Aeeris Ltd (AER) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$7.81M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 24.52K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.15
• Revenue Growth: 29.51%
• EPS Growth: -3.61%
• Country: AU
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Software - Application
• EPS (TTM): >-0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 78,148,860
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 53,019
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 24,525
• PEG Ratio: -1.66
• Price to Book (P/B): 5.02
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.33
• P/FCF Ratio: -8.21
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 46 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$0.10 ▲(40.00% Upside)

The score is mainly constrained by weak financial performance: the company is still loss-making with ongoing cash burn and shrinking equity, despite zero debt and improved gross profitability. Technicals are supportive due to an uptrend, but extremely overbought signals raise near-term downside risk. Valuation is less supportive given the negative P/E and lack of dividend data.

Positive Factors

Zero net debt

A zero-debt balance sheet materially reduces financial risk and preserves strategic flexibility over months. It gives management runway to prioritize product development or targeted investments, and lowers bankruptcy/default risk while the firm works to convert revenue gains into sustainable profits.

Consistent revenue growth

Sustained top-line growth (~13% in FY2025) signals ongoing customer adoption and market traction for location-based intelligence services. Durable revenue expansion supports scale economics, predictable recurring streams, and provides a base to improve margins if operating costs are managed.

Gross margin rebound

A sharp gross margin recovery to roughly 100% represents a structural improvement in unit economics and product profitability. If sustained, this increases operating leverage potential, making future incremental revenue more directly accretive to operating profit as fixed costs are amortised.

Negative Factors

Negative operating & free cash flow

Persistent negative operating and free cash flow across multiple years indicates the business is consuming cash to run operations. Over a 2–6 month horizon this reduces runway, raises the probability of external funding needs, and increases dilution or refinancing risk if losses continue.

Ongoing losses & weak margins

Continued net losses and negative EBIT/EBITDA show the company isn't yet covering operating costs despite revenue growth. This structural profitability gap must be closed via sustained revenue scale or cost reduction; otherwise the firm will struggle to generate shareholder returns or self-fund growth.

Equity erosion and negative ROE

Material decline in shareholders' equity and a deeply negative ROE reflect accumulated losses that erode the capital base. Structurally, this constrains the firm's ability to invest organically, reduces financial resilience to shocks, and increases the likelihood of future capital raises to sustain operations.

Aeeris Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Aeeris Limited, a geospatial data aggregator company, provides location-based safety, operations management, severe weather, and various hazards data and content services in Australia. It develops, operates, and provides Early Warning Network that uses multi-channel geographic notification and information system, which provides a range of critical services, including live data, alerts and notifications on natural and man-made hazards; and digital tracking, mapping, and monitoring of assets and personnel for government departments, commercial entities, and members of the public. The company also provides Climatics platform, a database of historic acute and chronic severe weather hazards and warnings, identifies changes in event intensity and severity, and season duration for physical risk reporting companies. In addition, its services solve natural disaster awareness problems; and promotes safety of personal and employees, asset protection, and risk management, as well as mitigates the financial impact of adverse events. Aeeris Limited was founded in 2006 and is based in Kingscliff, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

Aeeris Ltd generates revenue primarily through subscription-based services and licensing fees for its Early Warning Network and geospatial mapping solutions. Key revenue streams include service contracts with government agencies, businesses, and organizations that require real-time data and alerts for risk management purposes. Additionally, the company may earn income from strategic partnerships and collaborations that expand its technological capabilities and market reach. Factors contributing to its earnings include the growing demand for advanced data solutions in risk and emergency management sectors.

Aeeris Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth is solid (up to ~13% in FY2025) and gross profit rebounded strongly in FY2025, but the company remains loss-making with negative EBIT/EBITDA and a FY2025 net margin around -16%. Ongoing operating and free cash flow burn (FY2025 OCF ~-0.61M; FCF ~-0.62M) and shrinking equity despite zero debt keep overall fundamentals higher-risk.

