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Northern Graphite Corporation (TSE:NGC)
:NGC

Northern Graphite (NGC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:NGC

Northern Graphite

(NGC)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.26
▲(17.27% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by severe financial distress (declining revenue, very negative margins, negative equity, and weak cash generation). Technicals provide some support due to strong trend versus key moving averages and positive MACD, but extremely overbought RSI/Stoch signals add near-term risk. Valuation is not supportive because losses drive a negative P/E and no dividend yield is available.
Positive Factors
Structural EV and energy-storage demand
Northern Graphite operates in graphite, a material with durable structural demand from electric vehicle batteries and grid storage. This end-market shift is multi-year, underpinning long-term revenue opportunity even if near-term volumes or margins fluctuate.
Value-added product mix
Offering both raw flake and value-added graphite products supports higher-margin, differentiated revenue streams and closer customer relationships. Over months to years, value-added capabilities can improve margin sustainability and reduce commodity exposure.
Existing manufacturing and distribution partnerships
Partnerships with manufacturers and distributors provide durable market access, potential long-term supply agreements and distribution channels. These relationships can stabilize demand, shorten commercial cycles, and aid scaling when production and cash flows recover.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue deterioration
A TTM revenue decline of this magnitude indicates a collapse in sales scale or material write-downs that undermines fixed-cost coverage and operating leverage. Persistently reduced top-line makes sustaining operations, funding capital needs, and restoring margins difficult over the medium term.
Deeply negative margins
Consistently negative gross and net margins show the company is losing money on core operations; without structural cost reduction, pricing improvements, or higher-margin product sales, losses will erode liquidity and equity, impairing long-term viability and investment capacity.
Weak balance sheet and leverage risk
Negative equity and a distorted debt-to-equity ratio reflect liabilities exceeding assets and high financial risk. This constrains access to capital, raises refinancing or insolvency risk, and limits the firm's ability to fund mine development or processing upgrades needed to capture long-term market demand.

Northern Graphite (NGC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Northern Graphite Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNorthern Graphite Corporation (NGC) is a Canadian company focused on the exploration, development, and production of graphite and graphite-related products. The company operates in the mining sector, primarily targeting the growing demand for graphite in various industries, including electric vehicle batteries, renewable energy storage, and other advanced materials applications. NGC's core products include natural flake graphite and value-added graphite products, positioning the company to capitalize on the increasing adoption of sustainable technologies.
How the Company Makes MoneyNorthern Graphite generates revenue primarily through the sale of graphite products, particularly natural flake graphite, which is increasingly required in the production of lithium-ion batteries and other high-tech applications. The company has established key partnerships with manufacturers and distributors in the battery and industrial sectors, enhancing its market reach. Additionally, NGC may benefit from long-term supply agreements and pricing structures that align with market demand, ensuring stable cash flow. The rising global emphasis on sustainable technologies and the shift towards electric vehicles are significant factors contributing to increased demand for its products, thus driving revenue growth.

