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Theratechnologies (THTX)
:THTX
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Theratechnologies (THTX) Risk Factors

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Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.

Theratechnologies disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Theratechnologies reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.

Risk Overview Q4, 2023

Risk Distribution
46Risks
41% Finance & Corporate
17% Tech & Innovation
17% Legal & Regulatory
11% Production
9% Ability to Sell
4% Macro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.

Risk Change Over Time

S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Theratechnologies Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.

The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.

Risk Highlights Q4, 2023

Main Risk Category
Finance & Corporate
With 19 Risks
Finance & Corporate
With 19 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
46
S&P 500 Average: 31
46
S&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
0Risks added
0Risks removed
0Risks changed
Since Nov 2023
0Risks added
0Risks removed
0Risks changed
Since Nov 2023
Number of Risk Changed
0
S&P 500 Average: 3
0
S&P 500 Average: 3
See the risk highlights of Theratechnologies in the last period.

Risk Word Cloud

The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.

Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 46

Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 19/46 (41%)Above Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights6 | 13.0%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
Our Common Shares may be delisted from the Nasdaq stock market if the minimum bid price of our Common Shares remains below US$1.00 per share for 30 consecutive trading days. The delisting of our Common Shares could reduce the liquidity in our Common Shares and could trigger a sell-off from U.S. shareholders. Any reduction in the liquidity of our Common Shares or a sell-off of our Common Shares could result in a decline in the price of our Common Shares. Being delisted from the Nasdaq stock market could also adversely affect analysts coverage of our business and prevent us from retaining U.S. investment bankers to raise capital in public offerings.
Under the Nasdaq minimum bid price requirement, the minimum bid price of our Common Shares may not remain below $1.00 per share for 30 consecutive trading days. If such event occurs, the Corporation will receive a deficiency notice providing the Corporation with a 180-calendar day cure period from the date of the notice during which the minimum bid price of the Common Shares will have to be $1.00 or more per share for ten consecutive business days in order to avoid delisting. If, at the expiry of the 180-calendar day cure period, the Corporation has not regained compliance with the minimum bid price requirement, the Corporation could be afforded an additional 180-calendar day cure period, provided that it meets certain conditions. If the Common Shares of the Corporation are delisted from the Nasdaq stock market, the liquidity in our Common Shares could decrease and investors may have difficulties in buying or selling our Common Shares. In addition, a delisting of our Common Shares on the Nasdaq stock market could trigger a sell-off from current U.S-based shareholders whose internal policies could prevent them from holding securities of companies that are not traded on a U.S. stock market. Any sell-off by these shareholders could result in a material decline in the price of our Common Shares. Finally, if the minimum bid price of the Common Shares were to be below $1.00 per share for 30-consecutive trading days, there can be no assurance that the cure period provided by Nasdaq rules to regain compliance with the minimum bid price requirement would result in the Corporation regaining compliance with such rules in order to avoid a delisting of the Common Shares. Even if the Corporation was to proceed with a reverse-split of its Common Shares, as performed on July 31, 2023, there can be no assurance that the long term bid price of the Common Shares post reverse-split would meet the minimum bid price requirement of the Nasdaq stock market.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
The liquidity of our Common Shares is uneven and oftentimes scarce and shareholders desiring to purchase or sell Common Shares could be unable to, if the liquidity in our Common Shares is low.
The volume of Common Shares traded on the TSX and the Nasdaq has been uneven over time and is often low. Therefore, any investor who desires to purchase or sell Common Shares of the Corporation over the TSX or the Nasdaq may be unable to rapidly execute its order and, if the liquidity is low, the price at which such investor may purchase or sell Common Shares may be adversely affected by the lack of trading volume.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
Our share price has been volatile, and an investment in our Common Shares could suffer a decline in value.
The Corporation's Common Shares are listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange ("TSX") and on the U.S. Nasdaq Capital market ("Nasdaq"). The market price of the Common Shares on the Nasdaq and the TSX has fluctuated significantly in the past and the Corporation expects the market prices to continue to fluctuate in the future, and such prices may decline. For example, since the Corporation's listing of its Common Shares on Nasdaq to December 31, 2023, the Corporation's closing share price on Nasdaq has ranged from a low of $0.89 to a high of $16.28. Consequently, you may not be able to sell your Common Shares at prices equal to or greater than the price paid by you. In addition, the market price of the Common Shares may be influenced by many factors, some of which are or may be beyond the Corporation's control, including: actual or anticipated variations in the Corporation's operating results and/or research and development activities; announcements by the Corporation or the Corporation's competitors of significant contracts or acquisitions; additions or departures of key personnel; announcement or expectation of additional financing efforts; impairment of assets; changes in accounting principles; changes in the general market and economic conditions; future sales of the Common Shares; the failure of financial analysts to initiate or maintain coverage of the Common Shares, changes in financial estimates by financial analysts, or any failure by the Corporation to meet or exceed any of these estimates, or changes in the recommendations of any financial analysts that elect to follow the Common Shares or the shares of the Corporation's competitors; and investor perceptions of the Corporation and the industry in which the Corporation operates. In addition, stock markets, in general, have experienced substantial price and volume fluctuations that have often been unrelated or disproportionate to the operating performance of particular companies affected. These broad market and industry factors may materially harm the market price of the Common Shares, regardless of the Corporation's operating performance. Dual listing of the Common Shares on the Nasdaq and the TSX may increase share price volatility on both exchanges because trading is in the two markets, which may result in less liquidity on both exchanges. In addition, different liquidity levels, volumes of trading, currencies and market conditions on the two exchanges may result in different prevailing trading prices. In the past, following periods of volatility in the market price of certain companies' securities, securities class action litigation has sometimes been instituted against these companies. This litigation, if instituted against the Corporation, could adversely affect the financial condition or results of operations of the Corporation.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4
We are governed by the corporate and securities laws of Canada, which in some cases have a different effect on shareholders than the corporate laws of Delaware, U.S. and U.S. securities laws.
We are governed by the Business Corporations Act (Québec) ("QBCA") and other relevant laws, which may affect the rights of shareholders differently than those of a company governed by the laws of a U.S. jurisdiction, and may, together with our charter documents, have the effect of delaying, deferring or discouraging another party from acquiring control of the Corporation by means of a tender offer, a proxy contest or otherwise, or may affect the price an acquiring party would be willing to offer in such an instance. The material differences between the QBCA and Delaware General Corporation Law ("DGCL") that may have the greatest such effect include, but are not limited to, the following: (i) for material corporate transactions (such as mergers and amalgamations, other extraordinary corporate transactions or amendments to the our articles) the QBCA generally requires a two-thirds majority vote by shareholders, whereas DGCL generally requires only a majority vote; and (ii) under the QBCA, holders of 10% or more of our shares that carry the right to vote at a meeting of shareholders can requisition a special meeting of shareholders, whereas such right does not exist under the DGCL. See "Item 10B – Memorandum and Articles of Association – Differences in Corporate Law".
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5
Our shareholder rights plan and certain Canadian laws could delay or deter a change of control.
Our shareholder rights plan ("Rights Plan") entitles a rights holder, other than a person or group holding 20% or more of our Common Shares, to subscribe for our Common Shares at a discount of 50% to the market price at that time, subject to certain exceptions. See "Item 10B – Memorandum and Articles of Association – Shareholder Rights Plan" for information on our Rights Plan. The Investment Canada Act (Canada) subjects an acquisition of control of a company by a non-Canadian to government review if the value of the assets as calculated pursuant to the legislation exceeds a threshold amount. A reviewable acquisition may not proceed unless the relevant minister is satisfied that the investment is likely to be a net benefit to Canada. See "Item 10B – Memorandum and Articles of Association – Limitations on Rights to Own Securities". Any of the foregoing could prevent or delay a change of control and may deprive or limit strategic opportunities for our shareholders to sell their shares.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6
If securities or industry analysts do not publish research or reports, or publish unfavorable research or reports about our business, the price of our Common Shares and trading volume may decline.
The trading market for our Common Shares will rely in part on the research and reports that industry or financial analysts publish about us, our business, our markets and our competitors. We do not control these analysts. If securities analysts do not cover our Common Shares, the lack of research coverage may adversely affect the market price of our Common Shares. Furthermore, if one or more of the analysts who do cover us downgrade the target price of our Common Shares or if those analysts issue other unfavorable commentary about us or our business, the price of our Common Shares would likely decline. If one or more of these analysts cease coverage of us or fails to regularly publish reports on us, we could lose visibility in the market and interest in our Common Shares could decrease, which in turn could cause our share price or trading volume to decline and may also impair our ability to expand our business with existing customers and attract new customers.
Accounting & Financial Operations9 | 19.6%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
Our revenues and expenses may fluctuate significantly and any failure to meet financial expectations and/or our own financial guidance, if any, may disappoint securities analysts or investors and result in a decline in the price of our Common Shares.
Our revenues and expenses have fluctuated in the past and are likely to do so in the future. These fluctuations could cause our share price to decline. Some of the factors that could cause revenues and expenses to fluctuate include the following: (a) the level of sales of EGRIFTA SV in the United States; (b) the level of sales of Trogarzo in the United States; (c) supply issues with EGRIFTA SV or Trogarzo; (d) default under the terms of the Marathon Credit Agreement; (e) the inability to adequately manage our liquidity; (f) the outcome of any litigation; (g) payment of fines or penalties for violations of laws; (h) foreign currency and/or interest rate fluctuations; (i) the timing of achievement and the receipt of milestone or royalty payments from future third parties; and (j) failure to enter into new or the expiration or termination of current agreements with third parties. If our quarterly or annual operating results fall below the expectations of investors or securities analysts, or if we need to reduce our financial guidance, if any, the price of our Common Shares could decline substantially. Furthermore, any quarterly fluctuations in our operating results may, in turn, cause the price of our stock to fluctuate substantially.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
We do not intend to pay dividends on our Common Shares and, consequently, the ability of investors to achieve a return on their investment will depend on appreciation in the price of our Common Shares.
We have never declared or paid any cash dividend on our Common Shares and we do not currently intend to do so in the foreseeable future. We currently anticipate that we will retain future earnings for the development, operation and expansion of our business. Therefore, the success of an investment in our Common Shares will depend upon any future appreciation in their value. There is no guarantee that our Common Shares will appreciate in value or even maintain the price at which our shareholders have purchased their shares.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 3
We have identified a material weakness in our internal controls over financial reporting for the fiscal year ended November 30, 2022, in connection with the documentation of the analysis and relating to the monitoring of certain conditions and covenants included in the Marathon Credit Agreement. For the fiscal year ended November 30, 2023, we have remediated such material weakness but there can be no assurance that we will not identify other material weakness in our internal controls over financial reporting for the fiscal year ended November 30, 2024, and beyond. A material weakness may hamper our ability to meet our reporting obligations and could result in a material misstatement in the Corporation's financial statements. As a result, the trading price of our Common Shares could be negatively affected.
