Origen Resources (ORGN) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$3.75M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 9.77K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.71
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: 82.04%
• Country: CA
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Other Precious Metals
• EPS (TTM): >-0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 57,730,152
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 5,906
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 9,769
• PEG Ratio: 0.04
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.60
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -3.44
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 44 Neutral
• Price Target: C$0.06 ▲(5.00% Upside)

The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance (no revenue, recurring losses, and ongoing cash burn). Technicals also remain bearish with the stock trading below key moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation is limited by negative earnings and no dividend support.

Positive Factors

Balance Sheet Strength

Zero debt and a 0.0 debt-to-equity ratio materially reduce solvency and bankruptcy risk for a capital‑intensive explorer. This conservative financing extends runway and gives management flexibility to pursue exploration programs or negotiate deals without immediate interest burdens.

Positive EBITDA in TTM

Positive EBITDA in the latest TTM indicates core operations, before non‑cash and below‑EBIT adjustments, produce earnings capacity. That structural result gives management a lever: with disciplined costs or asset transactions, underlying operational performance could be converted into sustainable cashflow improvements.

Exploration Value-creation Model

The company's model—acquiring and advancing early‑stage mineral assets—provides durable optionality: successful discovery, JV, or asset sale can unlock significant value without current revenue. This structural pathway supports non‑linear value creation over months to years if projects progress.

Negative Factors

No Revenue and Recurring Losses

Absence of any reported revenue and persistent net losses mean the company lacks an operating revenue base to fund exploration. Over the medium term this forces reliance on financing or asset sales, raises dilution risk, and leaves long‑term capital allocation and shareholder returns uncertain.

Negative Operating and Free Cash Flow

Consistently negative operating cash flow and free cash flow indicate the business cannot self‑fund its exploration programs. Structural cash burn necessitates repeated external financing, which is timing‑sensitive in volatile metals markets and can delay project advancement or dilute existing shareholders.

Erosion of Shareholder Equity and ROE

Negative ROE and declining shareholders' equity demonstrate capital erosion and lack of shareholder value creation. Continued losses that reduce book value increase the probability of dilutive capital raises or asset disposals to sustain operations, undermining long‑term investor returns.

Origen Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Origen Resources, Inc. (ORGN) is a natural resources company focused on the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties. The company operates primarily in the mining sector, targeting valuable mineral deposits such as gold and copper. Origen Resources aims to identify and capitalize on high-potential resource opportunities, leveraging advanced exploration techniques and strategic partnerships to enhance value for its stakeholders.

How the Company Makes Money

Origen Resources, Inc. generates revenue through the exploration and development of mineral properties. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of mineral rights, extraction and sale of minerals such as gold and copper, and joint venture partnerships with other mining companies. These partnerships often involve shared investment and risk, allowing Origen Resources to access additional expertise and financial resources. Furthermore, the company may engage in strategic property sales or lease agreements, contributing to its overall earnings. Factors such as commodity prices, exploration success, and market demand significantly influence the company's revenue potential.

Origen Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Origen Resources, Inc. faces significant financial challenges, characterized by consistent operational losses, declining equity, and negative cash flows. The absence of debt is a positive factor; however, the lack of revenue and persistent cash outflows pose substantial risks to future growth and stability.

Income Statement

Origen Resources, Inc.'s income statement reveals significant challenges, with persistent negative EBIT and EBITDA indicating operational inefficiencies. The consistent net losses over the periods highlight ongoing profitability issues. Revenue growth is not assessable due to the absence of revenue generation, impacting overall financial stability.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet shows a stable position with zero debt, which is a positive aspect. However, there is a declining trend in stockholders' equity and total assets, indicating potential financial strain. The absence of liabilities is a strength, but the continuous erosion of equity is concerning for long-term sustainability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis indicates operational cash challenges, with consistent negative free cash flow suggesting difficulties in generating internal funds. The company's cash reserves are depleting, and the lack of sufficient financing cash flow could limit future investment opportunities. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights inefficiencies in cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Gross Profit	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
EBITDA	205.54K	-720.98K	-620.00K	-814.00K	-1.08M	-1.09M
Net Income	-573.47K	-720.98K	-3.17M	-2.51M	2.34M	-1.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.46M	4.22M	4.56M	7.03M	8.05M	4.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	894.99K	965.22K	261.18K	598.35K	1.91M	2.03M
Total Debt	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Total Liabilities	676.79K	825.23K	487.05K	565.81K	685.78K	396.01K
Stockholders Equity	3.78M	3.40M	4.08M	6.46M	7.36M	4.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-991.70K	-595.40K	-1.25M	-2.20M	-1.80M	-1.40M
Operating Cash Flow	-386.28K	-148.62K	-915.10K	-266.66K	-793.15K	-1.01M
Investing Cash Flow	107.86K	56.63K	-60.97K	-1.38M	809.76K	-226.36K
Financing Cash Flow	572.09K	0.00	687.18K	1.46M	453.38K	1.43M

