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Orezone Gold (TSE:ORE)
TSX:ORE

Orezone Gold (ORE) AI Stock Analysis

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Orezone Gold

(TSX:ORE)

70Outperform
The overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and operational efficiency, supported by robust technical indicators and attractive valuation. While there are challenges from high capital expenditures and weather-related disruptions, positive corporate developments and an optimistic earnings outlook contribute to the score.

Orezone Gold (ORE) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Orezone Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrezone Gold Corporation is a Canadian development company which owns a 90% interest in Bombore, one of the largest undeveloped gold deposits in Burkina Faso. The 2019 feasibility study highlights Bombore as an attractive shovel-ready gold project with forecasted annual gold production of 118,000 ounces over a 13+ year mine life at an All-In Sustaining Cost of US$730/ounce with an after-tax payback period of 2.5 years at an assumed gold price of US$1,300/ounce. Bombore is underpinned by a mineral resource base in excess of 5 million ounces of gold and possesses significant expansion potential.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrezone Gold makes money primarily through the exploration, development, and eventual production of gold from its mining projects. The company's key revenue stream is the sale of extracted gold, which is processed and sold to various buyers, including refineries and market traders. As the Bomboré Project progresses from development to production, Orezone's revenue is expected to increase significantly. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures to optimize resource extraction and share operational costs, further enhancing its profitability. Factors such as gold market prices, operational costs, and project scale are significant contributors to its earnings.

Orezone Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Orezone Gold has shown impressive revenue growth and operational efficiency with healthy margins. The balance sheet is strong with a stable equity base and moderate leverage. However, negative free cash flow due to high capital expenditures poses a short-term liquidity challenge.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Orezone Gold has shown a significant improvement in revenue with a substantial increase from previous periods, particularly from 2022 to 2023. The gross profit margin stands at 34.1% for the TTM, indicating efficient cost management relative to revenue. The net profit margin is 11.4% for the TTM, which reflects a firm grip on profitability, though it has decreased compared to the previous year. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, at 28.8% and 33.6% respectively, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44, suggesting balanced leverage. A return on equity (ROE) of 13.1% for the TTM indicates decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is robust at 54.6%, showcasing a solid capital structure with more than half of the assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.47, demonstrating strong cash generation from operations. However, the negative free cash flow in the TTM indicates substantial capital expenditures, which might impact short-term liquidity. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting a gap between cash generated and profit earned.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
259.26M271.49M43.43M0.000.000.00
Gross Profit
88.50M126.85M16.66M-257.84K0.000.00
EBIT
74.77M81.92M1.37M-8.41M-19.19M-22.52M
EBITDA
87.19M111.50M4.25M-8.50M-18.34M-21.89M
Net Income Common Stockholders
29.63M43.15M3.18M-18.60M-17.66M-20.86M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
31.45M19.48M9.16M36.08M8.87M11.86M
Total Assets
35.18M320.08M252.28M140.50M12.99M16.78M
Total Debt
0.0093.40M122.87M46.41M167.63K230.78K
Net Debt
-31.45M73.92M113.71M10.32M-8.70M-11.62M
Total Liabilities
3.01M173.72M181.95M86.62M3.30M3.89M
Stockholders Equity
38.67M148.87M79.12M63.98M19.70M20.89M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-894.00K35.40M-99.47M-82.87M-17.79M-21.89M
Operating Cash Flow
43.57M79.95M6.58M-5.94M-17.33M-20.94M
Investing Cash Flow
-43.70M-43.78M-105.98M-76.75M-286.97K-427.32K
Financing Cash Flow
38.43M-25.38M74.03M108.49M14.89M774.29K

Orezone Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.82
Price Trends
50DMA
0.76
Positive
100DMA
0.72
Positive
200DMA
0.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Positive
RSI
55.83
Neutral
STOCH
27.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ORE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.85, above the 50-day MA of 0.76, and above the 200-day MA of 0.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ORE.

Orezone Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSWDO
79
Outperform
C$2.24B27.5517.33%56.15%
TSKNT
75
Outperform
C$2.43B23.2720.56%64.92%185.22%
TSORE
70
Outperform
C$382.21M7.6616.08%5.77%-35.11%
TSPRB
52
Neutral
C$342.60M-113.17%2.31%
47
Neutral
$2.64B-3.85-29.39%3.32%2.72%-29.67%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ORE
Orezone Gold
0.83
-0.05
-5.68%
BTG
B2Gold
2.76
0.23
9.09%
TSE:KNT
K92 Mining
10.15
3.31
48.39%
TSE:PRB
Probe Metals
1.88
0.41
27.89%
TSE:WDO
Wesdome Gold Mines
15.23
5.92
63.59%

