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Sierra Metals (TSE:SMT)
TSX:SMT

Sierra Metals (SMT) AI Stock Analysis

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TSSierra Metals
(TSX:SMT)
58Neutral
Sierra Metals' overall score is driven by positive earnings growth and promising corporate events, but it is weighed down by poor valuation and financial performance metrics. The upward technical momentum and positive earnings call outlook are key strengths, while net losses and high leverage remain concerns.

Sierra Metals (SMT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Sierra Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSierra Metals Inc. is a Canadian mining company focused on the production and development of precious and base metals in Latin America. The company operates three mines in Mexico and Peru, where it primarily produces copper, zinc, lead, silver, and gold. Sierra Metals is committed to sustainable mining practices and aims to optimize its operations to enhance shareholder value.
How the Company Makes MoneySierra Metals generates revenue through the extraction and sale of mined metals such as copper, zinc, lead, silver, and gold. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of these commodities to various customers and partners in the metals market. Sierra Metals' earnings are significantly influenced by the global demand and pricing of these metals. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its mining operations and expand its market reach, contributing to its revenue generation.

Sierra Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
252.23M229.54M192.12M272.01M246.89M229.04M
Gross Profit
67.79M51.84M5.47M81.22M81.58M57.76M
EBIT
22.18M13.66M-75.82M40.91M51.12M28.51M
EBITDA
61.98M48.02M3.32M86.98M91.39M63.70M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-4.44M-19.33M-87.50M-22.11M23.42M9.42M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
9.12M9.12M5.07M34.93M71.47M42.98M
Total Assets
314.12M314.12M310.44M396.82M439.59M411.45M
Total Debt
86.01M86.01M89.01M83.44M100.46M100.07M
Net Debt
76.89M76.89M83.93M48.51M28.99M57.09M
Total Liabilities
204.26M204.26M194.25M192.19M199.38M199.43M
Stockholders Equity
75.26M75.26M81.61M169.25M201.00M176.78M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
524.00K6.19M-30.99M473.00K31.01M-15.03M
Operating Cash Flow
55.13M50.19M7.26M72.25M66.98M39.59M
Investing Cash Flow
-51.98M-43.99M-38.26M-71.77M-34.25M-54.62M
Financing Cash Flow
-2.85M-2.23M1.12M-36.89M-4.07M36.16M

Sierra Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.77
Price Trends
50DMA
0.86
Negative
100DMA
0.81
Negative
200DMA
0.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
36.54
Neutral
STOCH
18.10
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SMT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.85, below the 50-day MA of 0.86, and below the 200-day MA of 0.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.10 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:SMT.

Sierra Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSHBM
72
Outperform
$4.06B36.823.40%0.21%42.67%718.35%
TSLUN
66
Neutral
$9.86B25.63-4.60%3.39%-2.71%-188.94%
TSFM
61
Neutral
$14.97B0.02%-24.38%99.06%
TSSMT
58
Neutral
$165.30M-5.49%15.15%94.06%
TSCS
56
Neutral
$6.09B51.52-3.82%12.21%
47
Neutral
$2.64B-4.00-31.55%3.33%2.93%-29.90%
TSTLO
42
Neutral
C$74.78M-0.95%11.11%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SMT
Sierra Metals
0.74
0.00
0.00%
TSE:HBM
Hudbay Minerals
10.00
1.87
22.94%
TSE:CS
Capstone Copper
7.80
0.77
10.95%
TSE:FM
First Quantum Minerals
16.89
2.98
21.42%
TSE:LUN
Lundin Mining
11.36
0.82
7.80%
TSE:TLO
Talon Metals
0.08
-0.08
-50.00%

Sierra Metals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Nov 7, 2024 | % Change Since: -6.10% | Next Earnings Date: Mar 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presents a positive outlook for Sierra Metals, with significant improvements in production and financial metrics, including record revenues and EBITDA growth. Despite some challenges in lead and zinc production, the overall performance is strong, and the company remains optimistic about future prospects.
Highlights
Increased Production Across Key Metals
In Q3 2024, Sierra Metals' copper production increased by 29%, silver production by 30%, and gold production by 16% compared to Q2 2024, driven by improved metal prices.
Significant Improvement in Financial Performance
Net revenues for Q3 2024 were $70.9 million, marking the highest quarter in over three years with a 23% increase from Q2 2024 and a 25% increase from Q3 2023.
Record EBITDA Growth
Adjusted Q3 EBITDA reached $20.4 million, the highest in two years, up from $8.1 million in Q3 2023. Year-to-date EBITDA reached $51 million, equaling the entire 2023 EBITDA.
Successful Cusi Mine Sale
The sale of the Cusi mine resulted in $2.1 million in net proceeds and a monthly saving of $300,000 in maintenance expenses.
Operational Efficiency and Expansion
Bolivar processed 402,000 tonnes of ore, a 7% increase from Q2 2024, with cash costs improved due to lower operating costs per tonne and higher grades.
Lowlights
Lower Lead and Zinc Production
While copper, silver, and gold production increased, lead production was lower and zinc production remained flat in Q3 2024.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter 2024 earnings call for Sierra Metals Inc., the company provided several key metrics and forward-looking guidance. The two operating mines, Yauricocha and Bolivar, processed nearly 669,000 tonnes of ore, marking a 7% increase from the previous quarter. Copper production rose by 29% to 11 million pounds, while silver and gold production increased by 30% and 16%, respectively. As a result of these improvements, cash flow from operations increased by 48% to over $22 million. The company also noted that they sold the Cusi mine, resulting in $2.1 million in net proceeds and monthly savings of $300,000. Looking ahead, the company expects to exceed its consolidated production guidance for the year, with Bolivar operating near capacity and Yauricocha ramping up towards full capacity. Financially, Sierra Metals reported net revenues of $70.9 million, a 23% increase over the previous quarter, and adjusted EBITDA of $20.4 million, the highest in two years. The company remains optimistic about continuing improvements in operational and cost efficiencies.

