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Pan Orient Energy Corp (TSE:CEC)
:CEC

Pan Orient Energy (CEC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CEC

Pan Orient Energy

(CEC)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.08
▲(8.57% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, negative operating/free cash flow, and a materially reduced equity base) and bearish technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is also impaired by negative earnings and no stated dividend, while the latest corporate event highlights continued losses and a need for additional capital.
Positive Factors
Conservative leverage (minimal debt)
Extremely low reported debt materially reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk for an upstream E&P. That conservatism preserves strategic optionality—ability to withstand commodity cycles, negotiate farm-outs or time asset sales—supporting survival and execution over months.
Asset-backed upstream business model
Owning working interests in producing concessions creates durable, cash-generating optionality tied to long-lived hydrocarbons. The asset-centric E&P model with JV structures supports steady production upside, partner-funded development, and exposure to persistent global energy demand trends.
Proven cash generation in prior cycle
Historical periods of strong operating cash flow demonstrate the company can generate meaningful cash when production and prices align. This indicates asset and operational capability that could re-enable sustainable free cash flow if production or realized prices recover, improving funding self-sufficiency.
Negative Factors
Ongoing losses and negative cash flow
Sustained negative earnings and operating cash flows erode internal funding capacity and limit reinvestment. Over months this necessitates external financing or asset sales, increases vulnerability to cost shocks, and undermines ability to execute multi-period development plans without dilution.
Material erosion of equity base
A steep drop in shareholders' equity weakens the capital cushion that absorbs operational losses or reserve write-downs. This reduces borrowing capacity despite low debt, heightens insolvency risk in adverse scenarios, and makes future financing more dilutive or costly, pressuring long-term resilience.
Explicit capital need and execution risk
Management's stated requirement for additional capital creates structural execution risk: funding could entail dilution, asset divestitures, or higher-cost debt. If capital is not secured on favorable terms, development schedules and production maintenance may be delayed, impairing medium-term value creation.

Pan Orient Energy (CEC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Pan Orient Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCanasia Energy Corp. operates as an oil and gas exploration and production company with operations located at Sawn Lake, Alberta. The company is based in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyPan Orient Energy (CEC) generates revenue primarily through the sale of oil and gas extracted from its exploration and production activities. The company invests in acquiring and developing oil and gas reserves, which it then exploits to produce crude oil and natural gas. These resources are sold to various markets, generating income. Key revenue streams include sales contracts with refineries and wholesalers, as well as spot market sales. Partnerships with local and international exploration and production firms can enhance operational capabilities and market reach, contributing to the company's revenue generation.

Pan Orient Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are weak. Income statement and cash flow reflect ongoing losses and cash burn (TTM net income -$3.1M; operating/free cash flow -$2.9M), while the balance sheet is a relative strength due to minimal debt ($40K TTM). However, equity has fallen sharply (from $60.9M in 2021 to $5.8M TTM) and ROE is deeply negative, increasing sensitivity to continued losses.
Income Statement
23
Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show continued losses (net income of -$3.1M; EBITDA and EBIT also negative), pointing to weak underlying profitability. Earnings have been volatile across years, with a return to profitability in 2024 (net income of +$1.2M) and a large profit in 2021 (+$8.5M), but the business has not shown consistent earnings power. Reported revenue is $0 across periods, which limits visibility into operating momentum and makes profit quality harder to assess.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Leverage appears very conservative: total debt is minimal ($40K TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)) and debt-to-equity remains near zero, which reduces financial risk and refinancing pressure. However, equity has declined materially from 2021 ($60.9M) to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) ($5.8M), reflecting a weaker capital base over time. Returns on equity are also inconsistent and currently negative (TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) ROE of about -46%), indicating that the balance sheet strength is being eroded by ongoing losses.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Cash generation is currently weak: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow and free cash flow are both negative (-$2.9M), continuing a multi-year pattern of cash burn (also negative in 2022–2024). While free cash flow growth is shown as positive in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period, it is improving from a negative base rather than turning sustainably positive. A key bright spot is the strong cash generation in 2020–2021, but the more recent trend suggests funding needs could persist if operations don’t improve.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-44.00K-62.00K-66.00K-17.00K-59.00K-411.00K
EBITDA-3.17M820.00K-3.18M-723.00K-2.70M-89.43M
Net Income-3.10M1.16M-3.19M-725.00K8.48M-59.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.40M14.87M11.36M10.60M60.71M56.23M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.58M7.24M9.78M9.09M35.08M26.41M
Total Debt40.00K22.00K18.00K18.00K4.00K20.00K
Total Liabilities6.64M7.03M6.41M5.47M5.35M5.94M
Stockholders Equity5.76M7.84M4.95M6.92M60.95M55.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.89M-4.03M-2.01M-617.00K10.66M5.08M
Operating Cash Flow-2.89M-2.69M-2.01M-617.00K10.66M5.17M
Investing Cash Flow-9.00K-1.34M-1.60M-35.08M-156.00K-923.00K
Financing Cash Flow-29.00K1.12M4.60M9.31M-1.73M-1.73M

Pan Orient Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.07
Price Trends
50DMA
0.07
Negative
100DMA
0.09
Negative
200DMA
0.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
43.11
Neutral
STOCH
16.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CEC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.08, below the 50-day MA of 0.07, and below the 200-day MA of 0.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:CEC.

Pan Orient Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
C$14.89M7.2312.78%16.71%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
49
Neutral
C$7.28M-1.69-16.45%-32.11%66.67%
45
Neutral
C$9.05M-1.46-575.47%-920.00%
45
Neutral
C$9.60M-5.77
45
Neutral
C$6.23M-1.70-20.40%-23.57%-388.89%
41
Neutral
C$7.90M-2.55-43.43%-1150.00%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CEC
Pan Orient Energy
0.07
-0.02
-22.22%
TSE:BDR
Bird River Resources
0.14
0.07
107.69%
TSE:BNG
Bengal Energy
0.02
<0.01
50.00%
TSE:SNV
Sonoro Energy
0.05
-0.04
-43.75%
TSE:VUX
Vital Energy
0.18
-0.05
-21.74%
TSE:PUL
Pulse Oil Corp.
0.02
>-0.01
-25.00%

Pan Orient Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CanAsia Energy Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results Amid Strategic Focus on Sawn Lake and Thailand Opportunities
Negative
Nov 12, 2025

CanAsia Energy Corp., a company involved in oil and gas exploration, reported its third quarter financial results for 2025, highlighting a focus on the Sawn Lake sales process and a bid for a concession in Thailand. The company reported a net loss of $0.7 million for the quarter and noted the need for additional capital to support future activities, including potential operations in Thailand if successful in their bid.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025