Full-Year Same-Property Revenue Outperformance
Same-property revenue growth of 3.3% for full-year 2025 (at the high end of guidance and ~30 basis points above original projections), driven by lower concessions, higher occupancy and other income.
Strong FFO / Earnings Execution in 2025
FFO per share growth for 2025 came in above the midpoint of guidance, reflecting operational execution across property operations and corporate teams.
Healthy Q4 Operating Metrics
Fourth quarter blended lease-rate growth of 1.9%, occupancy up 20 basis points sequentially to 96.3%, and concessions averaging ~one week (typical seasonality). Los Angeles led occupancy improvement with a 70 bps sequential increase.
Delinquency Recovery Near Pre-COVID Levels
Delinquencies improved to ~50 basis points, roughly 10 basis points off historical pre-COVID averages, with further recovery concentrated where eviction processing normalizes (notably L.A.).
Northern California & West Coast Outperformance
Northern California outperformed expectations due to tech expansion, favorable migration, and limited housing supply; Essex markets outperformed the U.S. average on rent growth with regional ranking: Northern CA > Seattle > Southern CA.
Robust Investment Market Activity
West Coast institutional multifamily transaction volume was $12.6 billion in 2025, a 43% increase vs 2024; cap rate compression observed (top submarkets in low-4% range; remaining in mid-4% range). Essex was the largest investor in Northern California over the past two years, with significant NAV appreciation from pre-compression acquisitions.
2026 Supply Outlook Favorable
Company forecasts total new housing supply to decline by approximately 20% year-over-year in 2026, supporting expectation of blended rent growth above the U.S. average and comparable to 2025.
Disciplined Expense and Insurance Outlook
2026 same-property expense growth forecast at 3% (midpoint) — the lowest rate in several years — with controllable expenses ~+2% and insurance expected down ~5% year-over-year, supporting a projected same-property NOI growth of ~2.1% at midpoint.
Strong Liquidity & Funding Position
Free cash flow covers dividend and planned capex/development; proactive maturity management (December bond offering); liquidity of over $1.7 billion and ample capital sources available.