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Australian Rare Earths Limited (AU:AR3)
ASX:AR3
Australian Market

Australian Rare Earths Limited (AR3) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:AR3

Australian Rare Earths Limited

(Sydney:AR3)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.13
▼(-34.00% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/06/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—persistent losses and heavy negative free cash flow indicating continued funding needs—despite a low-debt balance sheet. Technicals further pressure the score as price is below key moving averages with negative MACD. Valuation provides limited support because the P/E is negative and there is no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong equity base
A low-debt balance sheet and A$22.8m equity provide durable financial flexibility for an exploration company. This reduces interest burden, preserves capacity to fund studies or JV terms, and lowers insolvency risk while management pursues project advancement or partner deals.
Growing asset base
An increasing total asset base reflects capitalised exploration and investment in projects, which strengthens the company's resource value and collateral for offtake, farm-in or financing discussions. It underpins longer-term development optionality.
Initial revenue and gross profit
Recording revenue and gross profit in FY2025 marks early commercialisation progress, reducing pure-exploration risk. Sustainable trends from here could validate monetisation pathways, support JV/offtake negotiations, and demonstrate ability to convert resources into cash-generating activity.
Negative Factors
Persistent losses
Ongoing net losses and negative EBIT/EBITDA indicate the business is not yet self-sustaining. Continued operating deficits will erode equity over time, force repeated capital raises, and constrain the company’s ability to fund exploration-to-development milestones without dilution or partner dispositions.
Weak cash generation / negative FCF
Consistent negative operating cash flow and very negative free cash flow create structural funding needs. Over the medium term this forces reliance on external capital, may slow project timelines, and risks unfavorable financing terms or dilution if revenues do not scale.
Minimal, inconsistent revenue base
A tiny and volatile revenue stream means no reliable operating leverage and increases project execution risk. Without predictable sales or binding offtakes, advancing to development depends on financing or partners, making long-term revenue sustainability uncertain.

Australian Rare Earths Limited (AR3) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Australian Rare Earths Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAustralian Rare Earths Limited engages in the exploration and development of rare earths mineral resource opportunities in Australia. Its flagship project is the Koppamurra project located in South Australia and Victoria. The company was formerly known as Tawel Exploration Pty Ltd and changed its name to Australian Rare Earths Limited in March 2021. Australian Rare Earths Limited was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Adelaide, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAustralian Rare Earths Limited makes money through the exploration, development, and eventual extraction and sale of rare earth elements from its mining projects. The company's revenue model is primarily based on the successful identification and development of economically viable rare earth deposits, which can then be mined and sold to manufacturers and industries that rely on these materials. Key revenue streams include the sale of raw or processed rare earth elements to industries such as electronics, renewable energy, and automotive, particularly those involved in the production of magnets, batteries, and other high-tech components. Partnerships with technology companies, as well as strategic alliances with other mining companies, may also contribute to its earnings by providing access to advanced extraction technologies and shared resources.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials reflect an early-stage profile: revenue is minimal and inconsistent (~A$222k in FY2025) with persistent losses (net loss ~A$3.48m) and deeply negative profitability (FY2025 EBIT ~-A$2.23m; EBITDA ~-A$3.40m). Cash flow is a key weakness with negative operating cash flow (FY2025 ~-A$1.33m) and very negative free cash flow (FY2025 ~-A$6.83m), implying ongoing funding needs. The main offset is a comparatively solid, low-debt balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.02–0.03; equity ~A$22.8m).
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Revenue remains minimal and inconsistent (A$0 in several years, then ~A$222k in FY2025), while losses are persistent and sizable (net loss ~A$3.48m in FY2025; similar in FY2024). Profitability is weak with deeply negative operating results (FY2025 EBIT ~-A$2.23m; EBITDA ~-A$3.40m), indicating the business is still in a development/early-commercial stage. A positive is that FY2025 shows some revenue and gross profit, but it is far from offsetting the cost base.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
The balance sheet is a relative strength: leverage is low with debt-to-equity around ~0.02–0.03 in FY2024–FY2025, and equity is substantial (~A$22.8m in FY2025). Total assets also increased (to ~A$25.1m in FY2025). The main weakness is ongoing negative returns on equity (around -15% in FY2025), which suggests continued dilution/asset consumption risk if losses persist.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash generation is weak with negative operating cash flow every year (FY2025 ~-A$1.33m; FY2024 ~-A$2.40m), and free cash flow is deeply negative (FY2025 ~-A$6.83m). FY2025 operating cash burn improved versus FY2024, but spending remains heavy relative to the current revenue base. Overall cash flow trends signal continued funding needs until operations scale.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue222.15K0.000.0066.70K0.00
Gross Profit222.15K-221.00K-60.85K22.95K0.00
EBITDA-3.40M-3.23M-2.36M-5.33M4.00K
Net Income-3.48M-3.45M-2.42M-5.37M-587.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.08M23.76M26.96M18.48M13.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.91M7.61M14.98M12.62M12.08M
Total Debt520.17K643.75K224.51K62.23K0.00
Total Liabilities2.27M1.69M2.07M1.26M1.18M
Stockholders Equity22.81M22.08M24.89M17.22M11.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.83M-7.26M-7.95M-6.09M-1.10M
Operating Cash Flow-1.33M-2.40M-2.10M-1.69M-214.90K
Investing Cash Flow-4.77M-4.89M-5.89M-4.49M-893.64K
Financing Cash Flow3.40M-86.28K10.36M6.71M13.18M

