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VLO Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
$198.33
▼(-0.92% Downside)
Based on 15 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Valero Energy in the last 3 months. The average price target is $198.33 with a high forecast of $220.00 and a low forecast of $170.00. The average price target represents a -0.92% change from the last price of $200.17.
Analysts Have Conflicting Sentiments on These Energy Companies: Plains GP Holdings (NASDAQ: PAGP), Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (NYSE: KGS) and Valero Energy (NYSE: VLO)
We see future FY26 cracks implying a $1.70/bbl decline y/y net of an expected $2.5/bbl increase in RINs; we expect this to be offset primarily by wider crude quality diffs. As such, we see VLO refining margins relatively flat y/y. We lower our FY26 EPS as we account for higher RINs in our estimates. We see VLO trading at ~8% FCF yield, while we estimate a 9% sustaining capex yield compared to our valuation using a 10% sustaining yield. We believe 4Q25 cash flow ex-WC benefited from PTC payments that were booked in deferred charges. See our earnings quick take here.
Analysts Have Conflicting Sentiments on These Energy Companies: Plains GP Holdings (NASDAQ: PAGP), Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (NYSE: KGS) and Valero Energy (NYSE: VLO)
We see future FY26 cracks implying a $1.70/bbl decline y/y net of an expected $2.5/bbl increase in RINs; we expect this to be offset primarily by wider crude quality diffs. As such, we see VLO refining margins relatively flat y/y. We lower our FY26 EPS as we account for higher RINs in our estimates. We see VLO trading at ~8% FCF yield, while we estimate a 9% sustaining capex yield compared to our valuation using a 10% sustaining yield. We believe 4Q25 cash flow ex-WC benefited from PTC payments that were booked in deferred charges. See our earnings quick take here.
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The Best Analyst Covering tool allows you to follow the analysts who have the best success rates and average returns on a specific stock. Only analysts that gave a Buy or Sell rating on the stock in the past 12 months are eligible for inclusion in this tool. Follow the analysts of your choice to receive real-time updates when they publish a new rating.
VLO Analyst Recommendation Trends
Rating
Oct 25
Nov 25
Dec 25
Jan 26
Feb 26
Strong Buy
0
0
0
0
0
Buy
23
30
27
27
22
Hold
17
13
22
25
25
Sell
0
0
0
0
0
Strong Sell
0
0
0
0
0
total
40
43
49
52
47
In the current month, VLO has received 22Buy Ratings, 25Hold Ratings, and 0Sell Ratings. VLO average Analyst price target in the past 3 months is 198.33.
Each month's total comprises the sum of three months' worth of ratings.
VLO Financial Forecast
VLO Earnings Forecast
Next quarter’s earnings estimate for VLO is $2.02 with a range of $0.88 to $4.52. The previous quarter’s EPS was $3.82. VLO beat its EPS estimate ― of the time in the past 12 months, while its overall industry beat the EPS estimate 52.17% of the time in the same period. In the last calendar year VLO has Performed in-line its overall industry.
Next quarter’s earnings estimate for VLO is $2.02 with a range of $0.88 to $4.52. The previous quarter’s EPS was $3.82. VLO beat its EPS estimate ― of the time in the past 12 months, while its overall industry beat the EPS estimate 52.17% of the time in the same period. In the last calendar year VLO has Performed in-line its overall industry.
VLO Sales Forecast
Next quarter’s sales forecast for VLO is $28.25B with a range of $25.64B to $30.92B. The previous quarter’s sales results were $30.37B. VLO beat its sales estimates ― of the time in past 12 months, while its overall industry beat sales estimates 53.02% of the time in the same period. In the last calendar year VLO has Performed in-line its overall industry.
Next quarter’s sales forecast for VLO is $28.25B with a range of $25.64B to $30.92B. The previous quarter’s sales results were $30.37B. VLO beat its sales estimates ― of the time in past 12 months, while its overall industry beat sales estimates 53.02% of the time in the same period. In the last calendar year VLO has Performed in-line its overall industry.
VLO Stock Forecast FAQ
What is VLO’s average 12-month price target, according to analysts?
Based on analyst ratings, Valero Energy Corporation’s 12-month average price target is 198.33.
What is VLO’s upside potential, based on the analysts’ average price target?
Currently there's no upside potential for VLO, based on the analysts’ average price target.
Can I see which stocks the top-ranking analysts are rating?
Yes, go to the Analysts’ Top Stocks tool to see stocks with a Strong Buy or Strong Sell analyst rating consensus, according to the top performers.
How can I follow the stock ratings of top Wall Street analysts?
Head over to our Expert Center to see a list of the top 100 Wall Street analysts and follow the analysts of your choice. Visit their profiles for more details about their stock ratings and see how they perform on a stock-by-stock basis.
Is VLO a Buy, Sell or Hold?
Valero Energy Corporation has a consensus rating of Moderate Buy which is based on 9 buy ratings, 6 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings.
What is Valero Energy Corporation’s price target?
The average price target for Valero Energy Corporation is 198.33. This is based on 15 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months. The highest analyst price target is $220.00 ,the lowest forecast is $170.00. The average price target represents -0.92% Decrease from the current price of $200.17.
What do analysts say about Valero Energy Corporation?
Valero Energy Corporation’s analyst rating consensus is a Moderate Buy. This is based on the ratings of 15 Wall Streets Analysts.
How can I buy shares of VLO?
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