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Northstar Gold (TSE:NSG)
:NSG

Northstar Gold (NSG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:NSG

Northstar Gold

(NSG)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.08
▲(95.00% Upside)
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance (no revenue, ongoing losses, and continued cash burn). Technicals provide some support due to a strong uptrend and positive MACD, but extremely overbought readings raise pullback risk. Valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative leverage
The balance sheet shows very low financial leverage and a meaningful equity base, giving the company financial flexibility and lower solvency risk. For a junior gold explorer, low debt reduces near-term default risk and preserves optionality to raise capital or pursue projects without heavy interest burdens.
Narrowing operating losses
Multi-year reduction in EBIT losses demonstrates operational progress and cost discipline. Sustained narrowing of operating deficits increases the chance management can reach breakeven once revenues start, shortening the runway to self-sustaining operations and improving long-term viability.
Cash-backed losses
Free cash flow closely matching net loss indicates reported losses are largely cash-based rather than driven by non-cash accounting items. This transparency aids financing planning and gives clearer visibility into true cash burn, improving predictability of funding needs over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue status
The company has no revenue across reported periods, meaning it relies entirely on financing and has no operating cash inflows. For a gold company, the path from exploration to production is capital-intensive and lengthy, making durable execution and funding risks core threats to value creation.
Worsening cash burn
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow, with a recent ~43% decline in free cash flow, signals increasing cash burn. Structurally higher burn forces repeated financing rounds or asset sales, raising dilution risk and limiting the firm's ability to invest steadily in project development over the coming months.
Equity erosion and negative returns
Declining shareholders' equity and persistently negative ROE reflect cumulative capital destruction from losses. Even with low debt, continued erosion increases the likelihood of equity raises or dilution, undermining long-term shareholder value unless the company shifts to profitable operations or secures non-dilutive funding.

Northstar Gold (NSG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Northstar Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNorthstar Gold Corp. engages in the identification, evaluation, and exploration of mineral properties in Canada. Its flagship property is the Miller Gold property covering an area of 1,100 hectares located to the southeast of Kirkland Lake, Ontario. The company also hold 100% interest in Bryce Gold property covering an area of 4,650 hectares situated in Northeastern Ontario; and hold an option agreement to acquire 100% interest in the Searles property located to southeast of Kirkland Lake, Ontario. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is based in New Liskeard, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyNorthstar Gold makes money primarily through the discovery and development of gold resources, which are then either sold to larger mining companies or developed into operational mines. Revenue is generated through the sale of gold or by forming joint ventures and partnerships with other mining companies to share in the production profits. Additionally, NSG may raise funds through equity financing from investors to support its exploration activities, which could lead to future earnings as projects mature and become commercially viable.

Northstar Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Very weak operating profile: the company is pre-revenue with persistent net losses and negative EBIT. Cash flow is also consistently negative with ongoing free-cash-flow burn, despite low leverage and a still-meaningful equity base.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Northstar Gold is still pre-revenue (revenue is 0 across annual periods and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), so losses are the primary story. While EBIT loss improved from about -3.0M (FY2021) to about -1.26M (FY2025) and TTM EBIT is about -1.38M, the business remains structurally unprofitable with consistently negative net income (TTM net loss ~-1.34M). The lack of revenue generation and ongoing operating losses are the key weaknesses, partially offset by the multi-year narrowing of losses versus earlier years.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet is relatively conservative from a leverage standpoint, with low debt (TTM total debt ~100.6K) and very low debt-to-equity (~0.026 TTM; 0.0 in several annual periods). Equity remains sizable (~3.87M TTM), but it has trended down from ~5.23M (FY2021), reflecting ongoing losses. Returns on equity are consistently negative (around -0.32 TTM), so the main risk is continued equity erosion if losses persist, despite limited balance-sheet leverage today.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation is weak, with negative operating cash flow and negative free cash flow in every period provided (TTM operating cash flow ~-0.98M; TTM free cash flow ~-0.99M). TTM free cash flow also declined versus the prior period (free cash flow growth ~-43.1%), indicating a worsening cash burn rate recently. A positive point is that free cash flow roughly tracks net losses (free cash flow to net income ~1.01 TTM), suggesting losses are largely cash-backed rather than being masked by non-cash gains, but overall funding needs remain a key concern.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2023Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-59.00-876.00-780.00-1.06K-1.87K
EBITDA-1.26M-1.47M-1.32M-2.51M-3.01M
Net Income-1.47M-1.47M-1.54M-2.37M-3.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.99M5.29M5.01M5.42M6.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments43.39K263.84K109.84K709.00K1.26M
Total Debt0.0060.00K0.0060.00K60.00K
Total Liabilities715.93K467.15K434.48K461.74K769.99K
Stockholders Equity4.28M4.82M4.57M4.96M5.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.24M-1.81M-1.35M-2.57M-2.73M
Operating Cash Flow-1.24M-1.72M-1.35M-2.49M-2.72M
Investing Cash Flow-5.76K-93.20K-4.70K-75.00K492.84K
Financing Cash Flow1.18M1.37M1.20M2.02M2.58M

Northstar Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.04
Price Trends
50DMA
0.05
Positive
100DMA
0.04
Positive
200DMA
0.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
79.65
Negative
STOCH
84.55
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NSG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, below the 50-day MA of 0.05, and above the 200-day MA of 0.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.65 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.55 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:NSG.

