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FNM S.p.A. (IT:FNM)
:FNM
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FNM S.p.A. (FNM) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:FNM

FNM S.p.A.

(FNM)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
€0.49
▲(8.00% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/21/26
The score is primarily held back by weakening cash generation (sharp TTM free-cash-flow decline and low cash conversion versus net income) and still-elevated leverage, despite solid profitability. Valuation is a key positive (very low P/E and high dividend yield), while technical indicators point to neutral-to-soft momentum rather than a clear uptrend.
Positive Factors
Solid Profitability
Healthy net profitability and double-digit returns on equity indicate that FNM retains meaningful earnings power. This provides an operating buffer for service investment and supports resilience despite revenue softness and margin volatility.
Negative Factors
Sharp Free Cash Flow Decline
The sharp cash-flow deterioration reduces internally generated funding for fleet, infrastructure and other commitments. If sustained, weak conversion of accounting earnings into cash could constrain investment capacity and increase reliance on financing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Solid Profitability
Healthy net profitability and double-digit returns on equity indicate that FNM retains meaningful earnings power. This provides an operating buffer for service investment and supports resilience despite revenue softness and margin volatility.
Read all positive factors

FNM S.p.A. (FNM) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

FNM S.p.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Founded in 1877 and based in Milan, Italy, FNM S.p.A. is fundamentally responsible for managing and maintaining Italy's extensive railway network. The company's diverse portfolio extends significantly beyond its core rail operations, which notably...
How the Company Makes Money
FNM generates revenue mainly by operating public passenger transport services—especially regional rail—under service contracts/concessions with public authorities. Under these arrangements, earnings typically come from a combination of (i) contrac...

FNM S.p.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: profitability remains solid (net margin ~9%) but revenue is slightly down TTM (-1.45%) and margins have been volatile. Balance sheet leverage is still elevated (debt-to-equity ~1.79) despite improvement versus prior years. The main concern is cash flow: TTM free cash flow fell sharply (~-61%) and is well below net income (~0.30x), reducing financial flexibility.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue872.63M884.30M910.38M737.05M661.02M569.08M
Gross Profit564.70M576.53M535.15M429.98M338.24M290.34M
EBITDA256.13M253.74M239.52M228.94M196.01M149.63M
Net Income75.41M73.61M59.33M80.86M68.48M40.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.22B2.28B2.35B2.11B2.02B1.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments376.49M410.20M504.16M398.55M244.64M365.14M
Total Debt810.04M806.78M925.76M846.31M905.44M972.14M
Total Liabilities1.72B1.79B1.94B1.74B1.71B1.69B
Stockholders Equity467.06M451.56M374.31M355.33M283.93M206.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.62M40.57M106.89M134.22M56.14M102.16M
Operating Cash Flow123.67M136.24M196.00M182.69M145.22M140.42M
Investing Cash Flow-19.16M-66.97M-81.42M63.96M-157.20M-546.45M
Financing Cash Flow-209.09M-141.78M-9.53M-88.41M-102.59M504.52M

FNM S.p.A. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.45
Price Trends
50DMA
0.46
Negative
100DMA
0.48
Negative
200DMA
0.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
40.71
Neutral
STOCH
14.79
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:FNM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.46, below the 50-day MA of 0.46, and below the 200-day MA of 0.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.79 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IT:FNM.

FNM S.p.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
€3.96B14.5740.46%4.20%8.66%17.22%
63
Neutral
€197.23M2.5617.20%5.08%5.89%30.28%
61
Neutral
€718.66M21.167.61%4.42%-4.62%-23.89%
56
Neutral
€2.23B9.2814.74%3.80%2.26%-1.76%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
52
Neutral
€4.48B18.9317.64%-0.60%41.35%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:FNM
FNM S.p.A.
0.45
-0.05
-9.58%
IT:ADB
Aeroporto Guglielmo Marconi di Bologna S.p.A.
9.88
1.78
21.92%
IT:FCT
Fincantieri S.p.A.
12.50
-5.45
-30.35%
IT:MAIRE
MaireTecnimont SpA
12.09
0.07
0.56%
IT:PIA
Piaggio & C. SPA
2.05
0.03
1.59%
IT:WBD
Webuild SpA
2.23
-1.66
-42.66%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2026