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Capella Minerals (TSE:CMIL)
:CMIL

Capella Minerals (CMIL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CMIL

Capella Minerals

(CMIL)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.15
▲(50.00% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (pre-revenue operations, ongoing losses/cash burn, and negative equity). Technicals are supportive with strong momentum above major moving averages, but elevated RSI/Stoch suggest the move may be stretched. Valuation is difficult to support on earnings due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Improving loss trajectory
A materially smaller net loss versus FY2024 indicates sustained cost discipline and progress toward operational stabilization. Over 2-6 months this reduces immediate financing pressure, lengthens runway, and increases the chance management can reach break-even before further dilution is required.
Year-over-year FCF improvement
A ~52% year-over-year improvement in trailing free cash flow signals improving cash management and operating efficiency. While still negative, a durable trend of narrowing cash burn lowers reliance on external funding and supports longer-term project development plans.
Low absolute leverage
Relatively low reported debt today reduces near-term insolvency and interest burden risk, giving the company flexibility to pursue development activities. This structural cushion is valuable in volatile metals markets and eases pressure on operating cash flow in the medium term.
Negative Factors
No revenue
Absence of revenue is a fundamental constraint: the business remains unproven commercially and depends on financing to progress. Over months, lack of operating income sustains dilution risk, limits reinvestment capacity, and makes long-term viability contingent on project milestones or external funding.
Persistent cash burn
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flow constrain strategic options and require continued capital raises. Structurally, persistent cash burn increases the probability of equity dilution or scaled-back programs, reducing ability to advance projects or invest in growth without external financing.
Balance-sheet volatility and negative equity
Large swings in assets and a period of negative equity signal capital-base instability and heightened financing risk. Over the medium term this undermines credit access, raises dilution likelihood, and complicates long-term project funding and contractual flexibility for a development-stage miner.

Capella Minerals (CMIL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Capella Minerals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCapella Minerals Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and evaluation of mineral properties in Canada. It primarily explores for gold, copper, and lithium deposits, as well as for silver and zinc deposits. The company holds 100% interests in the Southern Gold Line project in Sweden; Hessjøgruva Project located in the northern Røros Mining District, Norway; Vaddas-Birtavarre Copper-Cobalt project in northern Norway; and Kjøli and Løkken Project in the Trøndelag County. It also holds interests in the Domain, Manitoba, and Savant Lake projects in Ontario, Canada; Aakenus-Katajavaara project in northern Finland; Perho project located in Southern Finland; and Sierra Blanca Gold-Silver Project in Santa Cruz, Argentina. The company was formerly known as New Dimension Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Capella Minerals Limited in November 2020. Capella Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Mission, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCapella Minerals generates revenue through the exploration and development of mineral properties, primarily focusing on gold and copper. The company makes money by identifying and acquiring promising mineral assets, conducting exploration activities to assess their potential, and then either developing these assets into operational mines or selling them to larger mining companies. Revenue can also be generated through strategic partnerships or joint ventures with other mining firms, which may provide funding and expertise to advance projects. Additionally, Capella Minerals may earn income by licensing or selling exploration data and rights associated with their mineral properties.

Capella Minerals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Development-stage financial profile with no revenue and ongoing losses (TTM EBIT about -$1.10M; net loss about -$1.32M) and persistent cash burn (TTM FCF about -$763K). While losses and free cash flow have improved versus prior year, balance-sheet stability is a concern given recent negative equity (FY2025) and significant asset/equity volatility, implying elevated financing/dilution risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
The company reports no revenue across the available periods, with ongoing operating losses. In TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), results remain meaningfully negative (EBIT about -$1.10M; net loss about -$1.32M). Losses improved materially versus FY2024 (net loss about -$5.75M), but profitability is still not established and the lack of revenue keeps the earnings profile highly dependent on cost control and non-operating items.
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Leverage is low in absolute terms (TTM debt about $186K vs equity about $821K), suggesting limited balance-sheet debt pressure today. However, the capital base has been volatile: FY2025 shows negative equity (about -$488K), which is a key financial risk signal even if it later turns positive in TTM. Total assets also swung significantly (from ~$6.57M in FY2023 to ~$1.45M in FY2025), indicating reduced balance-sheet scale and potential funding/asset-impairment volatility.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Cash generation remains weak with persistent cash burn: TTM operating cash flow is about -$725K and free cash flow about -$763K. While free cash flow improved year-over-year in TTM (growth ~52%), the business still relies on external funding to sustain operations. Cash outflows have been a recurring pattern across the annual periods, limiting financial flexibility until revenue or materially lower cash costs emerge.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.00-881.000.000.00
EBITDA-728.16K-765.00K-1.07M-999.00K-614.00K
Net Income-1.12M-5.75M-1.45M-2.29M1.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.45M2.24M6.57M4.63M6.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments33.63K61.41K57.97K96.51K1.10M
Total Debt233.02K214.12K382.78K420.69K40.00K
Total Liabilities1.84M1.50M1.39M638.07K380.79K
Stockholders Equity-487.51K641.15K5.05M3.87M6.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-797.84K-574.74K-813.48K-2.35M-2.41M
Operating Cash Flow-424.19K-471.88K-743.14K-891.05K-1.31M
Investing Cash Flow339.95K-938.63K-853.12K-87.56K-923.86K
Financing Cash Flow105.60K1.39M1.53M-30.00K3.27M