Origen Resources Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.06
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ORGN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.07, below the 50-day MA of 0.08, and below the 200-day MA of 0.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:ORGN.

Origen Resources Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
WLR	49 Neutral	C$2.60M	4.48	-871.21%	―	―	―
CRC	48 Neutral	C$6.98M	-4.06	-5.67%	―	―	64.95%
ADD	45 Neutral	C$2.39M	-3.13	-10.20%	―	―	5.88%
ORGN	44 Neutral	C$3.75M	-5.28	-15.33%	―	―	82.04%
TAI	43 Neutral	C$1.44M	-3.26	-193.26%	―	―	-187.50%

Origen Resources Corporate Events

Origen Advances Acquisition of Brazilian Rare Earths Licences After Positive Fieldwork

Origen Resources will proceed with the acquisition of two rare earth element licences covering 3,978 hectares in an emerging REE district in Brazil’s Piauí State, after completing a positive due diligence fieldwork program that confirmed evidence of REE mineralization and strong basin-scale exploration potential. Field investigations, including soil and rock sampling, handheld XRF analysis, SEM work and radiometric surveying, indicate REE enrichment associated with laterites, phosphate nodules and shallow-dipping strata, providing a clear framework for future target generation and follow-up exploration. Under the agreed terms, Origen will acquire a 90% interest in the licences by paying US$50,000, issuing 2 million shares, and spending US$1 million on exploration within two years, after which the vendor will receive additional shares to reach 15% ownership and a board seat, while also granting Origen a right of first refusal over five analogous concessions in the same region, consolidating a potential first-mover, basin-scale land position in this emerging Brazilian REE district.

Origen Resources Unveils Promising Exploration Results in Southern B.C.

Origen Resources Inc. has announced promising results from its LiDAR and rock sampling programs at the Broken Handle and Bonanza projects in southern British Columbia. The findings have unveiled numerous potential historical workings, leading to the discovery of significant mineralized showings, including high-grade silver, copper, and gold. These results have prompted the company to expand its claims and plan an aggressive exploration program for 2026, which could enhance its positioning in the critical metals market and potentially rival historic mining camps in the region.

Origen Resources Identifies New Gold-Silver Targets at Wishbone Project

Origen Resources Inc. has announced the results of an induced polarization geophysical program at its 100% owned Wishbone Gold-Silver Project in the Golden Triangle, British Columbia. The survey identified distinct resistivity and chargeability features corresponding to known gold-silver vein mineralization and revealed new targets, encouraging further exploration and a potential drilling campaign in 2026. This development could enhance Origen’s positioning in the mineral exploration industry and offer new opportunities for stakeholders.

Origen Resources Expands into Brazil with Rare Earth Project Acquisition

Origen Resources Inc. has signed a Letter of Intent to acquire a rare earth elements project in Brazil, covering 3,978 hectares in Piauí State. The project is significant due to its potential for high-grade REE mineralization, particularly heavy rare earth elements, which are crucial for various high-tech applications. The acquisition aligns with Origen’s strategy of early-stage impactful acquisitions and could enhance its position in the REE market. The company has a 150-day due diligence period to evaluate the project’s potential, with the assistance of local geological experts.

Origen Resources Unveils New Discoveries at Broken Handle Project

Origen Resources Inc. has completed an exploration program on its Broken Handle project in southern British Columbia, uncovering 38 previously unknown historical mining features such as adits, shafts, trenches, and blast pits. The project, located near the historic Franklin gold mining camp, revealed significant mineralization in rock grab samples, including pyrite, chalcopyrite, galena, and sphalerite, highlighting the potential for further development and exploration in the area.