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Carlyle Commodities (TSE:CCC)
:CCC

Carlyle Commodities (CCC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CCC

Carlyle Commodities

(CCC)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.02
▲(50.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/13/26
The score is primarily constrained by very weak financial performance (zero reported revenue, ongoing losses, and negative operating/free cash flow), despite low debt. Technical indicators provide some support (price above key moving averages and positive MACD), but valuation is not supportive given the negative P/E and lack of dividend data.
Positive Factors
Low leverage
A near-zero debt load materially reduces solvency and interest-rate risk over the next several months. It gives management flexibility to restructure operations or pursue non-debt financing without heavy interest obligations, improving survivability while revenue is developed.
Improving cash burn trend
Sequential improvement in operating cash outflows signals management has taken effective cost controls or realized one-off savings. If sustained, a lower burn rate extends runway, reduces immediate financing needs, and increases the chance of reaching operational inflection points.
Meaningful reduction in net loss TTM
A large reduction in net loss indicates structural cost reductions or resolved one-time items. Sustained lower losses improve capital preservation and make the path to break-even more credible, supporting long-term viability if revenue initiatives commence.
Negative Factors
No reported revenue
Lack of any reported revenue means the company has not demonstrated a monetized business model. Over the medium term this raises execution risk: without product-market traction or commodity sales, the firm must convert R&D or assets into sustainable revenue to justify continued investment.
Persistent negative cash flow
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow erodes liquidity and forces recurring external funding. Over months, ongoing outflows constrain operational investments, weaken negotiating leverage with partners, and increase the probability of dilution or distressed financing if revenue remains absent.
Eroding equity base / dilution risk
A rapid drop in shareholders' equity reflects cumulative losses and reduces the balance-sheet shock absorber. With a thinner equity base, the company is more likely to need equity raises, increasing dilution risk and making future financing terms potentially more onerous for long-term strategic execution.

Carlyle Commodities (CCC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Carlyle Commodities Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCarlyle Commodities Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral resource properties in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold and silver deposits. The company holds 100% interests in the Newton gold-silver project properties located in the Clinton Mining division of British Columbia; and the Owl Lake property located in the Hemlo Schreiber Greenstone Belt, Ontario. It also has an option to acquire 100% interests in the Sunset mining property that consists of four mineral claims located in Vancouver Mining division near Pemberton, British Columbia; and the Cecilia gold-silver project covering an area of 7,739 hectares situated in Sonora, Mexico. The company was formerly known as Delrey Metals Corp. and changed its name to Carlyle Commodities Corp. in February 2020. Carlyle Commodities Corp. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes Moneynull

Carlyle Commodities Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are very weak: revenue is reported as zero, gross profit is negative, and losses persist. Cash flow remains negative (TTM operating cash flow about -0.6M; free cash flow about -0.5M), implying ongoing reliance on external funding. The main positive is very low leverage, but equity has shrunk sharply, increasing financing/dilution risk.
Income Statement
6
Very Negative
Results remain very weak: revenue is reported as zero across all periods, while gross profit is negative and losses are substantial. Net loss improved meaningfully in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (about -1.6M) versus the latest annual period (about -5.3M), indicating some cost reduction or one-time benefit, but the company is still not demonstrating a viable revenue-producing operating model in the provided data.
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Leverage is low (debt is minimal to zero and debt-to-equity is near zero), which reduces solvency risk. However, the equity base has declined materially (from ~6.3M in 2024 to ~2.1M in 2025 and ~1.5M in TTM), reflecting ongoing losses and raising dilution/financing risk if cash burn continues. Returns on equity are deeply negative, consistent with persistent unprofitability.
Cash Flow
12
Very Negative
Cash generation is consistently negative: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in every period provided, including TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (operating cash flow about -0.6M; free cash flow about -0.5M). The burn rate has improved versus prior years (e.g., 2024 operating cash flow about -1.65M), but cash flow still does not support the business, implying ongoing reliance on external funding.
BreakdownTTMMay 2024May 2023May 2022May 2021May 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-438.00-542.00-731.00-846.00-1.10K-1.69K
EBITDA-1.60M-5.25M-1.94M-2.35M-4.26M-3.51M
Net Income-1.63M-5.27M-2.73M-2.36M-4.27M-3.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.83M2.80M6.74M6.64M5.03M7.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.00M11.98K102.06K562.84K134.53K161.16K
Total Debt0.0040.00K100.00K0.000.000.00
Total Liabilities342.77K711.76K477.51K642.27K199.08K195.54K
Stockholders Equity1.49M2.09M6.26M6.00M4.83M6.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-519.13K-599.64K-2.86M-2.20M-1.03M-2.10M
Operating Cash Flow-590.07K-599.64K-1.65M-1.75M-866.41K-656.67K
Investing Cash Flow609.53K44.77K-1.20M-437.56K-200.98K-675.74K
Financing Cash Flow0.00464.80K2.39M2.62M1.04M1.44M

Carlyle Commodities Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.01
Price Trends
50DMA
0.02
Negative
100DMA
0.01
Positive
200DMA
0.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
46.55
Neutral
STOCH
16.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CCC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, below the 50-day MA of 0.02, and below the 200-day MA of 0.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:CCC.

