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Australian Rare Earths Limited (AU:AR3)
ASX:AR3
Australian Market

Australian Rare Earths Limited (AR3) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:AR3

Australian Rare Earths Limited

(Sydney:AR3)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.23
â–²(15.00% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance: persistent losses and deeply negative free cash flow indicate ongoing funding needs despite a low-debt balance sheet. Technicals are neutral-to-mixed (RSI near 50, MACD slightly negative; price above 20DMA but below 50DMA), and valuation is constrained by a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Low leverage & substantial equity
Very low debt-to-equity (~0.02–0.03) and a substantive equity base (~A$22.8m) materially reduce solvency and interest burden risk. A stronger balance sheet and rising assets (~A$25.1m) provide durable optionality to fund exploration and studies without heavy leverage.
Focused rare-earth project pipeline
A clear strategic focus on identifying, evaluating and advancing rare-earth projects creates a structured development pipeline. Consistent study-and-advancement processes increase the likelihood of converting exploration value into development-stage assets or strategic partnership opportunities over the medium term.
Improving operating cash burn
Operating cash outflow narrowed to ~-A$1.33m in FY2025 from ~-A$2.40m in FY2024, indicating improved cash discipline or lower spending. This trend reduces near-term funding pressure and modestly extends runway, supporting continued project advancement absent immediate financing.
Negative Factors
Persistent losses & deep negative FCF
A net loss of ~A$3.48m and free cash flow around ~-A$6.83m in FY2025 show ongoing cash consumption. Persistent negative profitability and deep negative FCF erode equity, increase funding needs, and can delay project milestones or force dilutive financing if sustained.
Minimal and inconsistent revenue
Revenue is minimal and erratic—zero in multiple years and only ~A$222k in FY2025—so the company lacks internal cash generation to fund exploration or scale. Weak revenue prolongs reliance on external capital and makes it harder to evidence commercial viability to partners or financiers.
Reliance on capital raising / dilution risk
The company primarily funds activities via capital raises and lacks confirmed recurring commercial revenue. Ongoing dependence on equity markets creates dilution risk, timing sensitivity to market conditions, and potential constraints on executing exploration and development plans if access to capital tightens.

Australian Rare Earths Limited (AR3) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Australian Rare Earths Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAustralian Rare Earths Limited engages in the exploration and development of rare earths mineral resource opportunities in Australia. Its flagship project is the Koppamurra project located in South Australia and Victoria. The company was formerly known as Tawel Exploration Pty Ltd and changed its name to Australian Rare Earths Limited in March 2021. Australian Rare Earths Limited was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Adelaide, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAustralian Rare Earths Limited makes money through the exploration, development, and eventual extraction and sale of rare earth elements from its mining projects. The company's revenue model is primarily based on the successful identification and development of economically viable rare earth deposits, which can then be mined and sold to manufacturers and industries that rely on these materials. Key revenue streams include the sale of raw or processed rare earth elements to industries such as electronics, renewable energy, and automotive, particularly those involved in the production of magnets, batteries, and other high-tech components. Partnerships with technology companies, as well as strategic alliances with other mining companies, may also contribute to its earnings by providing access to advanced extraction technologies and shared resources.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Early-stage financials: revenue is minimal and inconsistent (only ~A$222k in FY2025), with persistent, sizable losses (FY2025 net loss ~A$3.48m) and deeply negative profitability (FY2025 EBIT ~-A$2.23m). The balance sheet is a relative strength with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.02–0.03) and solid equity (~A$22.8m), but ongoing cash burn and negative returns increase funding/dilution risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Revenue remains minimal and inconsistent (A$0 in several years, then ~A$222k in FY2025), while losses are persistent and sizable (net loss ~A$3.48m in FY2025; similar in FY2024). Profitability is weak with deeply negative operating results (FY2025 EBIT ~-A$2.23m; EBITDA ~-A$3.40m), indicating the business is still in a development/early-commercial stage. A positive is that FY2025 shows some revenue and gross profit, but it is far from offsetting the cost base.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
The balance sheet is a relative strength: leverage is low with debt-to-equity around ~0.02–0.03 in FY2024–FY2025, and equity is substantial (~A$22.8m in FY2025). Total assets also increased (to ~A$25.1m in FY2025). The main weakness is ongoing negative returns on equity (around -15% in FY2025), which suggests continued dilution/asset consumption risk if losses persist.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash generation is weak with negative operating cash flow every year (FY2025 ~-A$1.33m; FY2024 ~-A$2.40m), and free cash flow is deeply negative (FY2025 ~-A$6.83m). FY2025 operating cash burn improved versus FY2024, but spending remains heavy relative to the current revenue base. Overall cash flow trends signal continued funding needs until operations scale.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.00222.15K0.000.0066.70K0.00
Gross Profit-222.96K222.15K-221.00K-60.85K22.95K0.00
EBITDA-3.45M-3.40M-3.23M-2.36M-5.33M4.00K
Net Income-1.87M-3.48M-3.45M-2.42M-5.37M-587.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.08M25.08M23.76M26.96M18.48M13.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.91M4.91M7.61M14.98M12.62M12.08M
Total Debt520.17K520.17K643.75K224.51K62.23K0.00
Total Liabilities2.27M2.27M1.69M2.07M1.26M1.18M
Stockholders Equity22.81M22.81M22.08M24.89M17.22M11.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-809.93K-6.83M-7.26M-7.95M-6.09M-1.10M
Operating Cash Flow-802.17K-1.33M-2.40M-2.10M-1.69M-214.90K
Investing Cash Flow-4.77M-4.77M-4.89M-5.89M-4.49M-893.64K
Financing Cash Flow3.40M3.40M-86.28K10.36M6.71M13.18M

