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Permianville Royalty Trust (PVL)
NYSE:PVL
US Market

Permianville Royalty (PVL) Risk Analysis

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Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.

Permianville Royalty disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Permianville Royalty reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.

Risk Overview Q4, 2023

Risk Distribution
39Risks
51% Finance & Corporate
21% Production
18% Legal & Regulatory
5% Tech & Innovation
3% Ability to Sell
3% Macro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.

Risk Change Over Time

S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Permianville Royalty Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.

The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.

Risk Highlights Q4, 2023

Main Risk Category
Finance & Corporate
With 20 Risks
Finance & Corporate
With 20 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
39
+2
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 32
39
+2
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 32
Recent Changes
2Risks added
0Risks removed
9Risks changed
Since Dec 2023
2Risks added
0Risks removed
9Risks changed
Since Dec 2023
Number of Risk Changed
9
+9
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 4
9
+9
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 4
See the risk highlights of Permianville Royalty in the last period.

Risk Word Cloud

The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.

Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 39

Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 20/39 (51%)Above Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights12 | 30.8%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
Added
The Trust is a smaller reporting company and benefits from certain reduced governance and disclosure requirements, including that the Trust's independent registered public accounting firm is not required to attest to the effectiveness of the Trust's internal control over financial reporting. The Trust cannot be certain if the omission of reduced disclosure requirements applicable to smaller reporting companies will make the Trust Units less attractive to investors.
Currently, the Trust is a "smaller reporting company," meaning that the outstanding Trust Units held by nonaffiliates had a value of less than $250 million at the end of the Trust's most recently completed second fiscal quarter. As a smaller reporting company, the Trust is not required to comply with the auditor attestation requirements of Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, meaning the Trust's auditors are not required to attest to the effectiveness of the Trust's internal control over financial reporting. As a result, investors and others may be less comfortable with the effectiveness of the Trust's internal controls and the risk that material weaknesses or other deficiencies in internal controls go undetected may increase. In addition, as a smaller reporting company, the Trust takes advantage of its ability to provide certain other less comprehensive disclosures in its SEC filings, including, among other things, providing only two years of audited financial statements in annual reports. Consequently, it may be more challenging for investors to analyze the Trust's results of operations and financial prospects, as the information the Trust provides to Trust unitholders may be different from what one might receive from other public companies in which one holds shares. As a smaller reporting company, the Trust is not required to provide this information.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
Changed
Trust unitholders are required to pay taxes on their share of the Trust's income even if they do not receive any cash distributions from the Trust.
Trust unitholders are treated as if they own the Trust's assets and receive the Trust's income and are directly taxable thereon as if no Trust were in existence. Because the Trust generates taxable income that could be different in amount than the cash the Trust distributes, Trust unitholders are required to pay any U.S. federal income taxes and, in some cases, state and local income taxes on their share of the Trust's taxable income even if they receive no cash distributions from the Trust. A Trust unitholder may not receive cash distributions from the Trust equal to such unitholder's share of the Trust's taxable income or even equal to the actual tax liability that results from that income.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
Changed
Trust unitholders have limited ability to enforce provisions of the Conveyance, and the Sponsor's liability to the Trust is limited.
The Trust Agreement permits the Trustee to sue the Sponsor or any other future owner of the Underlying Properties to enforce the terms of the Conveyance. If the Trustee does not take appropriate action to enforce provisions of the Conveyance, Trust unitholders' recourse would be limited to bringing a lawsuit against the Trustee to compel the Trustee to take specified actions. The Trust Agreement expressly limits a Trust unitholder's ability to directly sue the Sponsor or any other third party other than the Trustee. As a result, Trust unitholders will not be able to sue the Sponsor or any future owner of the Underlying Properties to enforce these rights. Furthermore, the Conveyance provides that, except as set forth in the Conveyance, the Sponsor will not be liable to the Trust for the manner in which it performs its duties in operating the Underlying Properties as long as it acts without gross negligence or willful misconduct. In addition, the Trust Agreement provides that, to the fullest extent permitted by law, the Sponsor is not subject to fiduciary duties or liable for conflicts of interest principles.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4
Under certain circumstances, the Trustee must sell the Net Profits Interest and dissolve the Trust prior to the expected termination of the Trust. As a result, Trust unitholders may not recover their investment.
The Trustee must sell the Net Profits Interest and dissolve the Trust if the holders of at least 75% of the outstanding Trust Units approve the sale or vote to dissolve the Trust. The Trustee must also sell the Net Profits Interest and dissolve the Trust if the annual cash proceeds received by the Trust attributable to the Net Profits Interest are less than $2 million for each of any two consecutive years. The net profits of any such sale will be distributed to the Trust unitholders.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5
Conflicts of interest could arise between the Sponsor and its affiliates, on the one hand, and the Trust and the Trust unitholders, on the other hand.
As working interest owners in, and the operators of certain wells on, the Underlying Properties, the Sponsor and its affiliates could have interests that conflict with the interests of the Trust and the Trust unitholders. For example: - The Sponsor's interests may conflict with those of the Trust and the Trust unitholders in situations involving the development, maintenance, operation or abandonment of certain wells on the Underlying Properties for which the Sponsor acts as the operator. The Sponsor also may make decisions with respect to development expenses that adversely affect the Underlying Properties. These decisions include reducing development expenses on properties for which the Sponsor acts as the operator, which could cause oil and natural gas production to decline at a faster rate and thereby result in lower cash distributions by the Trust in the future. - The Sponsor may sell some or all the Underlying Properties without taking into consideration the interests of the Trust unitholders. Such sales may not be in the best interests of the Trust unitholders. These purchasers may lack the Sponsor's experience or its creditworthiness. The Sponsor also has the right, under certain circumstances, to cause the Trustee to release all or a portion of the Net Profits Interest in connection with a sale of a portion of the Underlying Properties to which such Net Profits Interest relates. In such an event, the Trust is entitled to receive the fair value (net of sales costs) of the Net Profits Interest released. - The Sponsor may sell its Trust Units without considering the effects such sale may have on Trust Unit prices or on the Trust itself. Additionally, the Sponsor can vote its Trust Units in its sole discretion without considering the interests of the other Trust unitholders. The Sponsor is not a fiduciary with respect to the Trust unitholders or the Trust and does not owe any fiduciary duties or liabilities to the Trust unitholders or the Trust.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6
The Trust is administered by a Trustee who cannot be replaced except by a majority vote of the Trust unitholders at a special meeting, which may make it difficult for Trust unitholders to remove or replace the Trustee.
The affairs of the Trust are administered by the Trustee. The voting rights of a Trust unitholder are more limited than those of stockholders of most public corporations. For example, there is no requirement for annual meetings of Trust unitholders or for an annual or other periodic re-election of the Trustee. The Trust Agreement provides that the Trustee may only be removed and replaced by the holders of a majority of the Trust Units present in person or by proxy at a meeting of such holders where a quorum is present, including Trust Units held by the Sponsor, called by either the Trustee or the holders of not less than 10% of the outstanding Trust Units. As a result, it will be difficult for public Trust unitholders to remove or replace the Trustee without the cooperation of holders of a significant percentage of total Trust Units.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7
If the Trust cannot meet the New York Stock Exchange continued listing requirements, the NYSE may delist the Trust Units.
