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Radius Gold Inc (TSE:RDU)
:RDU

Radius Gold (RDU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:RDU

Radius Gold

(RDU)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.18
▲(11.87% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by the lack of revenue, recurring losses, and ongoing cash burn, which increase financing and dilution risk. Technical signals are modestly supportive and recent corporate actions are positive for project optionality, but valuation is difficult to justify with negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Low leverage
A very low absolute debt load and minimal debt-to-equity ratio reduce bankruptcy and interest-rate risk, preserving financial flexibility to fund exploration or withstand delays. This durable conservatism supports project optionality and partner negotiations over months.
Strengthened exploration leadership & project optionality
Adding senior technical leadership and expanding the Tierra Roja land position materially improves the firm's ability to execute exploration programs, attract JV partners, and advance permits and drill campaigns. These structural improvements raise the probability of value-creating discoveries or farm-out transactions.
Monetization-focused exploration model
An asset-centric business model that targets partner-funded JVs, options, or royalties lets Radius de-risk capital intensity, preserve upside for shareholders, and scale exploration through external funding. Over months this enables progress without requiring immediate commercial production.
Negative Factors
No revenue and recurring losses
Lack of operating revenue and repeated net losses are structural constraints: they force reliance on capital markets, limit self-funding of exploration, and increase dilution risk. Over the medium term this undermines sustainable operations absent new financing or partner deals.
Consistent negative cash flow
Persistently negative operating and free cash flow indicate ongoing cash burn that worsened in the TTM period. This creates durable financing needs, raises execution risk for exploration programs, and constrains the company's ability to fund new work without dilutive capital or partner funding.
Capital erosion and negative returns on equity
Falling shareholders' equity and sharply negative ROE reflect capital erosion from losses. Structurally, this weakens the balance sheet's capacity to absorb setbacks, may deter some investors/partners, and increases the likelihood of future equity raises that dilute existing holders.

Radius Gold (RDU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Radius Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRadius Gold Inc. engages in the acquisition and exploration of mineral properties. It explores for gold, silver, copper, zinc, and lead deposits. The company holds interests in the Holly and Banderas project located in Guatemala; the Maricela project covering an area of 155 hectares located in Sonora, Mexico; the Rambler project covering an area of 10,379-hectares located in Chihuahua, Mexico; and the Amalia project covering an area of 10,250 hectares, as well as the Plata Verde project covering an area of 300 hectares located in Chihuahua, Mexico. Radius Gold Inc. is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyRadius Gold makes money through the exploration and potential development of gold and silver properties. The company's revenue model is primarily based on the successful identification and development of mineral resources, which can lead to either the sale of these properties to larger mining companies or the establishment of joint ventures. Revenue can also be generated through option agreements, where Radius Gold grants other companies the right to acquire an interest in its projects in exchange for a series of cash and share payments, and often a commitment to fund further exploration work. Additionally, any significant mineral discoveries can increase the company's value and attract investment, contributing to its earnings. Partnerships and strategic alliances with other mining and exploration companies also play a crucial role in funding exploration activities and sharing the risks and rewards associated with mineral development.

