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Northern Graphite Corporation (TSE:NGC)
:NGC
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Northern Graphite (NGC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:NGC

Northern Graphite

(NGC)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.13
▼(-40.45% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/04/26
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance—persistent losses, negative gross profit, and a stressed balance sheet with negative equity and higher debt—despite some improvement in operating cash flow. Technicals also remain soft with the stock below major moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation is difficult to assess due to negative earnings and no dividend yield support.
Positive Factors
Structural Market Exposure
Northern Graphite's core business targets graphite for industrial and battery applications, aligning the company with a multi-year structural demand trend in energy storage and electrification. This market alignment supports sustained addressable demand for mined graphite over 2–6+ months.
Negative Factors
Weakened Capital Structure
Rising leverage coupled with negative equity materially weakens financial flexibility, increasing refinancing and dilution risk. A stressed capital structure raises long-term funding costs and constrains the company's ability to finance development or absorb revenue volatility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Structural Market Exposure
Northern Graphite's core business targets graphite for industrial and battery applications, aligning the company with a multi-year structural demand trend in energy storage and electrification. This market alignment supports sustained addressable demand for mined graphite over 2–6+ months.
Read all positive factors

Northern Graphite (NGC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Northern Graphite Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Northern Graphite Corporation explores for and develops graphite properties in Canada. The company's principal asset is the Bissett Creek graphite project located in southern Canada, which comprises Ontario mining lease number 109550 covering 565 ...
How the Company Makes Money
Northern Graphite primarily makes money by selling natural graphite products produced from its mining and processing activities. Its revenue model is based on: (1) Graphite product sales: generating revenue through the sale of processed graphite (...

Northern Graphite Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has grown to $19.2M (2025) but declined ~14.6% vs 2024, profitability is weak with negative gross profit in 2024–2025 and large operating losses (2025 EBIT ~-$17.7M). Balance sheet risk is elevated with rising debt (~$47.7M in 2025) and negative equity (~-$37.9M). Operating cash flow turned positive in 2025 (~$2.3M), but free cash flow remains negative (~-$1.5M).
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.23M22.73M17.10M11.99M0.00
Gross Profit-3.96M-310.00K1.93M2.65M-31.50K
EBITDA-10.77M-20.96M-14.55M-7.79M-3.19M
Net Income-21.31M-38.80M-23.64M-14.55M-3.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets73.53M77.24M91.23M102.06M19.66M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.54M373.00K3.60M5.64M4.33M
Total Debt47.68M41.10M27.55M21.90M0.00
Total Liabilities111.48M98.64M75.44M65.88M1.92M
Stockholders Equity-37.95M-21.40M15.79M36.18M17.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.54M-1.70M-9.65M-16.96M-2.08M
Operating Cash Flow2.27M-1.18M-4.73M-10.51M-1.40M
Investing Cash Flow-4.87M-563.00K-4.48M-51.57M-1.30M
Financing Cash Flow4.77M-1.01M7.34M63.38M5.06M

Northern Graphite Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.22
Price Trends
50DMA
0.21
Negative
100DMA
0.22
Negative
200DMA
0.19
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
39.84
Neutral
STOCH
6.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NGC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.18, above the 50-day MA of 0.21, and above the 200-day MA of 0.19, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:NGC.

Northern Graphite Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
44
Neutral
C$24.07M-1.16115.07%-15.39%46.81%
C$20.72M-21.55-5.19%87.71%
42
Neutral
C$41.68M-15.55-16.33%23.97%
41
Neutral
C$5.20M-3.66-28.23%-111.47%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:NGC
Northern Graphite
0.15
0.06
70.59%
TSE:AMY
RecycLiCo Battery Materials
0.08
0.02
33.33%
TSE:FMS
Focus Graphite
0.39
0.30
352.94%
TSE:LMR
Lomiko Metals
0.07
-0.05
-45.83%
TSE:IBAT
International Battery Metals
0.14
-0.66
-82.91%

Northern Graphite Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Northern Graphite Stresses Western Supply Push After U.S. Drops China Graphite Duties
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
Northern Graphite has responded to a U.S. International Trade Commission decision that removes 160% duties on Chinese graphite active anode material, saying it is disappointed but still confident in momentum to build a domestic graphite industry. ...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Northern Graphite Raises $2 Million in Flow-Through Share Financing to Advance Exploration
Positive
Mar 10, 2026
Northern Graphite has closed a non-brokered private placement of 7,142,858 flow-through common shares at $0.28 each, raising $2 million in gross proceeds. The company paid a finder’s fee in shares and cash, and the new securities are subject...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Northern Graphite Ties Executive Equity Awards to Strategic Growth Milestones
Positive
Mar 9, 2026
Northern Graphite has granted 2.0 million deferred share units and 2.0 million stock options to a senior executive as part of its long-term incentive, reward and retention programs. The stock options vest immediately with a five-year term, while t...
Business Operations and Strategy
Northern Graphite to Auction Lac des Iles Output via Metalshub Platform
Positive
Mar 2, 2026
Northern Graphite has partnered with Metalshub, a digital platform for the metals and mining industry, to run online auctions for natural flake graphite from its Lac des Iles mine in Quebec. The initiative will cover multiple graphite grades and i...
Business Operations and Strategy
Northern Graphite Moves Graphite Sales Online Through Metalshub Partnership
Positive
Mar 2, 2026
Northern Graphite has partnered with digital metals trading platform Metalshub to run online auctions for multiple grades of natural flake graphite from its Lac des Iles mine in Quebec. The move is intended to digitalize the majority of the compan...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 04, 2026