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Northern Graphite (TSE:NGC)
OTHER OTC:NGC

Northern Graphite (NGC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:NGC

Northern Graphite

(OTC:NGC)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.35
▲(57.27% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by severe financial distress (declining revenue, very negative margins, negative equity, and weak cash generation). Technicals provide some support due to strong trend versus key moving averages and positive MACD, but extremely overbought RSI/Stoch signals add near-term risk. Valuation is not supportive because losses drive a negative P/E and no dividend yield is available.
Positive Factors
Structural demand tailwinds (EVs, energy storage)
Global electrification and grid storage trends create durable, multi-year demand growth for graphite. Northern Graphite's focus on battery-relevant graphite positions it to benefit from structural adoption of lithium-ion technologies and ongoing OEM supply-chain buildouts.
Product mix includes value-added graphite
Offering both natural flake and value-added graphite increases product breadth and potential margin capture. Value-added processing can differentiate output, support longer-term customer contracts, and reduce commodity exposure versus selling raw flake alone.
Established partnerships and potential supply agreements
Strategic partnerships and supply agreements can provide predictable revenue streams and market access, smoothing cash flow volatility typical in mining. Long-term contracts with manufacturers support capacity utilization and underpin financing or expansion plans over several years.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue decline and negative margins
A collapse in revenue combined with deeply negative gross and net margins indicates structural operating issues or demand/price dislocations. Persistent losses erode operational runway, hinder reinvestment, and make funding capital expenditures and growth initiatives materially more difficult.
Weak cash generation and poor cash conversion
Sharp FCF decline and very low OCF-to-income ratio show poor cash conversion and tightening liquidity. Over the medium term this reduces ability to self-fund operations and development, increases reliance on external financing, and raises solvency and dilution risks.
Highly stressed balance sheet; negative equity
Negative equity and a distorted debt-to-equity metric signal solvency stress and limited financial flexibility. This constrains borrowing capacity, raises refinancing and covenant risks, and can impede investment in capacity or product development over the coming quarters.

Northern Graphite (NGC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Northern Graphite Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNorthern Graphite Corporation (NGC) is a Canadian company focused on the exploration, development, and production of graphite and graphite-related products. The company operates in the mining sector, primarily targeting the growing demand for graphite in various industries, including electric vehicle batteries, renewable energy storage, and other advanced materials applications. NGC's core products include natural flake graphite and value-added graphite products, positioning the company to capitalize on the increasing adoption of sustainable technologies.
How the Company Makes MoneyNorthern Graphite generates revenue primarily through the sale of graphite products, particularly natural flake graphite, which is increasingly required in the production of lithium-ion batteries and other high-tech applications. The company has established key partnerships with manufacturers and distributors in the battery and industrial sectors, enhancing its market reach. Additionally, NGC may benefit from long-term supply agreements and pricing structures that align with market demand, ensuring stable cash flow. The rising global emphasis on sustainable technologies and the shift towards electric vehicles are significant factors contributing to increased demand for its products, thus driving revenue growth.

