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Union Pacific Corp. (UNP)
NYSE:UNP
UNP Analyst Ratings
Moderate Buy
9 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
TipRanks enables you to focus on the analyst rating consensus of all analysts or only the top performers in the past 3 months
UNP Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
$264.29
▲(21.11% Upside)
| Highest Price Target$294.00 | Average Price Target$264.29 | Lowest Price Target$227.00 |
The highest, average, and lowest price target of all analysts. Click on ‘Top Analysts’ to focus on the best performers.
Detailed List of Analyst Forecasts
Detailed List of Analyst Forecasts
Benchmark Co.
$260
Buy
19.14%
Upside
Reiterated
10/27/25
TR | OpenAI - 4o
$256→$234
Hold
7.23%
Upside
Downgraded
10/26/25
AI Generated ArticleAI Generated Article
TD Cowen
$258→$257
Buy
17.77%
Upside
Reiterated
10/24/25
Union Pacific's Strong Q3 Performance and Strategic Pricing Drive Buy RatingWe continue to see a 90% chance of deal approval despite some recent opposition by the ACC (American Chemistry Council), which is the third-largest rail customer and likely will be active in the STB comment period. As we discussed during our recent panel, shippers and shipper associations likely will not get much out of seeking concessions with the STB; they often work directly with the railroad on an agreement. Associations historically are not very good at stopping a merger from happening.
BMO Capital
$277→$275
Buy
26.01%
Upside
Reiterated
10/24/25
Citi
$263→$265
Buy
21.43%
Upside
Reiterated
10/24/25
Union Pacific: Buy Rating Backed by Merger Prospects and Strong Efficiency MetricsWe expect shares could move higher in the weeks ahead in anticipation of UNP’s coming shareholder vote on its merger proposal with NSC (Nov. 14) and the pending submission of its merger application to the Surface Transportation Board (STB), expected late Nov. or early Dec. UP continues to execute at a high level on many of its most important efficiency metrics, as the company continues to sound confident on its multi-year EPS growth targets. We suspect recent softness may be related to macro uncertainty as tariffs and the government shut-down introduce risk to 4Q results, but these incremental negatives are counter-balanced by its better-than- expected execution.
J.P. Morgan
$265→$267
Hold
22.35%
Upside
Reiterated
10/24/25
UBS
$253
Hold
15.93%
Upside
Assigned
10/24/25
Union Pacific: Strong Q3 Performance but Uncertain Future Growth Leads to Hold Rating3Q reflected strong network operation and execution UNP delivered a solid 3Q EPS report which reflected strong rail network operation as shown across a variety of metrics including car miles / day which rose 9% y/y to 228 mph while OR improved 180 bp y/y to 58.5%. UNP paid down $1 bn of debt in 3Q and we expect them to remain focused on reducing debt as they prepare for the potential acquisition of NSC. Intermodal average revenue / car (ARC) of 2.1% y/y was stronger than our forecast of -1.5% while ARC eased a bit and was modestly below our forecasts for coal at 3.8% ( vs our est 9.0%) and metals and 3.4% (vs our 6.9% est). Muted commentary on 4Q amid softer volume backdrop UNP indicated it may be difficult to show EPS growth y/y in 4Q25 as they face a difficult comparison and weaker volumes in a few customer segments most notably intermodal.
Barclays
$270
Buy
23.72%
Upside
Reiterated
10/24/25
Goldman Sachs
$262→$263
Hold
20.52%
Upside
Reiterated
10/23/25
Bank of America Securities
$271→$260
Buy
19.14%
Upside
Reiterated
10/23/25
RBC Capital
$276→$291
Buy
33.35%
Upside
Reiterated
09/30/25
Bernstein
$294
Buy
34.72%
Upside
Reiterated
09/30/25
Evercore ISI
$238→$246
Hold
12.73%
Upside
Reiterated
09/25/25
Susquehanna
$257→$272
Buy
24.64%
Upside
Reiterated
09/25/25
Loop Capital Markets
$214→$227
Hold
4.02%
Upside
Upgraded
09/16/25
Ranks
Any
Analyst Rating
Any
Upside/ Downside
Any
Action
Any
Benchmark Co.
$260
Buy
19.14%
Upside
Reiterated
10/27/25
TR | OpenAI - 4o
$256→$234
Hold
7.23%
Upside
Downgraded
10/26/25
AI Generated ArticleAI Generated Article
TD Cowen
$258→$257
Buy
17.77%
Upside
Reiterated
10/24/25
Union Pacific's Strong Q3 Performance and Strategic Pricing Drive Buy RatingWe continue to see a 90% chance of deal approval despite some recent opposition by the ACC (American Chemistry Council), which is the third-largest rail customer and likely will be active in the STB comment period. As we discussed during our recent panel, shippers and shipper associations likely will not get much out of seeking concessions with the STB; they often work directly with the railroad on an agreement. Associations historically are not very good at stopping a merger from happening.
BMO Capital
$277→$275
Buy
26.01%
Upside
Reiterated
10/24/25
Citi
$263→$265
Buy
21.43%
Upside
Reiterated
10/24/25
Union Pacific: Buy Rating Backed by Merger Prospects and Strong Efficiency MetricsWe expect shares could move higher in the weeks ahead in anticipation of UNP’s coming shareholder vote on its merger proposal with NSC (Nov. 14) and the pending submission of its merger application to the Surface Transportation Board (STB), expected late Nov. or early Dec. UP continues to execute at a high level on many of its most important efficiency metrics, as the company continues to sound confident on its multi-year EPS growth targets. We suspect recent softness may be related to macro uncertainty as tariffs and the government shut-down introduce risk to 4Q results, but these incremental negatives are counter-balanced by its better-than- expected execution.
