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FNM S.p.A. (IT:FNM)
:FNM
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FNM S.p.A. (FNM) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:FNM

FNM S.p.A.

(FNM)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
€0.56
▲(6.42% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:04/12/26
The score is anchored by mixed financial performance, with revenue contraction, margin pressure, elevated leverage, and weaker cash conversion offsetting strong reported profitability. Very low valuation (P/E 2.78) and a solid dividend yield support the rating, while technicals show an uptrend but overbought momentum signals temper near-term attractiveness.
Positive Factors
High operating profitability
A sustained EBITDA margin near 48.4% indicates the core transport operations generate robust operating profitability versus revenue. For a rail operator this margin provides a structural cushion against fare or contract volatility and supports ongoing reinvestment and debt service over multiple cycles.
Negative Factors
Revenue contraction
A 12% TTM revenue decline after prior expansion indicates persistent demand, ridership, or contract headwinds rather than a transitory blip. For a regulated or concession-based operator, falling top line reduces scale economics, risks pressuring margins and limits the firm's ability to self-fund network maintenance and service improvements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High operating profitability
A sustained EBITDA margin near 48.4% indicates the core transport operations generate robust operating profitability versus revenue. For a rail operator this margin provides a structural cushion against fare or contract volatility and supports ongoing reinvestment and debt service over multiple cycles.
Read all positive factors

FNM S.p.A. (FNM) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

FNM S.p.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
FNM S.p.A. manages and maintains railway network in Italy. The company offers road passenger transport and motorway infrastructure management services; engineering services; design, and works and project management services; and regular transport ...
How the Company Makes Money
FNM generates revenue primarily through (1) operating regional passenger transport services and (2) managing rail infrastructure, alongside additional contributions from mobility-related and ancillary businesses held through subsidiaries. In passe...

FNM S.p.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are mixed: TTM revenue is down (-12.0%) and gross margin compressed (17.1% vs 26.4% in 2024), while net margin improved (9.1% vs 6.7%) and EBITDA margin is strong (48.4%). Balance sheet leverage remains elevated (~2.2x debt-to-equity) despite improvement since 2021, and cash flow quality is weak with operating cash flow down (136m vs 196m) and low FCF-to-net-income (~24%).
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
43
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue631.20M891.85M750.97M661.10M567.93M
Gross Profit32.20M235.12M243.28M198.05M170.23M
EBITDA226.50M239.52M228.94M195.87M150.51M
Net Income73.60M59.33M80.86M68.48M40.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.28B2.35B2.11B2.02B1.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments410.20M504.16M398.55M244.64M365.14M
Total Debt806.78M925.76M846.31M905.44M972.14M
Total Liabilities1.79B1.94B1.74B1.71B1.69B
Stockholders Equity451.56M374.31M355.33M283.93M206.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow40.57M106.89M134.22M56.14M102.16M
Operating Cash Flow136.24M196.00M182.69M145.22M140.42M
Investing Cash Flow-66.97M-81.42M63.96M-157.20M-546.45M
Financing Cash Flow-141.78M-9.53M-88.41M-102.59M504.52M

FNM S.p.A. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.53
Price Trends
50DMA
0.50
Positive
100DMA
0.49
Positive
200DMA
0.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
66.49
Neutral
STOCH
82.75
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:FNM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.50, above the 50-day MA of 0.50, and above the 200-day MA of 0.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.75 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IT:FNM.

FNM S.p.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
€5.15B15.8342.37%2.73%12.34%23.90%
62
Neutral
€220.50M2.7816.88%3.86%5.13%24.12%
56
Neutral
€4.27B17.1314.30%12.19%177.33%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
50
Neutral
€2.53B14.0215.02%2.32%14.59%23.80%
42
Neutral
€572.80M18.968.39%4.42%-11.72%-49.21%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:FNM
FNM S.p.A.
0.51
0.12
32.03%
IT:ADB
Aeroporto Guglielmo Marconi di Bologna S.p.A.
9.20
1.35
17.17%
IT:FCT
Fincantieri S.p.A.
11.92
-0.18
-1.49%
IT:MAIRE
MaireTecnimont SpA
15.70
6.15
64.47%
IT:PIA
Piaggio & C. SPA
1.60
-0.14
-7.76%
IT:WBD
Webuild SpA
2.52
-0.75
-22.88%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 12, 2026