Under the continued listing requirements of the NYSE, a company will be considered to be out of compliance with the exchange's minimum price requirement if the company's average closing price over a consecutive 30 trading day period ("Average Closing Price") is less than $1.00 (the "Minimum Price Requirement").  Under NYSE rules, a company that is out of compliance with the Minimum Price Requirement has a cure period of six months to regain compliance if it notifies the NYSE within 10 business days of receiving a deficiency notice of its intention to cure the deficiency. A company may regain compliance if on the last trading day of any calendar month during the cure period the company has a closing share price of at least $1.00 and an average closing share price of at least $1.00 over the 30-trading-day period ending on the last trading day of that month. If at the expiration of the cure period, both a $1.00 closing share price on the last trading day of the cure period and a $1.00 average closing share price over the 30-trading-day period ending on the last trading day of the cure period are not attained, the NYSE will commence suspension and delisting procedures. If delisted by the NYSE, a company's shares may be transferred to the over-the-counter ("OTC") market, a significantly more limited market than the NYSE, which could affect the market price, trading volume, liquidity and resale price of such shares. Securities that trade on the OTC markets also typically experience more volatility compared to securities that trade on a national securities exchange. During the cure period, the company's shares would continue to trade on the NYSE, subject to compliance with other continued listing requirements. The Trust has fallen out of compliance with the Minimum Price Requirement in the past, most recently in 2020, and although the Trust was able to regain compliance within the applicable grace period, the Trust may be unable to maintain compliance in the future and could again become subject to the NYSE delisting procedures. Over the 30-day trading period that ended March 20, 2024, the closing price of the Trust Units on the NYSE ranged from a high of $1.68 on February 8, 2024 to a low of $1.33 on March 20, 2024.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 8
The trading price for the Trust Units may not reflect the value of the Net Profits Interest held by the Trust.
The trading price for publicly traded securities similar to the Trust Units tends to be tied to recent and expected levels of cash distributions. The amounts available for distribution by the Trust vary in response to numerous factors outside the control of the Trust, including prevailing prices for sales of oil and natural gas production from the Underlying Properties and the timing and amount of direct operating expenses and development expenses. Consequently, the market price for the Trust Units may not necessarily be indicative of the value that the Trust would realize if it sold the Net Profits Interest to a third-party buyer. In addition, the market price may not necessarily reflect the fact that since the assets of the Trust are depleting assets, a portion of each cash distribution paid with respect to the Trust Units should be considered by investors as a return of capital, with the remainder being considered as a return on investment. As a result, distributions made to a Trust unitholder over the life of these depleting assets may not equal or exceed the purchase price paid by the Trust unitholder.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 9
Courts outside of Delaware may not recognize the limited liability of the Trust unitholders provided under Delaware law.
Under the Delaware Statutory Trust Act, Trust unitholders will be entitled to the same limitation of personal liability extended to stockholders of corporations for profit under the General Corporation Law of the State of Delaware. The courts in jurisdictions outside of Delaware, however, might not give effect to such limitation.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 10
The Trust Units may lose value as a result of title deficiencies with respect to the Underlying Properties.
Enduro acquired the Underlying Properties through various acquisitions in late 2010 and early 2011. The Sponsor acquired Enduro's interests in the Underlying Properties pursuant to the Sale Transaction that closed in August 2018. The existence of a material title deficiency with respect to the Underlying Properties could reduce the value of a property or render it worthless, thus adversely affecting the Net Profits Interest and the distributions to Trust unitholders. The Sponsor does not obtain title insurance covering mineral leaseholds, and the Sponsor's failure to cure any title defects may cause the Sponsor to lose its rights to production from the Underlying Properties. If a material title problem were to arise, net profits available for distribution to Trust unitholders, and the value of the Trust Units, may be reduced.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 11
Changed
Subject to specified limitations, the Sponsor may transfer all or a portion of the Underlying Properties at any time without Trust unitholder consent.
The Sponsor at any time may transfer all or part of the Underlying Properties, subject to and burdened by the Net Profits Interest, and may, along with the third-party operators, abandon individual wells or properties reasonably believed to be not economically viable. Trust unitholders will not be entitled to vote on any transfer or abandonment of the Underlying Properties, and the Trust will not receive any net proceeds from any such transfer, except in the limited circumstances when the Net Profits Interest is released in connection with such transfer, in which case the Trust will receive an amount equal to the fair market value (net of sales costs) of the Net Profits Interest released. Following any sale or transfer of any of the Underlying Properties, if the Net Profits Interest is not released in connection with such sale or transfer, the Net Profits Interest will continue to burden the transferred property and net profits attributable to such property will be calculated as part of the computation of net profits. The Sponsor may delegate to the transferee responsibility for all of the Sponsor's obligations relating to the Net Profits Interest on the portion of the Underlying Properties transferred. In addition, the Sponsor may, without the consent of the Trust unitholders, require the Trustee to release the Net Profits Interest associated with any lease that accounts for no more than 0.25% the total production from the Underlying Properties in the prior 12 months, provided that the Net Profits Interest covered by such releases cannot exceed, during any 12-month period, an aggregate fair market value to the Trust of $500,000. These releases may be made only in connection with a sale by the Sponsor to a non-affiliate of the relevant Underlying Properties and are conditioned upon an amount equal to the fair market value of such Net Profits Interest being treated as an offset amount against costs and expenses. For example, in May 2023, the Sponsor sold approximately $0.3 million in non-producing, non-cash flowing acreage to a private oil company, free and clear of the Net Profits Interest, as permitted under the Trust Agreement. The proceeds from this sale attributable to the Trust's Net Profits Interest were included in the distribution that was paid to Trust unitholders on August 14, 2023. The third-party operators and the Sponsor may enter into farm-out, operating, participation and other similar agreements to develop the property without the consent or approval of the Trustee or any Trust unitholder.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 12
Changed
The Trust is passive in nature and neither the Trustee nor the Trust unitholders have any ability to influence the Sponsor or control the operations or development of the Underlying Properties.
The Trust Units are a passive investment that entitles the Trust unitholders to only receive cash distributions derived from the Net Profits Interest. Trust unitholders have no voting rights with respect to the Sponsor and, therefore, have no managerial, contractual or other ability to influence the Sponsor's or the third-party operators' activities or the operations of the Underlying Properties. Oil and natural gas properties are typically managed pursuant to an operating agreement among the working interest owners of oil and natural gas properties. Third party operators operate substantially all of the wells on the Underlying Properties. The typical operating agreement contains procedures whereby the owners of the working interests in the property designate one of the interest owners to be the operator of the property. Under these arrangements, the operator is typically responsible for making all decisions relating to drilling activities, sale of production, compliance with regulatory requirements and other matters that affect the property. Neither the Trustee nor the Trust unitholders have any contractual ability to influence or control the field operations of, sale of oil or natural gas from, or any future development of, the Underlying Properties. The current operators developing the Underlying Properties are under no obligations to continue operations on the Underlying Properties. Neither the Trustee nor the Trust unitholders have the right to replace an operator.
Accounting & Financial Operations3 | 7.7%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
Actual reserves and future production may be less than current estimates, which could reduce cash distributions by the Trust and the value of the Trust Units.
The value of the Trust Units and the amount of future cash distributions to the Trust unitholders will depend upon, among other things, the accuracy of the reserves and future production estimated to be attributable to the Trust's interest in the Underlying Properties. It is not possible to measure underground accumulations of oil and natural gas in an exact way, and estimating reserves is inherently uncertain. Ultimately, actual production and revenues from the Underlying Properties could vary both positively and negatively and in material amounts from estimates. Furthermore, direct operating expenses and development expenses relating to the Underlying Properties could be substantially higher than current estimates. Petroleum engineers are required to make subjective estimates of underground accumulations of oil and natural gas based on factors and assumptions that include: - historical production from the area compared with production rates from other producing areas;- oil and natural gas prices, production levels, Btu content, production expenses, transportation costs, severance and excise taxes and development expenses;- the availability of enhanced recovery techniques;- relationships with landowners, operators, pipeline companies and others; and - the assumed effect of expected governmental regulation and future tax rates. Changes in these assumptions and amounts of actual direct operating expenses and development expenses could materially decrease reserve estimates. In addition, the quantities of recovered reserves attributable to the Underlying Properties may decrease in the future as a result of future decreases in the price of oil or natural gas. The reserve report estimating the Trust's proved reserves, future production and income attributable to the Trust's interests in the Underlying Properties as of December 31, 2023 was prepared, in accordance with applicable regulations, using an average of the NYMEX first-day-of-the-month commodity price during the 12-month period ending on December 31, 2023 as required by the SEC. The applicable prices for 2023 were $78.22 per Bbl of oil and $2.637 per Mcf of natural gas.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