A material weakness is a deficiency, or a combination of deficiencies, in internal control over financial reporting, such that there is a reasonable possibility that a material misstatement of our annual or interim financial statements will not be prevented or detected on a timely basis. Accordingly, a material weakness increases the risk that we are unable to comply with our reporting obligations and/or that the financial information we report contains material errors. Any of those events could materially adversely affect the trading price of our Common Shares. A failure to comply with our reporting requirements could also subject us to sanctions and/or investigations by securities regulatory authorities. We have identified a material weakness in our internal controls over financial reporting for the fiscal year ended November 30, 2022, in connection with the documentation of the analysis and relating to the monitoring of certain conditions and covenants included in the Marathon Credit Agreement. This control failure caused ineffective controls over the assessment of going concern uncertainty, including the underlying financial data and assumptions supporting the forecasted financial information utilized to prepare projected cash flows and liquidity requirements to comply with some of the covenants in the Marathon Credit Agreement. The Corporation's management team has implemented remediation measures designed to ensure that control deficiencies contributing to the material weakness are remediated, such that these controls are designed, implemented and operating efficiently. While the Corporation succeeded in implementing remediation measures in the fiscal year ended November 30, 2023, there can be no assurance that we will not identify other material weakness in our internal controls over financial reporting for the fiscal year ended November 30, 2024, and beyond. If the Corporation fails to maintain effective internal controls in the future, it could result in a material misstatement of the Corporation's financial statements, which could cause investors to lose confidence in the Corporation's financial statements and cause the trading price of its Common Shares to decline. We regularly review and update our internal controls, disclosure controls and procedures, and corporate governance policies. In addition, we are required under securities laws to report annually on our internal control over financial reporting. We are not currently required, and do not, obtain an audit of our internal controls over financial reporting. Any system of internal controls, however well designed and operated, is based in part on certain assumptions and can provide only reasonable, not absolute, assurances that the objectives of the system are met.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 4
If actual future payments for allowances for discounts, returns, rebates and chargebacks exceed the estimates the Corporation made at the time of the sale of its products, its financial position, results of operations, and cash flows may be negatively impacted.
Pursuant to the Corporation's accounts and revenue recognition policies, the product revenue recognized quarter over quarter by the Corporation is net of estimated allowances for discounts, returns, rebates and chargebacks, including potential clawbacks in certain jurisdictions when pricing terms are based on temporary use authorizations and thus subject to future negotiations. Such estimates require subjective and complex judgment due to the need to make estimates about matters that are inherently uncertain. Based on industry practice, pharmaceutical companies, including the Corporation, have liberal return policies, sometimes making it difficult to estimate the timing and amount of expected revenues. A chargeback is the difference between the price the wholesaler pays the Corporation (wholesale acquisition cost) and the price that the wholesaler's customer pays for the Corporation's product (contracted customer). The Corporation's products were subject to certain programs with federal government qualified entities whereby pricing on products is discounted to such entities and results in a chargeback claim to the Corporation, or for the Corporation to bill certain qualifying Public Health Service end-users at government-mandated pricing. To the extent that the Corporation's sales to discount purchasers, such as federal government qualified entities, increases, chargeback claims will also increase. There may be significant lag time between the Corporation's original sale to the wholesaler and the Corporation's receipt of the corresponding government chargeback claims from the Corporation's wholesalers. The Corporation's products are subject to state government-managed Medicaid programs, whereby rebates for purchases are issued to participating state governments. These rebates arise when the patient treated with the Corporation's products is covered under Medicaid. The Corporation's calculations require the Corporation to estimate end-user and patient mix to determine which of its sales will likely be subject to these rebates. There is a significant time lag in the Corporation receiving these rebate notices (generally several months after its sale is made). The Corporation's estimates are based on its historical claims from participating state governments, as supplemented by management's judgment. Although the Corporation believes that it has sufficient allowances, actual results may differ significantly from its estimated allowances for discounts, returns, rebates and chargebacks. Changes in estimates and assumptions based upon actual results may have a material impact on its financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. Such changes to estimates will be made to the financial statements in the period in which the estimate is changed. In addition, the Corporation's financial position, results of operations and cash flows may be negatively impacted if actual future payments for allowances, discounts, returns, rebates and chargebacks exceed the estimates the Corporation made at the time of the sale of its products.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 5
In connection with the reporting of our financial results, we are required to make estimates and assumptions, which involve uncertainties and any significant differences between our estimates and actual results could have an adverse impact on our reported financial position, operating results and cash flows.
The preparation of our consolidated financial statements requires that we make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. On an ongoing basis, our management evaluates our critical and other significant estimates and assumptions, including among others, those associated with revenue and sales allowances and chargebacks, realizable value of inventories, estimation of accruals for clinical trial expenses, measurement and recoverability of intangible assets, the measurement of derivative financial assets, and the measurement of share-based arrangements. Any significant differences between our actual results and our estimates and assumptions could negatively impact our reported financial position, operating results and cash flows.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 6
We may not achieve our publicly announced financial, milestones or our commercial objectives on time.
In January 2023, we announced revenue guidance for the fiscal year ended November 30, 2023, in the range of $90 million to $95 million. In July 2023, we revised such revenue guidance to be in the range of $82 million to $87 million. In September 2023, such revenue guidance was tightened to be in the range of $82 million to $85 million. From time to time, we publicly announce the timing of certain events to occur or the attainment of certain commercial objectives. These statements are forward-looking and are based on the best estimate of management at the time, relating to the achievement of such guidance or to the occurrence of such events. However, the actual timing of such events or our ability to achieve these objectives may differ from what has been publicly disclosed. Events such as beginning of commercialization of a product, levels of sales, revenues and other financial metrics may vary from what is publicly disclosed. These variations may occur as a result of a series of events, including problems with a supplier or a commercial partner, change in the procurement policy of a commercial partner or any other event having the effect of delaying the publicly announced timeline or reducing the publicly announced commercial objective. We undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as otherwise required by law. Any variation in the timing of certain events having the effect of postponing such events or any variation in the occurrence of certain events having the effect of altering publicly announced commercial objectives could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and operating results. In addition, it could adversely affect the market price of our Common Shares.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 7
We may not be able to generate sufficient cash from our operating activities to service our debt obligations.
Future financial and operating performance remain subject to prevailing economic and competitive conditions and to certain financial, business and other factors beyond our control. We may be unable to generate a level of positive cash flows from operating activities sufficient to pay the principal and interest on the loan provided by Marathon. For the three months ended November 30, 2023, and for the fiscal year ended November 30, 2023, the Corporation had negative operating cash flows of $4.1 million and $5.7 million, respectively. If the cash flow we generate and our capital resources are insufficient to fund our debt service obligations, we may be forced to reduce or delay expenditures and capital additions, seek additional capital or restructure or refinance our debt. These measures may not be successful and may not permit us to meet our scheduled debt service obligations. In the absence of such cash flows and resources, we could face substantial liquidity problems and we could have to resort to insolvency laws to seek protection from our creditors.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 8
We did not generate a profit from our operations in the fiscal year ended November 30, 2023. There can be no guarantee that we will ever achieve profitability.
We have a history of net losses, including a net loss of $24 million for the fiscal year ended November 30, 2023. In the future, our profitability will mainly depend on our capacity to successfully maintain the commercialization of EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo in the United States through a low-cost and effective distribution network, compliance with applicable laws, the recruitment and retention of talented personnel, the deployment of effective marketing campaigns and through continued reimbursement coverage for EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo under U.S. Medicare and Medicaid programs and under private-health insurers programs in the United States. Our long-term profitability will also depend on our ability and capacity to acquire or in-license additional commercialized drug products immediately accretive to our business, and to control our operating expenses. There is no guarantee that we will continue succeeding in growing sales of EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo in the United States or that we will be successful in acquiring or in-licensing additional commercialized drug products. The acquisition or in-licensing of additional commercialized drug products will depend on our ability to identify such products, our capacity to enter into agreements on terms satisfactory to us and to obtain all approvals, if any are required. If revenues grow more slowly than we anticipate or if our operating expenses exceed our expectations, our business, financial condition and operating results could be materially adversely affected, and we may never obtain or sustain profitability.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 9
The Corporation's report of independent registered public accounting firm ("Auditors Report") to shareholders and the Board of Directors of the Corporation, as well as note 1 to the audited consolidated financial statements of the Corporation for the fiscal year ended November 30, 2023 contains a going concern note about the Corporation's ability to continue as a going concern and its capacity to honor its obligations as they fall due during a period of at least, but not limited to, 12 months from November 30, 2023. The going concern note casts substantial doubt about the capacity of the Corporation to meet its monetary obligations.
The Corporation's Auditors Report to the shareholders and Board of Directors, as well as note 1 to the audited annual consolidated financial statements of the Corporation for the fiscal year ended November 30, 2023, contains a going concern note about the Corporation's ability to continue as a going concern and the capacity of the Corporation to realize its assets and discharge its liabilities and commitments in the normal course of business. The going concern note casts substantial doubt about the capacity of the Corporation to honor its obligations as they fall due during a period of at least 12 months from November 30, 2023. A breach of a financial covenant under the Marathon Credit Agreement would entitle the lender to demand immediate repayment of the Corporation's debt. As at November 30, 2023, the Corporation's cash, bonds and money market funds amounted to $40.4 million whereas the principal of the loan to be reimbursed would amount to $60.6 million. Therefore, the Corporation could be unable to reimburse its debt unless it is able to find additional external financing by way of an equity offering. Absent such additional source of financing, the Corporation may have to resort to insolvency laws.
Debt & Financing4 | 8.7%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
In the event there occurs an event of default under the Marathon Credit Agreement, the interest rate payable on the loaned amount increases by 300 basis points and Marathon has the right to declare all amounts outstanding under the loan immediately due and payable. If Marathon was to declare all loaned amounts due and payable under the Marathon Credit Agreement, the Corporation would not currently be able to repay such amount unless it secures additional financings. Therefore, the Corporation would have to issue additional equity or secure access to alternative funding enabling it to repay in full the loaned amounts under the Marathon Credit Agreement. The issuance of additional equity would dilute current shareholders and such dilution could be substantial depending on the amount of money the Corporation would have to raise and the price at which such equity offering would be made. In the event the Corporation is unable to implement measures allowing it to secure the repayment of its debt, the Corporation could also have to sell or liquidate its assets or resort to insolvency laws. A recourse to any of these alternatives would have a material adverse effect on the Corporation and its shareholders.
The Marathon Credit Agreement contains various covenants, undertakings and obligations, any breach of which could trigger an event of default under the Marathon Credit Agreement resulting in the interest rate payable on any outstanding loaned amount to be increased by 300 basis points and would allow Marathon to declare such principal amount and interest thereon immediately due and payable. Marathon would have the option to foreclose on all of the assets of the Corporation pursuant to the liens registered against all of the assets of the Corporation. An event of default under the Marathon Credit Agreement resulting in Marathon declaring all principal amount and interest thereon immediately due and payable would require the Corporation to seek and find alternative sources of financing if liquidities readily available to the Corporation were below the amount of the debt to be repaid. As at November 30, 2023, the Corporation had approximatively $40.4 million in cash, bonds and money market funds while the principal of the debt amounted to $60.6 million. Alternative sources of financing could include the issuance of equity, subject to then prevailing market conditions. The issuance of equity security would dilute shareholders and such dilution could be substantial depending on the price at which the equity offering would be made and the amount to be raised. If the Corporation was unable to secure additional financing to repay any of its outstanding loaned amount, the Corporation could have to sell or liquidate its assets or resort to insolvency laws. A recourse to any of these alternatives would have a material adverse effect on the Corporation and its shareholders. In the past, the Corporation has breached certain terms and conditions of the Marathon Credit Agreement. While we have been successful in negotiating waivers of default and amendments to the Marathon Credit Agreement, there can be no assurance that, going forward, Marathon will agree to additional waivers or amendments to the Marathon Credit Agreement if the Corporation breaches any of the covenants, undertakings or obligations under such agreement. Furthermore, any additional waivers or amendments to the Marathon Credit Agreement could be costly to the Corporation. The failure to amend the Marathon Credit Agreement or to obtain a waiver from Marathon in the future in the event we are in default under the Marathon Credit Agreement could have a material adverse effect on the Corporation and its business prospects in the event Marathon declares all principal amounts and interest thereon immediately due and payable and the Corporation is unable to repay the loaned amounts.