Australian Rare Earths Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.20
Price Trends
50DMA
0.19
Negative
100DMA
0.21
Negative
200DMA
0.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
57.60
Neutral
STOCH
110.83
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AR3, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.15, above the 50-day MA of 0.19, and above the 200-day MA of 0.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 110.83 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:AR3.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
50
Neutral
AU$26.22M-10.53-11.09%36.67%
46
Neutral
AU$44.60M-8.62-15.50%3.79%
46
Neutral
AU$8.03M-1.41-217.79%43.46%
45
Neutral
AU$25.29M-0.34-121.41%-1034.67%
43
Neutral
AU$26.68M-5.12-84.97%-100.00%8.51%
41
Neutral
AU$41.42M-6.23-5.81%-67.81%-244.10%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AR3
Australian Rare Earths Limited
0.18
0.10
124.36%
AU:WIN
Widgie Nickel Limited
0.03
0.01
70.59%
AU:REE
RareX Limited
0.02
0.00
0.00%
AU:OLY
CropLogic Ltd.
0.06
0.02
60.00%
AU:VML
Vital Metals Ltd
0.18
0.11
191.67%
AU:PVT
Rafaella Resources Ltd.
0.02
0.01
100.00%

Australian Rare Earths Limited Corporate Events

AR3 Secures More Government Funding as Koppamurra Rare Earths Project Advances
Feb 19, 2026

Australian Rare Earths has received a further A$960,000 under the Australian Government’s International Partnerships in Critical Minerals program, lifting total grant receipts to A$2.75 million and underpinning ongoing work at its flagship Koppamurra rare earths project. The funding underscores growing government backing for domestic rare earth supply as the sector gains strategic importance.

At Koppamurra, metallurgical optimisation with ANSTO is delivering better leach kinetics, recoveries and reagent efficiency, allowing AR3 to finalise and de-risk its processing flowsheet ahead of pilot operations. A pre-feasibility study is in its final stages for release in the June quarter of 2026, alongside a pilot plant set to process about 30 tonnes of clay into mixed rare earth oxide and a mining lease application targeted for submission the same year, marking key steps toward potential development.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AR3) stock is a Hold with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Rare Earths Limited stock, see the AU:AR3 Stock Forecast page.

Australian Rare Earths Adds Modest Parcel of New Shares to ASX Quotation
Feb 9, 2026

Australian Rare Earths Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 31,688 new ordinary fully paid shares. The securities, issued on 9 February 2026, arise from the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible securities, modestly increasing the company’s quoted share capital and broadening the pool of tradable stock for investors.

The additional shares are relatively small in number, indicating only a minor dilution for existing shareholders while still supporting capital structure flexibility. This incremental issuance reflects routine corporate activity for a growth-focused resources company seeking to maintain access to equity markets as it advances its rare earth projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AR3) stock is a Hold with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Rare Earths Limited stock, see the AU:AR3 Stock Forecast page.

Australian Rare Earths Confirms Compliance Following $32m-Share Placement
Feb 6, 2026

Australian Rare Earths Limited has issued 32,378,388 fully paid ordinary shares via a placement completed on 6 February 2026, following an earlier market announcement on 30 January 2026. The company confirmed that the capital raising was conducted without a prospectus under the relevant Corporations Act provisions and affirmed it remains compliant with its continuous disclosure and financial reporting obligations, with no excluded information outstanding, reinforcing transparency for existing and new shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AR3) stock is a Hold with a A$0.19 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Rare Earths Limited stock, see the AU:AR3 Stock Forecast page.