The Trust allocates its items of income, gain, loss and deduction between transferors and transferees of the Trust Units each month based upon the ownership of the Trust Units on the monthly record date, instead of on the basis of the date a particular Trust Unit is transferred. The IRS may challenge this treatment, which could change the allocation of items of income, gain, loss and deduction among the Trust unitholders.
The Trust generally allocates its items of income, gain, loss and deduction between transferors and transferees of the Trust Units each month based upon the ownership of the Trust Units on the monthly record date, instead of on the basis of the date a particular Trust Unit is transferred. It is possible that the IRS could disagree with this allocation method and could assert that income and deductions of the Trust should be determined and allocated on a daily or prorated basis, which could require adjustments to the tax returns of the Trust unitholders affected by the issue and result in an increase in the administrative expense of the Trust in subsequent periods.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 3
Added
Financial information of the Trust is not prepared in accordance with GAAP.
The financial statements of the Trust are prepared on a modified cash basis of accounting, which is a comprehensive basis of accounting other than accounting principles generally accepted in the United States, or GAAP. Although this basis of accounting is permitted for royalty trusts by the SEC, the financial statements of the Trust differ from GAAP financial statements because revenues are not accrued in the month of production, expenses are recorded when paid and not when incurred, and cash reserves may be established for specified contingencies and deducted which could not be accrued in GAAP financial statements.
Debt & Financing5 | 12.8%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
The Trust has established a cash reserve for contingent liabilities and to pay expenses in accordance with the Trust Agreement, which would reduce net profits payable to the Trust and distributions to Trust unitholders.
The Trust's source of capital is the cash flows from the Net Profits Interest. Pursuant to the Trust Agreement, the Trust may establish a cash reserve through the withholding of cash for contingent liabilities and to pay expenses, which will reduce the amount of cash otherwise available for distribution to Trust unitholders. In November 2021, the Trustee notified the Sponsor of the Trustee's intent to build a cash reserve for the payment of future known, anticipated or contingent expenses or liabilities of the Trust. From February 2022 through March 2023, the Trustee withheld $37,833, and commencing with the distribution to Trust unitholders paid in April 2023 has been withholding and, in the future, intends to withhold $50,000, from the funds otherwise available for distribution each month to gradually build a cash reserve of approximately $2.3 million. As of December 31, 2023, the cumulative cash reserve balance was $941,386. The Trustee may increase or decrease the targeted amount at any time, and may increase or decrease the rate at which it is withholding funds to build the cash reserve at any time, without advance notice to the Trust unitholders.
Debt & Financing - Risk 2
In the event of the bankruptcy of the Sponsor, if a court were to hold that the Net Profits Interest was part of the bankruptcy estate, the Trust may be treated as an unsecured creditor with respect to the Net Profits Interest attributable to properties in Louisiana and New Mexico.
The Sponsor and the Trust believe that, in a bankruptcy of the Sponsor, the Net Profits Interest would be viewed as a separate property interest under Texas law and, as such, outside of the Sponsor's bankruptcy estate. However, if the bankruptcy court were to hold otherwise, or if Louisiana or New Mexico law were held to be applicable, the Net Profits Interest might be considered an asset of the bankruptcy estate and used to satisfy obligations to creditors of the Sponsor, in which case the Trust would be an unsecured creditor of the Sponsor at risk of losing the entire value of the Net Profits Interest to senior creditors.
Debt & Financing - Risk 3
The bankruptcy of the Sponsor or any of the third-party operators could impede the operation of the wells and the development of the proved undeveloped reserves.
The value of the Net Profits Interest and the Trust's ultimate cash available for distribution is highly dependent on the financial condition of the operators of the Underlying Properties. None of the operators of the Underlying Properties, including the Sponsor, has agreed with the Trust to maintain a certain net worth or to be restricted by other similar covenants. The ability to develop and operate the Underlying Properties depends on the future financial condition and economic performance and access to capital of the operators of those properties, which in turn will depend upon the supply and demand for oil and natural gas, prevailing economic conditions and financial, business and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Sponsor and the third party operators. Reduced demand for crude oil in the global market could have a negative impact on the financial condition and economic performance of one or more of the operators of the Underlying Properties. The Sponsor is not a reporting company and is not required to file periodic reports with the SEC pursuant to the Exchange Act. Therefore, Trust unitholders do not have access to financial information about the Sponsor. In the event of any future bankruptcy of any operator of the Underlying Properties, the working interest owners in the affected properties will have to seek a new party to perform the development and the operations of the affected wells. The working interest owners may not be able to find a replacement driller or operator, and they may not be able to enter into a new agreement with such replacement party on favorable terms within a reasonable period. As a result, such a bankruptcy may result in reduced production from the reserves and decreased distributions to Trust unitholders, and could adversely affect the value of the Net Profits Interest.
Debt & Financing - Risk 4
The Sponsor's ability to perform its obligations to the Trust could be limited by restrictions under its debt agreements.
The Sponsor has various contractual obligations to the Trust under the Trust Agreement and Conveyance. Restrictions under the Sponsor's debt agreements, including certain covenants, financial ratios and tests, could impair its ability to fulfill its obligations to the Trust. The requirement that the Sponsor comply with these restrictive covenants and financial ratios and tests may materially adversely affect its ability to react to changes in market conditions, take advantage of business opportunities it believes to be desirable, obtain future financing, fund needed capital expenditures or withstand a continuing or future downturn in its business which may, in turn, impair the Sponsor's operations and its ability to perform its obligations to the Trust under the Trust Agreement and Conveyance. If the Sponsor is unable to perform its obligations to the Trust under the Trust Agreement or Conveyance, it could have a material adverse effect on the Trust.
Debt & Financing - Risk 5
Changed
The amount of cash available for distribution by the Trust depends in part on access to and operation of gathering, transportation and processing facilities. Any limitation in the availability of those facilities could interfere with sales of oil and natural gas production from the Underlying Properties.
The amount of oil and natural gas that may be produced and sold from a well is subject to curtailment in certain circumstances, such as by reason of weather conditions, pipeline interruptions due to scheduled and unscheduled maintenance, failure of tendered oil and natural gas to meet quality specifications of gathering lines or downstream transporters, excessive line pressure which prevents delivery, physical damage to the gathering system or transportation system or lack of contracted capacity on such systems. The curtailments may vary from a few days to several months. In many cases, the operators of the Underlying Properties receive only limited notice, if any, as to when production will be curtailed and the duration of such curtailments. If the operators of the Underlying Properties are forced to reduce production due to such a curtailment, the revenues of the Trust and the amount of cash distributions to the Trust unitholders similarly would be reduced due to the reduction of profits from the sale of production.
Production
Total Risks: 8/39 (21%)Above Sector Average
Manufacturing1 | 2.6%
Manufacturing - Risk 1
Developing oil and natural gas wells and producing oil and natural gas are costly and high-risk activities with many uncertainties that could adversely affect future production from the Underlying Properties. Any delays, reductions or cancellations in development and producing activities could decrease revenues that are available for distribution to Trust unitholders.
The process of developing oil and natural gas wells and producing oil and natural gas on the Underlying Properties is subject to numerous risks beyond the control of the Trust, the Sponsor or the third-party operators, including risks that could delay the operators' current drilling or production schedule and the risk that drilling will not result in commercially viable oil or natural gas production. The ability of the operators to carry out operations or to finance planned development expenses could be materially and adversely affected by any factor that may curtail, delay, reduce or cancel development and production, including: - declines in oil or natural gas prices;- delays imposed by or resulting from compliance with environmental and other governmental or regulatory requirements, including permitting;- unusual or unexpected geological formations;- shortages of or delays in obtaining equipment and qualified personnel;- lack of available gathering, transportation and processing facilities, including availability on commercially reasonable terms, or delays in construction of gathering facilities;- lack of available capacity on interconnecting transmission pipelines;- equipment malfunctions, failures or accidents;- unexpected operational events and drilling conditions;- market limitations for oil or natural gas;- pipe or cement failures;- casing collapses;- lost or damaged drilling and service tools;- loss of drilling fluid circulation;- uncontrollable flows of oil and natural gas, inert gas, water or drilling fluids;- blowouts, explosions, fires and natural disasters;- environmental hazards, such as oil and natural gas leaks, pipeline ruptures and discharges of toxic gases or other pollutants into the surface or subsurface environment;- adverse weather conditions; and - oil or natural gas property title problems or legal disputes regarding leasehold rights. If planned operations, including drilling of development wells, are delayed or cancelled, or if existing wells or development wells experience production below anticipated levels due to one or more of the foregoing factors or for any other reason, future distributions to Trust unitholders may be reduced. If an operator incurs increased costs due to one or more of the foregoing factors or for any other reason and is unable to recover such costs from insurance, future distributions to Trust unitholders may be reduced.