Debt & Financing - Risk 2
The Marathon Credit Agreement includes significant operating and financial restrictions on the Corporation, any of which could prevent us from capitalizing on business opportunities. In addition, our failure to comply with such restrictions could trigger an event of default which would increase by 300 basis points the interest payable on any loaned amounts under the Marathon Credit Agreement and would allow Marathon to declare the outstanding loaned amounts immediately due and payable in addition to providing Marathon with the right to foreclose on all of the assets of the Corporation pursuant to the liens registered against all of the assets of the Corporation. If we are unable to cure an event of default or obtain a waiver from Marathon in relation to such event of default, and if we do not have the financial capacity to repay any amount loaned becoming due and payable, we may have to cease our operations and to resort to insolvency laws.
The Marathon Credit Agreement governing our outstanding $60.6 million loan imposes significant operating and financial restrictions on the Corporation. These restrictions limit our ability and the ability of our subsidiaries to, among other things: (i) incur or guarantee additional debt or issue disqualified stock or preferred stock; (ii) pay dividends and make other distributions on, or redeem or repurchase, capital stock; (iii) make certain investments; (iv) incur additional liens; (v) enter into transactions related to the acquisition, disposition, in-licensing or out-licensing of assets; and (vi) merge or consolidate. In addition, the Marathon Credit Agreement imposes that we maintain a minimum level of liquidity of between $15 million and $20 million in cash, cash equivalent and eligible investments at all times based on the Marathon Adjusted EBITDA thresholds over the most recently ended four fiscal quarters. The minimum liquidity covenant restricts the management of the Corporation's liquidity and could increase the likelihood that the Corporation may not be able to meet its obligations as they become due. The Marathon Credit Agreement also imposes a minimum Marathon Adjusted EBITDA covenant on a quarterly basis that began with the quarter ending November 30, 2023. The Marathon Credit Agreement further imposes reporting requirements on our business activities on a quarterly basis. These reporting requirements extend beyond those that we have to comply with under securities regulations and add a layer of complexity to our reporting obligations. The minimum liquidity covenant restricts the management of the Corporation's liquidity and increases the likelihood that the Corporation may not be able to meet its obligations as they become due. As a result of the restrictions and obligations described above, we will be limited as to how we conduct our business and we may be unable to enter into transactions that may be accretive to our business to compete effectively or to take advantage of new business opportunities unless we are able to negotiate waivers or amendments to the Marathon Credit Agreement. Debt financing opportunities will also be limited in the event that we are unable to raise capital through the issuance of equity. There can be no assurances that we will be able to maintain compliance with these requirements and covenants in the future and, if we fail to do so, that we will be able to obtain waivers from Marathon and/or amend the covenants contained in the Marathon Credit Agreement to remove those obligations. Our failure to comply with the covenants described above as well as other terms of our indebtedness will result in an event of default under the Marathon Credit Agreement which, if not cured or waived, will result in an increase of 300 basis point on the interest payable on the outstanding loaned amount. An event of default under the Marathon Credit Agreement would also allow Marathon to declare all loaned amounts immediately due and payable and entitle Marathon to execute on its first ranking security interest on all of our assets and foreclose on our assets. In the event there occurs an event of default under the Marathon Credit Agreement and we are unable to cure such event of default or obtain a waiver from Marathon in relation thereto, and if we do not have the financial capacity to repay any amount loaned becoming due and payable, we may have to cease our operations and to resort to insolvency laws. Any of those circumstances will have a material adverse effect on shareholders as they will lose the entire value of their investment in the capital of the Corporation.
Debt & Financing - Risk 3
Interest rate fluctuations may have a material adverse effect on our capacity to reimburse the loaned amounts under the Marathon Credit Agreement and on our capacity to execute on our business plan.
The interest rate we have to pay Marathon under the Marathon Credit Agreement is based on the Secured Overnight Financing Rate ("SOFR"), plus 9.5%. SOFR is a broad measure of the cost of borrowing cash overnight collateralized by U.S. Treasury securities. SOFR has a limited history, and the future performance of SOFR cannot be predicted based on its limited historical performance. The level of SOFR may bear little or no relation to historical, actual or indicative data. Prior observed patterns, if any, in the behavior of market variables and their relation to SOFR, such as correlations, may change in the future. While some pre-publication historical data have been released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, such analysis inherently involves assumptions, estimates and approximations, and hypothetical or historical performance data are not indicative of, and have no bearing on, the potential performance of SOFR. The future performance of SOFR is therefore impossible to predict, and no future performance of SOFR may be inferred from any of the historical, actual or indicative data. Changes in the levels of SOFR will affect the interest rate we have to pay to Marathon under the Marathon Credit Agreement during the term of the loan and may adversely affect the amount of cash we will have to allocate to the repayment of the loan. Interest rates are highly sensitive to many factors, including governmental monetary policies, domestic and international economic and political conditions, and other factors beyond our control. If SOFR increases as a result of events over which we have no control, this could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations. If SOFR increases, our debt service obligations would increase even if the amount borrowed remained the same, and our net loss will increase and cash flows from operating activities, including cash available for servicing our indebtedness, will correspondingly decrease.
Debt & Financing - Risk 4
We may require additional funding and may not be able to raise the capital necessary to fund all or part of our capital requirements.
We may need financing in order to fund all or part of our capital requirements to sustain our growth, to develop our marketing and commercial capabilities, and to in-license or acquire approved products. Our business performance may prevent us from generating enough cash-flow to achieve our business plan and the market conditions may also prevent us from having access to the public market in the future at the times or in the amounts necessary. Therefore, there can be no guarantee that we will be able to continue to raise additional capital by way of public or private offerings in the future. In addition, the conditions precedent to have access to the third and fourth tranches under the Marathon Credit Agreement based on its current terms are not met, and therefore, unless an amendment to the Marathon Credit Agreement is entered into with Marathon, there is no ability to access these tranches. In such a case, we would have to use other means of financing, such as entering into private financing or, with the consent of Marathon, incur additional debt, the terms and conditions of which may not be favorable to us. We currently have no arranged sources of financing available to us. The issuance and sale of substantial amounts of equity, or other securities, or the perception that such issuances and sales may occur could adversely affect the market price of our Common Shares.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 8/46 (17%)Below Sector Average
Innovation / R&D4 | 8.7%
Innovation / R&D - Risk 1
The conduct of clinical trials is subject to a variety of risks, many of which can be beyond the control of the Corporation forcing it to delay the initiation or conduct of clinical trials or forego same.
The beginning or completion of clinical trials may be delayed or prevented for several reasons, including, among others: (a) negative results from the Corporation's clinical trial resulting in a failure to meet the endpoints of its clinical trial; (b) delays in reaching or failing to reach agreement on acceptable terms with clinical study sites, the terms of which can be subject to considerable negotiation and may vary significantly among different study sites; (c) any breach of the terms of any CRO agreement by us or by our third-party suppliers that have responsibility to assist us with the conduct of our clinical trials; (d) inadequate quantity or quality of the active pharmaceutical ingredient or other materials necessary to conduct clinical trials; (e) challenges in recruiting and enrolling patients to participate in clinical trials, such as the proximity of patients to study sites, eligibility criteria to be included in a clinical trial, the nature of a clinical trial and the competition from other clinical study programs for the treatment of similar diseases as those the Corporation may seek to treat; (f) severe or unexpected adverse drug effects experienced by patients; (g) regulatory agencies requiring a sponsor to conduct additional clinical studies prior to approving a new drug application, a sBLA, or the equivalent thereof in other jurisdictions after review of Phase 3 clinical trial results; (h) regulatory agencies may disagree with a sponsor 's interpretation of data resulting from its Phase 3 clinical trials, or may change the requirements for approval even after they have approved the sponsor's Phase 3 clinical trial design; and (i) difficulties in retaining patients who have enrolled in a sponsor's Phase 3 clinical trial but who may be prone to withdraw due to rigours of the clinical trial, lack of efficacy, side effects, personal issues or loss of interest. In addition, clinical studies may also be delayed or terminated as a result of ambiguous or negative interim results. A sponsor may decide to suspend or terminate its clinical trial, or regulatory agencies could order a sponsor to do so for several reasons, including, among others, failure to conduct the clinical trial in accordance with the regulatory requirements of a sponsor's study protocol and inspections of the clinical study operations or study sites by regulatory agencies that would reveal deficiencies or violations requiring a sponsor to undertake corrective actions (to the extent any are available). If the Corporation incurs any delay in the conduct of a clinical trial or decides to suspend or terminate such trial, this could materially adversely affect the business prospects of the Corporation and its potential long-term revenues derived from the potential sale of its drug candidates. Any delay or suspension of a clinical trial may also adversely impact the duration of the protection afforded by the issuance of patents covering the drug candidate subject to such clinical trial and lead to earlier entries of competitors in the market.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 2
The development of sudocetaxel zendusortide for the potential treatment of various types of sortilin-expressing cancers is still uncertain given that the Corporation's primary goal is to grow its Adjusted EBITDA and, to the extent it is successful in achieving such positive Adjusted EBITDA, the Corporation stated that upon completion of Part 3 of the Phase 1 clinical trial, the Corporation has decided that all future research in oncology would be made through partnership deals. There can be no assurance that the development of sudocetaxel zendusortide will be completed, including the Phase 1 clinical trial, if the revenues generated from the sale of the Corporation's products and its operating expenses do not result in the achievement of a positive Adjusted EBITDA. Even if the Phase 1 clinical trial is completed, there can be no assurance that the further development of sudocetaxel zendusortide will be pursued if the Corporation is unable to find a partner or if the terms and conditions of any agreement with a partner are not satisfactory to the Corporation. As a result of any of the foregoing, the Corporation may have to cancel the development of sudocetaxel zendusortide, including its Phase 1 clinical trial, and the development of its SORT1+ TechnologyTM platform. Any such cancellation will materially adversely affect its pipeline of drug candidates, all of which would materially adversely affect its long-term growth and prospects. The cancellation of the research and development program in oncology could also have a material adverse effect on the price of our Common Share.