Australian Rare Earths Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.20
Price Trends
50DMA
0.21
Negative
100DMA
0.20
Negative
200DMA
0.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
38.63
Neutral
STOCH
19.70
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AR3, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.22, below the 50-day MA of 0.21, and above the 200-day MA of 0.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:AR3.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
AU$24.91M-9.47-11.09%――36.67%
50
Neutral
AU$46.70M-10.34-15.50%――3.79%
47
Neutral
AU$31.60M-7.21-84.97%―-100.00%8.51%
46
Neutral
AU$8.91M-1.52-217.79%――43.46%
45
Neutral
AU$28.28M-0.39-121.41%――-1034.67%
41
Neutral
AU$42.60M-6.05-5.81%―-67.81%-244.10%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AR3
Australian Rare Earths Limited
0.21
0.13
162.50%
AU:WIN
Widgie Nickel Limited
0.03
0.01
65.00%
AU:REE
RareX Limited
0.03
0.02
210.00%
AU:OLY
CropLogic Ltd.
0.07
0.04
122.58%
AU:VML
Vital Metals Ltd
0.17
0.11
183.33%
AU:PVT
Rafaella Resources Ltd.
0.02
<0.01
80.00%

Australian Rare Earths Limited Corporate Events

Australian Rare Earths Seeks ASX Quotation for New Batch of Ordinary Shares
Jan 30, 2026

Australian Rare Earths Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 49,834 new fully paid ordinary shares, to be issued on 30 January 2026 following the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible securities. The modest increase in quoted capital reflects ongoing shareholder participation in the company’s equity instruments and slightly broadens its free float, with limited but incremental impact on its capital structure and market liquidity.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AR3) stock is a Hold with a A$0.23 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Rare Earths Limited stock, see the AU:AR3 Stock Forecast page.

Australian Rare Earths Fast-Tracks Koppamurra With ANSTO Pilot Access and Capital Injection
Jan 30, 2026

Australian Rare Earths Limited reported strong quarterly progress at its Koppamurra Rare Earths Project, becoming the first industry partner to access ANSTO’s new continuous pilot-scale rare earth processing facility, which is expected to reduce capital costs and accelerate development. South Australia’s Department for Energy and Mining approved a scoping report that clarifies environmental and social study requirements, streamlining approvals, while pre-feasibility work advances toward pilot operations in the June 2026 quarter and a definitive feasibility study later in 2026; test work has also confirmed a viable, low-risk flowsheet to produce high-purity mixed rare earth oxide, a product already attracting early market interest. At its Overland Uranium Project, the company completed 45 drill holes under the 2025 campaign, identified a compelling in-situ recovery–amenable uranium target in EL7001 and secured a new licence with additional uranium targets, reinforcing its broader critical minerals growth pipeline. Financially, AR3 ended December 2025 with $2.3 million in cash, received option exercise proceeds and an R&D tax refund, secured a further $6 million via a post‑quarter placement, and expects additional government grant funding in 2026, collectively providing a stronger runway to advance feasibility studies, pilot operations and regulatory approvals while pursuing strategic partnerships and offtake opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AR3) stock is a Hold with a A$0.23 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Rare Earths Limited stock, see the AU:AR3 Stock Forecast page.