Employment / Personnel1 | 2.6%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
Changed
Shortages of equipment, services and qualified personnel could increase costs of developing and operating the Underlying Properties and reduce the amount of cash available for distribution to Trust unitholders.
The demand for qualified and experienced personnel to conduct field operations, geologists, geophysicists, engineers and other professionals in the oil and natural gas industry can fluctuate significantly, often in correlation with oil and natural gas prices, causing periodic shortages. Historically, there have been shortages of drilling rigs and other equipment as demand for rigs and equipment has increased along with the number of wells being drilled. These factors also cause significant increases in costs for equipment, services and personnel. Higher oil and natural gas prices generally stimulate demand and result in increased prices for drilling rigs, crews and associated supplies, equipment and services. Shortages of field personnel and equipment or price increases could hinder the ability of the operators of the Underlying Properties to conduct the operations that they currently have planned for the Underlying Properties, which would reduce the amount of cash received by the Trust and available for distribution to Trust unitholders.
Supply Chain1 | 2.6%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
Third-party operators are the operators of all of the wells on the Underlying Properties and, therefore, the Sponsor is not in a position to control the timing of development efforts, the associated costs or the rate of production of the reserves on such properties.
As of December 31, 2023, all of the wells on the Underlying Properties were operated by third-party operators. As a result, the Sponsor has limited ability to exercise influence over, and control the risks or costs associated with, the operations of these properties. The failure of a third-party operator to adequately or efficiently perform operations, a third-party operator's breach of the applicable operating agreements or a third-party operator's failure to act in ways that are in the Sponsor's or the Trust's best interests could reduce production and revenues and therefore, proceeds payable to the Trust and, ultimately, cash available for distribution to Trust unitholders. Further, none of the third-party operators of the Underlying Properties is obligated to undertake any development activities, so any development and production activities will be subject to their reasonable discretion. Therefore, the success and timing of drilling and development activities on properties operated by the third-party operators depend on factors that are largely outside of the Sponsor's control, including: - the timing and amount of capital expenditures, which could be significantly more than anticipated;- the availability of suitable drilling equipment, production and transportation infrastructure and qualified operating personnel;- the third-party operators' expertise, operating efficiency and financial resources;- approval of other participants in drilling wells;- the selection of technology;- the selection of counterparties for the sale of production; and - the rate of production of the reserves. The third-party operators may elect not to undertake development activities, or may undertake such activities in an unanticipated fashion, which may result in significant fluctuations in capital expenditures and amounts available for distribution to Trust unitholders. In addition, disagreements may arise between one or more of the operators, on the one hand, and the Sponsor, on the other hand, regarding the associated costs of the Underlying Properties for which the Sponsor may be responsible, a portion of which may be attributable to the Trust, to the extent of the Trust's interest in the Underlying Properties. Such disagreements could result in litigation or other legal proceedings, which could reduce cash available for distribution to Trust unitholders.
Costs5 | 12.8%
Costs - Risk 1
Prices of oil and natural gas fluctuate, and lower prices could reduce proceeds to the Trust and cash distributions to Trust unitholders.
The Trust's reserves and monthly cash distributions are highly dependent upon the prices realized from the sale of oil and natural gas. Oil and natural gas prices can fluctuate widely on a month-to-month basis in response to a variety of factors that are beyond the control of the Trust and the Sponsor. These factors include, among others: - regional, domestic and foreign supply and perceptions of supply of oil and natural gas;- the level of demand and perceptions of demand for oil and natural gas;- political conditions or hostilities in oil and natural gas producing regions;- the armed conflicts between Russia and Ukraine and between Israel and Hamas and the potential destabilizing effects such conflicts may pose for the global oil and gas markets;- the actions of OPEC, its members and other oil-producing nations, such as Russia, relating to oil price and production levels, including announcements of potential changes to such levels;- the levels of production of oil and natural gas of non-OPEC countries;- anticipated future prices of oil and natural gas and other commodities;- weather conditions and seasonal trends;- technological advances affecting energy consumption and energy supply;- U.S. and worldwide economic conditions;- the occurrence or threat of epidemic or pandemic diseases, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, or any government response to such occurrence or threat;- the price and availability of alternative fuels;- the proximity, capacity, cost and availability of gathering and transportation facilities;- the volatility and uncertainty of regional pricing differentials;- governmental regulations and taxation;- energy conservation and environmental measures; and - acts of force majeure. These factors and the volatility of the energy markets make it extremely difficult to predict future oil and natural gas price movements with any certainty. Commodity prices displayed dramatic volatility in 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic and various governmental actions taken to mitigate the impact of COVID-19 resulted in an unprecedented decline in demand for oil and natural gas. The effects of the economic disruption caused by the governmental responses to the COVID-19 pandemic continued to be felt through 2023, in the form of lingering supply chain disruptions, higher inflation and higher interest rates, which affected supply and demand for oil and natural gas. Meanwhile, as strains or variants of COVID-19 resurge, or if other epidemic or pandemic diseases or other public health event were to occur, the negative impact to global demand for oil and natural gas could be material. A substantial or extended decline in oil or natural gas prices will reduce profits to which the Trust is entitled and therefore the amount of cash available for distribution to Trust unitholders. A prolonged period of low oil or natural gas prices may ultimately reduce the amount of oil and natural gas that is economically viable to produce from the Underlying Properties. As a result, the operators of the Underlying Properties could determine during periods of low commodity prices to shut-in or curtail production from wells on the Underlying Properties, or even plug and abandon marginal wells that otherwise may have been allowed to continue to produce for a longer period under conditions of higher prices. Specifically, an operator may abandon any well or property if it reasonably believes that the well or property can no longer produce oil or natural gas in commercially paying quantities. This could result in termination of the Net Profits Interest relating to the abandoned well or property. The Underlying Properties are sensitive to decreasing commodity prices. The commodity price sensitivity is due to a variety of factors that vary from well to well, including the costs associated with water handling and disposal, chemicals, surface equipment maintenance, downhole casing repairs and reservoir pressure maintenance activities that are necessary to maintain production. As a result, decreasing commodity prices may cause the expenses of certain wells to exceed the well's revenue, in which case the operator may decide to shut-in the well or plug and abandon the well. This scenario could reduce future cash distributions to Trust unitholders. Sustained lower prices of oil and natural gas also could negatively affect the price of the Trust Units and the qualification of the Trust Units to remain listed on the New York Stock Exchange. The Sponsor has not entered into any hedge contracts relating to oil and natural gas volumes expected to be produced on behalf of the Trust, and the terms of the Conveyance prohibit the Sponsor from entering into new hedging arrangements burdening the Trust. As a result, all production in which the Trust has an interest is unhedged, and the amount of cash available for distribution may be subject to greater fluctuations due to changes in oil and natural gas prices.
Costs - Risk 2
Changed
Higher production and development costs and expenses related to the Underlying Properties and other costs and expenses incurred by the Trust, without concurrent increases in revenue, will reduce the amount of cash available for distribution to Trust unitholders.
The Trust indirectly bears an 80% share of all costs and expenses related to the Underlying Properties, such as direct operating and development expenses, which reduces the amount of cash received by the Trust and thereafter distributable to Trust unitholders. Accordingly, higher costs and expenses related to the Underlying Properties will directly decrease the amount of cash received by the Trust in respect of its Net Profits Interest. Historical costs may not be indicative of future costs. For example, the third-party operators may in the future propose additional drilling projects that significantly increase the capital expenditures associated with the Underlying Properties, which could reduce cash available for distribution by the Trust. In addition, cash available for distribution by the Trust will be further reduced by the Trust's general and administrative expenses. If direct operating and development expenses on the Underlying Properties, together with the other costs, exceed gross profits of production from the Underlying Properties, the Trust will not receive net profits from those properties until future gross profits from production exceed the total of the excess costs, plus accrued interest at the prime rate. If the Trust does not receive net profits pursuant to the Net Profits Interest, or if such net profits are reduced, the Trust will not be able to distribute cash to the Trust unitholders, or such cash distributions will be reduced, respectively. Development activities may not generate sufficient additional revenue to repay the costs.
