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Aston Bay Holdings (TSE:BAY)
:BAY

Aston Bay Holdings (BAY) AI Stock Analysis

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Aston Bay Holdings

(BAY)

Rating:36Underperform
Price Target:
Aston Bay Holdings' stock is heavily impacted by weak financial performance, with no revenue and increasing losses. Despite bearish technical trends, oversold levels may attract speculative interest. Valuation is poor due to negative earnings. However, positive corporate events related to the Storm Copper Project provide a glimmer of hope for future growth. Overall, the stock is risky, with cautious optimism for long-term prospects depending on successful project developments.

Aston Bay Holdings (BAY) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Aston Bay Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAston Bay Holdings Ltd. is a Canadian-based mineral exploration company focused on the discovery and development of valuable mineral deposits. The company primarily operates in the mining and metals sector, with a specific interest in exploring for copper and gold deposits. Aston Bay Holdings is actively involved in exploration projects in Canada, leveraging its expertise and strategic partnerships to advance its exploration portfolio.
How the Company Makes MoneyAston Bay Holdings makes money through its mineral exploration operations, primarily by investing in exploration projects with the potential to discover economically viable mineral deposits. The company's revenue model is based on increasing the value of its exploration assets and projects, which can attract investment, joint ventures, or potential acquisitions by larger mining companies. Aston Bay Holdings may also generate revenue through the sale or optioning of its mineral properties to other entities interested in advancing the projects. Key revenue streams include exploration success leading to increased asset valuation and strategic partnerships that provide funding and technical expertise. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include successful exploration outcomes, market demand for copper and gold, and the ability to secure investment from partners or through public markets.

Aston Bay Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aston Bay Holdings faces significant financial challenges. The absence of revenue generation, increasing net losses, and reliance on financing activities indicate a precarious financial situation. The company's balance sheet is weakened by negative equity, and operating inefficiencies are evident in the cash flow statement.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
Aston Bay Holdings' income statement shows no revenue generation over the periods analyzed, which is a critical weakness. The company has consistently reported negative EBIT and net income, with increasing losses over time. This trend indicates significant challenges in achieving profitability, resulting in a poor income statement performance.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a weak financial position characterized by negative stockholders' equity in most periods, reflecting accumulated losses. The company has managed its debt levels well recently, with a debt-to-equity ratio appearing favorable due to low or zero debt. However, the negative equity and minimal assets highlight financial instability.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Aston Bay Holdings' cash flow statement shows persistent negative operating cash flow, indicating operational inefficiencies. There is no evidence of free cash flow growth, and cash flow from operations consistently falls short of covering net income. The company relies heavily on financing activities to maintain liquidity, which poses sustainability concerns.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
-83.33K-83.33K-83.33K0.000.000.00
EBIT
-2.87M-3.08M-538.23K-1.68M-1.41M-1.88M
EBITDA
-5.72M-3.07M-455.36K-102.67K-65.95K-49.51K
Net Income Common Stockholders
-3.45M-3.29M-725.09K-1.73M-1.44M-1.89M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
303.63K552.89K3.75K56.39K19.18K315.71K
Total Assets
304.85K665.23K203.72K266.06K219.96K536.86K
Total Debt
0.00644.78K715.82K515.82K304.48K0.00
Net Debt
-303.63K91.88K712.07K459.43K285.30K-315.71K
Total Liabilities
4.56K1.06M2.27M1.59M705.57K345.13K
Stockholders Equity
300.28K-393.44K-2.07M-1.32M-485.62K191.73K
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-2.43M-2.46M-221.55K-940.19K-1.19M-2.38M
Operating Cash Flow
-2.43M-2.46M-221.55K-940.19K-1.19M-1.42M
Investing Cash Flow
0.000.000.000.00-961.80K
Financing Cash Flow
3.34M3.02M229.30K976.38K881.32K1.40M

Aston Bay Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.06
Price Trends
50DMA
0.05
Negative
100DMA
0.06
Negative
200DMA
0.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
46.16
Neutral
STOCH
83.33
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.05, above the 50-day MA of 0.05, and below the 200-day MA of 0.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:BAY.

Aston Bay Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSEPL
61
Neutral
C$14.34M2.22-1.74%-1.60%-103.61%
60
Neutral
$2.76B10.330.49%8507.90%5.95%-17.56%
TSCCE
42
Neutral
C$12.72M-45.75%-1014.38%
TSFMC
37
Underperform
C$15.47M-242.26%-57.21%
TSBAY
36
Underperform
C$12.65M-349.78%-184.91%
32
Underperform
C$15.04M
9.29%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BAY
Aston Bay Holdings
0.05
-0.07
-58.33%
TSE:SUPR
Supernova Metals
0.48
0.38
380.00%
TSE:EPL
Eagle Plains Resources
0.12
-0.01
-7.69%
TSE:CCE
Commerce Resources
0.06
-0.08
-57.14%
TSE:FMC
Forum Energy Metals Corp
0.05
-0.08
-61.54%

