Gudou Holdings Limited (8308) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: HK$88.88M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 762.53K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.64
• Revenue Growth: -0.31%
• EPS Growth: 34.83%
• Country: HK
• Employees: 228
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
• EPS (TTM): -0.03
• Shares Outstanding: 1,388,800,800
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 522,000
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 762,533
• PEG Ratio: 0.06
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.93
• Price to Sales (P/S): 3.03
• P/FCF Ratio: 14.30
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 42 Neutral
• Price Target: HK$0.07 ▲(18.33% Upside)

The score is driven primarily by very weak financial performance (loss-making operations, high leverage, and zero operating/free cash flow), which outweighs only modestly stabilizing technical signals. Valuation is also constrained by negative earnings (negative P/E) and no provided dividend support.

Positive Factors

Positive equity buffer

Maintaining a positive equity base, even if reduced, provides a tangible solvency buffer that supports ongoing operations and gives management time to implement restructuring or raise capital. This equity cushion preserves optionality versus immediate insolvency risk.

Public listing on HKEX

Being listed on the Hong Kong Exchange provides continued access to capital markets and institutional visibility. Over the medium term this listing supports potential equity or debt raises and provides external governance and disclosure disciplines that can aid recovery plans.

Operational continuity (workforce)

Maintaining a headcount of 228 indicates ongoing operational capability and preserved institutional knowledge. This continuity supports execution of turnaround measures, asset upkeep, and faster reactivation of revenue-generating activities when market conditions improve.

Negative Factors

Zero operating and free cash flow

The absence of operating and free cash flow is a material liquidity concern: the company cannot self-fund operations, capex, or debt servicing. This structural cash shortfall increases reliance on external financing and elevates refinancing and survival risk over the medium term.

Negative margins and sustained losses

Negative gross and net margins reflect deeper operational and pricing issues that are not cyclical alone. Sustained unprofitability erodes equity, limits reinvestment ability, and requires fundamental business changes to restore margin sustainability and return to positive earnings.

High leverage and weakening balance sheet

Significant leverage combined with a declining equity ratio materially reduces financial flexibility. Elevated debt burdens increase default and refinancing risk, constrain strategic investments, and make any recovery contingent on successful deleveraging or external capital injections.

Gudou Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Gudou Holdings Limited (8308) is a diversified investment holding company based in Hong Kong, primarily engaged in various sectors including property development, investment, and hospitality. The company focuses on leveraging opportunities in real estate markets while also exploring ventures in the leisure and tourism industries. Gudou Holdings aims to enhance its portfolio through strategic acquisitions and partnerships, emphasizing sustainable growth and value creation for its stakeholders.

How the Company Makes Money

Gudou Holdings Limited generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from property development and investment activities. The company earns money by developing residential and commercial properties, which are then sold or leased to generate rental income. Additionally, Gudou Holdings invests in real estate projects, receiving returns through appreciation in property values and rental yields. The hospitality sector also contributes to its revenue, as the company operates or invests in hotels and resorts, capitalizing on tourism and travel demand. Strategic partnerships with local developers and investors further bolster its revenue potential, enabling the company to access new markets and enhance its project portfolio.

Gudou Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial statements indicate severe stress: declining revenue, negative gross/EBIT/EBITDA margins and net losses, high leverage with negative ROE, and the most recent period showing zero operating and free cash flow—raising material sustainability and liquidity concerns.

Income Statement

Gudou Holdings Limited has faced significant challenges in recent years, with declining revenue and profitability. The gross and net profit margins have turned negative, indicating operational inefficiencies and bottom-line losses. The company experienced a negative revenue growth rate over the past years, and EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting ongoing operational difficulties.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which poses a financial risk, especially with declining equity. Return on Equity (ROE) is negative due to net losses, and the equity ratio is decreasing, suggesting diminishing asset backing by equity. However, the company still maintains a positive equity position, albeit reduced.

Cash Flow

Cash flow metrics are concerning, with zero operating and free cash flows in the most recent period, indicating liquidity issues. The lack of positive cash flow trends and the inability to generate cash from operations or investments further exacerbate financial pressures on the company.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	51.70M	53.38M	52.68M	41.90M	63.96M	127.25M
Gross Profit	-5.91M	-6.21M	-5.24M	-41.11M	73.00K	57.86M
EBITDA	2.46M	6.54M	-64.75M	-99.61M	-17.74M	63.56M
Net Income	-53.82M	-50.81M	-98.53M	-132.69M	-68.95M	2.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	937.48M	958.53M	921.06M	937.93M	1.07B	1.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	8.33M	1.45M	10.10M	3.36M	8.19M	35.84M
Total Debt	252.97M	245.02M	233.72M	249.96M	290.61M	298.38M
Total Liabilities	780.84M	784.03M	736.28M	684.93M	687.22M	716.86M
Stockholders Equity	156.63M	174.50M	184.79M	253.00M	383.35M	452.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-3.02M	11.32M	8.52M	16.76M	21.49M	29.26M
Operating Cash Flow	2.26M	16.60M	8.68M	17.42M	27.61M	37.97M
Investing Cash Flow	-4.99M	-5.27M	-143.00K	13.30M	3.48M	-7.77M
Financing Cash Flow	10.07M	-13.45M	-8.69M	-26.08M	-53.70M	-66.38M

Gudou Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.06
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:8308, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.07, below the 50-day MA of 0.07, and below the 200-day MA of 0.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.90 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:8308.

Gudou Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
1655	67 Neutral	HK$152.40M	2.06	―	―	―	―
8400	64 Neutral	HK$40.00M	9.09	24.70%	―	28.47%	-4.35%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
8052	45 Neutral	HK$24.67M	30.00	―	―	22.45%	-94.85%
0959	44 Neutral	HK$92.34M	-10.27	―	―	―	63.51%
1371	43 Neutral	HK$28.72M	-0.40	―	―	66.22%	73.39%
8308	42 Neutral	HK$88.88M	-1.30	-34.01%	―	-0.31%	34.83%