Aeeris Ltd (AER) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$6.64M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 24.52K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 56.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.22
• Revenue Growth: 29.51%
• EPS Growth: -3.61%
• Country: AU
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Software - Application
• EPS (TTM): 0.00
• Shares Outstanding: 78,148,860
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 53,019
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 24,525
• PEG Ratio: -1.66
• Price to Book (P/B): 5.02
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.33
• P/FCF Ratio: -8.21
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 48 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$0.09 ▲(27.14% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 02/26/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 02/26/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—ongoing losses, cash burn, and shrinking equity—despite the positive offset of a debt-free balance sheet and improved gross profitability. Technicals are moderately supportive with a generally bullish trend and positive momentum, while valuation remains constrained by the negative P/E and lack of dividend support.

Positive Factors

Debt-free balance sheet

Aeeris' zero-debt funding structure materially reduces financial leverage and interest burden, giving management flexibility to keep investing in product and sales while losses persist. This lowers bankruptcy risk and preserves optionality for strategic moves or measured capital raises.

Revenue growth and gross profit rebound

Sustained top-line growth (~13% FY2025) together with a sharp recovery in gross profit signals improving unit economics and product-market fit. If management maintains cost discipline, stronger gross margins create a clear pathway to scaled profitability over several quarters.

Recurring SaaS/data-driven business model

The company’s location-based SaaS and data services model tends to generate recurring, contractable revenue with enterprise and government clients. Platform and data-led offerings increase customer stickiness and allow upsell of integrations and professional services, supporting durable revenue streams.

Negative Factors

Ongoing net losses and negative margins

Persistent net losses and negative operating margins indicate the business still fails to cover its fixed operating cost base. Continued unprofitability can constrain reinvestment, limit strategic options, and require external funding to reach sustainable profitability absent faster margin improvements.

Negative operating and free cash flow

Multi-year cash burn from operations increases reliance on existing liquidity or capital markets. Weak free cash flow reduces ability to self-fund growth initiatives, makes timing of investment dependent on external financing, and raises execution risk if market access tightens.

Eroding shareholder equity and very weak ROE

Material decline in equity and a deeply negative ROE reflect cumulative losses and value erosion for shareholders. A shrinking equity base limits balance-sheet resilience, raises the probability of dilutive capital raises, and signals structural difficulty in generating acceptable investor returns.

Aeeris Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Aeeris Limited, a geospatial data aggregator company, provides location-based safety, operations management, severe weather, and various hazards data and content services in Australia. It develops, operates, and provides Early Warning Network that uses multi-channel geographic notification and information system, which provides a range of critical services, including live data, alerts and notifications on natural and man-made hazards; and digital tracking, mapping, and monitoring of assets and personnel for government departments, commercial entities, and members of the public. The company also provides Climatics platform, a database of historic acute and chronic severe weather hazards and warnings, identifies changes in event intensity and severity, and season duration for physical risk reporting companies. In addition, its services solve natural disaster awareness problems; and promotes safety of personal and employees, asset protection, and risk management, as well as mitigates the financial impact of adverse events. Aeeris Limited was founded in 2006 and is based in Kingscliff, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

Aeeris Ltd generates revenue primarily through subscription-based services and licensing fees for its Early Warning Network and geospatial mapping solutions. Key revenue streams include service contracts with government agencies, businesses, and organizations that require real-time data and alerts for risk management purposes. Additionally, the company may earn income from strategic partnerships and collaborations that expand its technological capabilities and market reach. Factors contributing to its earnings include the growing demand for advanced data solutions in risk and emergency management sectors.

Aeeris Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth has been solid (up to ~13% in FY2025) and gross profit rebounded sharply in FY2025, but the company remains loss-making (FY2025 net margin ~-16%) with negative EBIT/EBITDA. Cash flow is a key weakness with ongoing operating and free cash flow burn through FY2025, and equity has declined materially despite zero debt.

