforts.
Persistent Net Losses / Negative ROE
Ongoing net losses producing negative ROE indicate equity capital is not yet generating returns. Structurally this heightens pressure for either sustained margin improvement or additional capital raises, and weakens long‑term shareholder value creation until profitability consistently materializes.
Demand & Channel Sensitivity
Revenue dependence on procedure volumes and third‑party distribution exposes Aroa to structural risks: shifts in hospital utilization, reimbursement changes, or distributor concentration can materially affect sales. Diversifying channels and indications is needed to reduce this durable demand sensitivity.

Aroa Biosurgery Ltd (ARX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Aroa Biosurgery Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAroa Biosurgery Limited, a regenerative medicine company, engages in the developing, manufacturing, and distributing medical devices for wound and tissue repair using extracellular matrix (ECM) technology in the United States and internationally. The company's products include Endoform Natural and Endoform Antimicrobia Restorative Bioscaffold for treating acute and chronic wounds; Myriad Matrix, an engineered ECM for soft tissue repair, reinforcement, and complex wounds; Myriad Morcells, a morcellized (powdered) format of Myriad Matrix for soft tissue repair and complex wounds; and Reinforced Bioscaffolds, a surgical product for use in ventral hernia repair and abdominal wall reconstruction. Aroa Biosurgery Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Auckland, New Zealand.
How the Company Makes MoneyAroa Biosurgery generates revenue primarily through the sale of its regenerative medicine products to hospitals, healthcare providers, and surgical centers. The company has established key revenue streams through direct sales and strategic partnerships with distributors that expand its market reach. Additionally, Aroa may engage in collaborations with other healthcare companies to co-develop products or access new markets, further enhancing its revenue potential. The company's focus on innovative solutions and its ability to demonstrate improved patient outcomes contribute to its competitive positioning and revenue growth.

Aroa Biosurgery Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth and a robust balance sheet with high equity/low leverage support stability, but persistent net losses and still-negative free cash flow weigh on overall financial quality despite improving EBITDA in 2025.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Aroa Biosurgery Ltd has demonstrated solid revenue growth, with a significant increase from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin is strong, indicating efficient cost management. However, persistent negative net income and EBIT margins reflect ongoing profitability challenges. The negative EBITDA margin in previous years is a concern, though it has turned positive in 2025, showing operational improvements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a high equity ratio, suggesting financial stability and a low debt burden. The debt-to-equity ratio is favorable, highlighting prudent leverage management. However, the return on equity is negative due to net losses, indicating inefficiencies in generating shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash flow management shows improvement with a reduced negative operating cash flow. However, free cash flow remains negative, indicating challenges in generating sufficient cash to cover capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is not applicable due to negative net income, but overall trends suggest gradual improvement in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue82.36M76.97M63.36M59.31M36.88M20.51M
Gross Profit70.39M65.99M54.10M50.06M28.17M14.25M
EBITDA5.06M2.65M-6.78M683.92K-3.75M-7.05M
Net Income-1.66M-3.47M-9.75M-370.68K-7.79M-17.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets95.27M98.94M101.88M109.07M104.71M73.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.71M20.13M27.73M43.00M53.35M33.93M
Total Debt6.14M5.83M6.82M6.65M5.46M14.90M
Total Liabilities14.34M14.35M14.79M13.69M11.30M19.43M
Stockholders Equity80.93M84.59M87.08M95.38M93.40M53.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.60M-5.69M-10.00M-10.66M-15.39M-6.05M
Operating Cash Flow5.73M-2.33M-6.76M-3.53M-10.86M-4.68M
Investing Cash Flow-10.79M273.54K9.31M6.79M-32.41M-19.74M
Financing Cash Flow-1.83M-1.34M-948.41K-471.78K34.98M34.06M

Aroa Biosurgery Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.68
Price Trends
50DMA
0.69
Negative
100DMA
0.71
Negative
200DMA
0.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
46.07
Neutral
STOCH
41.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ARX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.72, below the 50-day MA of 0.69, and above the 200-day MA of 0.63, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:ARX.