Costs - Risk 3
Changed
An increase in the differential between the price realized by the Sponsor for oil or natural gas produced from the Underlying Properties and the NYMEX or other benchmark price of oil or natural gas could reduce the net profits payable to the Trust and, therefore, the cash distributions by the Trust and the value of the Trust Units.
The prices received for the Sponsor's oil and natural gas production usually fall below the relevant benchmark prices, such as NYMEX, that are used for calculating hedge positions. The difference between the price received and the benchmark price is called a basis differential. The differential may vary significantly due to market conditions, the quality and location of production and other factors. The Sponsor cannot accurately predict oil or natural gas differentials. Increases in the differential between the realized price of oil and natural gas and the benchmark price for oil and natural gas could reduce the profits to the Trust, the cash distributions by the Trust and the value of the Trust Units.
Costs - Risk 4
The reserves attributable to the Underlying Properties are depleting assets and production from those reserves will diminish over time. Furthermore, the Trust is precluded from acquiring other oil and natural gas properties or net profits interests to replace the depleting assets and production. Therefore, proceeds to the Trust and cash distributions to Trust unitholders will decrease over time.
The net profits payable to the Trust attributable to the Net Profits Interest are derived from the sale of production of oil and natural gas from the Underlying Properties. The reserves attributable to the Underlying Properties are depleting assets, which means that the reserves and the quantity of oil and natural gas produced from the Underlying Properties will decline over time. Future maintenance projects on the Underlying Properties may affect the quantity of proved reserves that can be economically produced from wells on the Underlying Properties. The timing and size of these projects will depend on, among other factors, the market prices of oil and natural gas. Neither the Sponsor nor, to the Sponsor's knowledge, the third-party operators have a contractual obligation to develop or otherwise pay development expenses on the Underlying Properties in the future. Furthermore, with respect to properties for which the Sponsor is not designated as the operator, the Sponsor has limited control over the timing or amount of those development expenses. The Sponsor also has the right to non-consent and not participate in the development expenses on properties for which it is not the operator, in which case the Sponsor and the Trust will not receive the production resulting from such development expenses. If the operators of the Underlying Properties do not implement maintenance projects when warranted, the future rate of production decline of proved reserves may be higher than the rate currently expected by the Sponsor or estimated in the reserve report. The Trust Agreement provides that the Trust's activities are limited to owning the Net Profits Interest and any activity reasonably related to such ownership, including activities required or permitted by the terms of the Conveyance related to the Net Profits Interest. As a result, the Trust is not permitted to acquire other oil and natural gas properties or net profits interests to replace the depleting assets and production attributable to the Net Profits Interest. Because the net profits payable to the Trust are derived from the sale of depleting assets, the portion of the distributions to Trust unitholders attributable to depletion may be considered to have the effect of a return of capital as opposed to a return on investment. Eventually, the Underlying Properties burdened by the Net Profits Interest may cease to produce in commercially paying quantities and the Trust may, therefore, cease to receive any distributions of net profits therefrom. At that point the value of the Trust Units should be expected to be $0.
Costs - Risk 5
The amount of cash available for distribution by the Trust could be reduced by expenses caused by uninsured claims.
The Sponsor maintains insurance coverage against potential losses that it believes is customary in its industry. COERT currently maintains general liability insurance and excess liability coverage. The Sponsor's excess liability coverage and general liability insurance do not have deductibles. The general liability insurance covers the Sponsor and its subsidiaries for legal and contractual liabilities arising out of bodily injury or property damage, including any resulting loss of use to third parties, and for sudden and accidental pollution or environmental liability, while the excess liability coverage is in addition to and triggered if the general liability per occurrence limit is reached. In addition, the Sponsor maintains control of well insurance with per occurrence limits depending on the status of the well and deductibles consistent with industry standards. The Sponsor's general liability insurance and excess liability policies do not provide coverage with respect to legal and contractual liabilities of the Trust, and the Trust does not maintain such coverage since it is passive in nature and does not have any ability to influence the Sponsor or control the operations or development of the Underlying Properties. The Sponsor does not currently have any insurance policies in effect that are intended to provide coverage for losses solely related to hydraulic fracturing operations, other than its general liability and excess liability insurance policies that may cover third-party claims related to hydraulic fracturing operations in accordance with, and subject to, the terms of such policies. These policies may not cover fines, penalties or costs and expenses related to government-mandated cleanup of pollution. In addition, these policies do not provide coverage for all liabilities, and the insurance coverage may not be adequate to cover claims that may arise; moreover, the Sponsor may not be able to maintain adequate insurance at rates it considers reasonable. The occurrence of an event not fully covered by insurance could result in a significant decrease in the amount of cash available for distribution by the Trust. The Trust does not maintain any type of insurance against any of the risks of conducting oil and gas exploration and production, hydraulic fracturing operations, or related activities.
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 7/39 (18%)Above Sector Average
Regulation3 | 7.7%
Regulation - Risk 1
The operations on the Underlying Properties are subject to complex federal, state, local and other laws and regulations that could adversely affect the cost, manner or feasibility of conducting operations on them or expose the operator to significant liabilities, which could reduce the amount of cash available for distribution to Trust unitholders.
The production and development operations on the Underlying Properties are subject to complex and stringent laws and regulations. To conduct their operations in compliance with these laws and regulations, the operators of the Underlying Properties must obtain and maintain numerous permits, drilling bonds, approvals and certificates from various federal, state and local governmental authorities and engage in extensive reporting. The operators of the Underlying Properties may incur substantial costs and experience delays in order to maintain compliance with these existing laws and regulations, and the Trust will bear an 80% share of these costs. In addition, the operators' costs of compliance may increase if existing laws and regulations are revised or reinterpreted, or if new laws and regulations become applicable to their operations. Such costs could have a material adverse effect on the operators' business, financial condition and results of operations and reduce the amount of cash received by the Trust in respect of the Net Profits Interest. The operators of the Underlying Properties must also comply with laws and regulations prohibiting fraud and market manipulations in energy markets. To the extent the operators of the Underlying Properties are shippers on interstate pipelines, they must comply with the tariffs of such pipelines and with federal policies related to the use of interstate capacity, and such compliance costs will be borne in part by the Trust. Laws and regulations governing exploration and production may also affect production levels. The operators of the Underlying Properties are required to comply with federal and state laws and regulations governing conservation matters, including: provisions related to the unitization or pooling of the oil and natural gas properties; the establishment of maximum rates of production from wells; the spacing of wells; the plugging and abandonment of wells; and the removal of related production equipment. Additionally, state and federal regulatory authorities may expand or alter applicable pipeline safety laws and regulations, compliance with which may require increase capital costs on the part of the operators and third party downstream natural gas transporters. These and other laws and regulations can limit the amount of oil and natural gas the operators can produce from their wells, limit the number of wells they can drill, or limit the locations at which they can conduct drilling operations, which in turn could negatively impact Trust distributions, estimated and actual future net revenues to the Trust and estimates of reserves attributable to the Trust's interests. New laws or regulations, or changes to existing laws or regulations, may unfavorably impact the operators of the Underlying Properties and result in increased operating costs or have a material adverse effect on their financial condition and results of operations and reduce the amount of cash received by the Trust. For example, Congress is currently considering legislation that, if adopted in its proposed form, would subject companies involved in oil and natural gas exploration and production activities to, among other items, additional regulation of and restrictions on hydraulic fracturing of wells, the elimination of certain U.S. federal tax incentives and deductions available to oil and natural gas exploration and production activities and the prohibition or additional regulation of private energy commodity derivative and hedging activities. These and other potential regulations could increase the operating costs of the Underlying Properties, reduce the operators' liquidity, delay the operators' operations or otherwise alter the way the operators conduct their business, any of which could have a material adverse effect on the Trust and the amount of cash available for distribution to Trust unitholders.
