tiprankstipranks
Vicon Holdings Limited (HK:3878)
:3878
Hong Kong Market

Vicon Holdings Limited (3878) AI Stock Analysis

1 Followers

Top Page

HK:3878

Vicon Holdings Limited

(3878)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.23
▼(-3.75% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is driven mainly by financial quality: a strong, low-debt balance sheet supports resilience, but thin profitability and volatile/declining recent cash flow reduce confidence. Valuation is a clear positive due to the low P/E, while technical signals are broadly neutral with slightly weak momentum.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
The company’s very low debt-to-equity (~3%) and sizeable equity base provide durable financial flexibility and downside protection. Over 2–6 months this conservatism supports resilience to project timing, allows bidding for contracts without heavy refinancing risk, and preserves liquidity for opportunistic investments.
Negative Factors
Thin and compressed margins
Very slim gross and net margins constrain the company’s ability to absorb cost inflation or bid competitively while maintaining returns. Over several months this margin pressure limits reinvestment, reduces buffer against project cost overruns, and keeps ROE low, weakening long-term capital efficiency.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
The company’s very low debt-to-equity (~3%) and sizeable equity base provide durable financial flexibility and downside protection. Over 2–6 months this conservatism supports resilience to project timing, allows bidding for contracts without heavy refinancing risk, and preserves liquidity for opportunistic investments.
Read all positive factors

Vicon Holdings Limited (3878) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Vicon Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Vicon Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of foundation works and ancillary services in Hong Kong. The company's foundation projects cover various types of construction works, such as piling construction, ELS ...
How the Company Makes Money
Vicon Holdings Limited generates revenue by providing foundation construction services to its clients, comprising property developers, contractors, and the government. The company typically earns money through contracts for large-scale constructio...

Vicon Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~3%) supports stability (Balance Sheet Score 79), but operating performance is modest and softening: 2025 revenue fell (-4.6% YoY) with margin compression (Income Statement Score 54). Cash generation is volatile with a sharp 2025 free cash flow drop (~-73% YoY) and prior negative year (Cash Flow Score 46).
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
79
Positive
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue257.13M303.92M486.64M417.04M156.59M254.63M
Gross Profit17.51M20.62M43.95M43.58M33.16M-38.46M
EBITDA12.81M15.56M17.43M13.12M-5.10M-25.85M
Net Income3.98M4.83M8.27M2.39M-24.56M-51.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets312.16M324.41M308.42M338.93M335.19M405.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments169.85M60.41M39.48M18.63M25.48M14.61M
Total Debt338.00K8.50M8.78M11.02M23.29M93.05M
Total Liabilities35.28M53.09M41.93M80.71M79.36M144.02M
Stockholders Equity276.89M271.32M266.49M258.22M255.83M261.03M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow123.55M8.03M38.50M-17.77M29.14M60.63M
Operating Cash Flow125.95M10.75M39.72M-14.51M34.44M61.67M
Investing Cash Flow-129.50M-14.04M-19.83M22.89M30.29M10.78M
Financing Cash Flow-8.61M-1.92M-2.89M-15.22M-53.87M-80.41M

Vicon Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.24
Price Trends
50DMA
0.24
Negative
100DMA
0.24
Negative
200DMA
0.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
32.30
Neutral
STOCH
12.37
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3878, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.24, above the 50-day MA of 0.24, and above the 200-day MA of 0.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.37 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:3878.

Vicon Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
HK$104.07M4.631.45%-19.27%-47.47%
58
Neutral
HK$142.58M4.543.57%-5.73%547.06%
48
Neutral
HK$92.07M0.9257.15%-32.25%
45
Neutral
HK$152.00M-0.35-98.05%14.57%13.79%
43
Neutral
HK$114.80M-1.14-47.12%-70.99%-2956.76%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:3878
Vicon Holdings Limited
0.22
0.04
20.56%
HK:1343
Wei Yuan Holdings Limited
0.13
0.06
83.56%
HK:1413
Kwong Luen Engineering Holdings Limited
0.35
-0.03
-6.67%
HK:6816
Prosper Construction Holdings Limited
0.19
0.09
88.12%
HK:8217
Luen Wong Group Holdings Ltd.
0.31
0.09
41.86%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026