Northern Graphite Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Very weak fundamentals: sharply declining revenue (TTM down 113.3%), deeply negative profitability (net margin -118.54%), negative equity with high financial risk (debt-to-equity distorted/negative), and deteriorating free cash flow (FCF growth -74.64%) with poor operating cash conversion (OCF to net income 0.05).
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Northern Graphite's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has experienced negative revenue growth, with a TTM revenue decline of 113.3%. Margins are deeply negative, with a gross profit margin of -8.18% and a net profit margin of -118.54%, indicating substantial losses relative to revenue. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. The consistent negative growth and margins highlight a struggling financial performance.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows a concerning financial structure. The debt-to-equity ratio is negative at -1.57, due to negative equity, indicating high leverage and potential financial instability. Return on equity is positive at 136.15%, but this is due to negative equity, which distorts the metric. The equity ratio is negative, suggesting liabilities exceed assets. Overall, the balance sheet reflects high financial risk and leverage.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates severe issues. Free cash flow growth is negative at -74.64%, showing declining cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.05, suggesting poor cash conversion from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.85, indicating some cash generation relative to net losses, but overall cash flow health is weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.52M22.73M17.10M11.99M0.000.00
Gross Profit-2.76M-310.00K1.93M2.65M-31.50K-34.18K
EBITDA-10.71M-20.96M-14.55M-7.79M-3.19M-833.95K
Net Income-31.60M-38.80M-23.64M-14.55M-3.23M-943.96K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets70.23M77.24M91.23M102.06M19.66M15.22M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments585.00K373.00K3.60M5.64M4.33M1.39M
Total Debt45.91M41.10M27.55M21.90M0.000.00
Total Liabilities105.66M98.64M75.44M65.88M1.92M553.66K
Stockholders Equity-35.43M-21.40M15.79M36.18M17.73M14.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow557.00K-1.70M-9.65M-16.96M-2.08M-700.36K
Operating Cash Flow1.88M-1.18M-4.73M-10.51M-1.40M-525.45K
Investing Cash Flow-2.38M-563.00K-4.48M-51.57M-1.30M352.22K
Financing Cash Flow753.00K-1.01M7.34M63.38M5.06M0.00

Northern Graphite Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.22
Price Trends
50DMA
0.22
Positive
100DMA
0.20
Positive
200DMA
0.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
51.35
Neutral
STOCH
31.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NGC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.29, below the 50-day MA of 0.22, and above the 200-day MA of 0.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:NGC.

Northern Graphite Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
50
Neutral
C$15.24M0.8045.75%158.45%
48
Neutral
C$10.17M-2.02-11.09%-84.65%
47
Neutral
C$46.01M-13.80-16.33%-64.76%
45
Neutral
C$39.79M-1.132.76%-1.06%
45
Neutral
C$27.19M-31.82-2.06%93.75%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:NGC
Northern Graphite
0.27
0.16
145.45%
TSE:AMY
RecycLiCo Battery Materials
0.11
0.03
50.00%
TSE:LLG
Mason Graphite
0.09
0.02
28.57%
TSE:FMS
Focus Graphite
0.43
0.32
286.36%
TSE:LMR
Lomiko Metals
0.14
0.00
0.00%
TSE:IBAT
International Battery Metals
0.14
-0.35
-71.88%

Northern Graphite Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Northern Graphite Joins German-Funded Drive to Build Cleaner, China-Free Graphite Supply for Europe
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

Northern Graphite and partners Rain Carbon Germany, H.C. Starck Tungsten and Friedrich Schiller University Jena have launched USE-G, a three-year, €1.7 million German-funded R&D program to develop cleaner, less energy-intensive and China-independent graphite processing technologies for Europe’s battery industry, including the purification and coating of natural graphite and the recovery of graphite from recycled battery materials. Under the program, Northern Graphite will supply natural graphite from its Canadian and Namibian mines and conduct milling, shaping and final battery testing in Germany, while its partners will pioneer chlorine-based purification, sustainable carbon coating processes and graphite extraction from battery recycling “black mass,” with the long-term aim of creating a next-generation European anode material that integrates both natural and recycled graphite and bolsters a more secure, circular and environmentally sustainable European battery supply chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NGC) stock is a Hold with a C$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Northern Graphite stock, see the TSE:NGC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Northern Graphite, Al Obeikan to Build US$200 Million Battery Anode Plant in Saudi Arabia
Positive
Jan 14, 2026