Regulation - Risk 2
Federal and state legislative and regulatory initiatives relating to hydraulic fracturing could result in increased costs and additional operating restrictions or delays as well as adversely affect the services of the operators of the Underlying Properties.
Hydraulic fracturing is an important and common practice that is used to stimulate production of hydrocarbons from tight formations. The process involves the injection of water, sand and chemicals under pressure into formations to fracture the surrounding rock and stimulate production. The process is typically regulated by state oil and gas commissions. However, the EPA has asserted federal regulatory authority over hydraulic fracturing. In December 2016 the EPA issued a final report on the potential impacts of hydraulic fracturing on drinking water resources. The report did not find widespread, systematic impacts to drinking water from hydraulic fracturing; at the same time, the report acknowledged information gaps that limited EPA's ability to fully assess the potential impacts to drinking water resources. In 2012 the EPA adopted federal NSPS that require the reduction of volatile organic compound emissions from certain fractured and refractured natural gas wells for which well completion operations are conducted and further require that most wells use reduced emission completions, also known as "green completions." These regulations also establish specific new requirements regarding emissions from production-related wet seal and reciprocating compressors, and from pneumatic controllers and storage vessels. In June 2016, the EPA adopted the Methane Rule, which established requirements to control GHG emissions from oil and gas sources that are constructed, modified, or reconstructed after September 18, 2015. More recently, on November 15, 2021, the EPA published a proposed rule that would establish emissions guidelines for the control of methane from existing oil and gas sources for the first time under the CAA. The EPA intends to adopt the existing source emissions guidelines as a final rule by the end of 2022, which would then trigger a requirement for states to develop rules that will make the federal emissions guidelines enforceable as state rules over a three- to four-year period The ultimate fate of the proposed methane emissions guidelines is unclear. Nevertheless, regulations promulgated under the CAA may require the Sponsor to incur development expenses to install and utilize specific equipment, technologies, or work practices to control emissions from its operations, which could reduce the profits available to the Trust and potentially impair the economic development of the Underlying Properties. Some states have adopted, and other states are considering adopting, regulations that could restrict or impose additional requirements relating to hydraulic fracturing in certain circumstances, including the disclosure of information regarding the substances used in the hydraulic fracturing process. Such federal or state legislation could require the disclosure of chemical constituents used in the fracturing process to state or federal regulatory authorities who could then make such information publicly available. Disclosure of chemicals used in the fracturing process could make it easier for third parties opposing hydraulic fracturing to initiate legal proceedings against producers and service providers based on allegations that specific chemicals used in the fracturing process could adversely affect groundwater. In addition, if hydraulic fracturing is regulated at the federal level, the Sponsor's and the third party operators' fracturing activities could become subject to additional permit requirements or operational restrictions and also to associated permitting delays and potential increases in costs. In December 2014, the Governor of New York announced that the state would maintain its moratorium on hydraulic fracturing in the state. Further, some local governments, including in Texas, have imposed moratoria on drilling permits within city limits so that local ordinances may be reviewed to assess their adequacy to address such activities. Similar measures might be considered or implemented in the jurisdictions in which the Underlying Properties are located. If new laws or regulations that significantly restrict or otherwise impact hydraulic fracturing are passed by Congress or adopted in Texas, Louisiana or New Mexico, such legal requirements could make it more difficult or costly for the Sponsor or the third party operators to perform hydraulic fracturing activities and thereby could affect the determination of whether a well is commercially viable. In addition, restrictions on hydraulic fracturing could reduce the amount of oil and natural gas that the operators are ultimately able to produce in commercially paying quantities from the Underlying Properties, and could increase the cycle times and costs to receive permits, delay or possibly preclude receipt of permits in certain areas, impact water usage and waste water disposal and require air emissions, water usage and chemical additives disclosures.
Regulation - Risk 3
The ability or willingness of OPEC and other oil exporting nations to set and maintain production levels has a significant impact on oil and natural gas commodity prices, which could reduce the amount of cash available for distribution to Trust unitholders.
OPEC is an intergovernmental organization that seeks to manage the price and supply of oil on the global energy market. Actions taken by OPEC members, including those taken alongside other oil exporting nations, have a significant impact on global oil supply and pricing. For example, OPEC and certain other oil exporting nations have previously agreed to take measures, including production cuts, to support crude oil prices OPEC members and other oil exporting nations might not agree to future production cuts or other actions to support and stabilize oil prices, and they may not reduce oil prices or increase production in the future. Uncertainty regarding future actions that OPEC members or other oil exporting countries may take could lead to continued volatility in the price of oil, which could adversely affect the financial condition and economic performance of the operators of the Underlying Properties and may reduce the net proceeds to which the Trust is entitled, which could materially reduce or completely eliminate the amount of cash available for distribution to Trust unitholders.
Taxation & Government Incentives2 | 5.1%
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 1
The Trust has not requested a ruling from the IRS regarding the tax treatment of the Trust. If the IRS were to determine (and be sustained in that determination) that the Trust is not a "grantor trust" for U.S. federal income tax purposes, the Trust could be subject to more complex and costly tax reporting requirements that could reduce the amount of cash available for distribution to Trust unitholders.
If the Trust were not treated as a grantor trust for U.S. federal income tax purposes, the Trust should be treated as a partnership for such purposes. Although the Trust would not become subject to U.S. federal income taxation at the entity level as a result of treatment as a partnership, and items of income, gain, loss and deduction would flow through to the Trust unitholders, the Trust's tax reporting requirements would be more complex and costly to implement and maintain, and its distributions to Trust unitholders could be reduced as a result. If the Trust were treated for U.S. federal income tax purposes as a partnership, it likely would be subject to new audit procedures that for taxable years beginning after December 31, 2017, alter the procedures for auditing large partnerships and also alter the procedures for assessing and collecting income taxes due (including applicable penalties and interest) as a result of an audit. These rules effectively would impose an entity level tax on the Trust, and unitholders may have to bear the expense of the adjustment even if they were not Trust unitholders during the audited taxable year. Neither the Sponsor nor the Trustee has requested a ruling from the IRS regarding the tax status of the Trust, and neither the Sponsor nor the Trust can provide any assurance that such a ruling would be granted if requested or that the IRS will not challenge these positions on audit. Trust unitholders should be aware of the possible state tax implications of owning Trust Units.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 2
A portion of any tax gain on the disposition of the Trust Units could be taxed as ordinary income.
If a Trust unitholder sells Trust Units, he or she will recognize a gain or loss equal to the difference between the amount realized and his or her tax basis in those Trust Units. A substantial portion of any gain recognized may be taxed as ordinary income due to potential recapture items, including depletion recapture.
Environmental / Social2 | 5.1%
Environmental / Social - Risk 1
Climate change laws and regulations restricting emissions of "greenhouse gases" could result in increased operating costs and reduced demand for the oil and natural gas that the operators produce while the physical effects of climate change could disrupt their production and cause them to incur significant costs in preparing for or responding to those effects.