Aroa Biosurgery Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
AU$17.00B44.8920.11%1.64%4.32%9.24%
56
Neutral
AU$234.92M-141.67-2.01%16.93%76.47%
54
Neutral
AU$670.12M50.7916.49%23.31%151.32%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
AU$106.69M-7.95-31.98%34.20%-23.90%
44
Neutral
AU$168.22M-15.78-70.55%-257.32%
44
Neutral
AU$1.93B-47.67-44.49%55.91%22.60%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ARX
Aroa Biosurgery Ltd
0.68
0.12
21.43%
AU:PNV
Polynovo
0.97
-0.98
-50.26%
AU:COH
Cochlear
260.01
-46.66
-15.22%
AU:CYC
Cyclopharm Limited
0.96
-1.35
-58.44%
AU:EMV
EMvision Medical Devices Ltd.
1.81
-0.01
-0.55%
AU:4DX
4DMedical Ltd
3.38
2.86
550.00%

Aroa Biosurgery Ltd Corporate Events

Aroa Biosurgery Seeks ASX Quotation for New Shares Issued Under Employee Incentive Scheme
Feb 4, 2026

Aroa Biosurgery Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 442,961 new fully paid ordinary shares issued on 29 January 2026 under an employee incentive scheme. The additional securities, to trade under the company’s existing ARX ticker, modestly increase the company’s free float and reflect the ongoing use of equity-based remuneration to retain and incentivise staff, with limited immediate impact on capital structure but signalling continued commitment to employee alignment with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aroa Biosurgery Ltd stock, see the AU:ARX Stock Forecast page.

Aroa Biosurgery Issues Investor-Focused February 2026 Business Update
Feb 2, 2026

Aroa Biosurgery has issued a February 2026 business update presentation aimed at investors, outlining general company information and educational material on its regenerative wound care technologies. The document emphasises that it is not a prospectus or securities offering, warns that any performance discussion includes inherently uncertain forward‑looking statements, and reiterates that product availability varies by region and results may differ between patients, framing the update as informational rather than promotional or advisory for investment decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aroa Biosurgery Ltd stock, see the AU:ARX Stock Forecast page.

Aroa Biosurgery Poised to Gain From US Reimbursement Shift as New Data Backs Myriad
Feb 2, 2026

Aroa Biosurgery says its Symphony wound-care product is well placed to benefit from new US Medicare rules that set a single outpatient reimbursement rate of US$127.14 per square centimetre for skin substitutes, a move the company expects will squeeze out higher-priced rivals and support Symphony’s uptake in hospital outpatient departments where it already has inpatient relationships. The company also highlighted new clinical data from its MASTRR registry showing that Myriad achieves rapid vascularised tissue coverage in complex trauma cases with low complication and application rates compared with competing bioscaffolds, reinforcing its potential to lower total care costs, and reaffirmed FY26 guidance with revenue expected near the top of its NZ$92–100 million range and normalised EBITDA of NZ$5–8 million, underpinned by strong sales momentum and a favourable US reimbursement backdrop.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aroa Biosurgery Ltd stock, see the AU:ARX Stock Forecast page.

Aroa Biosurgery Schedules Investor Webinar to Detail Symphony Reimbursement and Clinical Data
Jan 27, 2026

Aroa Biosurgery Limited will host an investor webinar on 3 February, led by CEO Brian Ward and CFO James Agnew, to discuss a pre-market business update, including progress on Symphony™ and developments in US Medicare reimbursement, as well as newly published clinical data from the ongoing MASTRR study. The event signals the company’s efforts to deepen investor engagement and provide greater transparency around key growth drivers and clinical validation, with potential implications for its reimbursement outlook, product adoption and positioning in the US soft-tissue regeneration market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aroa Biosurgery Ltd stock, see the AU:ARX Stock Forecast page.

Aroa Biosurgery Study Backs Efficacy and Cost Edge of Myriad Trauma Scaffold
Jan 22, 2026

Aroa Biosurgery announced new interim data from its large, ongoing MASTRR registry showing that its Myriad Matrix and Myriad Morcells ovine-ECM bioscaffolds delivered effective and economical treatment of complex trauma and acute care surgery wounds. In 49 patients with 61 challenging, often contaminated defects treated across four US Level I trauma centres, wounds achieved full vascularised tissue coverage in a median of 22.5 days, typically after a single application and with no device-related complications, while cost comparisons against other bioscaffolds indicated Myriad is cheaper per centimetre with equivalent or superior key outcomes. Management and participating surgeons said the findings validate Myriad as a cost‑effective option that can lower total hospital care costs, reinforcing Aroa’s evidence base—now exceeding 116 peer‑reviewed studies—and highlighting a US trauma surgery market opportunity of roughly US$450 million that the company views as a strategic growth focus.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aroa Biosurgery Ltd stock, see the AU:ARX Stock Forecast page.