Income Statement

Revenue growth has been solid over the period (up to ~13% in FY2025), but profitability has deteriorated materially since FY2021. FY2025 shows a net loss of ~0.63M on ~3.84M of revenue (net margin ~-16%), with negative EBIT/EBITDA margins as well. A major positive is the sharp improvement in gross profit in FY2025 (gross margin back to ~100% from negative levels in FY2022–FY2024), but the business is still not covering operating costs, keeping overall earnings quality weak.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is conservatively financed with zero debt across all years, which reduces financial risk and provides flexibility. However, equity has fallen from ~2.39M (FY2022) to ~1.02M (FY2025) as losses accumulated, and return on equity is strongly negative in FY2025 (about -62%), signaling ongoing value erosion for shareholders despite the low leverage.

Cash Flow

Cash generation has turned meaningfully weaker versus FY2021: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in FY2022–FY2025 (FY2025 operating cash flow ~-0.61M; free cash flow ~-0.62M). Free cash flow also declined further in FY2025 versus FY2024. While free cash flow is roughly in line with reported losses (free cash flow to net income ~1.0 in FY2024–FY2025), the company is still consuming cash, increasing dependence on existing liquidity or future capital raising if losses persist.

Breakdown	TTM	Jun 2025	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.90M	3.84M	2.97M	2.58M	2.21M	1.84M
Gross Profit	-68.82K	3.84M	-358.92K	-129.18K	-55.84K	153.92K
EBITDA	-878.88K	-611.16K	-949.65K	-207.28K	-671.04K	-3.50K
Net Income	-368.17K	-632.73K	-595.88K	-186.78K	-211.29K	467.85K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.00M	1.80M	2.47M	2.90M	3.10M	1.71M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.40M	1.28M	1.90M	2.58M	2.74M	1.43M
Total Debt	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Total Liabilities	891.79K	780.87K	832.95K	699.80K	713.09K	651.58K
Stockholders Equity	1.10M	1.02M	1.63M	2.20M	2.39M	1.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-132.20K	-624.88K	-676.95K	-157.72K	-104.04K	627.10K
Operating Cash Flow	-128.62K	-614.92K	-673.67K	-120.19K	-97.34K	634.50K
Investing Cash Flow	-3.58K	-9.96K	-3.27K	-37.53K	-6.69K	-7.40K
Financing Cash Flow	500.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.42M	0.00

Aeeris Ltd Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.07
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AER, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.09, below the 50-day MA of 0.09, and below the 200-day MA of 0.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:AER.

Aeeris Ltd Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%
AER	48 Neutral	AU$6.64M	56.21	-47.62%	―	29.51%	-3.61%
SMX	43 Neutral	AU$8.32M	-0.46	-122.65%	―	―	28.93%
SIS	43 Neutral	AU$8.24M	-4.57	―	―	-26.58%	―
ID8	43 Neutral	AU$5.84M	-0.55	-217.63%	―	3.91%	46.67%
OLL	41 Neutral	AU$21.90M	-7.44	―	―	12.77%	53.47%
1TT	37 Underperform	AU$1.43M	-0.04	―	―	―	―

Aeeris Ltd Corporate Events

Aeeris Returns to Profit on Modest Revenue Gain but Asset Backing Declines

Aeeris Ltd reported a slight increase in revenue from ordinary activities to $1.85 million for the half-year ended 31 December 2025, up 2.93% from the prior corresponding period. Net profit after tax swung from a $240,744 loss to a $23,817 profit, though the board has elected not to declare a dividend for the period.

The improvement in bottom-line performance despite only modest revenue growth suggests enhanced cost control or operational efficiencies during the half. However, the reduction in net tangible assets per share from $0.02 to $0.01 highlights a weaker asset backing, which may temper investor enthusiasm despite the return to profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AER) stock is a Hold with a A$0.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aeeris Ltd stock, see the AU:AER Stock Forecast page.

Aeeris turns profitable as recurring revenue and margins climb in Q2 FY26

Aeeris Ltd reported a pivotal second quarter of FY26, delivering an unaudited net profit of $62,827 and a 61% year-on-year rise in total unadjusted revenue to $1.54 million, supported by an R&D tax incentive rebate and improved operating leverage. Annual recurring revenue climbed 16.5% year-on-year to nearly $4.0 million, with 58% of new contracted revenue coming from existing customers and growth driven by transport logistics and insurance wins, while gross margins improved as the company brought forecasting and hail services in-house via its AWARE platform. Positive cashflow for the quarter lifted cash on hand to about $1.4 million, and the successful ISO27001 surveillance audit further strengthened Aeeris’s operational credibility and competitive defensibility in data and risk intelligence markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AER) stock is a Hold with a A$0.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aeeris Ltd stock, see the AU:AER Stock Forecast page.