Northstar Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
51
Neutral
C$5.94M2.9438.50%
48
Neutral
C$5.65M-19.70-5.00%21.43%
46
Neutral
C$13.36M-8.96-30.58%34.71%
42
Neutral
C$4.87M-10.47-22.19%-4.55%
27
Underperform
$5.32M-14.71-75.44%-64.52%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:NSG
Northstar Gold
0.10
0.06
137.50%
TSE:KGC
Kestrel Gold
0.05
<0.01
12.50%
TSE:VGD
Visible Gold Mines
0.16
0.08
100.00%
TSE:GCN
Goldcliff Resource
0.08
0.05
226.09%
TSE:EDW.H
Edgewater Exploration
0.16
0.09
128.57%
TSE:ZFR
Zephyr Minerals
0.07
0.02
30.00%

Northstar Gold Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Northstar Gold Raises $916,700 and Completes Cam Copper Zone 2 Infill Drilling
Positive
Dec 31, 2025

Northstar Gold Corp. has closed the second tranche of its previously announced non-brokered private placement, raising an additional $61,000 through a mix of flow-through and non-flow-through units and bringing total proceeds from the offering to $916,700. The financing, which included insider participation and is subject to a four-month hold period, is intended to fund the company’s Cam Copper Zone 2 Surgical Mining pilot in partnership with Novamera, support permitting, engineering, mine planning and working capital, and underpin a NI 43-101-compliant technical report and mineral resource estimate. Northstar also reported completion of a seven-hole, 1,194-metre infill diamond drill program at Cam Copper Zone 2 in December and plans to release assay results in late January 2026, marking a key step toward a notice-to-proceed for the Surgical Mining program and potentially advancing the Miller Copper-Gold Property toward future production.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NSG) stock is a Hold with a C$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Northstar Gold stock, see the TSE:NSG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Northstar Launches Definition Drilling to Advance High-Grade Cam Copper Surgical Mining Pilot
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

Northstar Gold Corp. has launched a 1,200-metre diamond drilling program at its 100%-owned historic Cam Copper Mine’s Zone 2 lens in northeastern Ontario, aiming to generate a NI 43-101 mineral resource estimate and technical report on the high-grade Besshi-style VMS copper zone. The work underpins a planned “surgical mining” pilot with partner Novamera Inc., which intends to extract approximately 120,000 tonnes of copper-rich material over 31 months using large-diameter precision drilling, real-time downhole imaging and immediate backfilling to reduce dilution, surface disturbance and water discharge; with low upfront capital, a 5% revenue share to Novamera and an off-balance-sheet funding structure, the initiative could provide Northstar with a relatively low-cost, environmentally lean path to near-term production and strengthen its positioning as an early adopter of novel mining technology in the copper sector.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Northstar Gold Advances Cam Copper Project with Successful Private Placement
Positive
Dec 15, 2025

Northstar Gold Corp. has successfully closed the first tranche of its non-brokered private placements, raising a total of $855,700 through the issuance of flow-through units, non-flow through units, and royalty units. This financing will support the advancement of the Cam Copper Surgical Mining project, including a Zone 2 infill diamond drill program, metallurgical test work, and mine permitting. The project will also benefit from partnerships with DIGITAL, Novamera Inc., and Micon International Limited, which will provide additional funding and support for data-driven and digital solutions. The proceeds will facilitate the execution of a definitive Turnkey Surgical Mining Services Agreement with Novamera, aiming to enhance Northstar’s operational capabilities and market positioning.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Northstar Gold Secures Funding for Innovative Copper Mining Project
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

Northstar Gold Corp. has entered into a Master Project Agreement with DIGITAL, Novamera Inc., and Micon International Limited to support its Cam Copper Surgical Mining Project in Ontario. This agreement, which includes partial funding, will utilize Novamera’s precision-mining solution to extract copper with minimal environmental impact, potentially streamlining regulatory processes and reducing costs. The project aims to responsibly produce critical minerals in Ontario, with Novamera earning a 5% revenue share.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Northstar Gold Corp Secures Financing for Innovative Copper Mining Project
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

Northstar Gold Corp has announced a strategic financing initiative to advance its Cam Copper Project in Ontario, utilizing Novamera Inc.’s Surgical Mining™ system. The financing, which could raise up to $3 million CAD, will support permitting, engineering, and the implementation of a pilot program aimed at extracting high-grade copper with reduced environmental impact. This initiative marks a significant step in transitioning the Cam Copper Project from concept to implementation, potentially enhancing Northstar’s position in the critical minerals market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026