Northern Graphite Corporation and Saudi Arabia’s Al Obeikan Group have signed a term sheet to create a joint venture to build a US$200 million battery anode material plant in Yanbu Industrial City, with Obeikan owning 51% and Northern 49%. The facility, slated to begin construction in 2026 and targeted to start first-phase production of 25,000 tonnes per year in 2028, is designed to be scalable and will be funded primarily through Saudi government agencies and local and global commercial banks, with equity contributions from the partners. The joint venture is in advanced talks with global battery manufacturers over long-term offtake agreements for its initial output and will also secure up to 50,000 tonnes per year of graphite concentrate from Northern’s Okanjande mine under a long-term supply deal that includes a royalty on BAM sales to Northern. By anchoring production in Saudi Arabia’s strategically located Yanbu hub and integrating supply from Namibia, the project supports the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 objectives and positions Northern as a fully integrated, geopolitically diversified BAM producer offering non-Chinese, secure and traceable graphite anode supply to global OEMs, while making Okanjande its primary growth engine.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NGC) stock is a Sell with a C$0.21 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Northern Graphite stock, see the TSE:NGC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Northern Graphite Closes C$1.35 Million Financing to Advance Quebec Battery Anode Facility
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

Northern Graphite has raised C$1.35 million through a non-brokered private placement of 10.8 million common shares at C$0.125 each, completing a previously disclosed C$2.2 million financing package. Led by follow-on investment from The BMI Group, the proceeds will fund a feasibility study for Northern’s planned battery anode material facility at Baie-Comeau, Québec, and provide working capital, bolstering the company’s mine-to-market strategy and its role in building North American capacity for processing graphite into battery-grade anode material. The Baie-Comeau project, located at a redeveloped former paper mill site within BMI’s Norderra industrial hub, is positioned to offer a faster route to market than a greenfield build, support Québec and Canada’s critical minerals strategy, and create regional jobs, further cementing Northern’s strategic importance in the EV and energy transition supply chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NGC) stock is a Hold with a C$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Northern Graphite stock, see the TSE:NGC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Northern Graphite Raises C$1.35 Million to Advance Baie-Comeau Battery Anode Facility
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

Northern Graphite has raised C$1.35 million through a non-brokered private placement of 10.8 million common shares at C$0.125 each, completing a previously announced C$2.2 million financing package, with The BMI Group acting as lead investor. The funds will support a feasibility study for Northern’s planned battery anode material facility at Baie-Comeau, Québec, as well as general working capital, advancing the company’s mine-to-market strategy and its partnership with BMI to repurpose a former paper mill site into a key node in North America’s battery supply chain, potentially accelerating time to market and reinforcing Canada’s critical minerals strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NGC) stock is a Hold with a C$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Northern Graphite stock, see the TSE:NGC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Northern Graphite Grants Stock Options to Non-Executive Directors
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

Northern Graphite has granted 2,860,000 stock options to its Non-Executive Directors as part of their compensation package, with options exercisable at $0.20 per share and expiring in December 2030. This move underscores the company’s commitment to growth and its integrated mine-to-battery strategy, aiming to enhance its position in the graphite market and support the green economy, which could have significant implications for its operations and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NGC) stock is a Hold with a C$0.17 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Northern Graphite stock, see the TSE:NGC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Northern Graphite Reports Q3 2025 Results Amid Operational Challenges
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

Northern Graphite announced its third-quarter 2025 results, highlighting operational challenges due to maintenance and technical issues at the Lac des Îles mine, which affected production and financial performance. However, the company is optimistic about future performance improvements with planned plant upgrades and pit extensions. Despite a decrease in revenue due to lower production, Northern Graphite has secured significant financial support and continues to experience strong demand for its graphite products, particularly amid geopolitical uncertainties and the growing need for non-China graphite supply.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Northern Graphite Advances Lac des Iles Expansion Amid Maintenance
Neutral
Nov 20, 2025

Northern Graphite has temporarily placed its Lac des Iles mine and mill on care and maintenance to address an unexpected equipment issue and accelerate maintenance ahead of its 2026 pit expansion. This strategic decision, prompted by a bearing failure at the mill, allows the company to consolidate maintenance efforts and avoid multiple shutdowns. The expansion program, supported by a $6.2 million interest-free contribution from Canada’s Regional Economic Growth Through Innovation Program, aims to extend the mine’s life by eight years. The company is working closely with regulatory authorities to ensure compliance and secure a sustainable North American supply chain for graphite, critical for the growing battery market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 16, 2026