On January 4, 2023, we announced that the development of sudocetaxel zendusortide would be stage-gated and that all decisions related to its development would be carefully taken in the context of the Corporation's goal to generate a positive Adjusted EBITDA in 2023 and beyond. Over the course of the fiscal year 2023, we have reiterated this message and have implemented a reorganization in July and October 2023 mostly impacting research and development positions within the organization. Despite the Corporation's goal of achieving a positive Adjusted EBITDA in 2023 and beyond, on June 2, 2023, the Corporation announced FDA's acceptance of the Corporation's amended protocol for the Phase 1 clinical trial using sudocetaxel zendusortide and the Corporation resumed the conduct of such Phase 1 clinical trial. The amended protocol was designed to improve the therapeutic window of sudocetaxel zendusortide and extend its duration of therapy. The frequency of administration was changed to weekly dosing and the patient population was narrowed to focus on those with high grade serous ovarian cancer, including high-grade peritoneal or fallopian tube cancer, or high-grade endometrioid cancer. Patient selection was also refined to focus on those who are less heavily pretreated, with no more than one taxane failure and a maximum of eight prior cancer treatment regimens. The Corporation has committed to delivering on Part 3 of the Phase 1 clinical trial in advanced ovarian cancers. However, this commitment remains subject to the Corporation becoming cash-flow positive and on growing its Adjusted EBITDA. The ability of the Corporation to generate a positive Adjusted EBITDA will depend on the Corporation's revenues generated from the sale of its products and on its operating expenses. There can be no assurance that the development of sudocetaxel zendusortide will be completed, including the Phase 1 clinical trial, if the revenues generated from the sale of the Corporation's products and its operating expenses do not result in the growth of its Adjusted EBITDA. Additionally, to the extent the Phase 1 clinical trial using sudocetaxel zendusortide is not halted or cancelled prior to the finalization of the Phase 1 clinical trial, the Corporation has decided that, upon completion of the Phase 1 clinical trial, all future research in oncology, including the pursuit of the development of sudocetaxel zendusortide, will be made through partnership deals. There can be no assurance that a partner will be found or that a partnership agreement will be entered into on terms satisfactory to the Corporation. If a partner is not found, the Corporation may have to halt or cancel this program. The halt or the cancellation of the development of sudocetaxel zendusortide as well as any other research and development activities in oncology will materially adversely affect its pipeline of drug candidates, all of which would materially adversely affect the Corporation's long-term growth and prospects. The cancellation of the research and development program in oncology could also have a material adverse effect on the price of our Common Share. Despite the resumption of the Phase 1 clinical trial, the conduct of clinical trials is risky and results may adversely vary from those that are expected. If any data collected from the Phase 1 clinical trial were to demonstrate safety or efficacy issues, the Corporation could halt or cancel the development of its SORT1+ TechnologyTM platform, including sudocetaxel zendusortide, all of which would materially adversely affect its long-term growth and prospects. Furthermore, the value associated to the SORT1+ TechnologyTM platform asset would be depreciated, thereby adversely impacting the market value of the Corporation, including the price of its Common Shares.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 3
The conduct of research and development activities is costly, risky and results obtained therefrom may not be those anticipated. Therefore, there can be no assurance that any research and development plan on a product candidate, a new formulation or a new method or route of administration will result in an approved drug, new formulation or new method or route of administration.
The development of new therapies is highly costly, risky and the results obtained therefrom may not yield any of the anticipated benefits. The development of a product candidate into a new drug requires capital or access thereto, as well as the conduct of many tests on animals and humans, all of which must comply with stringent regulation and require substantial investments. There can be no assurance that any research and development program designed to develop a new drug, a new formulation, a new method or route of administration or provide a new treatment, such as the conduct of our Phase 1 clinical trial using sudocetaxel zendusortide for the potential treatment of ovarian cancer, the development of our peptide-drug conjugates resulting from our SORT1+ TechnologyTM platform, and the potential development of tesamorelin for the treatment of NASH in the general population, will end up generating positive results leading to an approved drug, label expansion, new formulation, or a new method or route of administration by a regulatory authority. The failure to develop a new drug, a new formulation or a new method or route of administration could hamper the long-term growth of our business and have long-term adverse effects on our potential revenues and operating results.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 4
The development of a vaccine against HIV or of any cure against HIV would have a material adverse effect on our business, operating results and financial conditions.
Although there exists no known vaccine and cure for HIV, we are aware that there are research and development activities carried out in order to eradicate this disease. We are also aware that a very low number of patients were cured from HIV. If a vaccine or a cure was found to prevent or cure HIV, sales of our products would be materially adversely impacted and our revenue growth would be hampered. The discovery of any vaccine or cure against HIV would have a material adverse effect on our business, operating results and financial condition.
Trade Secrets3 | 6.5%
Trade Secrets - Risk 1
Our commercial success depends, in part, on our ability not to infringe on third party patents and other intellectual property rights.
Our capacity to commercialize EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo or any other drug product we may acquire or in-license will depend, in part, upon our ability to avoid infringing third party patents and other third-party intellectual property rights. The biopharmaceutical and pharmaceutical industries have produced a multitude of patents and it is not always easy for participants, including us, to determine which patents cover various types of products, processes of manufacture or methods of use. The scope and breadth of patents is subject to interpretation by the courts and such interpretation may vary depending on the jurisdiction where the claim is filed and the court where such claim is litigated. For instance, the fact that an entity owns or has rights to use patents pertaining to a subject matter in a country does not guarantee that it is not infringing one or more third-party patents in such country. Therefore, there can be no guarantee that any patent that we own of have rights to will not infringe or violate third-party patents and other third-party intellectual property rights in the country where such patent has been issued. Patent analysis for non-infringement is based in part on a review of publicly available databases. Although we review from time to time certain databases to conduct patent searches, we do not have access to all databases. It is also possible that we will not have reviewed some of the information contained in the databases or we found it to be irrelevant at the time we conducted the searches. In addition, because patents take years to issue, there may be currently pending applications that have not yet been published or that we are unaware of, which may issue later as patents. As a result, there can be no guarantee that we will not violate third-party patents. Because of the difficulty in analyzing and interpreting patents, there can be no guarantee that a third party will not assert that we infringe such third-party's patents or any of its other intellectual property rights. Under such circumstances, there is no guarantee that we would not become involved in litigation. Litigation with any third party, even if the allegations are without merit, is expensive, time-consuming and would divert management's attention from the daily execution of our business plan. Litigation implies that a portion of our financial assets would be used to sustain the costs of litigation instead of being allocated to further the development of our business. If we are involved in patent infringement litigation, we would need to prevail in demonstrating that our products do not infringe the asserted patent claims of the relevant patent, that the patent claims are invalid or that the patent is unenforceable. If we are found to infringe a third-party patent or other intellectual property right, we could be required to enter into royalty or licensing agreements on terms and conditions that may not be favorable to us, and/or pay damages, including up to treble damages in the United States (for example, if found liable of willful infringement) and/or cease the development and commercialization of our product candidates. Even if we were able to obtain a license, the rights may be non-exclusive, which could result in our competitors gaining access to the same intellectual property and to compete with us. There may be issued patents that we are unaware of that our products may infringe, or patents that we believe we do not infringe but ultimately could be found to infringe. If we were to challenge the validity of a competitor's issued United States patent in a United States court, we would need to overcome a statutory presumption of validity that attaches to every United States patent. This means that, in order to prevail, we would have to present clear and convincing evidence as to the invalidity of the patent's claims. We cannot guarantee that a court would find in our favour on questions of infringement and validity. Any finding that we infringe or violate a third-party patent or other intellectual property right could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition and operating results.
Trade Secrets - Risk 2
Our failure to protect our intellectual property may have a material adverse effect on our ability to develop and commercialize our products.
We will be able to protect our intellectual property rights from unauthorized use by third parties only to the extent that our intellectual property rights are covered and protected by valid and enforceable patents, trademarks and copyrights or are effectively maintained as trade secrets. We try to protect our intellectual property position by, among other things, filing patent applications and trademark applications related to our proprietary technologies, inventions, improvements and tradenames that are important to the development of our business. Because the patent and trademark position of pharmaceutical companies involves complex legal and factual questions, the issuance, scope, validity, and enforceability of patents and trademarks cannot be predicted with certainty. Patents and trademarks, if issued, may be challenged, invalidated or circumvented. For example, if our patents are invalidated or found to be unenforceable, we would lose the ability to exclude others from making, using or selling the inventions claimed. Moreover, an issued patent does not guarantee us the right to use the patented technology or commercialize a product using that technology. Third parties may have blocking patents that could be used to prevent us from developing our compounds, selling our products or commercializing our patented technology. Thus, patents that we own may not allow us to exploit the rights conferred by our intellectual property protection. Our pending patent applications may not be issued or granted as patents. Even if issued, they may not be issued with claims of sufficient breadth to protect our product candidates and technologies or may not provide us with a competitive advantage against competitors with similar products or technologies. Furthermore, others may independently develop products or technologies similar to those that we have developed or may reverse engineer or discover our trade secrets through proper means. In addition, the laws of many countries do not protect intellectual property rights to the same extent as the laws of Canada, the United States and the European Patent Convention, and those countries may also lack adequate rules and procedures for defending intellectual property rights effectively. We also rely on trade secrets, know-how and technology, which are not protected by patents, to maintain our competitive position. We try to protect this information by entering into confidentiality agreements with parties who have access to such confidential information, such as our current and prospective suppliers, distributors, manufacturers, commercial partners, employees and consultants. Any of these parties may breach the agreements and disclose confidential information to our competitors. It is possible that a competitor will make use of such information, and that our competitive position could be disadvantaged. Enforcing a claim that a third party infringes on, has illegally obtained or is using an intellectual property right, including a trade secret or know-how, is expensive and time-consuming and the outcome is unpredictable. In addition, enforcing such a claim could divert management's attention from our business. If any intellectual property right were to be infringed, disclosed to, or independently developed by, a competitor, our competitive position could be harmed. Any adverse outcome of such litigation or settlement of such a dispute could subject us to significant liabilities, could put one or more of our pending patent applications at risk of being invalidated or interpreted narrowly, could put one or more of our patents at risk of not issuing, or could facilitate the entry of generic products. Furthermore, because of the substantial amount of discovery required in connection with intellectual property litigation, there is a risk that some of our confidential information could be compromised by disclosure during this type of litigation. For example, confidential information may be disclosed, inadvertently or as ordered by the court, in the form of documents or testimony in connection with discovery requests, depositions or trial testimony. This disclosure would provide our competitors with access to our proprietary information and may harm our competitive position.
Trade Secrets - Risk 3
Our patent protection related to the use of tesamorelin for the reduction of excess abdominal fat in HIV-infected adult patients with lipodystrophy expired in August 2023. Until we can commercialize tesamorelin using the F8 Formulation, the FDA-approved use of tesamorelin for the treatment of lipodystrophy is no longer patent protected and we may face direct competition from biosimilar versions of EGRIFTA SV. If we face competition from biosimilar products, our revenues are likely to be reduced thus adversely affecting our revenue growth and results of operations.
The use of tesamorelin for the reduction of excess abdominal fat in HIV-infected adult patients with lipodystrophy is no longer patent protected in the United States. Tesamorelin, the active ingredient of EGRIFTA SV, is no longer patent protected and the formulation of EGRIFTA SV is not patent protected. If, and when approved, the Corporation will rely on the use of the F8 Formulation to benefit from patent protection until 2033 in the United States in connection with the sale of tesamorelin for the reduction of excess abdominal fat in HIV-infected adult patients with lipodystrophy. Although we are not aware that a company has filed any biosimilar version of tesamorelin with the FDA, nothing prevents a company from filing with the FDA a biosimilar version of tesamorelin using the same formulation as that of EGRIFTA SV and to seek the same indication as that of EGRIFTA SV. If such a filing was made and the FDA were to approve a biosimilar version of EGRIFTA SV, we would expect the price of that biosimilar to be lower than that of EGRIFTA SV and we could have to lower our price in order to be able to compete with such biosimilar. A lower price of EGRIFTA SV would reduce our revenue and would have an adverse effect on our operating results. Even if we were to introduce the F8 Formulation, such biosimilar version could still be a direct competitor to us, albeit with an older formulation of tesamorelin.
Technology1 | 2.2%
Technology - Risk 1
We rely extensively on the information technology systems of third-party service providers to store data, such as personal identifiable information, regarding our commercial activities for EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo. Security breaches and other disruptions to those information technology systems could cause a violation of privacy laws, exposing us to liability which could cause our business and reputation to suffer.
