Full-Year CAFD Above Guidance Midpoint
Clearway delivered full-year cash available for distribution (CAFD) of $430 million, above the original guidance midpoint of $420 million (guidance range $400M–$440M), approximately +2.4% above the midpoint. Management reaffirmed 2026 CAFD guidance of $470M–$510M and reiterated a 2027 CAFD per share target of $2.70 or better.
Material Capacity Additions and Contracting Activity
Enterprise added ~1.3 GW of value-enhancing projects in 2025 and signed ~2 GW of new PPAs with hyperscalers in 2025, with additional gigawatts of revenue contracting opportunities under discussion.
Strong Development Commercialization and Pipeline Depth
100% of planned repowerings and new construction projects in the 2026 and 2027 vintages are commercialized; nearly 50% of late-stage megawatts in the 2028 vintage are contracted. The 2029 vintage includes development activity of over ~7 GW, providing redundancy well above what is needed to hit 2030 goals.
Clear 2030 CAFD per Share Target with CAGR Expectation
Company reaffirmed a 2030 CAFD per share target of $2.90–$3.10, representing an expected 7%–8% CAGR from 2025 and management confidence in meeting the target through identified/commercialized projects and sponsor-enabled growth.
Repowerings and Yield Targets
Repowerings totaling more than 900 MW are on schedule for 2027 commercial operations and are expected to deliver attractive CAFD yields in excess of 11%, while extending useful life of wind assets.
Capital Markets Execution and Funding Optionality
Closed an upsized $600M senior unsecured note due 2034 at an attractive spread (second-tightest high-yield spread in the power sector since 2020), executed $100M of opportunistic equity issuance (least dilutive in platform history), and reported stock price appreciation of over +30% since late August. Management says it can deploy at least $650M incremental corporate capital over 2028–2030 and remains targeting a BB credit rating and long-term payout ratio below 70%.
Q4 Operating and Financial Results
Fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA was $237 million and quarterly CAFD was $35 million. Full-year performance benefited from on-time commercial operations, accretive third‑party M&A and strong fleet performance that drove full-year CAFD above guidance midpoint.
Sponsor-Enabled Growth Momentum (CWEN)
All CWEN committed projects are under construction and progressing to milestones; Royal Slope received an offer for investment and Honeycomb II battery phase is a potential CWEN investment with an offer expected later in 2026, supporting sponsor-enabled growth runway.
PPA Pricing Environment Improved
Management reported a favorable and sustained PPA pricing environment across geographies, noting PPA pricing in comparable markets is roughly double levels from three years ago, supporting attractive returns for new development.
Strategic Opportunities for Co‑located Digital Infrastructure
Clearway Group is developing multi-technology generation complexes across five states to serve data-center demand; first-generation resources at these complexes could come online as soon as late 2028, creating additional accretive investment pathways similar in return profile to traditional long-term contracted assets.