In response to findings that emissions of carbon dioxide, methane and other greenhouse gases ("GHGs") may present an endangerment to public health and the environment, the EPA has issued regulations to restrict emissions of greenhouse gases under existing provisions of the CAA. These regulations include limits on tailpipe emissions from motor vehicles, preconstruction and operating permit requirements for certain large stationary sources, and methane emissions standards for certain new, modified and reconstructed oil and gas sources – as well as the EPA's recently adopted methane emissions guidelines for existing oil and gas sources. The EPA also has adopted rules requiring the reporting of GHG emissions from specified large greenhouse gas emission sources in the United States, as well as certain onshore oil and natural gas production facilities, on an annual basis. In addition to this direct regulation of oil and gas sources, the EPA has recently proposed rules to implement the mandatory Waste Emissions Charge set forth in the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 ("IRA"), which will charge a fee based on the methane emissions from applicable facilities in the oil and gas sector starting in 2024. The EPA has established pollution control standards for oil and gas sources under the CAA. In 2012 and 2016, the EPA adopted federal New Source Performance Standards ("NSPS") that require the reduction of volatile organic compound and sulfur dioxide emissions from certain fractured and refractured natural gas wells for which well completion operations are conducted and further require that most wells use reduced emission completions, also known as "green completions." These regulations also establish specific requirements limiting emissions from production-related wet seal and reciprocating compressors, pumps, and from pneumatic controllers and storage vessels, and for equipment leaks. These NSPS apply to sources that are newly constructed or modified after the rules' applicability dates. More recently, in December 2023 the EPA adopted a final rule that will directly regulate volatile organic compound and methane emissions from new oil and gas sources and will require further emissions reductions through its regulation of flaring, compressors, pumps, storage vessels, process controllers, well completions and liquids unloading, and equipment leaks. At the same time, the EPA adopted emissions guidelines that will apply to existing oil and gas sources and that require reductions in volatile organic compound and methane emissions that are largely equivalent to the requirements for new sources. The existing source emissions guidelines are to be implemented through state plans, with expected compliance dates for existing sources arriving in 2029. The IRA included new Clean Air Act section 136(c) directing EPA to collect the Waste Emissions Charge from facilities in the oil and gas sector that report more than 25,000 tons of carbon dioxide equivalent emissions in a calendar year. The charge will first apply to methane emissions from calendar year 2024. The charge is determined by comparing actual reported methane emissions to statutorily established "methane intensity figures" that are based on gas production or throughput, with a charge assessed for every ton of methane emissions that exceeds the facility's allowable emissions based on the applicable methane intensity figure. The charge will be $900 per ton for 2024 emissions and will increase to $1,200 and then $1,500 per ton in subsequent years. The program includes key exemptions, most notably a regulatory compliance exemption that applies to and exempts the emissions from facilities that are subject to and in complete compliance with the EPA's new or existing source methane requirements. The EPA proposed new rules to implement the Waste Emissions Charge program in January 2024. Additionally, more than one-third of the states have begun taking actions to control and/or reduce emissions of GHGs, primarily through the planned development of GHG emission inventories and/or regional GHG cap and trade programs. Although most of the state-level initiatives have to date focused on large sources of GHG emissions, such as coal-fired electric plants, it is possible that smaller sources of emissions could become subject to GHG emission limitations or allowance purchase requirements in the future. In addition, from time to time Congress has considered adopting legislation to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases. Any one of these climate change regulatory and legislative initiatives could have a material adverse effect on the Sponsor's business, capital expenditures, financial condition and results of operations. The adoption and implementation of regulations imposing reporting obligations on, or limiting emissions of GHGs from, the Sponsor's equipment and operations could require the Sponsor to incur costs to reduce emissions of GHGs associated with its operations or could adversely affect demand for the natural gas it produces. Legislation or regulations that may be adopted to address climate change could also affect the markets for the Sponsor's products by making its products less desirable than competing sources of energy. To the extent that its products are competing with lower GHG-emitting energy, the Sponsor's products may become less desirable in the market with more stringent limitations on greenhouse gas emissions. The Sponsor cannot predict with any certainty at this time how these possibilities may affect its operations. In addition, new and emerging regulatory initiatives in the U.S. related to climate change could adversely affect the Trust. On March 6, 2024, the SEC issued a final rule regarding the enhancement and standardization of mandatory climate-related disclosures for investors. The final rule mandates extensive disclosure of climate-related data, risks, and opportunities, including financial impacts, physical and transition risks, related governance and strategy and greenhouse gas emissions, for certain public companies. Compliance with the final rule may result in increased legal, accounting and financial compliance costs, make some activities more difficult, time-consuming and costly, and place strain on the personnel, systems and resources of the Sponsor or the Trust or both. Finally, some scientists have theorized that increasing concentrations of GHGs in the Earth's atmosphere may produce climate changes that have significant physical effects, such as increased frequency and severity of storms, droughts, and floods and other climatic events. If any such significant physical effects were to occur, they could have an adverse effect on the Sponsor's assets and operations and cause the Sponsor to incur costs in preparing for and responding to them. Additionally, energy needs could increase or decrease as a result of extreme weather conditions, depending on the duration and magnitude of those conditions.
Environmental / Social - Risk 2
The operations of the Underlying Properties are subject to environmental laws and regulations that could adversely affect the cost, manner or feasibility of conducting operations on them or result in significant costs and liabilities, which could reduce the amount of cash available for distribution to Trust unitholders.
The oil and natural gas exploration and production operations on the Underlying Properties are subject to stringent and comprehensive federal, state and local laws and regulations governing the discharge of materials into the environment or otherwise relating to environmental protection. These laws and regulations may impose numerous obligations that apply to the operations on the Underlying Properties, including the requirement to obtain a permit before conducting drilling, waste disposal or other regulated activities; the restriction of types, quantities and concentrations of materials that can be released into the environment; restrictions on water withdrawal and use; the incurrence of significant development expenses to install pollution or safety-related controls at the operated facilities; the limitation or prohibition of drilling activities on certain lands lying within wilderness, wetlands and other protected areas; and the imposition of substantial liabilities for pollution resulting from operations. For example, the EPA has published regulations that impose more stringent emissions control requirements for oil and gas development and production operations, which may require the Sponsor, its operators, or third-party contractors to incur additional expenses to control air emissions from current operations and during new well developments by installing emissions control technologies and adhering to a variety of work practice and other requirements. In addition, in 2012 and 2016, the EPA adopted federal New Source Performance Standards ("NSPS") that require the reduction of volatile organic compound and sulfur dioxide emissions from certain fractured and refractured natural gas wells for which well completion operations are conducted and further require that most wells use reduced emission completions, also known as "green completions." These regulations also establish specific requirements limiting emissions from production-related wet seal and reciprocating compressors, pumps, and from pneumatic controllers and storage vessels, and for equipment leaks. These NSPS apply to sources that are newly constructed or modified after the rules' applicability dates. More recently, in December 2023 the EPA adopted a final rule that will directly regulate volatile organic compound and methane emissions from new oil and gas sources and will require further reductions in emissions through its regulation of flaring, compressors, pumps, storage vessels, process controllers, well completions and liquids unloading, and equipment leaks. At the same time, the EPA adopted emissions guidelines that will apply to existing oil and gas sources and that require reductions in volatile organic compound and methane emissions that are largely equivalent to the requirements for new sources. The existing source emissions guidelines are to be implemented through state plans, with expected compliance dates for existing sources arriving in 2029. Numerous governmental authorities, such as the EPA and analogous state agencies, have the power to enforce compliance with these laws and regulations and the permits issued under them, often requiring difficult and costly actions. Failure to comply with these laws and regulations may result in the assessment of administrative, civil or criminal penalties; the imposition of investigatory or remedial obligations; and the issuance of injunctions limiting or preventing some or all of the operations on the Underlying Properties. Furthermore, the inability to comply with environmental laws and regulations in a cost-effective manner, such as removal and disposal of produced water and other generated oil and gas wastes, could impair the operators' ability to produce oil and natural gas commercially from the Underlying Properties, which would reduce profits attributable to the Net Profits Interest. There is inherent risk of incurring significant environmental costs and liabilities in the operations on the Underlying Properties as a result of the handling of petroleum hydrocarbons and wastes, air emissions and wastewater discharges related to operations, and historical industry operations and waste disposal practices. Under certain environmental laws and regulations, the operators could be subject to joint and several strict liability for the removal or remediation of previously released materials or property contamination regardless of whether such operators were responsible for the release or contamination or whether the operations were in compliance with all applicable laws at the time those actions were taken. Private parties, including the owners of properties upon which wells are drilled and facilities where petroleum hydrocarbons or wastes are taken for reclamation or disposal, may also have the right to pursue legal actions to enforce compliance as well as to seek damages for non-compliance with environmental laws and regulations or for personal injury or property damage. In addition, the risk of accidental spills or releases could expose the operators of the Underlying Properties