In the ordinary course of business, we rely upon information technology and networks, most of which are managed by third parties, to process, transmit and store electronic information to manage and support our business decisions and strategy. We have no control and access over the information technology systems of third-party service providers where most of this information is stored and we are unable to assess whether appropriate measures have been implemented to prevent or limit a security breach of their information technology systems. We also use our information technology systems to collect and store proprietary data, such as those related to our intellectual property, customers, employees and suppliers. In connection with our presence in Canada and Europe, we must comply with privacy laws and regulations of Québec and Europe. Both of those laws and regulations introduced data protection requirements relating to the consent of individuals to whom the personnel data relates, the information provided to the individuals, the security we must retain, the security and confidentiality of the personal data, data breach notification and the use of third-party processors in connection with the processing of personal data. These laws have increased the responsibility of all parties collecting personal data. We have reviewed and are currently complementing our in-house policies and related procedures to ensure compliance with those laws. In the United States, there exists no federal laws regarding the protection of personal information and all such laws are State-regulated. With the addition of a sales and medical team in-house, we are in the process of assessing compliance with the privacy laws in each of the States where the bulk of our activities is conducted. However, there can be no guarantee that the Corporation will not be found to violate some of those laws as a result of the combination of our business activities in various jurisdictions and the complexity of those laws and their interpretations. The secure and uninterrupted operation of third-party information technology systems and of ours is material to our business operations and strategy. More and more businesses are subject to information technology system intrusion for which cyber-terrorists often use ransomware to demand payment of a ransom to allow those businesses to regain access to its data. Despite the measures that we have implemented against unwanted intrusion by third parties, there can be no guarantee that our systems could resist to a cyber-attack. Unauthorized access to data files held in our information technology systems or those of third parties could result in inappropriate use, change or disclosure of sensitive and/or personal data of our customers, employees, suppliers and patients. Any such access, disclosure or other loss of information could subject us to litigation, regulatory fines, penalties or reputational damages, any of which could have a material adverse effect on our competitive position, reputation, business, financial condition and operating results.
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 8/46 (17%)Below Sector Average
Regulation4 | 8.7%
Regulation - Risk 1
The research, development, manufacture and marketing of pharmaceutical products are governed by various governmental authorities throughout the world to ensure the efficacy and safety of such products. If we fail to comply with the applicable requirements at any time during the product development process, approval process or commercialization process, we may be subject to administrative or judicial sanctions.
Governmental authorities in the United States, Canada, and other countries, extensively regulate, among other things, the research, development, testing, manufacture, quality control, approval, labeling, packaging, storage, record-keeping, promotion, advertising, distribution, marketing, export and import of products, such as EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo and any other compound that we may develop. The process of obtaining regulatory approvals and the subsequent compliance with appropriate federal, state, local and foreign statutes and regulations require the expenditure of substantial time and financial resources. If we fail to comply with the applicable requirements at any time during the product development process, approval process or commercialization process, we may be subject to administrative or judicial sanctions. Sanctions could include, but are not limited to, refusal to approve pending applications, withdrawal of an approval, a clinical hold, warning letters or other enforcement letters, product recalls, import/export delays, product seizures, total or partial suspension of production or distribution injunctions, fines, refusals of government contracts, and government reimbursement, restitution, disgorgement or civil or criminal penalties. Any sanctions could result in a material adverse effect on our reputation, business, financial condition and operating results.
Regulation - Risk 2
The pharmaceutical industry is highly regulated and pharmaceutical companies are subject to various federal and state fraud and abuse laws, including, without limitation, the federal Anti-kickback Statute and the federal False Claims Act.
Healthcare fraud and abuse regulations are complex, and even minor irregularities can potentially give rise to claims that a statute or prohibition has been violated. The laws that may affect our ability to operate include: (a) the federal healthcare program's anti-kickback law, which prohibits, among other things, persons from knowingly and willfully soliciting, receiving, offering or paying remuneration, directly or indirectly, in exchange for or to induce or reward either the referral of an individual for, or the purchase, order or recommendation of, any good or service for which payment may be made under federal healthcare programs such as the Medicare and Medicaid programs; (b) federal false claims laws which prohibit, among other things, individuals or entities from knowingly presenting, or causing to be presented, claims for payment from Medicare, Medicaid, or other third-party payors that are false or fraudulent; (c) the federal Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996, which created federal criminal laws that prohibit executing a scheme to defraud any healthcare benefit program or making false statements relating to healthcare matters; (d) the Federal Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act, as amended, of the United States ("FFDCA") and similar laws regulating advertisement and labeling; and (e) U.S. States' law equivalents of each of the above federal laws, such as anti-kickback and false claims laws which may apply to items or services reimbursed by any third-party payor, including commercial insurers. In the United States, the federal anti-kickback law has been interpreted to apply to arrangements between pharmaceutical manufacturers on the one hand and prescribers, purchasers or formulary managers on the other. Although there are several statutory exemptions and regulatory safe harbors protecting certain common activities from prosecution, the exemptions and safe harbors are drawn narrowly, and practices that involve remuneration intended to induce or reward prescribing, purchasing or recommending may be subject to scrutiny if they do not qualify for an exemption or safe harbor. Most American states also have statutes or regulations similar to the federal anti-kickback law and federal false claims laws, which apply to items and services covered by Medicaid and other state programs, or, in several states, apply regardless of the payor. Administrative, civil and criminal sanctions may be imposed under these federal and state laws. Further, the Health Care Reform Law, among other things, amends the intent requirement of the U.S. federal anti-kickback and criminal healthcare fraud statutes. A person or entity can now be found guilty under the federal anti-kickback law without actual knowledge of the statute or specific intent to violate it. In addition, the Health Care Reform Law provides that the U.S. government may assert that a claim including items or services resulting from a violation of the federal anti-kickback statute constitutes a false or fraudulent claim for purposes of the false claims statutes. Possible sanctions for violation of these anti-kickback laws include monetary fines, civil and criminal penalties, exclusion from Medicare and Medicaid programs and forfeiture of amounts collected in violation of such prohibitions. Any violations of these laws, or any action against us for violation of these laws, even if we successfully defend against it, could result in a material adverse effect on our reputation, business, financial condition and operating results. To enforce compliance with the federal laws, the U.S. Department of Justice ("DOJ") scrutinizes interactions between healthcare companies and healthcare providers, which has led to a number of investigations, prosecutions, convictions and settlements in the healthcare industry. Dealing with investigations can be time and resource consuming and can divert management's attention from the business. Additionally, if a healthcare provider settles an investigation with the DOJ or other law enforcement agencies, we may be forced to agree to additional onerous compliance and reporting requirements as part of a consent decree or corporate integrity agreement. Any such investigation or settlement could increase our costs or otherwise have an adverse effect on our business. Over the past few years, a number of pharmaceutical and other healthcare companies have been prosecuted under these laws for a variety of promotional and marketing activities, such as: providing free trips or items and gifts of value to prescribers, "sham" consulting fees and grants and other monetary benefits to prescribers; reporting inflated average wholesale prices that were then used by federal programs to set reimbursement rates; engaging in off-label promotion; and submitting inflated best price information to the Medicaid Rebate Program to reduce liability for Medicaid rebates. In addition, there has been a recent trend of increased federal and state regulation on payments made to physicians for marketing. Some states, such as California, Massachusetts and Vermont, mandate implementation of commercial compliance programs, along with the tracking and reporting of gifts, compensation and other remuneration to certain healthcare professionals. The shifting commercial compliance environment and the need to build and maintain robust and expandable systems to comply with different compliance and/or reporting requirements in multiple jurisdictions increase the possibility that a healthcare company may run afoul of one or more of the requirements. If our activities are found to be in violation of these laws or any other federal and state fraud and abuse laws, we may be subject to penalties, including civil and criminal penalties, damages, fines and the curtailment or restructuring of our activities with regard to the commercialization of our products in the United States, which could harm the commercial sales of our products and materially affect our business, financial condition and results of operations. We cannot guarantee that we will be able to mitigate all operational risks. In addition, we cannot guarantee that we, our employees, our consultants or our contractors are or will be in compliance with all potentially applicable U.S. federal and state regulations and/or laws. Because of the far-reaching nature of these laws, we may be required to alter or discontinue one or more of our business practices to be in compliance with these laws. If we fail to adequately mitigate our operational risks or if we or our agents fail to comply with any of those regulations, laws and/or requirements, a range of actions could result, including, but not limited to, the termination of clinical trials, the failure to approve a product candidate, restrictions on EGRIFTA SV, Trogarzo or their respective manufacturing processes, withdrawal of EGRIFTA SV or Trogarzo from the market, significant fines, exclusion from government healthcare programs or other sanctions or litigation. Such occurrences could have a material adverse effect on our product sales, business and results of operations. The scope and enforcement of these laws is uncertain and subject to rapid change in the current environment of healthcare reform. U.S. federal or state regulatory authorities might challenge our current or future activities under these laws. Any such challenge could have a material adverse effect on our reputation, business, results of operations and financial condition. Any state or federal regulatory review of us or the third parties with whom we contract, regardless of the outcome, would be costly and time-consuming.
Regulation - Risk 3
On March 26, 2021, the Corporation submitted to the FDA a CBE supplement to the Instructions For Use ("IFU") included in the EGRIFTA SV product labeling. The FDA responded to our CBE supplement with a CRL on March 15, 2022, asking us to carry out a HFS to ensure that patients reconstitute the product in the proper manner. The Corporation subsequently filed two requests for an extension to file the HFS results. The FDA granted each request, and the Corporation has until September 15, 2024, to file the HFS results. If the Corporation is unable to complete and file the HFS results by that date, or if it is unable to obtain from the FDA an additional extension of time to file the HFS results, the Corporation will be in default under applicable laws. Even if the Corporation files the HFS results by the prescribed deadline set by the FDA, the FDA may not approve the HFS results and may issue an additional CRL. A default by the Corporation to comply with applicable laws could result in sanctions such as the imposition of fines or penalties, all of which could have a material adverse effect on the Corporation's operating results as well as its reputation. Moreover, the failure to submit the HFS results within the timelines prescribed by the FDA, or the issuance of a CRL based on the rejection by the FDA of the HFS results, could ultimately result in the FDA prohibiting the sale of EGRIFTA SV in the United States due to the difficulty by patients to administer the right dose of EGRIFTA SV. If we were unable to commercialize EGRIFTA SV in the United States, absent the commercialization of the F8 Formulation, our revenues and operating results would be materially affected and would result in a default under the Marathon Credit Agreement.
Per the FDA request, the Corporation is required to complete a HFS for EGRIFTA SV by September 15, 2024. To date, the Corporation has completed the first part of the study, the formative study. The validation study remains to be conducted and the results thereof remain to be filed and accepted by the FDA. If the F8 Formulation had been approved, the Corporation expected to withdraw the CBE and be relieved from the obligation to complete the HFS for EGRIFTA SV given that the F8 Formulation would have replaced the current formulation of EGRIFTA SV before the deadline to file the results of the HFS for EGRIFTA SV. With the F8 Formulation having been subject to a CRL, if the Corporation is unable to complete and resubmit the results of the HFS of EGRIFTA SV by September 15, 2024, or if the Corporation does not obtain from the FDA an additional extension of time to complete and file the results of such HFS before any prescribed deadline, the Corporation would be in violation of applicable laws which could result in sanctions such as the imposition of fines or penalties. If the results of the HFS are filed in due time but the FDA does not approve the HFS results, the FDA could issue an additional CRL. The failure to complete and submit the HFS results within prescribed timelines, or the issuance of a CRL based on the rejection by the FDA of the HFS results, could ultimately result in the prohibition to sell EGRIFTA SV in the United States due to the difficulty by patients to administer the right dose of EGRIFTA SV. Any order issued by the FDA prohibiting the sale of EGRIFTA SV in the United States would have a material adverse effect on the revenues and results of operations of the Corporation and, absent any material additional revenue-generating products commercialized by the Corporation, would result in a breach of the Marathon Credit Agreement. Any breach of the Marathon Credit Agreement under such circumstances would potentially lead to Marathon foreclosing on all of the assets of the Corporation or the Corporation resorting to insolvency laws. The conduct of the second part of the study, the validation study, is expected to be costly, the result of which will be to adversely impact the operating expenses of the Corporation and its potential capacity to grow its Adjusted EBITDA as well as becoming profitable. In addition, there can be no assurance that the Corporation will be able to complete the HFS within any timelines prescribed by the FDA since the enrollment of patients in the first part of the HFS proved to be difficult and longer than expected. Furthermore, there can be no assurance that the FDA would grant any additional extension of time to the Corporation to complete and file the results of the HFS for EGRIFTA SV. If the Corporation in unable to complete the HFS, the Corporation could be in violation of applicable laws and, in addition to the measures described above, the FDA could also impose additional requirements on the Corporation in order to continue its commercialization of EGRIFTA SV in the United States (to the extent EGRIFTA SV is not withdrawn from the market). These additional measures could result in additional expenses to the Corporation and could potentially adversely affect its operating results and its capacity to generate a positive Adjusted EBITDA.