Radius Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals driven by no revenue, recurring net losses, and sustained operating/free-cash-flow burn. The balance sheet is a relative bright spot with low debt, but equity has declined and negative ROE highlights ongoing capital erosion and funding/dilution risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Radius Gold has reported no revenue across the provided periods, with persistent operating losses. Losses narrowed meaningfully from 2023 (net loss of ~2.64M) to 2024 (net loss of ~0.96M), but widened again in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) to a net loss of ~1.32M. The lack of revenue and recurring negative profitability remain the key weakness, even though the cost base appears somewhat variable year-to-year.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively conservative from a leverage perspective, with low total debt (~86K in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)) and low debt vs. equity (debt-to-equity ~0.04 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)). However, equity has declined versus earlier years (e.g., from ~3.46M in 2022 to ~1.95M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), and returns on equity are sharply negative in the last two periods (TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) return on equity ~-0.82), reflecting ongoing losses and capital erosion risk.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash generation is weak, with operating cash flow negative in every period shown and worsening in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (operating cash flow ~-1.08M vs. ~-0.67M in 2024). Free cash flow is also consistently negative, and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow declined versus 2024 (free cash flow growth about -29%). While free cash flow tracks net income closely (largely because both are negative), the core issue is continued cash burn without revenue support.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-44.83K-74.09K-69.31K-62.70K-78.09K-74.02K
EBITDA-1.27M-876.69K-2.56M-1.17M-1.23M-986.98K
Net Income-1.32M-956.00K-2.64M1.08M-893.00K-893.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.50M1.84M2.36M3.71M2.80M3.75M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.03M1.40M1.92M3.29M2.27M3.12M
Total Debt85.51K95.52K81.94K154.63K218.89K275.49K
Total Liabilities546.05K437.57K171.88K254.69K303.22K373.41K
Stockholders Equity1.95M1.40M2.19M3.46M2.50M3.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.09M-673.89K-2.19M-1.10M-1.09M-1.05M
Operating Cash Flow-1.08M-666.56K-2.15M-1.10M-1.09M-1.05M
Investing Cash Flow1.13M107.23K-210.54K1.05M433.12K1.95M
Financing Cash Flow701.78K486.78K1.85M-60.51K-37.85K-27.05K

Radius Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.16
Price Trends
50DMA
0.15
Positive
100DMA
0.15
Positive
200DMA
0.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
50.95
Neutral
STOCH
56.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RDU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.16, above the 50-day MA of 0.15, and above the 200-day MA of 0.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:RDU.

Radius Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
49
Neutral
C$18.51M-13.01-88.09%21.15%
49
Neutral
C$23.76M-3.65-130.54%-47.82%
48
Neutral
C$17.07M125.0013.19%
43
Neutral
C$16.53M36.67-56.52%
30
Underperform
C$14.39M-17.71-26.39%54.76%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RDU
Radius Gold
0.16
0.04
33.33%
TSE:PMC
Peloton Minerals
0.11
0.02
22.22%
TSE:FFOX
FireFox Gold
0.62
0.32
107.36%
TSE:NINE
Nine Mile Metals Ltd
0.17
0.16
1600.00%
TSE:NBRK
New Break Resources Ltd.
0.28
0.22
358.33%
TSE:RGR
Rio Grande Resources Ltd
0.33
0.25
306.25%

Radius Gold Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Radius Gold Advances Permitting at Peru Copper Project and Reassesses Latin American Portfolio
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

Radius Gold Inc. has reported progress on its Tierra Roja copper project in southern Peru, where a key technical access review has been approved by the Regional Government of Arequipa and remaining documentation is being processed for a temporary surface use permit, positioning the company to commence drilling once all authorizations are in place. The company also highlighted the upside at its Amalia gold-silver project in Mexico, where high-grade mineralization remains open and discussions continue with partner Pan American Silver to determine a path forward after work was suspended in 2022, and at its Holly gold-silver joint venture in Guatemala, which hosts an inferred high-grade resource and benefits from renewed regional mining momentum, while Radius concurrently advances due diligence on new gold, silver and copper opportunities in Mexico, Peru and Chile to strengthen its regional exploration footprint.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RDU) stock is a Hold with a C$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Radius Gold stock, see the TSE:RDU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Radius Gold Appoints New VP Exploration to Drive Project Growth
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

Radius Gold Inc. has appointed Alejandro Ly as Vice President of Exploration, leveraging his extensive experience in precious and base-metal systems to advance the company’s exploration portfolio. Mr. Ly will focus on the Tierra Roja copper project and utilize his connections in Peru, Mexico, and the U.S. to expand the project pipeline. Despite delays in obtaining a final administrative access waiver, Radius is prepared to commence drilling at Tierra Roja, having completed all necessary preparations and secured required permits, except for the final authorization.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025