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AJ Lucas Group Limited (AU:AJL)
ASX:AJL
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AJ Lucas Group (AJL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:AJL

AJ Lucas Group

(Sydney:AJL)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.01
▲(10.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/02/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, negative profitability, sharply lower free cash flow, and negative equity). Technical indicators also point to a weak trend and subdued momentum, while the very low P/E provides only partial offset given the underlying financial risk.
Positive Factors
High Gross Margin
A sustained gross margin of 71% indicates structural efficiency in core operations and production. This level of gross profitability provides long‑run operating leverage: if overheads are controlled, revenue recovery can flow quickly to the bottom line and support durable margin improvement over months.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Trend
Persistent revenue contraction erodes scale and makes fixed costs a heavier burden, limiting margin recovery. Over a 2–6 month horizon, falling top‑line undermines pricing power and investment capacity, complicating efforts to restore sustainable profitability absent a credible revenue turnaround.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Gross Margin
A sustained gross margin of 71% indicates structural efficiency in core operations and production. This level of gross profitability provides long‑run operating leverage: if overheads are controlled, revenue recovery can flow quickly to the bottom line and support durable margin improvement over months.
Read all positive factors

AJ Lucas Group (AJL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

AJ Lucas Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
AJ Lucas Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides drilling services in Australia. The company operates in two segments: Drilling, and Oil and Gas. Its Drilling segment provides integrated professional drilling services primarily for...
How the Company Makes Money
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AJ Lucas Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials are weak: revenue declined (-7.50%), net margin is negative (-10.31%), and free cash flow growth fell sharply (-79.72%). The strong gross margin (71.03%) is outweighed by ongoing losses and a highly concerning balance sheet with negative equity.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue136.65M145.61M159.10M157.61M123.23M111.09M
Gross Profit28.55M103.43M40.27M19.61M13.09M111.09M
EBITDA17.46M14.39M28.98M-135.61M13.63M20.58M
Net Income35.04M-15.01M-702.00K-152.06M-11.32M3.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets84.54M89.07M108.32M104.14M220.70M232.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.67M3.87M16.85M14.04M3.06M5.14M
Total Debt85.60M123.81M126.38M126.91M110.12M107.39M
Total Liabilities118.97M162.71M166.16M161.20M143.88M137.56M
Stockholders Equity-34.61M-73.55M-57.79M-57.03M75.66M93.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow20.94M2.94M17.78M-4.46M9.28M17.89M
Operating Cash Flow29.57M13.07M32.03M1.39M12.56M19.62M
Investing Cash Flow-7.10M-9.26M-13.75M-5.84M-3.27M-1.65M
Financing Cash Flow-26.93M-16.94M-15.46M15.35M-12.84M-15.88M

AJ Lucas Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
AU$58.64M6.723.13%3.70%14.43%-81.86%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
52
Neutral
AU$341.79M-11.28-9.26%65.66%
46
Neutral
AU$24.28M-1.17366.05%90.80%
45
Neutral
AU$12.38M0.10-64.80%-13.19%
44
Neutral
AU$33.24M-22.48-2.75%23.81%
44
Neutral
AU$133.04M-0.96-41.52%-6.64%-2196.77%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AJL
AJ Lucas Group
0.01
>-0.01
-15.38%
AU:WEC
White Energy Company Limited
0.06
0.02
71.88%
AU:JAL
Jameson Resources Limited
0.04
<0.01
5.00%
AU:MYE
Metarock Group Limited
0.19
0.03
18.75%
AU:VMM
Viridis Mining and Minerals Limited
2.64
2.36
842.86%
AU:TER
TerraCom Limited
0.07
0.02
30.36%

AJ Lucas Group Corporate Events

AJ Lucas Hit by Softer Coal Demand but Boosted by UK Settlement
Apr 30, 2026
AJ Lucas Group reported quarterly revenue of $28.5 million from its Australian operations, down from the prior year, while nine-month revenue also declined, reflecting weaker customer activity and weather disruptions. Australian EBITDA for the qua...
AJ Lucas Swings to Profit on One-Off UK Settlement and Lower Finance Costs
Feb 27, 2026
AJ Lucas Group reported a sharp turnaround in performance for the six months to 31 December 2025, with total reported EBITDA rising to $38.5 million and net profit reaching $38.9 million, despite an 11.8% fall in revenue from continuing operations...
AJ Lucas Swings to Profit Despite Lower Half-Year Revenue
Feb 27, 2026
AJ Lucas Group reported revenue from continuing operations of A$66.9 million for the half year to 31 December 2025, an 11.8% decline from the prior corresponding period, while net tangible assets per share remained negative at minus 3.1 cents and ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 02, 2026