Australian Rare Earths Seeks ASX Quotation for 32.4 Million New Shares
Feb 6, 2026

Australian Rare Earths Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 32,378,388 new fully paid ordinary shares, expanding its listed securities on the exchange as of 6 February 2026. The additional stock issuance, arising from previously announced transactions, increases the company’s equity base and may enhance liquidity in its shares, supporting funding flexibility as it advances its rare earths exploration and development strategy in a competitive critical minerals sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AR3) stock is a Hold with a A$0.19 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Rare Earths Limited stock, see the AU:AR3 Stock Forecast page.

Australian Rare Earths Schedules Investor Webinar on Quarterly Results and Capital Raise
Feb 2, 2026

Australian Rare Earths Limited has announced that Managing Director and CEO Travis Beinke will host a quarterly investor webinar to discuss the company’s recent quarterly results and a recent capital raising. The session, scheduled for 4 February 2026 at midday AEDT, invites shareholders and other interested parties to register in advance and submit questions, signalling the company’s focus on maintaining transparent communication and active engagement with its investor base following its latest financial and funding developments.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AR3) stock is a Hold with a A$0.19 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Rare Earths Limited stock, see the AU:AR3 Stock Forecast page.

Australian Rare Earths Seeks ASX Quotation for New Batch of Ordinary Shares
Jan 30, 2026

Australian Rare Earths Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 49,834 new fully paid ordinary shares, to be issued on 30 January 2026 following the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible securities. The modest increase in quoted capital reflects ongoing shareholder participation in the company’s equity instruments and slightly broadens its free float, with limited but incremental impact on its capital structure and market liquidity.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AR3) stock is a Hold with a A$0.23 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Rare Earths Limited stock, see the AU:AR3 Stock Forecast page.

Australian Rare Earths Fast-Tracks Koppamurra With ANSTO Pilot Access and Capital Injection
Jan 30, 2026

Australian Rare Earths Limited reported strong quarterly progress at its Koppamurra Rare Earths Project, becoming the first industry partner to access ANSTO’s new continuous pilot-scale rare earth processing facility, which is expected to reduce capital costs and accelerate development. South Australia’s Department for Energy and Mining approved a scoping report that clarifies environmental and social study requirements, streamlining approvals, while pre-feasibility work advances toward pilot operations in the June 2026 quarter and a definitive feasibility study later in 2026; test work has also confirmed a viable, low-risk flowsheet to produce high-purity mixed rare earth oxide, a product already attracting early market interest. At its Overland Uranium Project, the company completed 45 drill holes under the 2025 campaign, identified a compelling in-situ recovery–amenable uranium target in EL7001 and secured a new licence with additional uranium targets, reinforcing its broader critical minerals growth pipeline. Financially, AR3 ended December 2025 with $2.3 million in cash, received option exercise proceeds and an R&D tax refund, secured a further $6 million via a post‑quarter placement, and expects additional government grant funding in 2026, collectively providing a stronger runway to advance feasibility studies, pilot operations and regulatory approvals while pursuing strategic partnerships and offtake opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AR3) stock is a Hold with a A$0.23 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Rare Earths Limited stock, see the AU:AR3 Stock Forecast page.

Australian Rare Earths Halts Trading Ahead of Material Capital Raising
Jan 29, 2026

Australian Rare Earths Limited has requested and received a trading halt on its securities pending the release of an announcement regarding a material capital raising. The halt, effective from 29 January 2026, will remain in place until either the company issues its capital-raising announcement or normal trading resumes on 2 February 2026, signalling that AR3 is preparing to secure significant new funding that could influence its development plans and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AR3) stock is a Hold with a A$0.23 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Rare Earths Limited stock, see the AU:AR3 Stock Forecast page.

Australian Rare Earths Seeks ASX Quotation for Additional 30,000 Shares
Jan 22, 2026

Australian Rare Earths Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 30,000 new ordinary fully paid shares under the code AR3, with an issue date of 22 January 2026. The small issuance, arising from the exercise or conversion of existing securities, marginally increases the company’s quoted capital base and reflects ongoing equity-related activity but does not represent a material change to its capital structure or strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AR3) stock is a Hold with a A$0.22 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Rare Earths Limited stock, see the AU:AR3 Stock Forecast page.