Northern Graphite Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Northern Graphite faces significant financial challenges. The income statement shows negative net profit margins and deteriorating gross profit margins. The balance sheet reveals high debt-to-equity ratio and negative stockholders' equity, indicating financial instability. Cash flow analysis shows some improvement, but overall financial health remains weak.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Northern Graphite's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has consistently reported negative net profit margins, with the TTM showing a net profit margin of -118.54%. Despite a revenue growth rate of 7.26% in the TTM, profitability remains a concern with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The gross profit margin has also deteriorated over time, indicating cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of -1.57 in the TTM, indicating financial leverage concerns. Stockholders' equity is negative, which is a significant risk factor. The return on equity is positive at 136.15% in the TTM, but this is due to negative equity, which distorts the metric. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial instability.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows some improvement, with positive operating cash flow in the TTM. However, free cash flow growth is negative, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.05, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively healthier at 0.85, suggesting some ability to generate cash relative to net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.52M22.73M17.10M11.99M0.000.00
Gross Profit-2.76M-310.00K1.93M2.65M-31.50K-34.18K
EBITDA-10.71M-20.96M-14.55M-7.79M-3.19M-833.95K
Net Income-31.60M-38.80M-23.64M-14.55M-3.23M-943.96K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets70.23M77.24M91.23M102.06M19.66M15.22M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments585.00K373.00K3.60M5.64M4.33M1.39M
Total Debt45.91M41.10M27.55M21.90M0.000.00
Total Liabilities105.66M98.64M75.44M65.88M1.92M553.66K
Stockholders Equity-35.43M-21.40M15.79M36.18M17.73M14.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow557.00K-1.70M-9.65M-16.96M-2.08M-700.36K
Operating Cash Flow1.88M-1.18M-4.73M-10.51M-1.40M-525.45K
Investing Cash Flow-2.38M-563.00K-4.48M-51.57M-1.30M352.22K
Financing Cash Flow753.00K-1.01M7.34M63.38M5.06M0.00

Northern Graphite Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.22
Price Trends
50DMA
0.20
Positive
100DMA
0.18
Positive
200DMA
0.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
72.68
Negative
STOCH
84.26
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NGC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.21, above the 50-day MA of 0.20, and above the 200-day MA of 0.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.68 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.26 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:NGC.

Northern Graphite Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
50
Neutral
C$16.93M0.8445.75%158.45%
48
Neutral
C$10.52M-2.16-11.09%-84.65%
45
Neutral
C$52.32M-1.362.76%-1.06%
45
Neutral
C$36.26M-40.91-2.06%93.75%
36
Underperform
C$46.55M-12.28-16.33%-64.76%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:NGC
Northern Graphite
0.33
0.17
109.68%
TSE:AMY
RecycLiCo Battery Materials
0.14
0.06
68.75%
TSE:LLG
Mason Graphite
0.10
0.02
35.71%
TSE:FMS
Focus Graphite
0.43
0.35
431.25%
TSE:LMR
Lomiko Metals
0.15
0.03
25.00%
TSE:IBAT
International Battery Metals
0.14
-0.41
-75.00%

Northern Graphite Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Northern Graphite, Al Obeikan to Build US$200 Million Battery Anode Plant in Saudi Arabia
Positive
Jan 14, 2026

Northern Graphite Corporation and Saudi Arabia’s Al Obeikan Group have signed a term sheet to create a joint venture to build a US$200 million battery anode material plant in Yanbu Industrial City, with Obeikan owning 51% and Northern 49%. The facility, slated to begin construction in 2026 and targeted to start first-phase production of 25,000 tonnes per year in 2028, is designed to be scalable and will be funded primarily through Saudi government agencies and local and global commercial banks, with equity contributions from the partners. The joint venture is in advanced talks with global battery manufacturers over long-term offtake agreements for its initial output and will also secure up to 50,000 tonnes per year of graphite concentrate from Northern’s Okanjande mine under a long-term supply deal that includes a royalty on BAM sales to Northern. By anchoring production in Saudi Arabia’s strategically located Yanbu hub and integrating supply from Namibia, the project supports the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 objectives and positions Northern as a fully integrated, geopolitically diversified BAM producer offering non-Chinese, secure and traceable graphite anode supply to global OEMs, while making Okanjande its primary growth engine.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NGC) stock is a Sell with a C$0.21 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Northern Graphite stock, see the TSE:NGC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Northern Graphite Closes C$1.35 Million Financing to Advance Quebec Battery Anode Facility
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