Aston Bay Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Aston Bay Unveils New Copper Target at Storm Project, Nunavut
Positive
Apr 23, 2025

Aston Bay Holdings has announced the identification of a new large-scale copper target at the Storm Project in Nunavut, Canada. The discovery, located at the Midway Prospect, is supported by historical drilling data revealing over 58 meters of visual copper sulfides. This development could significantly expand the copper endowment along the Storm Graben Faults, a known area for high-grade copper mineralization. The company plans a comprehensive exploration program for 2025, including a regional scale Mobile Magneto-Telluric survey and a multi-faceted drill program to test new targets and expand existing discoveries. This strategic move aims to enhance Aston Bay’s position in the copper mining sector and potentially increase its resource base, offering promising implications for stakeholders.

Spark’s Take on TSE:BAY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:BAY is a Underperform.

Aston Bay Holdings’ stock score is heavily impacted by its weak financial performance, with significant challenges in revenue generation and profitability. While the technical analysis indicates bearish trends, the stock is near oversold levels, which may attract speculative interest. Valuation is poor due to negative earnings. However, recent positive corporate events regarding the Storm Copper Project offer a glimmer of hope for future potential growth. Overall, the stock is risky, with cautious optimism for long-term prospects dependent on successful project developments.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:BAY stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aston Bay Files Initial Mineral Resource Estimate for Storm Copper Project
Positive
Apr 17, 2025

Aston Bay Holdings Ltd. has filed a new National Instrument 43-101 Technical Report for its Storm Copper Project on Somerset Island, Nunavut, detailing an initial Mineral Resource Estimate. The report highlights significant near-surface copper and silver deposits, with substantial development potential due to low-cost open-pit mining and excellent beneficiation potential. The project, a joint venture with American West Metals Limited, remains open for expansion, with new discoveries and exploration opportunities identified, underscoring the project’s promising future and strategic importance for Aston Bay.

Spark’s Take on TSE:BAY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:BAY is a Underperform.

Aston Bay Holdings’ stock is heavily impacted by weak financial performance, with challenges in revenue generation and profitability. The technical analysis shows bearish trends but potential speculative interest due to oversold levels. Valuation remains poor due to negative earnings, but recent positive corporate events regarding the Storm Copper Project offer a glimmer of hope for future potential growth. Overall, the stock is risky, with cautious optimism for long-term prospects dependent on successful project developments.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:BAY stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aston Bay Holdings Announces Strategic Partnership for Storm Copper Project
Positive
Apr 9, 2025

Aston Bay Holdings Ltd. has announced a strategic partnership between its joint venture partner, American West Metals, and Ocean Partners Holdings Ltd. for the development of the Storm Copper Project in Nunavut, Canada. This partnership includes a funding agreement where Ocean Partners will finance up to 80% of the initial capital for the project’s development and secure 100% of the copper and silver offtake. Additionally, Taurus Mining Royalty has advanced a US$3.5 million royalty payment to support project expansion, exploration, and pre-feasibility studies. This development marks a significant milestone for Aston Bay, highlighting the project’s potential and the company’s strategic positioning in the copper and silver markets.

Spark’s Take on TSE:BAY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:BAY is a Underperform.

Aston Bay Holdings’ stock score is heavily impacted by its weak financial performance, with significant challenges in revenue generation and profitability. The technical analysis indicates bearish trends, but the stock is near oversold levels, which may attract speculative interest. The valuation is poor due to negative earnings, but the recent positive corporate event regarding the Storm Copper Project offers a glimmer of hope for future potential growth. Overall, the stock is risky, with cautious optimism for long-term prospects depending on successful project developments.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:BAY stock, click here.

Business Operations and Strategy
Aston Bay Announces Initial Resource Estimate for Storm Copper Project
Positive
Mar 3, 2025

Aston Bay Holdings Ltd. has announced an Initial Mineral Resource Estimate for the Storm Copper Project, highlighting six near-surface copper-silver deposits. The project, a joint venture with American West Metals, shows significant potential for low-cost development through open-pit mining, with indicated resources of 8.2 million tonnes and inferred resources of 3.3 million tonnes. The deposits remain open for expansion, and recent discoveries suggest further growth opportunities, enhancing the project’s value and impact on stakeholders.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aston Bay Holdings Announces CFO Transition Amid Ongoing Exploration Efforts
Neutral
Feb 27, 2025

Aston Bay Holdings has announced the passing of its Chief Financial Officer, Dwight Walker, who had been with the company for nine years and was instrumental in its success. The Board of Directors has appointed Donna McLean as interim CFO, bringing her extensive experience in the mining and exploration sectors to the role. This leadership change comes as Aston Bay continues its exploration efforts in North America, with significant projects underway in Nunavut and Virginia.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.