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Century Casinos (CNTY)
NASDAQ:CNTY

Century Casinos (CNTY) AI Stock Analysis

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CNTY

Century Casinos

(NASDAQ:CNTY)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(7.14% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/18/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial quality (net losses, negative equity, and negative free cash flow) and a bearish technical trend (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). The earnings call provides a partial offset with guidance for higher EBITDAR/cash flow and strong early-2026 momentum, while valuation signals are constrained by the negative P/E and no provided dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improving EBITDAR and Q4 momentum
A sustained rise in adjusted EBITDAR, highlighted by a 13% Q4 uplift, indicates stronger operating leverage and execution across properties. If maintained, higher margin conversion supports durable cash flow expansion and creates room to deleverage or reinvest in property upgrades over the next several quarters.
Caruthersville conversion improving margins
The permanent land-based conversion and stronger high-value customer performance drove a roughly 28% full-year EBITDA lift. This operational transformation is structural—higher-margin, stable revenue from an upgraded asset boosts portfolio profitability and long-term cash generation at a single-asset and consolidated level.
Poland operations returning to stability and expanding
Regulatory clarity and reopening of a second location materially reduce prior political/regulatory overhang. Restored licenses through 2028 plus expansion provide durable revenue diversification in Europe and a clearer path to sustainable cash flow contribution from international operations.
Negative Factors
High leverage and eroded equity base
A large debt load against negative equity weakens financial flexibility and raises refinancing and covenant risk. This structural capital erosion constrains the company's ability to fund investments, absorb shocks, or pursue opportunistic growth without asset sales or meaningful deleveraging.
Weak cash generation and negative FCF
Persistently low operating cash flow and negative free cash flow imply ongoing cash burn after investments. Structurally weak cash conversion limits ability to service debt, fund capex, or reduce leverage internally, increasing dependence on external financing or asset dispositions to meet obligations.
Property-level declines and regional competition
Declines at key assets driven by nearby openings and shifting market share suggest structural regional competition and potential cannibalization. This undermines revenue stability at core properties, may require ongoing promotional spend or capital investment, and constrains normalized margin and cash flow prospects.

Century Casinos (CNTY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Century Casinos Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCentury Casinos, Inc. operates as a casino entertainment company in the United States, Canada, and Poland. The company develops and operates gaming establishments, as well as related lodging, restaurant, horse racing, and entertainment facilities. As of March 8, 2022, it operated two ship-based casinos. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Colorado Springs, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyCentury Casinos makes money primarily by operating casino properties and capturing spend across gaming and non-gaming amenities. 1) Casino gaming revenue (core): The largest source of revenue typically comes from casino wagering activity. This includes: - Slot machines: The company earns the net “hold” (amount wagered minus payouts to players) on electronic gaming devices. - Table games: The company earns the statistical house advantage (e.g., from blackjack, roulette and similar games), recorded as table-game win. These revenues are driven by customer visitation, local/regional demand, the mix of gaming devices and tables, promotional spending, and property-level operating efficiency. 2) Hospitality and other non-gaming revenue: Century Casinos also generates revenue from non-gaming operations that support casino visitation and overall property profitability, including: - Hotel room revenue (where properties include lodging) - Food and beverage (restaurants, bars and related offerings) - Entertainment and other on-property services (to the extent offered at a given property) Non-gaming revenues can be meaningful both as standalone profit centers and as amenities that increase length of stay and gaming spend. 3) Racing and pari-mutuel (where applicable): At properties that include racing operations, the company can earn revenue from pari-mutuel wagering, racing-related admissions, and ancillary spending tied to racing events. If a given property does not include racing, this stream is not applicable. 4) Ownership interests / property portfolio effects: The company’s consolidated revenue reflects the operating results of properties it owns and operates, including the contribution from any majority-owned subsidiaries. Results can also be influenced by portfolio changes (acquisitions, dispositions, openings/closures) and jurisdictional regulatory/tax structures that affect net gaming win and operating margins. Significant factors influencing earnings include local competition, gaming regulations and licensing, state/provincial gaming taxes, macroeconomic conditions affecting discretionary consumer spend, and property-level capital investment (e.g., hotel additions or gaming floor expansions). Specific material partnerships are null.

