tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Alliance Aviation Services Limited (AU:AQZ)
ASX:AQZ
Australian Market
Advertisement

Alliance Aviation Services Limited (AQZ) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
20 Followers

Top Page

AU:AQZ

Alliance Aviation Services Limited

(Sydney:AQZ)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
AU$2.50
▲(1.21% Upside)
The overall stock score reflects strong valuation metrics, with a low P/E ratio and reasonable dividend yield, indicating potential undervaluation. However, financial performance is hindered by cash flow management issues and increased leverage. Technical analysis suggests a bearish trend, which could pose short-term risks.

Alliance Aviation Services Limited (AQZ) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Alliance Aviation Services Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlliance Aviation Services Limited (AQZ) is an Australian aviation services company that provides a range of services including charter flights, aircraft maintenance, ground handling, and cargo transportation. The company primarily operates in the aviation sector, catering to both commercial and private clients. With a focus on reliability and safety, Alliance Aviation Services aims to deliver tailored aviation solutions to diverse industries, including mining, tourism, and government sectors.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlliance Aviation Services generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income comes from charter services, where the company offers on-demand flight services to clients across various sectors, including mining and tourism. Additionally, the company provides aircraft maintenance services, which consist of scheduled and unscheduled maintenance for various aircraft types, generating further income. Ground handling services, including baggage handling and ramp services for other airlines, also contribute to revenue. The company may engage in partnerships with mining companies and tourism operators, ensuring a steady demand for its services, which bolsters its financial performance. Furthermore, the company may benefit from cargo transportation services, adding another layer to its revenue model.

Alliance Aviation Services Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alliance Aviation Services Limited shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but faces challenges with increased leverage and cash flow management. While profitability metrics are solid, the company needs to focus on improving its cash flow position and managing debt levels to ensure long-term financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Alliance Aviation Services Limited has demonstrated strong revenue growth of 12.85% in the latest year, with a significant improvement in gross profit margin to 64.83%. However, the net profit margin decreased slightly to 7.53%, indicating some pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy at 14.94% and 27.04% respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.10, indicating higher leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Return on equity is solid at 12.23%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 38.88%, suggesting a balanced capital structure but with room for improvement in reducing debt levels.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow situation is challenging, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -60.78%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.85, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. However, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio of -0.66 highlights cash flow management issues that need addressing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue766.83M760.87M637.19M506.42M365.45M307.28M
Gross Profit180.76M493.29M192.76M75.81M23.42M60.46M
EBITDA207.41M205.74M177.53M122.27M47.61M86.55M
Net Income57.32M57.32M60.45M36.46M-5.21M33.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.21B1.21B998.79M779.78M666.49M605.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments96.49M96.49M31.23M22.32M20.89M36.22M
Total Debt513.47M513.47M366.84M263.37M219.50M185.42M
Total Liabilities736.57M736.57M588.05M430.01M353.04M287.59M
Stockholders Equity468.54M468.54M410.74M349.77M313.45M318.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-70.04M-70.04M-90.41M-56.06M-46.86M-165.88M
Operating Cash Flow105.64M105.64M24.74M40.88M52.45M39.80M
Investing Cash Flow-175.67M-175.67M-115.09M-81.91M-99.31M-205.68M
Financing Cash Flow135.28M135.28M99.26M42.45M31.53M103.30M

Alliance Aviation Services Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.47
Price Trends
50DMA
2.31
Positive
100DMA
2.42
Positive
200DMA
2.51
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
60.86
Neutral
STOCH
75.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AQZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.29, above the 50-day MA of 2.31, and below the 200-day MA of 2.51, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:AQZ.

Alliance Aviation Services Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AU$400.96M6.9913.04%1.21%19.82%-5.32%
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
$15.80B9.99296.72%4.71%8.29%38.28%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AQZ
Alliance Aviation Services Limited
2.47
-0.22
-8.18%
AU:QAN
Qantas Airways Limited
10.77
3.05
39.44%

