ACDC Metals Ltd (ADC) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$4.35M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 184.94K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.80
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: AU
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Industrial Materials
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 74,930,756
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 377,677
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 184,944
• PEG Ratio: -0.13
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.33
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -2.22
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 48 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$0.06 ▼(-5.00% Downside)

The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (pre-revenue operations, ongoing losses, and negative operating/free cash flow), partially offset by a low-debt balance sheet. Technicals are broadly neutral with mixed moving averages and negative MACD, and valuation impact is limited because P/E and dividend yield were not provided.

Positive Factors

Conservative balance sheet / low debt

A near-zero debt capital structure materially lowers financial risk and preserves strategic flexibility for a pre-revenue industrial materials company. Over the next 2–6 months this reduces default risk, eases covenant constraints, and gives management optionality to sequence project spend or raise equity on more favorable terms.

Contained annual losses

Relatively small, steady losses limit the pace of capital erosion compared with larger-scale burn. For a development-stage firm this lowers near-term dilution risk and allows management to pursue technical milestones without immediately needing large external raises, improving the probability of reaching commercial inflection points within months.

Improving free cash flow trend

A narrowing negative free cash flow trajectory indicates improving cost control or lower discretionary spend, which reduces near-term funding requirements. If sustained, this structural improvement lengthens runway, lowers dilution risk, and makes the company's development plan more financeable over a multi-month horizon.

Negative Factors

Pre-revenue operations

Zero reported revenue across multiple years means the business model's economic viability is unproven and the company lacks operating cash inflows. Over 2–6 months this elevates execution risk: until commercial sales or production begin, progress depends on milestone delivery and external financing rather than internal cash generation.

Persistent negative operating cash flow

Sustained negative operating cash flow signals ongoing cash burn from operations without offsetting receipts, increasing reliance on capital markets. Structurally this raises funding risk and potential dilution over the medium term, and constrains the company’s ability to scale activities or respond to delays without new financing.

Eroding equity / negative returns on equity

Declining book equity combined with negative ROE reflects cumulative losses consuming shareholder capital. Structurally this reduces the balance sheet buffer available for setbacks, can weaken investor confidence, and may force more frequent capital raises, increasing dilution risk and limiting long-term capital allocation flexibility.

ACDC Metals Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ACDC Metals Limited focuses on the exploration and resource development of heavy mineral sands projects located in Victoria, Australia. It holds binding acquisition agreements to acquire interests in the Goschen Central, Douglas, and Watchem projects located in the Murray Basin, Victoria, Australia. The company was formerly known as ACDC Metals Head Co Ltd and changed its name to ACDC Metals Limited in October 2021. ACDC Metals Limited was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

ACDC Metals Ltd generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of critical minerals and metals. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of processed metals to manufacturers of high-tech and renewable energy products, such as battery producers and electric vehicle manufacturers. ACDC Metals Ltd may also engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures with other companies in the mining and technology sectors to enhance its production capabilities and market reach. Additionally, the company might benefit from government incentives or subsidies aimed at promoting the production of renewable energy materials.

ACDC Metals Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement and cash flow are the main drags: the company remains pre-revenue (zero revenue across FY2022–FY2025) with persistent net losses and consistently negative operating/free cash flow, implying ongoing funding reliance. The key offset is a conservatively financed balance sheet with essentially no debt and a remaining equity base.

Income Statement

ACDC Metals Ltd is still in a pre-revenue phase with zero reported revenue across FY2022–FY2025. Losses are persistent, with net income negative each year and worsening versus FY2024 (FY2025 net loss ~-$0.69m vs. ~-$0.50m), indicating the cost base is not yet supported by operating scale. A positive is that annual losses remain relatively contained (sub-$1m range recently), but the lack of revenue and ongoing operating losses weigh heavily on the income statement quality.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet appears conservatively financed with essentially no debt (zero debt in FY2023–FY2025; only minimal debt in FY2022), which lowers financial risk and preserves flexibility. Equity remains sizable (~$10.1m in FY2025), though it has declined from FY2022–FY2024, consistent with ongoing losses and cash burn. Returns on equity are negative across the period, reflecting that shareholder capital is not yet generating profits.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is weak, with negative operating cash flow every year and negative free cash flow throughout the period, indicating continued funding needs. FY2025 free cash flow improved versus FY2024 (about -$1.52m vs. -$2.40m), but it remains meaningfully negative and operating cash outflows also increased versus FY2024 (about -$0.75m vs. -$0.43m). Overall, the trajectory shows some improvement in total cash burn, but cash flow is still a key risk until revenues or sustained financing are secured.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Gross Profit	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
EBITDA	0.00	0.00	0.00	-1.12M	-216.49K
Net Income	-252.00	-694.48K	-502.00K	-1.12M	-216.49K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	10.63K	10.50M	10.91M	11.28M	11.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.68K	2.03M	3.60M	6.05M	7.42M
Total Debt	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	38.87K
Total Liabilities	108.00	375.16K	324.88K	220.76K	107.09K
Stockholders Equity	10.52K	10.13M	10.58M	11.06M	11.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-924.00	-1.52M	-2.40M	-1.37M	-252.00
Operating Cash Flow	-346.00	-751.53K	-431.32K	-567.00	-252.00
Investing Cash Flow	-566.00	-763.04K	-1.97M	-1.42M	0.00
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-55.97K	0.00	7.50M	675.80K