Carlyle Commodities Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
48
Neutral
C$1.26M-2.09-32.05%41.13%
48
Neutral
C$6.20M-23.41-157.18%-252.46%
47
Neutral
C$13.90M-1.93-219.86%53.47%
46
Neutral
C$1.50M-0.44-78.92%78.57%
46
Neutral
C$860.28K-1.34-129.14%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CCC
Carlyle Commodities
0.02
0.00
0.00%
TSE:FCI
Green Battery Minerals Inc
0.42
0.30
250.00%
TSE:CTN
Centurion Minerals
0.05
-0.02
-25.00%
TSE:LKY
Lucky Minerals
0.01
0.00
0.00%
TSE:GBML
Global Battery Metals
0.16
0.04
33.33%
TSE:GCOM
Green Shift Commodities
0.05
<0.01
28.57%

Carlyle Commodities Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingStock Split
Carlyle Commodities Closes Upsized $4.25 Million Private Placement for Silver Pony Deal
Positive
Feb 11, 2026

Carlyle Commodities has upsized and closed its non-brokered private placement, raising total gross proceeds of $4.25 million through subscription receipts priced at $0.01 each, issued largely in support of its planned business combination with Silver Pony Resources. The financing, completed in three tranches with associated finder fees and warrants and tied to a planned 20-for-1 share consolidation, bolsters Carlyle’s cash position while placing proceeds in escrow until conditions for the Silver Pony transaction are met, underscoring investor support and the company’s push to advance its corporate initiatives.

Each subscription receipt will convert into a unit comprising one common share and half a warrant upon satisfaction of escrow release conditions linked to closing the Silver Pony deal, with warrants exercisable for 18 months and subject to accelerated expiry if the stock trades above a set price. Carlyle also corrected earlier disclosures about amounts raised in the first tranche and detailed the structure of finder’s warrants, as all securities from the offering remain subject to a four-month-plus-one-day hold period, shaping the near-term trading dynamics for existing and new investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CCC) stock is a Sell with a C$0.01 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Carlyle Commodities stock, see the TSE:CCC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Carlyle Commodities Upsizes Private Placement to $4.15 Million Ahead of Silver Pony Deal
Positive
Feb 3, 2026

Carlyle Commodities has increased its non-brokered private placement for the second time, lifting the total offering to up to $4.15 million in gross proceeds, driven by strong demand from strategic institutional and other significant investors. The financing, structured as subscription receipts that convert into units upon closing of Carlyle’s proposed business combination with Silver Pony Resources, is intended to strengthen the company’s balance sheet ahead of the transaction and fund exploration at the Trout Lake Projects and general working capital, underscoring investor support for Carlyle’s consolidation and expansion plans in the resource exploration sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CCC) stock is a Hold with a C$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Carlyle Commodities stock, see the TSE:CCC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingStock Split
Carlyle Commodities Raises $3.75 Million to Advance Silver Pony Transaction
Positive
Jan 31, 2026

Carlyle Commodities has upsized and closed the second and final tranche of its non-brokered private placement, bringing total gross proceeds to $3.75 million in support of its proposed business combination with Silver Pony Resources. The financing, structured through subscription receipts that convert into units upon completion of the transaction, will see proceeds held in escrow until closing conditions are met, after which funds are expected to be directed toward exploration at Silver Pony’s Trout Lake projects and general working capital, while the company also plans a 20-for-1 share consolidation and has issued finder’s fees in cash and warrants to support the raise.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CCC) stock is a Hold with a C$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Carlyle Commodities stock, see the TSE:CCC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Carlyle Commodities Upsizes Private Placement to $3 Million Ahead of Silver Pony Deal
Positive
Jan 14, 2026

Carlyle Commodities Corp. has increased its planned non-brokered private placement to raise up to $3 million in subscription receipts, priced at $0.01 each on a pre-consolidation basis, in connection with its proposed business combination with Silver Pony Resources Corp. The subscription receipts will convert into units upon closing of the transaction, each unit comprising one common share and half of a warrant, with the warrants exercisable for 18 months and subject to an accelerated expiry clause tied to share-price performance. Proceeds from the financing will be held in escrow until the transaction closes, and, if released, are earmarked for exploration work on Silver Pony’s Trout Lake projects and for general working capital, with the offering remaining subject to Canadian Securities Exchange approval and potentially involving finder’s fees. The upsizing of the placement from a previously announced $2.5 million reflects strong investor demand and management’s intention to capitalize on strengthening conditions in the silver market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CCC) stock is a Sell with a C$0.01 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Carlyle Commodities stock, see the TSE:CCC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingStock Split
Carlyle Commodities Plans Business Combination With Silver Pony Resources to Expand Silver-Focused Assets
Positive
Dec 31, 2025

Carlyle Commodities Corp. has signed a non-binding letter of intent to combine with Silver Pony Resources via a three-cornered amalgamation, under which Silver Pony shareholders will receive one Carlyle share for each Silver Pony share, resulting in the issuance of about 60.5 million new Carlyle shares following a planned 20:1 share consolidation and a minimum $2.5 million financing. Post-transaction, the resulting issuer’s board will be controlled by Silver Pony nominees, and the deal, which remains subject to due diligence and regulatory approvals, is aimed at positioning Carlyle to capitalize on strong precious metals markets by securing Silver Pony’s large, high-grade, drill-ready Trout Lake polymetallic projects in British Columbia, potentially enhancing Carlyle’s growth prospects and scale in the junior mining space.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CCC) stock is a Hold with a C$0.01 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Carlyle Commodities stock, see the TSE:CCC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 13, 2026