Aeeris Issues 1.75 Million Unquoted Performance Rights Under Incentive Scheme

Aeeris Ltd has issued 1,750,000 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, with an issue date of 4 January 2026. The move increases the company’s pool of unquoted equity-based awards, reinforcing its use of performance-linked incentives to align staff interests with long-term shareholder value, though the rights are not intended to be quoted on the ASX.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AER) stock is a Hold with a A$0.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aeeris Ltd stock, see the AU:AER Stock Forecast page.

Aeeris Boosts Next-Generation Weather Intelligence with $507k R&D Tax Refund

Aeeris Ltd has received a FY25 refundable Research & Development tax offset of $506,992.50, which it is using to support ongoing investment in its proprietary technology platforms. The funding underpins development of the company’s new AWARE weather and risk environment system and enhanced forecasting capabilities, including high-performance cloud architecture, advanced data-processing pipelines and new modelling techniques that improve event detection speed and precision. Aeeris’ R&D program has also advanced AI-assisted forecasting and proprietary hail and severe storm prediction tools, strengthening its operational independence, expanding its intellectual property base and supporting higher long-term margins and scalability. The tax incentive remains a key element in Aeeris’ technology roadmap, reinforcing its strategy to deliver cutting-edge environmental intelligence and drive future product innovation for enterprise, government and insurance clients.

Aeeris Director Bryce Reynolds Increases Equity Exposure via New Option Grant

Aeeris Ltd has disclosed a change in director Bryce Reynolds’ relevant interests in the company’s securities, reflecting an adjustment to his indirect holdings through several associated entities. Following shareholder approval at the 27 November 2025 annual general meeting, Reynolds was issued 2.5 million unlisted options exercisable at $0.13 and expiring on 22 June 2029, modestly increasing his indirect equity exposure and signalling continued alignment of his incentives with shareholder interests.

Aeeris Issues 5 Million Unquoted Options Expiring in 2029

Aeeris Ltd has notified the market of a new issuance of unquoted equity securities. The company will issue 5 million unlisted options, each exercisable at A$0.13 and expiring on 22 June 2029, in a move that expands its pool of potential future share capital and may influence the incentive structure and ownership dilution dynamics for existing shareholders.

Aeeris Ltd Announces Cessation of Securities

Aeeris Ltd announced the cessation of certain securities, specifically 3,540,000 options and 300,000 performance rights, due to their expiry without exercise or conversion. This development may impact the company’s capital structure but reflects a routine financial adjustment rather than a strategic shift.

Aeeris Ltd Announces Successful AGM Resolution Outcomes

Aeeris Ltd announced that all resolutions proposed at their Annual General Meeting were successfully passed by shareholder vote. This outcome reflects strong shareholder support and may positively impact the company’s strategic initiatives and operational plans, reinforcing its position in the environmental services industry.

Aeeris Ltd Enhances Weather Intelligence Services for Risk Management

Aeeris Ltd, a leader in weather and climate intelligence, announced its focus on enhancing its real-time severe weather forecasting and alerting services. This strategic move aims to strengthen its market position in Australia and New Zealand by offering innovative solutions for risk management related to natural hazards, benefiting businesses and government stakeholders.

Aeeris Partners with Nearmap to Boost Insurance Sector’s Weather Response

Aeeris Ltd has entered into a three-year data integration collaboration with Nearmap Australia Pty Ltd to enhance the insurance sector’s response to severe weather events. This partnership integrates Aeeris’ weather data with Nearmap’s ImpactResponse System, enabling faster and more precise damage assessments for insurers, thereby improving decision-making and claims outcomes. The collaboration positions Aeeris as a critical infrastructure provider in the insurance industry, addressing rapid damage assessment challenges and opening opportunities for further data integration agreements.