ACDC Metals Ltd Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.06
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ADC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, above the 50-day MA of 0.06, and above the 200-day MA of 0.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:ADC.

ACDC Metals Ltd Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
CPM	49 Neutral	AU$4.54M	-6.75	-5.47%	―	14.85%	65.47%
ADC	48 Neutral	AU$4.35M	―	―	―	―	―
AOA	44 Neutral	AU$2.85M	―	-65.57%	―	―	-200.00%
CUL	44 Neutral	AU$5.89M	-7.14	-19.53%	―	―	30.00%
APC	43 Neutral	AU$8.08M	-1.48	-430.00%	―	―	-255.77%
KOR	40 Underperform	AU$2.94M	―	―	―	―	―

ACDC Metals Ltd Corporate Events

ACDC Metals Advances Goschen Central Rare Earths Project and Moves Into Victorian Gold

ACDC Metals has outlined progress at its Goschen Central rare earths and mineral sands project, where it is preparing a hydrometallurgical testwork program at ANSTO to confirm the production of a mixed rare earth carbonate from bulk samples, alongside ongoing permitting work on a retention licence targeted for the first quarter of 2026. The company is also seeking to diversify its portfolio through a low-cost entry into the White Hills Gold project in central Victoria, where historical drilling has shown high-grade gold mineralisation, and views government backing for a A$1.2 billion strategic reserve as reinforcing the importance of its role in Australia’s emerging rare earths sector while it examines further value-accretive business development opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ADC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ACDC Metals Ltd stock, see the AU:ADC Stock Forecast page.

ACDC Metals Options Lapse, Trimming Potential Dilution in Capital Structure

ACDC Metals Ltd has announced the expiry of 9.55 million listed options (codes ADCAF and ADCAE), each exercisable at $0.30 and due to expire on 9 January 2026, which lapsed without being exercised or converted. The cessation of these options reduces the company’s pool of potential dilutive securities, slightly simplifying its capital structure and indicating that the market price did not make exercise of these options attractive at expiry, with limited immediate operational impact but some implications for future equity funding flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ADC) stock is a Hold with a A$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ACDC Metals Ltd stock, see the AU:ADC Stock Forecast page.

ACDC Metals Ltd Director’s Interest Update

ACDC Metals Ltd announced a change in the director’s interest, with Andrew Nicholas Shearer acquiring 750,000 unlisted options exercisable at $0.12 on or before December 4, 2027. This acquisition, approved at the AGM, reflects strategic adjustments in the company’s leadership holdings, potentially impacting its operational dynamics and stakeholder interests.

ACDC Metals Ltd Issues 3.6 Million Unlisted Options

ACDC Metals Ltd has announced the issuance of 3,600,000 unlisted options at an exercise price of $0.12, set to expire on December 4, 2027. This issuance is part of a previously announced transaction and is not intended to be quoted on the ASX, potentially impacting the company’s capital structure and offering strategic flexibility for future operations.

ACDC Metals Ltd Highlights Commitment to Critical Mineral Exploration

ACDC Metals Ltd has released a corporate presentation highlighting its ongoing efforts in developing critical mineral assets. The presentation underscores the company’s strategic focus on mineral exploration, with an emphasis on transparency and compliance with the Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it reaffirms the company’s commitment to maintaining high standards in exploration and reporting, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor confidence.

ACDC Metals Ltd Secures Shareholder Approval at AGM

ACDC Metals Ltd announced that all resolutions at its Annual General Meeting were successfully passed, indicating strong shareholder support for the company’s strategic decisions. The resolutions included the re-election of directors and the approval of incentive options, which are expected to enhance the company’s governance and operational capabilities.

ACDC Metals Advances Goschen Central Project Amid Favorable Market Conditions

ACDC Metals Ltd has reported significant progress in its Goschen Central Project, with a detailed mineralogy program revealing high monazite/xenotime content and attractive rare earth element (REE) values. The company is well-funded to advance its projects, supported by a favorable market outlook and governmental backing for critical minerals. ACDC Metals is poised to benefit from the rising global demand for non-Chinese supply, with plans to advance the Goschen Central Project through technical and regulatory development stages, reinforcing its strategic importance in the rare earth sector.