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Phillips Edison & Company (PECO)
NASDAQ:PECO

Phillips Edison & Company (PECO) AI Stock Analysis

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Phillips Edison & Company

(NASDAQ:PECO)

72Outperform
Phillips Edison & Company demonstrates strong operational efficiency and financial stability, with consistent revenue growth and healthy cash flow generation. The company's strategic guidance and focus on acquisitions bolster its growth prospects. However, valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio and recent net income challenges slightly temper the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Phillips Edison & Company reported Core FFO of $0.62, which exceeded market expectations.
Guidance
The company raised its Core FFO guidance, showing expected growth and strong performance.
Negative Factors
Earnings Guidance
'25 earnings guidance was reiterated below the Street expectations.
Occupancy and Retention
There was a sequential dip in billed occupancy and lower tenant retention.

Phillips Edison & Company (PECO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Phillips Edison & Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPhillips Edison & Company, Inc. (PECO), an internally-managed REIT, is one of the nation's largest owners and operators of grocery-anchored shopping centers. PECO's diversified portfolio of well-occupied neighborhood shopping centers features a mix of national and regional retailers selling necessity-based goods and services in fundamentally strong markets throughout the United States. Through its vertically-integrated operating platform, the Company manages a portfolio of 309 properties, including 283 wholly-owned properties comprising approximately 31.7 million square feet across 31 states (as of September 30, 2020). PECO has generated strong operating results over its 29+ year history and has partnered with leading institutional commercial real estate investors, including TPG Real Estate and The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company. The Company remains exclusively focused on creating great grocery-anchored shopping experiences and improving the communities it serves one center at a time.
How the Company Makes MoneyPhillips Edison & Company primarily generates revenue through leasing space in its portfolio of grocery-anchored shopping centers. The company earns rental income from its tenants, which include grocery stores, discount retailers, and various service providers. Additionally, PECO benefits from long-term leases with built-in rent escalations, providing a stable and predictable revenue stream. The company may also engage in property acquisitions and dispositions to optimize its portfolio and increase returns. Furthermore, PECO's focus on essential retail tenants helps ensure consistent demand, contributing to its financial stability and growth.

Phillips Edison & Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Phillips Edison & Company shows a steady growth trajectory with consistent revenue increases and strong operational efficiency. The absence of debt enhances financial security, though recent net income challenges highlight potential areas for improvement.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Phillips Edison & Company shows a steady growth trajectory with a consistent increase in total revenue over recent years. The gross profit margin and EBITDA margin remain strong, reflecting efficient operations. However, the net profit margin has fluctuated, with a notable negative net income in the latest year, which suggests potential challenges in managing costs or external factors affecting profitability.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company exhibits a solid balance sheet with zero total debt reported in the latest year, significantly reducing financial risk. The equity ratio is stable, indicating a strong equity base relative to total assets. Return on equity has been positive in previous years, although the recent negative net income could impact ROE. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability and prudent management.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
The cash flow statements reveal robust operating cash flow, consistently covering capital expenditures, leading to positive free cash flow. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, indicating effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, highlighting efficient conversion of earnings into cash, despite recent net income challenges.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
661.39M610.12M575.37M532.85M498.02M
Gross Profit
471.07M435.00M412.15M374.55M343.51M
EBIT
172.45M154.20M118.53M69.94M86.69M
EBITDA
418.41M390.64M354.75M315.04M315.44M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-7.01M56.85M48.32M15.12M4.77M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.88M4.87M5.48M92.58M104.30M
Total Assets
6.55B4.87B4.74B4.67B4.68B
Total Debt
2.23B2.08B1.90B2.00B2.39B
Net Debt
-4.88M2.07B1.89B1.91B2.29B
Total Liabilities
2.41B2.21B2.14B2.19B2.66B
Stockholders Equity
2.32B2.31B2.24B2.15B1.69B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
239.63M195.71M186.40M187.87M146.61M
Operating Cash Flow
334.71M290.97M290.89M262.90M210.58M
Investing Cash Flow
-392.94M-353.39M-331.25M-180.49M-44.09M
Financing Cash Flow
58.01M53.95M-57.83M-98.82M-129.66M

Phillips Edison & Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price34.98
Price Trends
50DMA
36.01
Negative
100DMA
36.87
Negative
200DMA
36.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
58.42
Neutral
STOCH
79.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PECO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 34.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.53, below the 50-day MA of 36.01, and below the 200-day MA of 36.00, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PECO.