Sierra Metals Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sierra Metals Updates Shareholder Rights Plan Amid Hostile Bid
Neutral
Jan 22, 2025

Sierra Metals has announced that the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) will defer its decision on the company’s shareholder rights plan adopted in response to a hostile takeover bid by Alpayana S.A.C. The plan remains effective and aims to protect shareholder interests against the unsolicited bid for Sierra’s common shares. The TSX’s deferral is a standard procedure in takeover situations, and the rights plan will stay in effect for at least six months unless terminated earlier.

Business Operations and Strategy
Sierra Metals Unveils Promising Drill Results at Bolivar Mine
Positive
Jan 21, 2025

Sierra Metals has announced promising drill results from its Bolivar Mine in Mexico, revealing higher copper grades than previously reported. These findings suggest a significant potential for resource expansion, with the mineralized body potentially extending by additional meters both along the strike and vertically. This could enhance the mine’s value and align with Sierra Metals’ strategy of resource replacement and growth, benefiting stakeholders.

Sierra Metals Surpasses 2024 Production Guidance with Record Q4 Throughput
Jan 15, 2025

Sierra Metals announced record throughput for Q4 2024 and annual production results that exceeded guidance for copper, silver, gold, and zinc, with lead production meeting expectations. This achievement underscores the company’s strong operational performance and strategic investments aimed at increasing throughput and resource growth at its Latin American mines. The company anticipates continued exploration and optimization efforts to expand mineral resources, ensuring robust cash flows and long-term value for shareholders.

Sierra Metals Rejects Hostile Bid, Projects Robust Growth
Jan 14, 2025

Sierra Metals’ Board of Directors has unanimously rejected a hostile takeover bid by Alpayana S.A.C., citing that the offer undervalues the company’s assets and growth potential. The company is poised for significant growth in 2025, with an expected increase in EBITDA to approximately $130 million, driven by higher production at its Yauricocha and Bolivar mines.

Sierra Metals Introduces Shareholder Rights Plan
Dec 30, 2024

Sierra Metals has introduced a shareholder rights plan to ensure fair treatment for all shareholders during take-over bids, safeguarding against ‘creeping bids.’ The plan allows shareholders to purchase additional shares at a discount if certain conditions are met, though it requires approval from shareholders and the Toronto Stock Exchange.

Sierra Metals Plans Shareholder Meeting and Growth Strategy
Dec 12, 2024

Sierra Metals is planning a special shareholder meeting to discuss a proposed consolidation of its common shares, aiming to enhance marketability and attract a wider range of investors. The company has optimized its operations over the last two years, achieving increased production capacity and profitability across its mines, while also divesting its Cusi Mine to focus on core operations.

Sierra Metals Reveals 2025 Production and Cost Guidance
Dec 5, 2024

Sierra Metals has announced its 2025 production and cost guidance for its Yauricocha and Bolivar mines, expecting full capacity operations throughout the year. The company anticipates increased metal production and a stronger cost structure at Yauricocha, while maintaining a steady cost structure at Bolivar despite lower projected grades.

Sierra Metals Boosts Yauricocha Mine Capacity
Dec 4, 2024

Sierra Metals has successfully increased its Yauricocha mine’s throughput capacity to 3,600 tonnes per day, marking a 30% increase from the previous year. This achievement comes after the completion of mine development below the 1120 level, promising an extended mine life and reduced operating costs.

Sierra Metals Expects to Surpass 2024 Production Targets
Nov 7, 2024

Sierra Metals reports significant financial growth in Q3 2024, with revenues and EBITDA showing substantial increases compared to previous quarters. The company expects to surpass its annual production guidance, driven by strong performances at its Yauricocha and Bolivar mines. Improved operations and rising metal prices have bolstered cash flows, enhancing Sierra Metals’ financial position.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.