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Aston Bay Holdings (TSE:BAY)
:BAY

Aston Bay Holdings (BAY) AI Stock Analysis

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Aston Bay Holdings

(BAY)

33Underperform
Aston Bay Holdings' stock is heavily impacted by weak financial performance, with challenges in revenue generation and profitability. The technical analysis shows bearish trends but potential speculative interest due to oversold levels. Valuation remains poor due to negative earnings, but recent positive corporate events regarding the Storm Copper Project offer a glimmer of hope for future potential growth. Overall, the stock is risky, with cautious optimism for long-term prospects dependent on successful project developments.

Aston Bay Holdings (BAY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Aston Bay Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAston Bay Holdings Ltd. is a Canadian mineral exploration company focused on the discovery and development of base metal and precious metal deposits. The company primarily operates in the resource-rich regions of Canada, engaging in the exploration and potential development of copper and zinc projects, with a particular emphasis on their Storm Copper and Seal Zinc projects located in Nunavut.
How the Company Makes MoneyAston Bay Holdings makes money primarily through the exploration and development of mineral resources, aiming to increase the value of their properties to attract investment or potential acquisition by larger mining companies. The company's revenue model involves securing funding through private placements, public offerings, and partnerships to finance their exploration activities. Successful exploration results can lead to increased property valuations, which can be monetized through joint ventures, selling the properties, or obtaining royalties from production. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and alliances with other mining and exploration companies to share exploration risks and costs.

Aston Bay Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aston Bay Holdings faces significant financial challenges. The absence of revenue generation, increasing net losses, and reliance on financing activities indicate a precarious financial situation. The company's balance sheet is weakened by negative equity, and operating inefficiencies are evident in the cash flow statement.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
Aston Bay Holdings' income statement shows no revenue generation over the periods analyzed, which is a critical weakness. The company has consistently reported negative EBIT and net income, with increasing losses over time. This trend indicates significant challenges in achieving profitability, resulting in a poor income statement performance.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a weak financial position characterized by negative stockholders' equity in most periods, reflecting accumulated losses. The company has managed its debt levels well recently, with a debt-to-equity ratio appearing favorable due to low or zero debt. However, the negative equity and minimal assets highlight financial instability.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Aston Bay Holdings' cash flow statement shows persistent negative operating cash flow, indicating operational inefficiencies. There is no evidence of free cash flow growth, and cash flow from operations consistently falls short of covering net income. The company relies heavily on financing activities to maintain liquidity, which poses sustainability concerns.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
-83.33K-83.33K-83.33K0.000.000.00
EBIT
-2.87M-3.08M-538.23K-1.68M-1.41M-1.88M
EBITDA
-5.72M-3.07M-455.36K-102.67K-65.95K-49.51K
Net Income Common Stockholders
-3.45M-3.29M-725.09K-1.73M-1.44M-1.89M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
303.63K552.89K3.75K56.39K19.18K315.71K
Total Assets
304.85K665.23K203.72K266.06K219.96K536.86K
Total Debt
0.00644.78K715.82K515.82K304.48K0.00
Net Debt
-303.63K91.88K712.07K459.43K285.30K-315.71K
Total Liabilities
4.56K1.06M2.27M1.59M705.57K345.13K
Stockholders Equity
300.28K-393.44K-2.07M-1.32M-485.62K191.73K
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-2.43M-2.46M-221.55K-940.19K-1.19M-2.38M
Operating Cash Flow
-2.43M-2.46M-221.55K-940.19K-1.19M-1.42M
Investing Cash Flow
0.000.000.000.00-961.80K
Financing Cash Flow
3.34M3.02M229.30K976.38K881.32K1.40M

Aston Bay Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.06
Price Trends
50DMA
0.05
Positive
100DMA
0.06
Positive
200DMA
0.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
49.18
Neutral
STOCH
83.33
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BAY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.05, above the 50-day MA of 0.05, and below the 200-day MA of 0.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BAY.

Aston Bay Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$4.30B16.20-3.61%11.22%6.29%-21.37%
TSCNC
53
Neutral
$188.68M-0.58%91.44%
TSSGC
45
Neutral
C$7.26M-156.70%82.35%
TSFPX
42
Neutral
C$78.76M-4.25%48.82%
TSAMY
40
Underperform
C$11.83M-25.82%52.14%
TSGNG
37
Underperform
C$1.15M-147.05%-399.62%
TSBAY
33
Underperform
C$13.91M-349.78%-184.91%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BAY
Aston Bay Holdings
0.06
-0.08
-57.14%
TSE:FPX
FPX Nickel
0.24
-0.07
-22.58%
TSE:AMY
RecycLiCo Battery Materials
0.04
-0.12
-75.00%
TSE:GNG
Golden Goliath Resources
0.04
-0.02
-33.33%
TSE:CNC
Canada Nickel Company
0.95
-0.51
-34.93%
TSE:SGC
Solstice Gold
0.04
-0.01
-20.00%

Aston Bay Holdings Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aston Bay Holdings Announces Strategic Partnership for Storm Copper Project
Positive
Apr 9, 2025

Aston Bay Holdings Ltd. has announced a strategic partnership between its joint venture partner, American West Metals, and Ocean Partners Holdings Ltd. for the development of the Storm Copper Project in Nunavut, Canada. This partnership includes a funding agreement where Ocean Partners will finance up to 80% of the initial capital for the project’s development and secure 100% of the copper and silver offtake. Additionally, Taurus Mining Royalty has advanced a US$3.5 million royalty payment to support project expansion, exploration, and pre-feasibility studies. This development marks a significant milestone for Aston Bay, highlighting the project’s potential and the company’s strategic positioning in the copper and silver markets.

Spark’s Take on TSE:BAY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:BAY is a Underperform.

Aston Bay Holdings’ stock score is heavily impacted by its weak financial performance, with significant challenges in revenue generation and profitability. The technical analysis indicates bearish trends, but the stock is near oversold levels, which may attract speculative interest. The valuation is poor due to negative earnings, but the recent positive corporate event regarding the Storm Copper Project offers a glimmer of hope for future potential growth. Overall, the stock is risky, with cautious optimism for long-term prospects depending on successful project developments.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:BAY stock, click here.

Business Operations and Strategy
Aston Bay Announces Initial Resource Estimate for Storm Copper Project
Positive
Mar 3, 2025

Aston Bay Holdings Ltd. has announced an Initial Mineral Resource Estimate for the Storm Copper Project, highlighting six near-surface copper-silver deposits. The project, a joint venture with American West Metals, shows significant potential for low-cost development through open-pit mining, with indicated resources of 8.2 million tonnes and inferred resources of 3.3 million tonnes. The deposits remain open for expansion, and recent discoveries suggest further growth opportunities, enhancing the project’s value and impact on stakeholders.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aston Bay Holdings Announces CFO Transition Amid Ongoing Exploration Efforts
Neutral
Feb 27, 2025

Aston Bay Holdings has announced the passing of its Chief Financial Officer, Dwight Walker, who had been with the company for nine years and was instrumental in its success. The Board of Directors has appointed Donna McLean as interim CFO, bringing her extensive experience in the mining and exploration sectors to the role. This leadership change comes as Aston Bay continues its exploration efforts in North America, with significant projects underway in Nunavut and Virginia.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.