Capella Minerals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
50
Neutral
C$5.62M-4.35-1035.65%79.40%
49
Neutral
C$5.54M-13.16-25.74%98.11%
48
Neutral
C$6.71M-3.91-5.67%64.95%
44
Neutral
C$6.43M-0.9911.47%
39
Underperform
C$5.05M-14.12%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CMIL
Capella Minerals
0.14
0.10
237.50%
TSE:AMZ
Azucar Minerals
0.08
0.05
150.00%
TSE:STRM
Storm Exploration
0.23
0.07
43.75%
TSE:CRC
Canter Resources Corp
0.50
-0.06
-10.71%
TSE:MLKM
Mayo Lake Minerals, Inc.
0.05
0.02
50.00%
TSE:HML
Heritage Mining Ltd.
0.04
-0.02
-30.00%

Capella Minerals Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Capella Minerals Moves Into Southern Spain with Earn-In on Solana IOCG Copper-Gold District
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

Capella Minerals has signed a binding letter of intent with Verde Minerals for an earn-in agreement on the Solana iron oxide copper-gold project in southern Spain, expanding its copper-gold portfolio into a 35 km-plus district that hosts historic high-grade copper-gold and iron operations. The Solana project, located near key infrastructure and renewable energy sources and along the same structural corridor as the historic Minas de Alquife iron mine, will see immediate ramp-up of exploration work focused on uncovering buried IOCG-style deposits beneath extensive surface vein systems, with geophysical surveys and first-pass diamond drilling planned for 2026 under newly appointed project manager John Gray, positioning Capella for potential new copper-gold discoveries in a relatively underexplored Spanish belt.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CMIL) stock is a Hold with a C$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capella Minerals stock, see the TSE:CMIL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Capella Minerals Converts Debt to Equity and Restructures Director Loan Ahead of Rescheduled AGM
Neutral
Jan 2, 2026

Capella Minerals has converted C$262,607 of outstanding liabilities, including management and director fees and part of a promissory note, into 4,376,784 common shares in a bid to conserve cash, with all shares subject to a four-month-plus-one-day trading hold. The company has also replaced a previous unapproved convertible promissory note with a new US$133,177 unsecured, non-convertible note held by a director, maturing in August 2026, and rescheduled its annual general and special meeting to January 30, 2026, steps that collectively underscore ongoing efforts to manage its balance sheet, comply with securities regulation, and maintain shareholder governance while it seeks new projects and funding.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CMIL) stock is a Hold with a C$0.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capella Minerals stock, see the TSE:CMIL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Capella Minerals Launches Maiden Drilling at Killerö Project in Finland
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

Capella Minerals Ltd has commenced its maiden diamond drilling program at the Killerö gold-copper project in northern Finland, focusing on the Killerö E target. This initiative is part of a fully-funded agreement with Tümad and aims to explore significant gold-copper anomalies identified in the Central Lapland Greenstone Belt. The drilling program, consisting of 11 holes over 2,200 meters, is expected to provide insights into the mineral potential of the area, enhancing Capella’s strategic positioning in the exploration of Precambrian orogenic gold and copper deposits.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Capella Minerals Completes $1.5 Million Financing and Grants Stock Options
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

Capella Minerals Ltd has successfully closed a private placement, raising C$1,500,000 through the sale of 30,000,000 units. Each unit includes one common share and one share purchase warrant, with proceeds intended for general purposes and potential project acquisitions. Additionally, Capella granted 4,500,000 stock options to its directors, officers, and consultants, reflecting its commitment to incentivize its team as it pursues growth opportunities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026