Australian Rare Earths Halts Trading Ahead of Material Capital Raising
Jan 29, 2026

Australian Rare Earths Limited has requested and received a trading halt on its securities pending the release of an announcement regarding a material capital raising. The halt, effective from 29 January 2026, will remain in place until either the company issues its capital-raising announcement or normal trading resumes on 2 February 2026, signalling that AR3 is preparing to secure significant new funding that could influence its development plans and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AR3) stock is a Hold with a A$0.23 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Rare Earths Limited stock, see the AU:AR3 Stock Forecast page.

Australian Rare Earths Seeks ASX Quotation for Additional 30,000 Shares
Jan 22, 2026

Australian Rare Earths Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 30,000 new ordinary fully paid shares under the code AR3, with an issue date of 22 January 2026. The small issuance, arising from the exercise or conversion of existing securities, marginally increases the company’s quoted capital base and reflects ongoing equity-related activity but does not represent a material change to its capital structure or strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AR3) stock is a Hold with a A$0.22 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Rare Earths Limited stock, see the AU:AR3 Stock Forecast page.

Australian Rare Earths Defines High-Purity MREO Pathway at Koppamurra
Jan 19, 2026

Australian Rare Earths has reported a key metallurgical breakthrough at its Koppamurra project, confirming a viable, low-risk processing route to produce high-purity Mixed Rare Earth Oxide via an oxalic acid precipitation pathway. Testwork delivered 99.9% rare earth recovery with strong impurity rejection and an initial MREO product projected at 98.6% purity (REO plus yttrium oxide), featuring a magnet-rich assemblage and other strategically constrained elements such as yttrium, gadolinium, samarium and lutetium. The company says this oxalate-based route is simpler and more attractive than mixed rare earth carbonate flowsheets pursued by many western ionic clay projects, improving downstream handling, transport costs and product quality for customers. The work, generated from a three-tonne bulk heap leach campaign, demonstrates a complete, scalable pathway from ore through to saleable intermediates, and ongoing optimisation with ANSTO will feed into the Koppamurra pre-feasibility study, strengthening AR3’s positioning as a potential geopolitically significant, non-Chinese rare earth supply option.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AR3) stock is a Hold with a A$0.24 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Rare Earths Limited stock, see the AU:AR3 Stock Forecast page.

Australian Rare Earths Seeks ASX Quotation for Additional Ordinary Shares
Jan 9, 2026

Australian Rare Earths Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 66,177 new fully paid ordinary shares, issued following the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible securities. The modest expansion of the company’s quoted capital base reflects ongoing shareholder participation in its equity and may slightly increase liquidity in the stock without materially altering its overall capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AR3) stock is a Hold with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Rare Earths Limited stock, see the AU:AR3 Stock Forecast page.

Australian Rare Earths Seeks ASX Quotation for Additional 208,945 Shares
Dec 19, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 208,945 new fully paid ordinary shares under code AR3, following the issue of these securities on 19 December 2025. The modest increase in quoted capital reflects the conversion or exercise of existing securities and marginally broadens the company’s tradable share base, with limited immediate dilution but signalling ongoing capital structuring as the company advances its rare earths portfolio.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities
Dec 17, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited has announced the quotation of 91,667 fully paid ordinary securities on the ASX, effective December 17, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its financial flexibility and support its growth initiatives in the rare earths sector, potentially impacting its market position and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

Australian Rare Earths Ltd Announces Director’s Interest Change
Dec 4, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, as Pauline Carr, the sole director of Equinalia Pty Ltd and Equinas Apache Pty Ltd, has seen the expiry of 500,000 unlisted options. This change reflects the ongoing management of the company’s securities and may impact the company’s stock options strategy, potentially influencing investor perceptions and market positioning.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Announces Director’s Interest Change
Dec 2, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Angus Jack Rutherford Barker acquiring 1,500,000 unlisted options expiring in November 2028. This change reflects strategic adjustments in the company’s governance and may influence its future operational strategies and stakeholder interests.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities
Dec 2, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited has announced the quotation of 75,229 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of December 2, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its market presence and potentially increase liquidity, which could have positive implications for its stakeholders and overall industry positioning.

Australian Rare Earths Advances Koppamurra Project with Key Regulatory Milestone
Dec 1, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited has announced a significant regulatory milestone for its Koppamurra Project with the publication of a scoping report by South Australia’s Department for Energy and Mining. This report outlines the necessary environmental, social, and technical studies required before a Mining Lease application, reducing potential delays and ensuring a structured approach to project development. The scoping report is a critical step in the approvals process, enhancing transparency and stakeholder alignment, and positioning Koppamurra as a leading ionic clay rare earth project in Australia with the potential to supply critical minerals to global markets.