Aroa Biosurgery Options Lapse Following Unmet Vesting Conditions
Jan 8, 2026

Aroa Biosurgery Limited, a medtech firm specialising in biosurgical and regenerative tissue products for surgical and wound care applications, is listed on the Australian Securities Exchange under the code ARX. The company has announced the cessation of 6,753 ARXAAK options, which lapsed on 19 October 2025 after conditions attached to the rights were not satisfied, resulting in a small reduction of potential dilutive securities on issue but no change to the existing ordinary share capital.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARX) stock is a Buy with a A$0.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aroa Biosurgery Ltd stock, see the AU:ARX Stock Forecast page.

Aroa’s Symphony Wins Extended US Medicare Access as CMS Tightens Skin Substitute Rules
Dec 19, 2025

Aroa Biosurgery has welcomed a decision by the US Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services that ensures its Symphony wound-care products will remain available for outpatient treatment of diabetic foot ulcers and venous leg ulcers under Medicare at least through the end of 2026. CMS has introduced a three-tier classification for skin substitute products—covered, discretionary and non-covered—with Symphony placed in the discretionary category, allowing Medicare Administrative Contractors to reimburse it on a case-by-case basis while additional clinical data are gathered. Aroa has already completed a randomized controlled trial of Symphony, expects publication in 2026, and intends to submit the findings to Medicare contractors ahead of a year-end 2026 review that will underpin future coverage decisions, a process the company views as validating its clinical strategy and supporting continued access for US patients and clinicians.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARX) stock is a Buy with a A$0.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aroa Biosurgery Ltd stock, see the AU:ARX Stock Forecast page.

Aroa Biosurgery Ltd Reports Half-Year 2026 Results
Nov 24, 2025

Aroa Biosurgery Ltd released its half-year results for 2026, highlighting its commitment to advancing regenerative healing technologies. The company continues to focus on enhancing its market position by developing innovative medical products, although specific financial details and impacts on stakeholders were not disclosed in the release.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aroa Biosurgery Ltd stock, see the AU:ARX Stock Forecast page.

Aroa Biosurgery Achieves Strong Revenue Growth and Financial Stability in H1 FY26
Nov 24, 2025

Aroa Biosurgery Limited reported a 14% increase in total revenue for the first half of FY26, reaching NZ$44.9 million, with significant growth in its Myriad product line. The company achieved a normalized EBITDA profit of NZ$1.8 million, a significant improvement from a loss in the previous year, and ended the period with a positive net cash flow. Aroa also received relief from quarterly reporting requirements by the ASX, indicating a stable financial position and operational efficiency. The company reaffirmed its FY26 guidance, projecting continued revenue growth and improved EBITDA, signaling a positive outlook for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aroa Biosurgery Ltd stock, see the AU:ARX Stock Forecast page.

Aroa Biosurgery Reports Improved Financial Performance Amid Sales Growth
Nov 24, 2025

Aroa Biosurgery Ltd reported a significant improvement in its financial performance for the six months ending 30 September 2025. The company achieved a 14% increase in product sales and a 259% rise in project fees, contributing to a 64% reduction in loss before tax from ordinary activities. This financial progress underscores Aroa’s strengthened market position and operational efficiency, which could positively impact stakeholders and enhance its competitive edge in the medical technology industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aroa Biosurgery Ltd stock, see the AU:ARX Stock Forecast page.

Aroa Biosurgery Issues Unquoted Equity Securities for Employee Incentive
Nov 12, 2025

Aroa Biosurgery Ltd announced the issuance of unquoted equity securities, including 519,444 restricted stock units and 888,888 performance rights, as part of an employee incentive scheme. This move is likely aimed at enhancing employee engagement and aligning their interests with the company’s growth objectives, potentially impacting the company’s operational dynamics and market positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARX) stock is a Hold with a A$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aroa Biosurgery Ltd stock, see the AU:ARX Stock Forecast page.

Aroa Biosurgery to Host Investor Event on H1 FY26 Results and Outlook
Nov 11, 2025

Aroa Biosurgery Limited is hosting an investor event on November 25, 2025, to discuss its H1 FY26 financial results and commercial outlook. The event will feature presentations from Aroa’s leadership, commercial partner TelaBio, and surgeons discussing clinical outcomes using Aroa’s Myriad™ product. This gathering aims to provide investors with insights into Aroa’s product innovation, clinical efficacy, and growth trajectory, potentially influencing stakeholder perspectives and the company’s market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARX) stock is a Hold with a A$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aroa Biosurgery Ltd stock, see the AU:ARX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026