Regulation - Risk 4
The Corporation has filed a sBLA seeking the approval of the F8 Formulation. On January 24, 2024, the Corporation announced that the FDA had issued a CRL to the Corporation with questions largely related to chemistry, manufacturing and controls ("CMC") concerning the microbiology, assays, impurities and stability for both the lyophilized product and the final reconstituted drug product. The FDA also requested additional information to understand the potential impact of the proposed formulation on immunogenicity risk. Responding to the questions asked by the FDA in the CRL will result in additional expenses to be incurred by the Corporation. There can be no assurance that the Corporation will be able to satisfactorily respond to the questions raised by the FDA in its CRL, nor that the FDA will approve the F8 Formulation when a sBLA is resubmitted. If the F8 Formulation is not approved and commercialized, our revenues and operating results could be adversely affected and the introduction of a biosimilar version of EGRIFTA SV in the United States market could be facilitated since EGRIFTA SV is not patent protected. The entry of a biosimilar version of EGRIFTA SV in the United States market could materially adversely affect the revenues and operating results of the Corporation.
The Corporation has conducted studies to assess the bioequivalence of the F8 Formulation against the original 1 mg/vial formulation of EGRIFTA. In September 2023, the Corporation filed a sBLA with the FDA seeking the approval of the F8 Formulation for commercial use and, in January 2024, the Corporation received a CRL from the FDA. The Corporation plans on addressing the questions raised by the FDA in its CRL. To adequately address these questions, the Corporation may have to incur additional expenses. Even if the Corporation addresses all of the questions raised by the FDA and resubmits a sBLA, the FDA could determine that the answers provided are not to its satisfaction and issue another CRL. If the FDA does not approve the F8 Formulation, the Corporation could have to conduct additional testing using the F8 Formulation which would delay the time by which the Corporation could commercialize the F8 Formulation and which would require the Corporation to incur additional expenses and potential inventory write-downs, all of which could adversely affect the Corporation's revenues, operating results and its potential profitability. Finally, the non-approval of the F8 Formulation would expose the Corporation to the entry of biosimilar versions of EGRIFTA SV given that the patent protection for this product expired in August 2023. Since the F8 Formulation is patent protected until 2033 in the United States, the commercialization of tesamorelin for the treatment of lipodystrophy using the F8 Formulation could protect the entry of biosimilar versions until the expiry of this patent in 2033. The entry of a biosimilar version of EGRIFTA SV could materially adversely affect the revenues and operating results of the Corporation.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities4 | 8.7%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
We may be subject to enforcement action if we engage in the off-label promotion of EGRIFTA SV or Trogarzo.
Our promotional materials and training methods must comply with the FFDCA, as well as with other applicable laws and regulations, including restraints and prohibitions on the promotion of off-label, or unapproved, use. Physicians may prescribe our products for off-label use without regard to these prohibitions, as the FFDCA does not restrict or regulate a physician's choice of treatment within the practice of medicine. However, if the FDA determines that our promotional materials or training of company employees or agents constitutes promotion of an off-label use, it could request that we modify our training or promotional materials, issue corrective action, or subject us to regulatory or enforcement actions, including but not limited to the issuance of an untitled letter or warning letter, and a judicial action seeking injunction, product seizure and civil or criminal penalties. It is also possible that other federal, state or non-U.S. enforcement authorities might take action if they consider our promotional or training materials to constitute promotion of an unapproved use, which could result in significant fines or penalties under other statutory authorities, such as laws prohibiting false claims for reimbursement. Our reputation would also be damaged. Although our policy is to refrain from written or oral statements that could be considered off-label promotion of our products, the FDA could disagree and conclude that we have engaged in off-label promotion. In addition, the off-label use of our products may increase the risk of product liability claims. Product liability claims are expensive to defend and could divert our management's attention, result in substantial damage awards against us and harm our reputation. We are not allowed to conduct promotional activities related to EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo in Canada and in Europe since none of those products have been approved in this territory. Promotional activities may begin once a drug is approved by the heath authority of a country.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 2
If product liability lawsuits are brought against us, they could result in costly and time-consuming litigation and significant liabilities.
Despite all reasonable efforts to ensure the safety of our products we may be commercializing, it is possible that we or our commercial partners will sell products which are defective, to which patients react in an unexpected manner, or which are alleged to have side effects. The development, manufacture and sale of such products may expose us to potential liability, and the pharmaceutical industry has been subject to significant product liability litigation. Any claims, with or without merit, could result in costly litigation, reduced sales, significant liabilities and diversion of our management's time and attention and could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition, business and operating results. A product liability claim could also tarnish our reputation, whether or not such claims are with or without merit. If a product liability claim is brought against us, we may be required to pay legal and other expenses to defend the claim and, if the claim is successful, damage awards may be substantial and/or may not be covered, in whole or in part, by our insurance. We may not have sufficient capital resources to pay the damages resulting from a judgment, in which case our creditors could levy against our assets. We may also be obligated to indemnify our commercial partners and third-party service providers as well as make payments to other parties with respect to product liability damages and claims. Defending any product liability claims, or indemnifying others against those claims, could require us to expend significant financial and managerial resources and would have a material adverse effect on our reputation and our financial condition.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 3
If we fail to comply with our contractual obligations, undertakings and covenants under our agreements with our commercial partners and third-party service providers, we may be exposed to claims for damages and/or termination of these agreements. Furthermore, if we fail to comply with securities laws and applicable pharmaceutical regulations in connection with the commercialization of our products, we may be exposed to claims for damages, fines, penalties, and other sanctions. Any claims for damages, and/or termination of our material contracts, the imposition of fines or penalties could materially adversely affect the commercialization of EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo, our capacity to generate revenues and management's attention to the development of our business.
We rely on third-party service providers for distribution and manufacturing activities related to EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo in the United States. Under our agreements with our third-party service providers, we have assumed certain obligations, undertakings and covenants which, if breached by us and not remedied within the agreed upon periods, could expose us to claims for damages and/or termination of these agreements. If we are unable to meet our obligations under any of our agreements with such third-party service providers which results in termination of such agreements, this will materially adversely affect our business, financial condition and operating results since we rely on single third-party service providers, each of whom performing key services for the success of our business plan. Additionally, if such third-party service providers do not meet their obligations under agreements and we decide to litigate any breach or dispute any amount owed under our agreements, this might materially adversely affect our relationship with such third-party services providers which, in turn, could adversely affect our capacity and ability to deliver on our business plan. As a publicly traded pharmaceutical company we have to comply with securities laws and various laws related to the commercialization of drug products, any violation of which could result in claims for damages and/or the imposition of fines, penalties and other sanctions. If we are subject to claims for damages and/or the imposition of fines, penalties, or other sanctions this could have the effect of diverting management's attention from the operation of the business, limit the financial resources available to the Corporation to execute its business plan and adversely affect the Corporation's reputation.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 4
McKesson is our only client in the United States in connection with the sale of EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo and we are currently negotiating the terms and conditions of a new agreement with McKesson. Any default or a dispute under our current agreement, or its termination, or the failure to enter into a new agreement, would materially adversely affect our revenues, business and operating results.
More than 95% of our revenues are derived from the sale of our products to McKesson that acts as our exclusive distributor in the United States. Our current agreement with McKesson is subject to automatic renewal in April of each year unless a party provides the other with a 120-day written notice of its intent not to renew the agreement or there is no agreement on the fees to be paid annually to McKesson if there is a material change in the industry that causes a financial hardship to McKesson to continue providing its services pursuant to the then agreed upon pricing. In the latter circumstances, McKesson could be entitled to terminate its agreement with us upon a 90-day prior written notice. Both parties also have termination rights in certain other circumstances such as a breach of the agreement. If our agreement with McKesson is terminated, or we are unable to agree on the terms of a new agreement and we are unable to find another distributor prior to its term, or if we are in default or engaged in a dispute with McKesson, our sales may be materially adversely impacted and our revenues could decrease substantially. In addition, under the terms of our agreement with McKesson, we agreed to reimburse McKesson for chargebacks and other discounts that McKesson may offer to its clients. If McKesson's clients omit to timely claim from McKesson any discount they are entitled to, or if they make a mistake in assessing the types of discounts they are entitled to claim and they claim those discounts later in a year, we will have to refund McKesson for such discounts to which McKesson's clients are entitled to and this may materially adversely affect our level of revenues and operating results for the year.
Production
Total Risks: 5/46 (11%)Below Sector Average
Manufacturing1 | 2.2%
Manufacturing - Risk 1
Significant safety problems may arise with respect to EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo which could result in restrictions in EGRIFTA SV's or Trogarzo's label, product recall or withdrawal of any of our products from the market, any of which could materially adversely impact our business and our future business prospects.
New safety issues may arise as EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo are used over longer periods of time by a wider group of patients, some of whom may be taking numerous other medicines, or may suffer from additional underlying health problems. Such safety issues could include an increase in the severity or frequency of known problems or the discovery of previously unknown problems and may result in a variety of adverse regulatory actions. Under U.S. laws, the FDA has broad authority over drug manufacturers to compel any number of actions if safety problems arise, including, but not limited to: (i) requiring manufacturers to conduct post-approval clinical studies to assess known risks or signals of serious risks, or to identify unexpected serious risks; (ii) mandating labeling changes to a product based on new safety information; or (iii) requiring manufacturers to implement a risk evaluation mitigation strategy where necessary to assure safe use of the drug. Similar laws and regulations exist in countries outside of the United States. Previously unknown safety problems could also result in product recalls, or withdrawal of the products from the territory(ies) where they are approved for commercialization. If new safety issues are discovered, sales of EGRIFTA SV and/or Trogarzo may decrease and result in a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and operating results.
Employment / Personnel1 | 2.2%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
We depend on our current personnel to pursue our business plan and the loss of our key employees and the inability to attract and hire highly qualified individuals to replace the loss of our current key employees could have a material adverse effect on our business and growth potential.
