2025 Profitability CollapseA sudden shift to negative gross profit and EBIT in 2025 signals material operational or portfolio impairments. Persistent losses would erode retained earnings, weaken ROE, limit capacity to finance portfolio support, and reduce expected disposal proceeds that drive long-term investor returns.
Steep Revenue DeclineA sharp drop in revenue undermines fee income and the valuation base for exits. If this reflects structural weakness across holdings or cyclically sensitive exposure, it can persistently lower capital gains prospects and constrain reinvestment and distribution capacity over the medium term.
Declining Free Cash Flow & Earnings VolatilityA downward trend in FCF and volatile earnings reduce financial flexibility and resilience. Sustained declines limit capital available for buyouts, follow-ons or dividends, increase the chance of asset sales at unfavorable times, and raise execution risk for the firm’s hands-on value creation strategy.