AR3 Partners with ANSTO to Advance Koppamurra Rare Earth Project
Nov 30, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited (AR3) has announced its strategic partnership with the Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation (ANSTO) to utilize their new pilot-scale rare earth processing facility. This collaboration marks a significant milestone for AR3, allowing the company to advance its Koppamurra Project by processing 25 tonnes of ore to produce 35kg of Mixed Rare Earth Carbonate (MREC). The initiative is supported by a $5 million Australian Government grant, underscoring national efforts to bolster domestic rare earth supply chains. This development not only accelerates AR3’s commercial pathway but also strengthens Australia’s position in the global rare earth market, aligning with national economic and strategic priorities.

Australian Rare Earths Issues Performance Rights to Employees
Nov 26, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited has announced the issuance of 4,901,753 performance rights under an employee incentive scheme. These securities are unquoted and subject to transfer restrictions, reflecting the company’s strategy to incentivize employees and align their interests with long-term corporate goals.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Issues New Performance Rights
Nov 26, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited announced the issuance of 7,889,088 performance rights as part of its unquoted equity securities. This move is likely aimed at incentivizing key personnel and aligning their interests with the company’s growth objectives, potentially impacting its operational strategy and stakeholder engagement.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Issues New Equity Options
Nov 26, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited announced the issuance of 654,490 unquoted equity securities, specifically options expiring on September 30, 2029. This move is part of the company’s strategic financial maneuvers, potentially impacting its capital structure and providing stakeholders with insights into its future growth and operational strategies.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Issues New Unlisted Options
Nov 26, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited has announced the issuance of 3,000,000 unlisted options, exercisable at $0.325 and expiring on November 26, 2028. This move could potentially enhance the company’s financial flexibility and strategic positioning within the rare earths market, offering implications for stakeholders regarding future growth and investment opportunities.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Successfully Passes All AGM Resolutions
Nov 26, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited announced that all resolutions presented at its 2025 Annual General Meeting were successfully passed. This outcome supports AR3’s strategic initiatives and positions the company for growth in the critical minerals market, enhancing its role in diversifying global rare earth supply chains.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Strengthens Strategic Position Amid Global Supply Chain Shifts
Nov 26, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited’s Koppamurra Rare Earth Project is gaining strategic importance as geopolitical tensions and policy shifts highlight the need for diversified rare earth supplies. With significant support from the Australian Government and partnerships like Neo Performance Materials, the company is poised to complete a pre-feasibility study by early 2026. The project is positioned as a critical non-China source of rare earths, aligning with national security priorities and benefiting from fiscal incentives and international agreements aimed at securing critical mineral supply chains.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Issues New Securities to Boost Market Presence
Nov 19, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited has announced the issuance of 404,316 fully paid ordinary securities, which will be quoted on the ASX under the code AR3. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its market presence and potentially increase its capital base, impacting its operational capabilities and market positioning positively.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Issues New Securities on ASX
Nov 14, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited has announced the issuance of 372,901 ordinary fully paid securities, which are set to be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code AR3. This move reflects the company’s efforts to enhance its financial flexibility and potentially expand its operations, which could strengthen its position in the rare earth market and impact stakeholders positively.

Australian Rare Earths to Present at Noosa Mining Conference
Nov 11, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited announced that its Managing Director and CEO, Travis Beinke, will present at the Noosa Mining Conference in Queensland. This participation underscores the company’s commitment to advancing the Koppamurra Rare Earths Project and engaging with stakeholders, potentially enhancing its industry positioning and investor relations.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Quotes New Securities on ASX
Nov 11, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited has announced the quotation of 514,388 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code AR3. This move is part of the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its market presence and operational capacity, potentially impacting its industry positioning positively by increasing liquidity and investor interest.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Issues New Securities
Nov 7, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited has announced the issuance of 259,548 fully paid ordinary securities, which will be quoted on the ASX. This move indicates the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its capital structure and potentially expand its operational capabilities, reflecting its strategic positioning within the rare earth elements market.

Australian Rare Earths Identifies Promising Uranium Targets in South Australia
Nov 6, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited has identified significant uranium mineralization within its newly granted exploration licenses in South Australia’s Overland Project. Assay results from historic drilling have confirmed the presence of uranium, revealing two extensive sedimentary-hosted uranium target zones. These findings enhance the exploration potential of the project and provide a strong basis for planned follow-up drilling and technical evaluation. The company plans to integrate data and conduct geophysical reviews to refine their geological model and confirm the mineralization potential, which could strengthen their position in the uranium exploration sector.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities
Nov 5, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited has announced the quotation of 54,628 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange as of November 5, 2025. This move reflects the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its market presence and potentially increase liquidity, which could have positive implications for its stakeholders and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025