Australian Rare Earths Defines High-Purity MREO Pathway at Koppamurra
Jan 19, 2026

Australian Rare Earths has reported a key metallurgical breakthrough at its Koppamurra project, confirming a viable, low-risk processing route to produce high-purity Mixed Rare Earth Oxide via an oxalic acid precipitation pathway. Testwork delivered 99.9% rare earth recovery with strong impurity rejection and an initial MREO product projected at 98.6% purity (REO plus yttrium oxide), featuring a magnet-rich assemblage and other strategically constrained elements such as yttrium, gadolinium, samarium and lutetium. The company says this oxalate-based route is simpler and more attractive than mixed rare earth carbonate flowsheets pursued by many western ionic clay projects, improving downstream handling, transport costs and product quality for customers. The work, generated from a three-tonne bulk heap leach campaign, demonstrates a complete, scalable pathway from ore through to saleable intermediates, and ongoing optimisation with ANSTO will feed into the Koppamurra pre-feasibility study, strengthening AR3’s positioning as a potential geopolitically significant, non-Chinese rare earth supply option.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AR3) stock is a Hold with a A$0.24 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Rare Earths Limited stock, see the AU:AR3 Stock Forecast page.

Australian Rare Earths Seeks ASX Quotation for Additional Ordinary Shares
Jan 9, 2026

Australian Rare Earths Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 66,177 new fully paid ordinary shares, issued following the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible securities. The modest expansion of the company’s quoted capital base reflects ongoing shareholder participation in its equity and may slightly increase liquidity in the stock without materially altering its overall capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AR3) stock is a Hold with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Australian Rare Earths Limited stock, see the AU:AR3 Stock Forecast page.

Australian Rare Earths Seeks ASX Quotation for Additional 208,945 Shares
Dec 19, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 208,945 new fully paid ordinary shares under code AR3, following the issue of these securities on 19 December 2025. The modest increase in quoted capital reflects the conversion or exercise of existing securities and marginally broadens the company’s tradable share base, with limited immediate dilution but signalling ongoing capital structuring as the company advances its rare earths portfolio.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities
Dec 17, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited has announced the quotation of 91,667 fully paid ordinary securities on the ASX, effective December 17, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its financial flexibility and support its growth initiatives in the rare earths sector, potentially impacting its market position and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

Australian Rare Earths Ltd Announces Director’s Interest Change
Dec 4, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, as Pauline Carr, the sole director of Equinalia Pty Ltd and Equinas Apache Pty Ltd, has seen the expiry of 500,000 unlisted options. This change reflects the ongoing management of the company’s securities and may impact the company’s stock options strategy, potentially influencing investor perceptions and market positioning.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Announces Director’s Interest Change
Dec 2, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Angus Jack Rutherford Barker acquiring 1,500,000 unlisted options expiring in November 2028. This change reflects strategic adjustments in the company’s governance and may influence its future operational strategies and stakeholder interests.

Australian Rare Earths Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities
Dec 2, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited has announced the quotation of 75,229 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of December 2, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its market presence and potentially increase liquidity, which could have positive implications for its stakeholders and overall industry positioning.

Australian Rare Earths Advances Koppamurra Project with Key Regulatory Milestone
Dec 1, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited has announced a significant regulatory milestone for its Koppamurra Project with the publication of a scoping report by South Australia’s Department for Energy and Mining. This report outlines the necessary environmental, social, and technical studies required before a Mining Lease application, reducing potential delays and ensuring a structured approach to project development. The scoping report is a critical step in the approvals process, enhancing transparency and stakeholder alignment, and positioning Koppamurra as a leading ionic clay rare earth project in Australia with the potential to supply critical minerals to global markets.

AR3 Partners with ANSTO to Advance Koppamurra Rare Earth Project
Nov 30, 2025

Australian Rare Earths Limited (AR3) has announced its strategic partnership with the Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation (ANSTO) to utilize their new pilot-scale rare earth processing facility. This collaboration marks a significant milestone for AR3, allowing the company to advance its Koppamurra Project by processing 25 tonnes of ore to produce 35kg of Mixed Rare Earth Carbonate (MREC). The initiative is supported by a $5 million Australian Government grant, underscoring national efforts to bolster domestic rare earth supply chains. This development not only accelerates AR3’s commercial pathway but also strengthens Australia’s position in the global rare earth market, aligning with national economic and strategic priorities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026