Alliance Aviation Services Limited Corporate Events

Alliance Aviation Appoints Simon Lange to Board, Aiming for Strategic Growth
Oct 15, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited has appointed Simon Lange as a Non-Executive Director, enhancing its board with his extensive experience in aviation and capital markets. Lange’s appointment is part of the board’s renewal process aimed at strengthening current operations and exploring new growth opportunities, as Alliance embarks on its next phase of strategic development.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Buy with a A$2.58 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Alliance Aviation Addresses Media Speculation, Upholds Disclosure Obligations
Oct 14, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited has acknowledged media speculation from an article in The Australian but has chosen not to comment on it, affirming its compliance with continuous disclosure obligations. This stance reflects the company’s commitment to maintaining transparency and regulatory adherence, which is crucial for its stakeholders, including investors and clients in the aviation and related sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Buy with a A$2.58 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Alliance Aviation Announces Leadership Transition
Oct 8, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited announced a leadership transition with founder Scott McMillan stepping down as Joint Managing Director, while Stewart Tully will become the sole Managing Director after the Annual General Meeting in November 2025. This transition marks the end of a 12-month succession plan, with Tully bringing a decade of experience to his new role, ensuring continuity and stability for the company as it continues to focus on delivering safe and reliable aviation services.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Buy with a A$2.58 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Alliance Aviation Announces Change in Director’s Interest
Oct 2, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Stewart Tully’s performance rights decreasing due to unmet targets. This adjustment reflects the company’s adherence to performance-based incentives, potentially impacting executive compensation and aligning with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Buy with a A$2.58 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Alliance Aviation Services Updates Director’s Interest
Oct 2, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically regarding Scott McMillan’s holdings. The change involved the lapse of 37,181 performance rights due to unmet targets, resulting in a decrease in his direct interest in performance rights. This adjustment reflects the company’s accountability measures and may influence investor perceptions regarding management’s performance incentives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Buy with a A$2.58 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Alliance Aviation Services Reports Cessation of Performance Rights
Sep 9, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited announced the cessation of 328,512 performance rights due to unmet conditions, impacting its issued capital. This development may affect stakeholder perceptions and the company’s market positioning, as it reflects on the company’s ability to meet performance targets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Alliance Aviation Director Increases Shareholding
Aug 26, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with James Jackson acquiring an additional 10,500 ordinary shares through an on-market trade. This change reflects a significant increase in Jackson’s indirect interest in the company, potentially indicating confidence in the company’s future performance and stability, which may influence stakeholder perceptions positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Buy with a A$3.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Alliance Aviation Reschedules 2025 AGM and Director Nomination Deadline
Aug 25, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited has announced a change in the date of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, moving it from 9 October to 27 November 2025. This adjustment also affects the deadline for director election nominations, now set for 25 September 2025. The change in schedule is significant for stakeholders as it provides additional time for the nomination process and aligns with the company’s strategic planning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Buy with a A$3.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Director Increases Stake in Alliance Aviation Services
Aug 25, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Bernard Campbell acquiring 19,231 ordinary fully paid shares through an on-market trade. This acquisition increases his total holdings to 57,231 shares, reflecting a strategic move that may enhance his influence and stake in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Buy with a A$3.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Alliance Aviation Appoints New Director with Significant Shareholding
Aug 22, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited announced the appointment of Stewart Tully as a director, effective August 20, 2025. Tully holds a direct interest in 95,629 ordinary shares and 50,270 performance rights that have not yet vested, indicating a significant personal investment in the company’s future. This appointment may influence the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Buy with a A$3.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Alliance Aviation Director Increases Stake, Signaling Confidence
Aug 21, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Scott McMillan acquiring 12,000 additional ordinary shares through an on-market purchase. This acquisition reflects confidence in the company’s future prospects and may positively influence stakeholder perceptions, reinforcing McMillan’s commitment to the company’s growth and stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Buy with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Alliance Aviation Declares AUD 0.03 Dividend for 2025
Aug 21, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited has announced a dividend distribution of AUD 0.03 per share for its ordinary fully paid shares, with an ex-date of September 2, 2025, and a payment date of November 3, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s financial performance for the period ending June 30, 2025, and indicates a stable financial position, potentially enhancing shareholder value and confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Buy with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Alliance Aviation Corrects Financial Presentation Errors
Aug 21, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited announced a correction to their financial presentation, specifically addressing transcription errors in the Statement of Financial Position. The corrected figures for Deferred Tax Liabilities, Lease Liabilities, and Provisions have been updated and will be presented in an upcoming webinar, ensuring accurate financial reporting and transparency for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Buy with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Alliance Aviation Services Reports Strong Revenue Growth in FY2025
Aug 20, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited reported a 19% increase in revenue to $769.7 million for FY2025, reflecting strong operational performance. Despite a slight decrease in operating cash flow and profit before tax, the company saw a 16.2% rise in EBITDA and an 8.7% increase in flight hours, indicating robust demand for its services. The announcement highlights the company’s continued growth trajectory and its ability to enhance shareholder value through a fully franked dividend of 3.0 cents per share.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Buy with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Alliance Aviation Achieves Record Flight Hours and Revenue Growth in FY2025
Aug 20, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited reported a strong operational performance for FY2025, achieving record flight hours despite challenges such as severe weather and industrial action. The company saw a 19.4% increase in total revenue to $760.9 million, although statutory profit before tax decreased by 4.9% to $82.1 million. The expansion of its fleet with new Embraer E190s and the completion of the Qantas wet lease program contributed to its operational success. Alliance’s strategic initiatives in aviation services helped streamline operations and reduce debt, positioning the company for continued growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Buy with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Alliance Aviation Services Releases 2025 Corporate Governance Statement
Aug 20, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited has released its corporate governance statement for the financial year ending June 30, 2025, confirming compliance with ASX Corporate Governance Council’s principles. The statement, available on the company’s website, outlines the company’s adherence to governance recommendations, including board responsibilities, director appointments, and executive agreements, which are crucial for maintaining transparency and accountability in its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Buy with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Alliance Aviation Releases FY25 Annual Report
Aug 20, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited has released its Appendix 4E and FY25 Annual Report through the ASX Market Announcement Platform. This release is a standard procedure for publicly listed companies, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction over the past fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Buy with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Alliance Aviation Announces Director’s Interest Update
Aug 18, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically regarding Scott McMillan’s holdings. The change involved the vesting of FY24 Performance Rights, resulting in the allocation of 13,814 ordinary fully paid shares to McMillan under the company’s Performance Incentive Plan. This adjustment reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning its leadership’s interests with its performance goals, potentially impacting shareholder value and company operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Buy with a A$4.22 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Alliance Aviation Services Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities
Aug 15, 2025

Alliance Aviation Services Limited has announced the quotation of 69,787 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) with the security code AQZ, effective from August 15, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its market presence and potentially increase liquidity for its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AQZ) stock is a Buy with a A$4.22 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Aviation Services Limited stock, see the AU:AQZ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 16, 2025