J.P. Morgan
$265→$267
Hold
22.35%
Upside
Reiterated
10/24/25
UBS
$253
Hold
15.93%
Upside
Assigned
10/24/25
Union Pacific: Strong Q3 Performance but Uncertain Future Growth Leads to Hold Rating3Q reflected strong network operation and execution UNP delivered a solid 3Q EPS report which reflected strong rail network operation as shown across a variety of metrics including car miles / day which rose 9% y/y to 228 mph while OR improved 180 bp y/y to 58.5%. UNP paid down $1 bn of debt in 3Q and we expect them to remain focused on reducing debt as they prepare for the potential acquisition of NSC. Intermodal average revenue / car (ARC) of 2.1% y/y was stronger than our forecast of -1.5% while ARC eased a bit and was modestly below our forecasts for coal at 3.8% ( vs our est 9.0%) and metals and 3.4% (vs our 6.9% est). Muted commentary on 4Q amid softer volume backdrop UNP indicated it may be difficult to show EPS growth y/y in 4Q25 as they face a difficult comparison and weaker volumes in a few customer segments most notably intermodal.
Barclays
$270
Buy
23.72%
Upside
Reiterated
10/24/25
Goldman Sachs
$262→$263
Hold
20.52%
Upside
Reiterated
10/23/25
Bank of America Securities
$271→$260
Buy
19.14%
Upside
Reiterated
10/23/25
RBC Capital
$276→$291
Buy
33.35%
Upside
Reiterated
09/30/25
Bernstein
$294
Buy
34.72%
Upside
Reiterated
09/30/25
Evercore ISI
$238→$246
Hold
12.73%
Upside
Reiterated
09/25/25
Susquehanna
$257→$272
Buy
24.64%
Upside
Reiterated
09/25/25
Loop Capital Markets
$214→$227
Hold
4.02%
Upside
Upgraded
09/16/25
Best Analysts Covering Union Pacific
1 Month
xxx
Success Rate
18/26 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+2.52%
reiterated a xxx
rating 3 months ago
Copying xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
trades and holding each position for 1 Month would result in 69.23% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +2.52% per trade.
3 Months
xxx
Success Rate
13/18 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+3.61%
reiterated a xxx
rating last month
Copying xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
trades and holding each position for 3 Months would result in 72.22% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +3.61% per trade.
1 Year
Success Rate
27/36 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+11.35%
reiterated a buy rating 29 days ago
Copying Walter Spracklin's trades and holding each position for 1 Year would result in - of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +11.35% per trade.
2 Years
xxx
Success Rate
24/32 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+14.57%
reiterated a xxx
rating 3 months ago
Copying xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
trades and holding each position for 2 Years would result in 75.00% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +14.57% per trade.
The Best Analyst Covering tool allows you to follow the analysts who have the best success rates and average returns on a specific stock. Only analysts that gave a Buy or Sell rating on the stock in the past 12 months are eligible for inclusion in this tool. Follow the analysts of your choice to receive real-time updates when they publish a new rating.
UNP Analyst Recommendation Trends
Rating
Jun 25
Jul 25
Aug 25
Sep 25
Oct 25
Strong Buy
0
0
0
0
0
Buy
36
42
45
49
26
Hold
11
9
10
11
6
Sell
1
0
0
0
0
Strong Sell
0
0
0
0
0
total
48
51
55
60
32
Each month's total comprises the sum of three months' worth of ratings.
UNP Financial Forecast
UNP Stock Forecast FAQ
What is UNP’s average 12-month price target, according to analysts?
Based on analyst ratings, Union Pacific Corp.’s 12-month average price target is 264.29.
What is UNP’s upside potential, based on the analysts’ average price target?
Union Pacific Corp. has 21.11% upside potential, based on the analysts’ average price target.
Can I see which stocks the top-ranking analysts are rating?
Yes, go to the Analysts’ Top Stocks tool to see stocks with a Strong Buy or Strong Sell analyst rating consensus, according to the top performers.
How can I follow the stock ratings of top Wall Street analysts?
Head over to our Expert Center to see a list of the top 100 Wall Street analysts and follow the analysts of your choice. Visit their profiles for more details about their stock ratings and see how they perform on a stock-by-stock basis.
Is UNP a Buy, Sell or Hold?
Union Pacific Corp. has a consensus rating of Moderate Buy which is based on 9 buy ratings, 6 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings.
What is Union Pacific Corp.’s price target?
The average price target for Union Pacific Corp. is 264.29. This is based on 15 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months.
The highest analyst price target is $294.00 ,the lowest forecast is $227.00. The average price target represents 21.11% Increase from the current price of $218.23.
The highest analyst price target is $294.00 ,the lowest forecast is $227.00. The average price target represents 21.11% Increase from the current price of $218.23.
What do analysts say about Union Pacific Corp.?
Union Pacific Corp.’s analyst rating consensus is a Moderate Buy. This is based on the ratings of 15 Wall Streets Analysts.
How can I buy shares of UNP?
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