Northern Graphite has raised C$1.35 million through a non-brokered private placement of 10.8 million common shares at C$0.125 each, completing a previously disclosed C$2.2 million financing package. Led by follow-on investment from The BMI Group, the proceeds will fund a feasibility study for Northern’s planned battery anode material facility at Baie-Comeau, Québec, and provide working capital, bolstering the company’s mine-to-market strategy and its role in building North American capacity for processing graphite into battery-grade anode material. The Baie-Comeau project, located at a redeveloped former paper mill site within BMI’s Norderra industrial hub, is positioned to offer a faster route to market than a greenfield build, support Québec and Canada’s critical minerals strategy, and create regional jobs, further cementing Northern’s strategic importance in the EV and energy transition supply chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NGC) stock is a Hold with a C$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Northern Graphite stock, see the TSE:NGC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Northern Graphite Raises C$1.35 Million to Advance Baie-Comeau Battery Anode Facility
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

Northern Graphite has raised C$1.35 million through a non-brokered private placement of 10.8 million common shares at C$0.125 each, completing a previously announced C$2.2 million financing package, with The BMI Group acting as lead investor. The funds will support a feasibility study for Northern’s planned battery anode material facility at Baie-Comeau, Québec, as well as general working capital, advancing the company’s mine-to-market strategy and its partnership with BMI to repurpose a former paper mill site into a key node in North America’s battery supply chain, potentially accelerating time to market and reinforcing Canada’s critical minerals strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NGC) stock is a Hold with a C$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Northern Graphite stock, see the TSE:NGC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Northern Graphite Grants Stock Options to Non-Executive Directors
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

Northern Graphite has granted 2,860,000 stock options to its Non-Executive Directors as part of their compensation package, with options exercisable at $0.20 per share and expiring in December 2030. This move underscores the company’s commitment to growth and its integrated mine-to-battery strategy, aiming to enhance its position in the graphite market and support the green economy, which could have significant implications for its operations and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NGC) stock is a Hold with a C$0.17 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Northern Graphite stock, see the TSE:NGC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Northern Graphite Reports Q3 2025 Results Amid Operational Challenges
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

Northern Graphite announced its third-quarter 2025 results, highlighting operational challenges due to maintenance and technical issues at the Lac des Îles mine, which affected production and financial performance. However, the company is optimistic about future performance improvements with planned plant upgrades and pit extensions. Despite a decrease in revenue due to lower production, Northern Graphite has secured significant financial support and continues to experience strong demand for its graphite products, particularly amid geopolitical uncertainties and the growing need for non-China graphite supply.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Northern Graphite Advances Lac des Iles Expansion Amid Maintenance
Neutral
Nov 20, 2025

Northern Graphite has temporarily placed its Lac des Iles mine and mill on care and maintenance to address an unexpected equipment issue and accelerate maintenance ahead of its 2026 pit expansion. This strategic decision, prompted by a bearing failure at the mill, allows the company to consolidate maintenance efforts and avoid multiple shutdowns. The expansion program, supported by a $6.2 million interest-free contribution from Canada’s Regional Economic Growth Through Innovation Program, aims to extend the mine’s life by eight years. The company is working closely with regulatory authorities to ensure compliance and secure a sustainable North American supply chain for graphite, critical for the growing battery market.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Northern Graphite and Rain Carbon Partner on Sustainable Battery Anode Materials Project
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

Northern Graphite Corporation and Rain Carbon Canada Inc. have announced a collaborative project, supported by a grant of up to C$860,000, aimed at transforming natural graphite processing by-products into high-performance battery anode materials. This 24-month initiative seeks to enhance the yield from graphite mine concentrates while minimizing waste and carbon footprint, positioning both companies to offer a competitive Western supply chain alternative in the energy storage market. By integrating their expertise, the partners aim to advance sustainable battery materials innovation, reduce industrial waste, and meet the stringent quality standards of the energy storage industry.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Northern Graphite Partners with Alkeemia for Cleaner Graphite Purification
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

Northern Graphite has signed a Letter of Intent with Italy’s Alkeemia to secure access to a new graphite purification technology that is cleaner and more efficient than existing methods in China. This partnership aims to strengthen Northern’s position in the energy transition market by establishing a European-led purification process, potentially expanding to full industrial scale and integrating Northern’s upstream and downstream operations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 16, 2026