Phillips Edison & Company Risk Analysis

Phillips Edison & Company disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Phillips Edison & Company reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Phillips Edison & Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$2.77B25.927.43%5.05%6.96%-0.41%
72
Outperform
$4.84B68.672.71%3.44%8.57%6.55%
BRBRX
70
Outperform
$7.33B21.5111.61%4.61%3.41%10.54%
SKSKT
68
Neutral
$3.46B34.8016.02%3.59%13.29%-4.51%
KRKRG
64
Neutral
$4.57B1,124.320.52%4.95%2.42%-91.46%
61
Neutral
$4.43B16.13-3.23%11.37%6.25%-21.19%
MAMAC
53
Neutral
$3.81B-7.50%4.68%4.88%-66.88%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PECO
Phillips Edison & Company
34.98
1.43
4.26%
MAC
Macerich
14.52
-1.08
-6.92%
SKT
Tanger
30.60
3.57
13.21%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
20.80
0.77
3.84%
BRX
Brixmor Property
23.96
2.68
12.59%
FCPT
Four Corners Property
27.69
5.11
22.63%

Phillips Edison & Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 6, 2025 | % Change Since: -3.90% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Phillips Edison & Company demonstrated strong operational and financial performance in 2024, with notable achievements in leasing spreads and acquisitions. Despite challenges such as retailer bankruptcies and interest expense headwinds, the company's financial health and guidance for 2025 remain robust.
Highlights
Core FFO Per Share Growth
Phillips Edison & Company delivered core FFO per share growth of nearly 4% in 2024, despite significant interest expense headwinds. If the impact of increased interest rates was excluded, core FFO per share growth would have been 6%.
Strong Leasing Performance
Phillips Edison & Company achieved comparable new rent spreads of 30.2% and renewal rent spreads of 20.8% in the fourth quarter. The company maintained high occupancy, ending the quarter at 98% leased.
Successful Acquisitions and Pipeline
Phillips Edison & Company exceeded their original guidance for acquisitions, with nearly $100 million closed in the fourth quarter and a strong pipeline for the first quarter of 2025.
Strong Financial Position
The company has approximately $948 million of liquidity, with no meaningful debt maturities until 2027 and 93% of total debt at fixed rates.
Positive 2025 Guidance
Phillips Edison & Company projects 2025 core FFO growth of 5.1% and same-center NOI growth of 3% to 3.5%.
Lowlights
Bankruptcies and Bad Debt Concerns
The end of 2024 and early 2025 saw several retailers filing for bankruptcy, but Phillips Edison & Company has minimal exposure to these. Additionally, bad debt experience in 2024 was around 75 basis points, with guidance for 60 to 120 basis points in 2025.
Interest Rate Headwinds
Significant interest expense headwinds impacted financial results, affecting core FFO per share growth.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter and full year 2024 earnings call, Phillips Edison & Company provided guidance highlighting its strategic focus on growth through acquisitions and strong operational metrics for 2025. The company anticipates gross acquisitions in the range of $350 to $450 million, with a target unlevered internal rate of return (IRR) of 9%. The guidance for 2025 includes a net income range of $0.54 to $0.59 per share, reflecting a 10.8% increase over 2024. The NAREIT FFO is expected to be between $2.47 and $2.54 per share, up 5.7%, while core FFO is projected at $2.52 to $2.59 per share, indicating a 5.1% rise. Same-center NOI growth is estimated at 3% to 3.5%. The company emphasized its strong leasing pipeline, with occupancy rates at 98% and highlighted its strategic focus on grocery-anchored centers, which contribute to robust cash flow and resilience.

Phillips Edison & Company Corporate Events

Dividends
Phillips Edison & Co. Declares Upcoming Monthly Dividends
Positive
Feb 12, 2025

Phillips Edison & Company announced that its Board of Directors declared monthly dividend distributions of $0.1025 per share for March and April 2025, payable on April 1 and May 1 respectively. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its stockholders and maintaining its financial stability, with operating partnership unit holders receiving distributions at the same rate as common stockholders.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Phillips Edison Reports Strong 2024 Financial Growth
Positive
Feb 6, 2025

On February 6, 2025, Phillips Edison & Company announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, demonstrating significant growth. The company reported a net income of $62.7 million for the year and highlighted a 5.3% growth in Nareit FFO per share and a 3.8% growth in Core FFO per share compared to 2023. The company also announced the acquisition of fourteen shopping centers and four land parcels for a total of $305.7 million in 2024, with plans to continue expansion in 2025. The occupancy rates remained high, and leasing activity was robust, with significant rent spreads for new and renewal leases, positioning the company strongly within its industry.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.