Century Casinos Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 13, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 08, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a generally positive operational trajectory: the company delivered modest full-year adjusted EBITDAR growth (+3%) despite headwinds, reported a strong quarter with adjusted EBITDAR up 13%, highlighted outsized improvements at key assets (Caruthersville, Mountaineer, several U.S. casinos), and noted improving early-2026 trends and a clearer outlook for Poland. Offsetting items include declines at some properties (Cape Girardeau, Rocky Gap, Nugget full-year), weather disruptions, the loss of sports betting income in Colorado and prior one-time payments that complicate comparisons, rising rent at Caruthersville, and relatively high leverage. Overall, management framed the outlook as constructive with a path to higher cash flow and lower CapEx in 2026, while acknowledging ongoing strategic review activity and portfolio uncertainty.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Full-Year Adjusted EBITDAR Growth
Adjusted EBITDAR increased 3% year over year for full-year 2025; excluding lost sports betting income in Colorado and Poland licensing disruptions, EBITDAR would have grown ~5%.
Strong Q4 Profitability
Net operating revenue was flat in Q4 2025 despite unusually poor winter weather in December, while adjusted EBITDAR rose 13% year over year in the quarter.
Transformation and Outperformance at Caruthersville, Missouri
Century Casino and Hotel Caruthersville delivered Q4 EBITDA of $6.1M vs $4.9M prior year and full-year EBITDA of $24.4M vs $19.0M prior year, a $5.4M increase (~28%), driven by move to a permanent land-based facility and stronger high-value customer performance.
Multiple Properties Showing Double-Digit Q4 EBITDA Growth
Management reported double-digit EBITDA growth in Q4 at several casinos including Colorado properties, Mountaineer (Q4 EBITDA up from $2.6M to $3.0M) and Caruthersville; Nugget Q4 EBITDA rose from €1.1M to €1.3M (~18%).
Positive Trends in Canada (Alberta)
Alberta operations: slot coin-in +4%, net operating revenue +2% (local currency) and EBITDA +1% to €20.3M for 2025; Q4 slot coin-in +4%, net operating revenue +5% and EBITDAR +5% to €4.9M.
Poland Operations Returning to Stability
Poland saw Q4 net operating revenue +4% and EBITDA +245% to €0.9M as administrative relocation delays ended; all licenses valid through at least 2028 and a second Brodnica location started operations in Feb 2026.
Improving Q1 Momentum and Notable Retail Wins
Management reported strong early-2026 momentum including record February metrics at Cape Girardeau, highest monthly hotel occupancy since opening, BetMGM sportsbook at Cape Girardeau with the state's highest retail handle in January, and St. Albert posting its highest coin-in for a 29-day February.
Balance Sheet and Capital Expenditure Outlook
Cash and equivalents of $69M at 12/31/25, total debt $338M, net debt $269M; no debt maturities until 2029; net debt/EBITDA stable at 6.9x (lease-adjusted 7.6x); management expects CapEx to decline from €18M in 2025 to €14–15M in 2026, supporting cash flow improvement.
Negative Updates
Loss of Sports Betting Income and 2024 One-Time Items Skew Comparisons
The results were impacted by the loss of sports betting income in Colorado and prior one-time termination payments in 2024 that skew comparisons (Cripple Creek had a $1.1M termination payment in 2024 and Central City a $1.4M payment), contributing to full-year EBITDA declines at Colorado properties.
Declines at Cape Girardeau
Century Casino Cape Girardeau Q4 EBITDA decreased from $6.8M to $5.9M (~-13.2% Q4) and full-year EBITDA declined from $25.6M to $24.7M (~-3.5% year over year), partly due to market share shifts with nearby Caruthersville and a new competitor in a feeder market.
Rocky Gap and Nugget Full-Year EBITDA Pressures
Rocky Gap full-year EBITDA fell from $14.0M to $13.2M (-5.7%) with Q4 down from $3.2M to $2.9M (-9.4%). Nugget full-year EBITDA declined from €9.7M to €9.1M (-6.2%) despite stronger Q4 results.
Weather-Related Operational Disruption
Unusually severe weather materially affected results at several properties during Q4 and earlier months (notably Mountaineer and Rocky Gap), reducing revenues in impacted periods and complicating seasonal comparisons; management did not quantify total revenue/EBITDA hit.
Rising Rent Expense at Caruthersville
Rent payable to VICI increased from $7.5M in 2024 to $11.6M in 2025, a $4.1M increase that reduces free cash flow from the otherwise high-margin Caruthersville property.
High Leverage and Ongoing Strategic Review Uncertainty
Net debt of $269M with net debt/EBITDA 6.9x (7.6x lease-adjusted) remains elevated; the company is conducting a strategic review that may lead to divestitures (selected assets under exclusivity), creating short-term uncertainty about asset mix and capital allocation.
Company Guidance
Management guided to higher EBITDAR and cash flow in 2026 and beyond, citing strong Q1 momentum with net operating revenue and adjusted EBITDA “up significantly” year‑over‑year and double‑digit EBITDA growth at every U.S. and Canadian property to date, driven by an improving Nugget, the continued ramp of the new land‑based Caruthersville, and consumer tax‑cut tailwinds; they reiterated prior results of full‑year adjusted EBITDAR +3% (or +5% ex‑Colorado sports betting and Poland) and Q4 adjusted EBITDAR +13%. On the balance sheet, cash and cash equivalents were $69.0m (12/31), total debt $338m, net debt $269m, net‑debt/EBITDA 6.9x (lease‑adjusted 7.6x) with no debt maturities until 2029. CapEx guidance: quarterly CapEx ~ $4.5m, company cash CapEx of €18m in 2025 expected to decline to €14–15m in 2026, and management emphasized a focus on debt paydown (vs. buybacks) pending proceeds or decisions from the ongoing strategic review.