Because of the specialized nature of our business, our success depends to a significant extent on the continued service of our key employees and on our ability to be able to attract, retain and motivate qualified commercial, medical, regulatory and scientific personnel. We have entered into employment agreements with our executive officers and provided them, as well as to other key employees, with long-term incentives as a retention mechanism, but such agreements and incentives do not guarantee that our executive officers and other key employees will remain employed by us for any significant period of time, or at all. In addition, we have a limited workforce to pursue our business plan and the loss of any of our key employees could materially adversely affect our business. The loss of key account managers and medical science liaison personnel and our inability to attract and retain them could have a material adverse effect on our commercial and medical activities related to EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo, and, accordingly, on our business, financial condition and operating results. In addition, it could adversely affect the market price of our Common Shares. There is intense competition for qualified personnel in the areas of our activities, and we and our third-party service providers may not be able to continue to attract and retain the qualified personnel necessary for the growth of our business. Our failure and the failure of our third-party service providers to attract and retain such personnel could impose significant limits on our business operations and hinder our ability to successfully and efficiently realize our business plan.
Supply Chain3 | 6.5%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
We no longer have a long-term supply agreement for the supply of sterile water for injection ("SWI") which is provided to patients with other ancillary devices contained in the administration box in connection with EGRIFTA SV. As a result, we may run into supply issues because there exists no commitment to supply us with such product and we must order the SWI on a case-by-case basis. If we are unable to purchase SWI, we may have to change our offering to patients, and this could be perceived negatively and could adversely affect the sales, revenues, and operating results of the Corporation.
We no longer have a long-term supply agreement with a supplier of SWI. The Corporation provides SWI to patients in the medication box along with other ancillary devices including alcohol swabs, syringes and needles in connection with EGRIFTA SV. As a result, we may run into supply issues because there exists no commitment to supply us with SWI and we must order the SWI on a case-by-case basis. If we are unable to purchase SWI, we may have to change our offering to patients, and this could be perceived negatively and could adversely affect the sales, revenues, and operating results of the Corporation. We do not currently have plans to enter into a long-term supply agreement for SWI. The Corporation intends to pursue the approval of the F8 Formulation and plans to withdraw EGRIFTA SV from the market if and when the F8 Formulation is approved by the FDA.
Supply Chain - Risk 2
We rely on third parties for the manufacture, distribution and commercialization of our products and such reliance may adversely affect our revenues, business and future business prospects if the third parties are unable or unwilling to fulfill their obligations.
We have a single third-party service provider for some of our core business activities pertaining to the commercialization of our products, namely their manufacturing and distribution. Any material issues such third-party service providers may encounter that relate to the provision of services to us would have a material adverse effect on our revenues, business and future business prospects since these third-party service providers may not be easily or rapidly replaced. We do not own or operate manufacturing facilities for the production of EGRIFTA SV and tesamorelin, nor do we have plans to develop our own manufacturing operations in the foreseeable future. We currently rely on Bachem and Jubilant to manufacture and supply all of our required raw materials, drug substance and drug product for sales of EGRIFTA SV. We will also rely on a single third-party supplier, Lyophilization Services of New England ("LSNE") for the manufacture of the F8 Formulation. We have not qualified alternative manufacturers to date and no assurance can be given that such manufacturers will be qualified in the future or receive necessary regulatory approvals. There are a limited number of third-party suppliers that are compliant with current good manufacturing practice, ("GMP"), and that also have the necessary expertise and capacity to manufacture our drug substance and drug product. The replacement of a third-party manufacturer is time-consuming and costly due to the required validation of their capabilities. The validation process includes an assessment of the capacity of such third-party manufacturer to produce the quantities that we may request from time to time, the manufacturing process and its compliance with GMP regulations. In addition, the third-party manufacturer would have to familiarize itself with our technology. Validation of an additional third-party manufacturer takes at least twenty-four (24) months and could take as long as thirty-six (36) months or more. The delays associated with the validation of a third-party manufacturer could negatively affect our ability to commercialize our products in a timely manner and on budget. Given the long lead times to change manufacturers, existing manufacturers may utilize this as leverage in negotiations with us in a manner that is adverse to our business. TaiMed is our sole supplier of Trogarzo. TaiMed does not currently own or operate any manufacturing facilities for the production of Trogarzo and must rely on its suppliers, WuXi Apptec Biologics, Inc., ("WuXi") and Samsung Biologics Laboratories in South Korea ("Samsung"). We are not in a contractual relationship with WuXi and Samsung for Trogarzo and, therefore, we may not be able to interact with any of them in the event they encounter issues which could adversely affect the supply of Trogarzo. In such circumstances, we will need to rely on TaiMed to address any of those issues. We have no control over the time and efforts that TaiMed will devote in finding solutions to supply issues if such were to occur, or any say on the solution itself. Any delay in addressing manufacturing issues or any solution to address a manufacturing problem that is not to our liking could have a material adverse effect on the supply and sale of Trogarzo and, accordingly, materially adversely affect our revenues. We do not have state licensure in the United States to distribute EGRIFTA SV, Trogarzo or any other product we may acquire or in-license and we have not made any application to obtain the licenses required in order to distribute a drug product in the United States. Our supply chain model is based upon that fact and the distribution of EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo in the United States is done through McKesson which currently holds all state licensure required to distribute a drug product in every American state. Although potential alternative third-party service providers have been identified to replace McKesson in the event that it becomes unable to distribute EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo, we have not entered into any agreements with them and no assurance can be given that such providers would enter into any agreement with us on terms satisfactory to us. Syneos Health, Inc. ("Syneos") continues to provide us with support for the commercialization of EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo in the United States through the provision of personnel as part of the managed market and reimbursement teams. Although we are aware that there exist other third-party service providers that could provide the same services as Syneos, we have not entered into any agreements with them nor conducted any audit on them. If we need to find another third-party service provider for some or all of the services provided by Syneos, it will be time-consuming and will be disruptive to our business. In addition, there can be no assurance that we will be able to find such third-party service provider if we are unable to agree on the terms and conditions of an agreement with them. Finally, we may retain contract research organizations ("CROs") to support us with the conduct of clinical trials from time to time. These CROs will be tasked with the recruitment of patients, negotiations of clinical study agreements with various clinics and the monitoring of those clinics in connection with our clinical trials. If these CROs default on their covenants or are found, for instance, to be in violation of applicable laws, our clinical trials could be delayed, and any timelines set forth in our public communications could be wrong. In addition, if these CROs are found to be in violation of applicable laws, any data generated in the course of our clinical trials could be questioned by regulatory agencies and this could lead to a rejection of any data submitted to those regulatory agencies at the time of submitting a supplemental Biologics License Application ("sBLA") or New Drug Application (" NDA") seeking the approval of our products. Our reliance on single third-party service providers for some of our core business activities exposes us to a number of risks. For instance, we may be subject to delays in, or suspension of, the manufacturing of EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo if a third-party manufacturer: (a) becomes unavailable to us, or to TaiMed, for any reason, including as a result of the failure to comply with GMP regulations; (b) experiences manufacturing problems or other operational failures, such as labour disputes, equipment failures or unplanned facility shutdowns required to comply with GMP, or damage from any event, including fire, flood, earthquake, business restructuring, labour disputes, epidemics including global health concerns, or insolvency; (c) fails to perform its contractual obligations under our agreement, such as failing to deliver the quantities requested on a timely basis or not meeting product specifications; (d) makes errors in manufacturing raw materials, components or products that could negatively affect the efficacy or safety of our products or cause delays in the shipment. We may also be subject to distribution disruption and interrupted sales of EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo in the United States if: (a) we are unable to negotiate the terms of a new agreement to include serialization services (b) McKesson becomes unavailable to us for any reason, including as a result of its failure to meet applicable laws; (c) McKesson experiences warehousing problems or other operational failure, such as unplanned facility shutdown or damage from any event, including fire, flood, earthquake, epidemics including global health concerns, business restructuring or insolvency; or (d) McKesson fails to perform its contractual obligations under our agreement. We may be subject to a decrease in sales of our products in the United States or we may face reimbursement challenges if Syneos (a) becomes unavailable to us for any reason, including as a result of its incapacity to motivate and retain the employees working on the commercialization of EGRIFTA SV and/or Trogarzo; (b) experiences compliance issues with the FDA; or (c) fails to perform its contractual obligations under our agreement.
Supply Chain - Risk 3
The Corporation has decided to seek a partner to conduct a Phase 2b/3 clinical trial evaluating tesamorelin for the treatment of NASH in the general population. Although the Corporation has begun the search for a potential partner and preliminary discussions are ongoing, there can be no assurance that a partner will be found or that a partnership agreement will be entered into on terms satisfactory to the Corporation. If a partner is not found, the Corporation may have to cancel this program unless it has access to substantial financial resources to pursue such development program and there can be no guarantee that the Corporation will secure such substantial resources in an amount sufficient to initiate or complete the Phase 2b/3 clinical trial. Moreover, the FDA has issued comments and asked questions on the revised protocol filed by the Corporation in February 2022 and the Corporation has voluntarily decided not to reply to those comments and questions until it can find a partner. In addition, the Corporation's decision to design its Phase 2b/3 clinical trial to meet the FDA's primary endpoints may prevent the Corporation from seeking approval of tesamorelin for the treatment of NASH in the general population from the European Medicines Agency ("EMA") since the primary endpoint for this agency is different from that of the FDA. If the Corporation is unable to find a partner to develop tesamorelin for the treatment of NASH in the general population or to secure substantial financial resources to do it on its own, the Corporation may cancel this program and the development of tesamorelin for the treatment of NASH may never occur. Even if the Corporation finds a partner, the conduct of the Phase 2b/3 clinical trial may be delayed or never begun if the Corporation is unable to properly address the comments and questions raised by the FDA based on the Corporation's amended protocol. Finally, if the Corporation is unable to meet the endpoints of its Phase 2b/3 clinical trial, it will not receive approval for tesamorelin for the treatment of NASH in the general population. Even if the Corporation meets the endpoints of the clinical trial, the FDA could issue a conditional approval letter such that if the Corporation is unable to meet the conditions contained in such letter, the Corporation could lose such approval. If the conduct of the clinical trial is cancelled, or if the Corporation does not receive approval for tesamorelin for the treatment of NASH in the general population, its potential long-term revenues, growth and prospects will be materially adversely affected.
In July 2021, we announced that the final Phase 3 clinical trial design would result in higher costs than what we had expected and, as a result, we decided to seek a potential partner to undertake this clinical trial. To date, we are still continuing to seek a partner and discussions are still ongoing. In February 2022, in order to de-risk the Phase 3 trial, the Corporation submitted an amended protocol to the FDA resulting in the FDA providing us with a list of questions and comments on this amended protocol. We have voluntarily decided not to respond to those questions and comments in order to address them with any potential partner we may find to optimize the design, if deemed relevant. The amended protocol includes a Phase 2b/3 seamless study design where the first 350 or so patients' data will be analyzed by a data monitoring committee to assess the efficacy of tesamorelin on a smaller subset of patients. The amended protocol would allow us to generate hard endpoint data on NAS score and fibrosis. A decision would then be made whether to continue the study until the full number of patients (1,094) have completed 18 months of treatment. These amendments would not change the total number of patients required to seek accelerated approval of tesamorelin for the treatment of NASH, but it would inform the continuation of enrollment while providing an indication of benefit to patients. There can be no guarantee that tesamorelin will be studied for the treatment of NASH in the general population if the Corporation is unable to find a partner to conduct the development program on its own. Even if the Corporation finds a partner, the terms and conditions pursuant to which such partner may be interested in assisting the Corporation may not be satisfactory to the Corporation or may be unfavorable. Under such circumstances, the Corporation may decide to forego the development of tesamorelin for the treatment of NASH in the general population or turn to alternative sources of financing. If the Corporation is unable to, or does not proceed with, the development of tesamorelin for the treatment of NASH in the general population, it could have a material adverse effect on its potential long-term revenues, growth and business prospects. Even if the Corporation finds a partner to initiate a Phase 2b/3 clinical trial, there can be no guarantee that the FDA will be satisfied with the responses to the questions and comments asked in connection with the amendments to the protocol filed in February 2022 and allow the initiation of such trial. Even if the FDA or any other regulatory agency approves the study of tesamorelin for the treatment of NASH in the general population, there can be no guarantee that the results will meet the endpoints of the study and that tesamorelin will be approved for such treatment. Even if the Corporation meets the FDA's primary endpoints and approval is received from the FDA, such approval may be conditioned on conducting additional studies which, if not conducted or if the results therefrom are not positive on certain clinical outcomes, could result in the FDA withdrawing its approval for the use of tesamorelin for the treatment of NASH in the general population. The Corporation has decided to design its Phase 2b/3 clinical trial based on the FDA guidelines requiring it to demonstrate "NASH resolution and no worsening of fibrosis" as primary endpoints. This trial design does not follow the current EMA guidelines which require a sponsor to demonstrate both (i) NASH resolution and no worsening of fibrosis and (ii) improvement of fibrosis by one stage without worsening of NASH as primary endpoints. Therefore, even if the Corporation meets the primary endpoints for FDA purposes, the EMA may not approve tesamorelin for the treatment of NASH in this territory since the trial was not designed to demonstrate both endpoints. If the Corporation is unable to obtain approval of tesamorelin for the treatment of NASH in the United States, this would have material adverse effects on its revenues, financial results and long-term growth and prospects. In addition, even if the FDA approves tesamorelin for the treatment of NASH, the lack of an approval in Europe will limit the Corporation's ability to maximize its revenue growth potential, therefore potentially hampering its long-term growth and prospects.