Income Statement

Revenue growth has been solid over the period (up to ~13% in FY2025), but profitability has deteriorated materially since FY2021. FY2025 shows a net loss of ~0.63M on ~3.84M of revenue (net margin ~-16%), with negative EBIT/EBITDA margins as well. A major positive is the sharp improvement in gross profit in FY2025 (gross margin back to ~100% from negative levels in FY2022–FY2024), but the business is still not covering operating costs, keeping overall earnings quality weak.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is conservatively financed with zero debt across all years, which reduces financial risk and provides flexibility. However, equity has fallen from ~2.39M (FY2022) to ~1.02M (FY2025) as losses accumulated, and return on equity is strongly negative in FY2025 (about -62%), signaling ongoing value erosion for shareholders despite the low leverage.

Cash Flow

Cash generation has turned meaningfully weaker versus FY2021: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in FY2022–FY2025 (FY2025 operating cash flow ~-0.61M; free cash flow ~-0.62M). Free cash flow also declined further in FY2025 versus FY2024. While free cash flow is roughly in line with reported losses (free cash flow to net income ~1.0 in FY2024–FY2025), the company is still consuming cash, increasing dependence on existing liquidity or future capital raising if losses persist.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.84M	3.84M	2.97M	2.58M	2.21M	1.84M
Gross Profit	-208.21K	3.84M	-358.92K	-129.18K	-55.84K	153.92K
EBITDA	-667.69K	-611.16K	-949.65K	-207.28K	-671.04K	-3.50K
Net Income	-632.73K	-632.73K	-595.88K	-186.78K	-211.29K	467.85K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.80M	1.80M	2.47M	2.90M	3.10M	1.71M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.28M	1.28M	1.90M	2.58M	2.74M	1.43M
Total Debt	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Total Liabilities	780.87K	780.87K	832.95K	699.80K	713.09K	651.58K
Stockholders Equity	1.02M	1.02M	1.63M	2.20M	2.39M	1.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-624.88K	-624.88K	-676.95K	-157.72K	-104.04K	627.10K
Operating Cash Flow	-614.92K	-614.92K	-673.67K	-120.19K	-97.34K	634.50K
Investing Cash Flow	-9.96K	-9.96K	-3.27K	-37.53K	-6.69K	-7.40K
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.42M	0.00

Aeeris Ltd Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 0.07
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AER, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.08, below the 50-day MA of 0.07, and above the 200-day MA of 0.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 87.54 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:AER.

Aeeris Ltd Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%
SMX	47 Neutral	AU$8.14M	-1.69	-122.65%	―	―	28.93%
AER	46 Neutral	AU$7.81M	-11.63	-47.62%	―	29.51%	-3.61%
OLL	46 Neutral	AU$27.37M	-5.52	―	―	12.77%	53.47%
ID8	43 Neutral	AU$4.99M	-2.08	-217.63%	―	3.91%	46.67%
1TT	37 Underperform	AU$809.46K	-0.17	―	―	―	―
SIS	37 Underperform	AU$7.60M	―	―	―	-26.58%	―

Aeeris Ltd Corporate Events

Aeeris turns profitable as recurring revenue and margins climb in Q2 FY26

Aeeris Ltd reported a pivotal second quarter of FY26, delivering an unaudited net profit of $62,827 and a 61% year-on-year rise in total unadjusted revenue to $1.54 million, supported by an R&D tax incentive rebate and improved operating leverage. Annual recurring revenue climbed 16.5% year-on-year to nearly $4.0 million, with 58% of new contracted revenue coming from existing customers and growth driven by transport logistics and insurance wins, while gross margins improved as the company brought forecasting and hail services in-house via its AWARE platform. Positive cashflow for the quarter lifted cash on hand to about $1.4 million, and the successful ISO27001 surveillance audit further strengthened Aeeris’s operational credibility and competitive defensibility in data and risk intelligence markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AER) stock is a Hold with a A$0.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aeeris Ltd stock, see the AU:AER Stock Forecast page.