Century Casinos Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite modest TTM revenue growth and improved operating performance versus 2024, the company remains constrained by a net loss, negative equity, and weak cash generation (low operating cash flow and negative free cash flow), which heighten liquidity and leverage risk.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Revenue is slightly higher in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (+3.8%), but profitability remains pressured with a net loss and a negative net margin (~-10.7%). Operating performance improved versus 2024 (stronger EBIT/EBITDA margins), yet results have been volatile over the cycle (profits in 2021–2022, losses in 2020 and 2023–TTM), which lowers confidence in earnings durability.
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Leverage is high and financial flexibility looks constrained: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) total debt is ~$760M against negative equity (about -$98M), indicating an eroded capital base. While total debt is down versus 2024, negative equity and elevated leverage remain the key risk, leaving the balance sheet sensitive to downturns and refinancing conditions.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Cash generation weakened materially: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is low (~$6.7M) and free cash flow is negative (~-$15.9M), implying ongoing cash burn after investment needs. Cash flow has swung significantly by year (positive free cash flow in 2021–2022, negative in 2023–TTM), which raises liquidity and funding risk when paired with high leverage.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue572.98M575.92M550.21M430.53M388.51M
Gross Profit51.28M245.54M242.81M197.89M187.47M
EBITDA53.56M65.84M115.36M102.95M101.78M
Net Income-61.42M-128.17M-28.20M7.98M20.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.15B1.23B1.36B884.97M703.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments68.92M98.77M171.33M101.78M107.82M
Total Debt760.38M1.06B1.02B665.00M494.61M
Total Liabilities1.15B1.14B1.15B730.77M553.00M
Stockholders Equity-97.70M-9.30M121.39M144.03M141.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-15.26M-64.29M-36.10M17.81M49.18M
Operating Cash Flow6.69M-3.30M24.05M37.40M59.19M
Investing Cash Flow-22.26M-60.89M-207.00M-103.14M-9.99M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-4.38M149.86M161.16M-4.71M

Century Casinos Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.40
Price Trends
50DMA
1.54
Negative
100DMA
1.55
Negative
200DMA
1.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
41.25
Neutral
STOCH
36.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNTY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.51, below the 50-day MA of 1.54, and below the 200-day MA of 1.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CNTY.

Century Casinos Risk Analysis

Century Casinos disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Century Casinos reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Century Casinos Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$78.72M-147.52-0.63%1.85%-4.85%-129.08%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
56
Neutral
$89.37M-2.34-25.10%7.45%5.03%
53
Neutral
$177.24M-16.00184.28%4.03%
52
Neutral
$141.70M-5.88-24.91%24.21%-92.49%
48
Neutral
$42.80M25.1912.75%3.80%59.04%
47
Neutral
$40.08M-0.65155.17%-1.57%-80.41%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNTY
Century Casinos
1.40
-0.44
-23.91%
CPHC
Canterbury Park Holding
15.36
-3.42
-18.19%
FLL
Full House Resorts
2.47
-1.69
-40.63%
INSE
Inspired Entertainment
6.55
-2.55
-28.02%
GAMB
Gambling.com
3.98
-9.35
-70.14%
ROLR
High Roller Technologies, Inc.
3.93
0.95
31.88%

Century Casinos Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Century Casinos posts improved 2025 results despite net loss
Positive
Mar 13, 2026

Century Casinos reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on March 13, 2026, showing flat quarterly net operating revenue of $138 million but a 117% jump in earnings from operations to $10.4 million. The company still recorded a quarterly net loss of $17.9 million, though losses narrowed sharply, while adjusted EBITDAR rose 13% to $23.9 million, indicating improved profitability.

For full-year 2025, net operating revenue slipped 1% to $573 million, but earnings from operations swung sharply higher to $51.3 million, and the net loss attributable to shareholders improved to $61.4 million with a modest 3% gain in adjusted EBITDAR to $105.4 million. Management highlighted early 2026 momentum, progress with strategic alternatives including a potential sale of its Polish operations, the December 2025 launch of BetMGM-powered sports betting in Missouri, and the February 2026 opening of a second casino in Wroclaw as key steps to unlock further portfolio value.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNTY) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Century Casinos stock, see the CNTY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Century Casinos Adopts 10b5-1 Plan for Share Repurchase
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

On January 1, 2026, Century Casinos, Inc. adopted a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan to repurchase up to $1.5 million of its outstanding common stock under a previously authorized share repurchase program. The plan, which will run through May 10, 2026 and be executed by an independent broker subject to preset price, market, volume and timing constraints, signals the company’s capital allocation focus on returning value to shareholders and may support its share price by reducing the public float over the plan period.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNTY) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Century Casinos stock, see the CNTY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 18, 2026