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 4/46 (9%)Above Sector Average
Competition1 | 2.2%
Competition - Risk 1
We face competition and the development of new products by other companies could materially adversely affect our business and operating results.
The biopharmaceutical and pharmaceutical industries are highly competitive and we must compete with pharmaceutical companies, biotechnology companies, academic and research institutions as well as governmental agencies for the development and commercialization of products, most of which have substantially greater financial, technical and personnel resources than us. We believe there are currently few approved drug products competing directly with our approved products. However, with respect to Trogarzo, we face competition from Fostemsavir and Lenacapavir in the United States. In addition, we are aware of other agents, including dolutegravir and darunavir, that are either indicated or commonly used in combination in regimens to treat heavily-treatment experienced patients with MDR HIV-1. With respect to EGRIFTA SV, we face competition from companies selling human growth hormone, testosterone, insulin sensitizing agents, GLP-1 receptor agonists and sermorelin as those products may be prescribed by physicians. In addition, other approaches to reduce visceral adipose tissue in the abdominal area include coping mechanisms such as lifestyle modification (diet and exercise), switching ARTs or liposuction.
Demand1 | 2.2%
Demand - Risk 1
Even though EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo are approved for sale in the United States, revenue that we generate from their sales may be limited.
Sales of EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo will continue to depend upon the acceptance of such products by the medical community, including physicians, patients and third-party payors. The degree of market acceptance of these products will depend on a number of factors, including: (a) demonstrated product safety, including the prevalence and severity of side effects, and effectiveness as a treatment that addresses a significant unmet medical need; (b) storage requirements, dosing regimen and ease of administration; (c) the availability of competitive alternatives; (d) our ability to obtain and maintain sufficient third-party coverage for reimbursement from government health care programs, including U.S. Medicare and Medicaid, private health insurers and other third-party payors; (e) the willingness and ability of patients to pay out-of-pocket for medications; (f) the product price; and (g) the effectiveness of sales and marketing efforts. If our products are not accepted by the marketplace, the revenue generated therefrom will be limited and our capacity to grow our revenue and become profitable will be hampered. Our failure to grow our revenue and to become profitable will adversely impact the value of the Corporation, including the market price of our shares. If we fail to achieve adequate sales, we may not generate sufficient revenue in order to become profitable and to service the repayment of our debt under the Marathon Credit Agreement.
Sales & Marketing2 | 4.3%
Sales & Marketing - Risk 1
Our levels of revenues are highly dependent on obtaining and maintaining patient reimbursement for EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo.
Market acceptance and sales of EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo substantially depend on the availability of reimbursement from third-party payors such as governmental authorities, including U.S. Medicare and Medicaid, managed care providers, and private insurance plans and may be affected by healthcare reform measures in the United States. Third-party payors decide which medications they will pay for and establish reimbursement levels. A primary trend in the U.S. healthcare industry and elsewhere is cost containment. Government authorities and these third-party payors are attempting to control costs by limiting coverage and the amount of reimbursement for particular medications. Increasingly, third-party payors have been challenging the prices charged for products. Third-party payors may decrease the level of reimbursement of a product or cease such reimbursement and the occurrence of any of these events could materially adversely affect the sales of EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo. Sales of EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo to patients benefitting from U.S. Government funded reimbursement programs represent a significant part of our sales. Denial of coverage for any of those products under any of the current programs would materially adversely affect our revenues.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 2
Our commercial success and revenue growth depend on the commercialization of EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo in the United States; unsatisfactory future sales levels of EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo in the United States will have a material adverse effect on us.
Our ability to generate revenue and sustain growth is currently concentrated solely on the commercialization of EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo in the United States. Our success in generating sales revenue from EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo in the United States will depend on our capacity: (a) to pursue the deployment of a commercialization strategy that will be accepted by patients, healthcare professionals and third-party payors; (b) to maintain reimbursement coverage for EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo by third-party payors; (c) to maintain the registration of EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo on U.S. governmental forms as drugs available for purchase in the United States; (d) to ensure that adequate supplies of EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo are available; (e) to maintain conflict-free relationships with our principal third-party suppliers of services, namely our manufacturers (TaiMed, Bachem Americas Inc. ("Bachem"), and Jubilant HollisterStier, General Partnership ("Jubilant")), our distributor in the United States Mckesson Specialty Care Distribution, LLC ("McKesson"), as well as other specialized third parties; and (f) remain compliant with applicable laws. Our success in commercializing our products in the United States will also depend on our capacity to retain qualified, motivated and talented sales representatives and other key individuals instrumental in the commercialization of our products and the capacity of our third-party suppliers to comply with all laws and regulations applicable to the conduct of their respective businesses. There can be no assurance that sales of our products to customers in the United States will increase in the future or that we will generate sales at a profitable level. If sales of our products decrease, our revenue would be adversely affected which, in turn, could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition and operating results. Because we expect to be dependent on revenues solely from EGRIFTA SV and Trogarzo for the foreseeable future, any negative developments relating to these products, such as safety or efficacy issues, manufacturing issues, the introduction or greater acceptance of competing products, or adverse regulatory or legislative developments, or our inability to successfully manage any of the abovementioned factors, will have a material adverse effect on our business and our future business prospects and could also result in a default to meet the Marathon Adjusted EBITDA covenant.
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 2/46 (4%)Below Sector Average
International Operations1 | 2.2%
International Operations - Risk 1
A variety of risks associated with our international business relationships could materially adversely affect our business.
International business relationships in the United States, Europe, Ukraine, the Middle East, China, Taiwan and elsewhere subject us to additional risks, including: (a) disruptions of important government services; (b) differing regulatory requirements for drug approvals in foreign countries; (c) potentially reduced protection for intellectual property rights, including unexpected changes in the rules governing patents and their enforcement; (d) potential third-party patent rights in foreign countries; (e) the potential for so-called parallel importing, which is what happens when a local seller, faced with high or higher local prices, opts to import goods from a foreign market, with low or lower prices, rather than buying them locally; (f) unexpected changes in tariffs, trade barriers and regulatory requirements; (g) economic weakness, including inflation, or political instability, particularly in foreign economies and markets; (h) compliance with tax, employment, immigration and labor laws for employees traveling abroad and for new talents we may desire to recruit; (i) foreign taxes; (j) foreign exchange contracts and foreign currency fluctuations, which could result in increased operating expenses and reduced revenue, and other obligations incident to doing business in another country; (k) workforce uncertainty in countries where labor unrest is more common than in the United States and Canada; (l) production shortages resulting from any events affecting raw material supply or manufacturing capabilities abroad; and (m) business interruptions resulting from geo-political actions, including war and terrorism, or natural disasters, including earthquakes, volcanoes, typhoons, floods, hurricanes and fires, or epidemic such as the one related to the coronavirus. These and other risks of international business relationships may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and operating results.
Natural and Human Disruptions1 | 2.2%
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 1
The economic effects of a pandemic, epidemic or outbreak of an infectious disease could adversely affect our operations or the market price of our Common Shares.
Public health crises such as pandemics, epidemics or similar outbreaks, including coronavirus known as "COVID-19", could adversely impact our operations or the market price of our Common Shares. The extent to which a pandemic, epidemic or outbreak would affect our operations, or the market price of our Common Shares would depend on future developments, including the duration of any such pandemic, epidemic or outbreak and actions to contain or treat any such pandemic, epidemic or outbreak, among others.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.

FAQ

What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
    The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
      They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
        It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
          How do companies disclose their risk factors?
          Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
            Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
              Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
                According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
                  How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
                  Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
                    You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
                      Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
                        A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
                          What are all the risk factor categories?
                          TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
                          1. Financial & Corporate
                          • Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
                          • Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
                          • Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
                          • Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
                          2. Legal & Regulatory
                          • Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
                          • Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
                          • Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
                          • Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
                          3. Production
                          • Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
                          • Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
                          • Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
                          • Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
                          4. Technology & Innovation
                          • Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
                          • Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
                          • Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
                          • Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
                          5. Ability to Sell
                          • Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
                          • Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
                          • Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
                          • Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
                          6. Macro & Political
                          • Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
                          • Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
                          • International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
                          • Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.
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