Aeeris Issues 1.75 Million Unquoted Performance Rights Under Incentive Scheme

Aeeris Ltd has issued 1,750,000 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, with an issue date of 4 January 2026. The move increases the company’s pool of unquoted equity-based awards, reinforcing its use of performance-linked incentives to align staff interests with long-term shareholder value, though the rights are not intended to be quoted on the ASX.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AER) stock is a Hold with a A$0.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aeeris Ltd stock, see the AU:AER Stock Forecast page.

Aeeris Boosts Next-Generation Weather Intelligence with $507k R&D Tax Refund

Aeeris Ltd has received a FY25 refundable Research & Development tax offset of $506,992.50, which it is using to support ongoing investment in its proprietary technology platforms. The funding underpins development of the company’s new AWARE weather and risk environment system and enhanced forecasting capabilities, including high-performance cloud architecture, advanced data-processing pipelines and new modelling techniques that improve event detection speed and precision. Aeeris’ R&D program has also advanced AI-assisted forecasting and proprietary hail and severe storm prediction tools, strengthening its operational independence, expanding its intellectual property base and supporting higher long-term margins and scalability. The tax incentive remains a key element in Aeeris’ technology roadmap, reinforcing its strategy to deliver cutting-edge environmental intelligence and drive future product innovation for enterprise, government and insurance clients.

Aeeris Director Bryce Reynolds Increases Equity Exposure via New Option Grant

Aeeris Ltd has disclosed a change in director Bryce Reynolds’ relevant interests in the company’s securities, reflecting an adjustment to his indirect holdings through several associated entities. Following shareholder approval at the 27 November 2025 annual general meeting, Reynolds was issued 2.5 million unlisted options exercisable at $0.13 and expiring on 22 June 2029, modestly increasing his indirect equity exposure and signalling continued alignment of his incentives with shareholder interests.

Aeeris Issues 5 Million Unquoted Options Expiring in 2029

Aeeris Ltd has notified the market of a new issuance of unquoted equity securities. The company will issue 5 million unlisted options, each exercisable at A$0.13 and expiring on 22 June 2029, in a move that expands its pool of potential future share capital and may influence the incentive structure and ownership dilution dynamics for existing shareholders.

Aeeris Ltd Announces Cessation of Securities

Aeeris Ltd announced the cessation of certain securities, specifically 3,540,000 options and 300,000 performance rights, due to their expiry without exercise or conversion. This development may impact the company’s capital structure but reflects a routine financial adjustment rather than a strategic shift.

Aeeris Ltd Announces Successful AGM Resolution Outcomes

Aeeris Ltd announced that all resolutions proposed at their Annual General Meeting were successfully passed by shareholder vote. This outcome reflects strong shareholder support and may positively impact the company’s strategic initiatives and operational plans, reinforcing its position in the environmental services industry.

Aeeris Ltd Enhances Weather Intelligence Services for Risk Management

Aeeris Ltd, a leader in weather and climate intelligence, announced its focus on enhancing its real-time severe weather forecasting and alerting services. This strategic move aims to strengthen its market position in Australia and New Zealand by offering innovative solutions for risk management related to natural hazards, benefiting businesses and government stakeholders.

Aeeris Partners with Nearmap to Boost Insurance Sector’s Weather Response

Aeeris Ltd has entered into a three-year data integration collaboration with Nearmap Australia Pty Ltd to enhance the insurance sector’s response to severe weather events. This partnership integrates Aeeris’ weather data with Nearmap’s ImpactResponse System, enabling faster and more precise damage assessments for insurers, thereby improving decision-making and claims outcomes. The collaboration positions Aeeris as a critical infrastructure provider in the insurance industry, addressing rapid damage assessment challenges and opening opportunities for further data integration agreements.

Aeeris Ltd Reports Strong Growth and Leadership Transition

Aeeris Ltd reported a profitable quarter with a 13% increase in revenue year-on-year, driven by the successful deployment of its proprietary AWARE system. The company is transitioning into a fully proprietary technology business, enhancing its operations to meet growing demand. The departure of Founder and CEO Kerry Plowright marks a significant leadership change as the company plans for new leadership aligned with its growth strategy. Aeeris maintains a strong balance sheet with no debt and a robust sales pipeline, securing new contracts in transport, mining, and energy sectors.