Strong Q4 Financial Performance
Q4 net cash provided by operating activities before changes in working capital was ~$222,000,000 (more than double Q4 capital expenditures), adjusted EBITDA was $235,000,000, and adjusted free cash flow was $120,000,000, supporting repurchases and acreage activity.
Robust Liquidity and Low Leverage
Year-end trailing twelve-month net leverage was 0.9x (below 1x target). Liquidity totaled $806,000,000 as of 12/31/2025, comprised of $1,800,000 cash plus $804,300,000 borrowing base availability, providing substantial financial flexibility.
Aggressive Share Repurchase Program
Repurchased 665,000 shares in Q4 for approximately $135,000,000; since program inception ~7,400,000 shares repurchased at an average price of $125.19 (noted as nearly 35% below current share price). Company plans to deploy more than $140,000,000 toward repurchases in 2026 while maintaining leverage at or below ~1x.
Inventory Expansion and Discretionary Acreage Acquisitions
Discretionary acreage program expected to reach the high end of a ~$100,000,000 target (with $62,900,000 deployed at year-end 2025). Acquisitions priced at approximately $2,000,000 per net location, and company expects discretionary buys plus development to add over 5.5 years of net locations by end of 2026, expanding growth inventory by more than 40% since 2022.
2026 Development Focus and Capital Plan
2026 total capital spend projected at $400,000,000 to $430,000,000 (includes $35,000,000-$40,000,000 maintenance land & seismic). More than 75% of 2026 turn-in-line program is forecasted to be weighted to Utica dry gas and wet gas windows — the company's highest-return areas.
Production Outlook and Exit Momentum
Full-year 2026 production forecasted at 1.03 to 1.055 billion cubic feet equivalent per day (Bcfe/d), relatively flat to 2025 full-year average of 1.040 Bcfe/d. Fourth quarter 2026 production is forecasted to be ~5% higher than 2025, positioning the company to exit the year stronger.
Improving Price Realizations and Basis
All-in realized price for Q4 was $3.65 per Mcfe (including cash-settled derivatives), a $0.10 premium to NYMEX Henry Hub. Management tightened the forecasted natural gas differential for 2026 by 25% versus 2025 and now expects to realize $0.15 to $0.30 per Mcf below Henry Hub for full-year 2026, boosting free cash flow outlook.
Operational Wins and Well Performance
Completed drilling and completion of first Utica U development wells (brought online in Q1) with early results tracking in line with expectations. 2025 full-year operated D&C capital (ex-discretionary land) was ~$354,000,000, and full-year production averaged 1.040 Bcfe/d.
Targeted Efficiency and Base Improvements
2026 program includes ~$15,000,000 for base production improvements (workovers targeting <12-month paybacks) and ~$5,000,000 for proprietary 3D seismic to support improved well planning; company increased planned Marcellus North investment by $10,000,000 versus 2025 to drill two Jefferson County wells as DUCs into 2027.