to significant liabilities that could have a material adverse effect on the operators' businesses, financial condition and results of operations and could reduce the amount of cash available for distribution to Trust unitholders. Changes in environmental laws and regulations occur frequently, and any changes that result in more stringent or costly operational control requirements or waste handling, storage, transport, disposal or cleanup requirements could require the operators of the Underlying Properties to make significant expenditures to attain and maintain compliance and may otherwise have a material adverse effect on their results of operations, competitive position or financial condition. The Trust will indirectly bear 80% of all costs and expenses paid by the Sponsor, including those related to environmental compliance and liabilities associated with the Underlying Properties, including costs and liabilities resulting from conditions that existed prior to the Sponsor's acquisition of the Underlying Properties unless such costs and expenses result from the operator's negligence or misconduct. In addition, as a result of the increased cost of compliance, the operators of the Underlying Properties may decide to discontinue drilling. Neither the Sponsor nor the Trust is generally entitled to, nor required to provide, indemnity to third party operators with respect to pollution liability and associated environmental remediation costs. However, the Sponsor may be required to provide, and may be entitled to, indemnity from third party operators with respect to such liabilities and costs in the event of the other party's gross negligence or misconduct. In addition, the Sponsor has agreed to assume certain environmental liabilities of prior owners of the Underlying Properties in connection with the purchase thereof.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 2/39 (5%)Above Sector Average
Cyber Security2 | 5.1%
Cyber Security - Risk 1
Cyber-attacks or other failures in telecommunications or information technology systems could result in information theft, data corruption and significant disruption of the Sponsor's business operations.
In recent years, the Sponsor has increasingly relied on information technology ("IT") systems and networks in connection with its business activities, including certain of its exploration, development and production activities. The Sponsor relies on digital technology, including information systems and related infrastructure, as well as cloud applications and services, to, among other things, estimate quantities of oil and natural gas reserves, analyze seismic and drilling information, process and record financial and operating data and communicate with employees and third parties. As dependence on digital technologies has increased, cyber incidents, including deliberate attacks and attempts to gain unauthorized access to computer systems and networks, have increased in frequency and sophistication. These threats pose a risk to the security of the Sponsor's systems and networks, the confidentiality, availability and integrity of its data and the physical security of its employees and assets. Any cyber-attack could have a material adverse effect on the Sponsor's reputation, competitive position, business, financial condition and results of operations, and could have a material adverse effect on the Trust. Cyber-attacks or security breaches also could result in litigation or regulatory action, as well as significant additional expense to the Sponsor to implement further data protection measures. In addition to the risks presented to the Sponsor's systems and networks, cyber-attacks affecting oil and natural gas distribution systems maintained by third parties, or the networks and infrastructure on which they rely, could delay or prevent delivery to markets. A cyber-attack of this nature would be outside the Sponsor's ability to control, but could have a material adverse effect on the Sponsor's business, financial condition and results of operations, and could have a material adverse effect on the Trust.
Cyber Security - Risk 2
Cyber-attacks or other failures in telecommunications or IT systems could result in information theft, data corruption and significant disruption of the Trustee's operations.
The Trustee depends heavily upon IT systems and networks in connection with its business activities. Despite a variety of security measures implemented by the Trustee, events such as the loss or theft of back-up tapes or other data storage media could occur, and the Trustee's computer systems could be subject to physical and electronic break-ins, cyber-attacks and similar disruptions from unauthorized tampering, including threats that may come from external factors, such as governments, organized crime, hackers and third parties to whom certain functions are outsourced, or may originate internally from within the respective companies. If a cyber-attack were to occur, it could potentially jeopardize the confidential, proprietary and other information processed and stored in, and transmitted through, the Trustee's computer systems and networks, or otherwise cause interruptions or malfunctions in the operations of the Trust, which could result in litigation, increased costs and regulatory penalties. It is possible that a cyber incident will not be discovered for some time after it occurs, which could increase exposure to these consequences.
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 1/39 (3%)Above Sector Average
Sales & Marketing1 | 2.6%
Sales & Marketing - Risk 1
The Sponsor may sell Trust Units in the public or private markets, and such sales could have an adverse impact on the trading price of the Trust Units.
As of March 22, 2024, the Sponsor holds an aggregate of 7,363,961 Trust Units. The Sponsor may sell Trust Units in the public or private markets, and any such sales could have an adverse impact on the price of the Trust Units. On June 22, 2022, pursuant to the Registration Rights Agreement between the Trust and the Sponsor, the Trust filed a registration statement on Form S-3 registering the offering by the Sponsor of 8,600,000 Trust Units. The registration statement was declared effective on July 7, 2022. Since then, the Sponsor has sold approximately 1.2 million Trust Units under the Registration Statement pursuant to a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan adopted in accordance with Rule 10b5-1 of the Exchange Act.
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 1/39 (3%)Above Sector Average
Economy & Political Environment1 | 2.6%
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 1
Changed
Adverse developments in Texas, Louisiana or New Mexico could adversely impact the results of operations and cash flows of the Underlying Properties and reduce the amount of cash available for distribution to Trust unitholders.
The operations of the Underlying Properties are focused on the production and development of oil and natural gas within the states of Texas, Louisiana and New Mexico. As a result, the results of operations and cash flows of the Underlying Properties depend upon continuing operations in these areas. This concentration could disproportionately expose the Trust's interests to operational and regulatory risk in these areas. Due to the lack of geographic diversification, adverse developments in exploration and production of oil and natural gas in any of these areas of operation could have a significantly greater impact on the results of operations and cash flows of the Underlying Properties than if the operations were more diversified.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.

FAQ

What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
    The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
      They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
        It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
          How do companies disclose their risk factors?
          Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
            Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
              Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
                According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
                  How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
                  Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
                    You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
                      Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
                        A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
                          What are all the risk factor categories?
                          TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
                          1. Financial & Corporate
                          • Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
                          • Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
                          • Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
                          • Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
                          2. Legal & Regulatory
                          • Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
                          • Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
                          • Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
                          • Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
                          3. Production
                          • Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
                          • Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
                          • Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
                          • Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
                          4. Technology & Innovation
                          • Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
                          • Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
                          • Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
                          • Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
                          5. Ability to Sell
                          • Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
                          • Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
                          • Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
                          • Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
                          6. Macro & Political
                          • Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
                          • Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
                          • International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
                          • Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.
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