Orezone Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Nov 6, 2024 | % Change Since: 6.49% | Next Earnings Date: Mar 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a positive outlook driven by strong operational achievements, financial robustness, and promising expansion and exploration activities. However, there were notable challenges in the form of elevated costs and operational disruptions due to weather, which tempered the overall enthusiasm.
Highlights
Record Throughput and Production Growth
Achieved a record throughput of 1.5 million tonnes at a run rate of 6 million tonnes per annum despite a 4-day mill shutdown. Gold production in Q3 rose slightly to 26,581 ounces, with an expected increase in Q4.
Strong Cash Flow and Financial Position
Generated free cash flow of $14.1 million in Q3, maintaining a healthy cash balance of $66.9 million. Paid down $5 million in senior debt.
Phase 2 Hard Rock Expansion Progress
Phase 2 expansion fully funded with $85 million estimated CapEx. Project financing secured, and significant progress in procurement and early works.
Exploration Success
Initial drilling results were robust, indicating potential for significant resource expansion beyond current reserves.
Lowlights
Elevated All-In Sustaining Costs
All-in sustaining costs per ounce remained high at $1,655 due to higher strip ratio and royalties, affected by heavy rainfall and mine sequencing.
Operational Challenges Due to Weather
Heavy rainfall events impacted mining operations, leading to reliance on lower-grade stockpiles and increased costs.
VAT Receivables Increase
Taxes receivable, mainly VAT, increased to $34 million, with uncertainty on when refunds will commence.
Company Guidance
During Orezone's Q3 2024 earnings call, the management provided comprehensive guidance, highlighting several key metrics. The company's oxide plant is currently operating at a run rate of 5.9 million tonnes per annum, aiming to reach 6 million tonnes. The next stage of expansion is projected to exceed 170,000 ounces per year, with construction underway and first gold expected by mid-2025. In Q3, the company achieved a record throughput of 1.5 million tonnes despite a four-day mill shutdown, resulting in 26,851 ounces produced. The all-in sustaining costs were impacted by heavy rainfall and increased royalties due to high gold prices, with costs revised to $1,400-$1,475 per ounce. Orezone maintains a robust balance sheet with $67 million in cash and $68 million in senior debt, having generated $14.1 million in free cash flow in Q3. The three-year production guidance projects full-year output between 110,000 to 125,000 ounces, with significant growth anticipated in 2025 and 2026 to 170,000 ounces annually, and a longer-term goal of 225,000 to 250,000 ounces as they advance exploration and continue deleveraging the balance sheet.

Orezone Gold Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Orezone Gold Advances Exploration with Promising Drill Results at Bomboré Mine
Positive
Jan 26, 2025

Orezone Gold Corporation has announced positive drill results from its Bomboré Gold Mine, highlighting high-grade mineralization in the North Zone. The findings, which extend mineralization below existing reserve pits, indicate potential for increased resource estimates and future production. The company plans an accelerated exploration campaign, including a 30,000-meter drill program, aiming to expand its resource base significantly. This could lead to extended mine life and a shift towards underground mining, enhancing Orezone’s position in the gold mining sector.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Orezone Gold’s Bomboré Expansion Progressing Ahead of Schedule
Positive
Jan 22, 2025

Orezone Gold Corporation announced that its Bomboré Gold Mine’s hard rock expansion is ahead of schedule and on budget, projected to boost gold production by approximately 50% to over 170,000 ounces annually. The expansion involves early contractor mobilization, progress in foundation work, and advanced engineering and procurement efforts, indicating a strong operational execution and potential further growth with future expansion plans.

Orezone Gold Exceeds 2024 Production Targets, Eyes 2025 Expansion
Jan 7, 2025

Orezone Gold Corporation reported strong fourth-quarter results for 2024, with gold production reaching 36,502 ounces and annual production totaling 118,746 ounces, surpassing the mid-point of their guidance. This achievement highlights the company’s operational efficiency and positions them for growth in 2025, with the upcoming completion of the Stage I hard rock plant expansion expected to increase production by 50%, indicating a promising outlook for stakeholders.

Orezone Gold Secures Loan for Mine Expansion
Dec 23, 2024

Orezone Gold Corporation has successfully secured a Phase II Term Loan of approximately $58 million from Coris Bank International to fund the expansion of its Bomboré Mine. The expansion is set to boost annual gold production to over 170,000 ounces by late 2025. Additionally, Orezone has amended the terms of its convertible debentures to facilitate this new financial arrangement.

Orezone Gold Advances Sustainability Efforts in 2023
Dec 3, 2024

Orezone Gold has released its 2023 Sustainability Report, highlighting its commitment to sustainability and community engagement. Notably, the company achieved 4.4 million work hours without a lost-time injury and contributed over US$170 million to the Burkina Faso economy. Additionally, Orezone has improved its environmental impact by connecting its Bomboré Mine to the national power grid, reducing reliance on heavy fuel oils.

Orezone Gold Sees Strong Q3 with Expansion Plans
Nov 6, 2024

Orezone Gold Corporation reported strong operational developments in Q3 2024, highlighted by improved gold production and significant cash flow generation. The company progressed with its Phase II expansion, aiming to boost annual gold production by 50% within a year, and continued its successful exploration program. With high unhedged gold sales prices, Orezone anticipates continued robust cash flow to support its expansion efforts.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.