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Berry Petroleum Corp (BRY)
NASDAQ:BRY
US Market

Berry Petroleum (BRY) Risk Analysis

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Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.

Berry Petroleum disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Berry Petroleum reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.

Risk Overview Q4, 2024

Risk Distribution
43Risks
35% Finance & Corporate
23% Production
21% Legal & Regulatory
14% Macro & Political
5% Ability to Sell
2% Tech & Innovation
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.

Risk Change Over Time

S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Berry Petroleum Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.

The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.

Risk Highlights Q4, 2024

Main Risk Category
Finance & Corporate
With 15 Risks
Finance & Corporate
With 15 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
43
-3
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
43
-3
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
2Risks added
3Risks removed
3Risks changed
Since Dec 2024
2Risks added
3Risks removed
3Risks changed
Since Dec 2024
Number of Risk Changed
3
+2
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
3
+2
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
See the risk highlights of Berry Petroleum in the last period.

Risk Word Cloud

The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.

Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 43

Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 15/43 (35%)Above Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights5 | 11.6%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
Our Certificate of Incorporation designates the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware as the sole and exclusive forum for certain types of actions and proceedings that may be initiated by our stockholders, which could limit our stockholders' ability to obtain a favorable judicial forum for disputes with us or our directors, officers, employees or agents.
Our Certificate of Incorporation provides that, unless we consent in writing to the selection of an alternative forum, the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware will, to the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, be the sole and exclusive forum for (i) any derivative action or proceeding brought on our behalf, (ii) any action asserting a claim of breach of a fiduciary duty owed by any of our directors, officers or other employees to us or our stockholders, (iii) any action asserting a claim against us, our directors, officers or employees arising pursuant to any provision of the Delaware General Corporation Law, our Certificate of Incorporation or our Bylaws or (iv) any action asserting a claim against us, our directors, officers or employees that is governed by the internal affairs doctrine, in each such case subject to such Court of Chancery having subject matter jurisdiction and personal jurisdiction over the indispensable parties named as defendants therein. This choice of forum provision may limit a stockholder's ability to bring a claim in a judicial forum that it finds favorable for disputes with us or our directors, officers or other employees, which may discourage such lawsuits against us and such persons. Alternatively, if a court were to find these provisions of our Certificate of Incorporation inapplicable to, or unenforceable in respect of, one or more of the specified types of actions or proceedings, we may incur additional costs associated with resolving such matters in other jurisdictions.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
Certain provisions of our Certificate of Incorporation and Bylaws may make it difficult for stockholders to change the composition of our Board of Directors and may discourage, delay or prevent a merger or acquisition that some stockholders may consider beneficial.
Certain provisions of our Certificate of Incorporation and Bylaws may have the effect of delaying or preventing changes in control if our Board of Directors determines that such changes in control are not in the best interests of us and our stockholders. For more information see Exhibit 4.4 to this Annual Report. For example, our Certificate of Incorporation and Bylaws include provisions that (i) authorize our Board to issue "blank check" preferred stock and to determine the price and other terms, including preferences and voting rights, of those shares without stockholder approval and (ii) establish advance notice procedures for nominating directors or presenting matters at stockholder meetings. These provisions could enable the Board of Directors to delay or prevent a transaction that some, or a majority, of the stockholders may believe to be in their best interests and, in that case, may discourage or prevent attempts to remove and replace incumbent directors. These provisions may also discourage or prevent any attempts by our stockholders to replace or remove our current management by making it more difficult for stockholders to replace members of our Board of Directors, which is responsible for appointing the members of our management.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
We may issue preferred stock, the terms of which could adversely affect the voting power or value of our common stock.
Our Certificate of Incorporation authorizes us to issue, without the approval of our stockholders, one or more classes or series of preferred stock having such designations, preferences, limitations and relative rights, including preferences over our common stock respecting dividends and distributions, as our Board of Directors may determine. The terms of one or more classes or series of preferred stock could adversely impact the voting power or value of our common stock. For example, we might grant holders of preferred stock the right to elect some number of our directors in all events or on the happening of specified events or the right to veto specified transactions. Similarly, the repurchase or redemption rights or liquidation preferences we might assign to holders of preferred stock could affect the residual value of our common stock.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4
Future sales of our common stock in the public market could reduce our stock price, and any additional capital raised by us through the sale of equity or convertible securities may dilute your ownership in us.
A large portion of our common stock is beneficially owned by a relatively small number of stockholders. We cannot predict when or whether they will sell their shares of common stock. Future sales, or concerns about them, may put downward pressure on the market price of our common stock. We may sell or otherwise issue additional shares of common stock or securities convertible into shares of our common stock. Our Certificate of Incorporation provides for authorized capital stock consisting of 750,000,000 shares of common stock and 250,000,000 shares of preferred stock. For more information, see Exhibit 4.4 to this Annual Report. The issuance of any securities for acquisitions, financing, upon conversion or exercise of convertible securities, or otherwise may result in a reduction of the book value and market price of our outstanding common stock. If we issue any such additional securities, the issuance will cause a reduction in the proportionate ownership and voting power of all current stockholders. We cannot predict the size of any future issuances of our common stock or securities convertible into common stock or the effect, if any, that future issuances and sales of shares of our common stock will have on the market price of our common stock. Sales of substantial amounts of our common stock (including shares issued in connection with an acquisition), or the perception that such sales could occur, may adversely affect prevailing market prices of our common stock. On March 1, 2022, the Board of Directors approved the Berry Corporation (bry) 2022 Omnibus Incentive Plan (the "2022 Omnibus Plan"), which was subsequently approved by stockholders on May 25, 2022. Shares of our common stock are reserved for issuance as equity-based awards to employees, directors and certain other persons under the 2022 Omnibus Plan. We have filed a registration statement with the SEC on Form S-8 providing for the registration of shares of our common stock issued or reserved for issuance under the 2022 Omnibus Plan. Subject to the satisfaction of vesting conditions, the expiration of certain lock-up agreements and the requirements of Rule 144, shares registered under the registration statement on Form S-8 may be made available for resale immediately in the public market without restriction. Investors may experience dilution in the value of their investment upon the exercise of any equity awards that may be granted or issued pursuant to the 2022 Omnibus Plan in the future. The 2022 Omnibus Plan authorized the issuance of 2,950,000 shares of common stock, which amount consists of 2,300,000 shares of common stock newly reserved under the 2022 Omnibus Plan and 650,000 shares of common stock remaining available under the Second Amended and Restated Berry Petroleum Corporation 2017 Omnibus Incentive Plan (the "2017 Omnibus Plan"). The maximum number of shares remaining that may be issued pursuant to the 2022 Omnibus Plan is 2,076,590 as of December 31, 2024. On March 13, 2025, we established the ATM Program pursuant to which we may offer and sell common stock having an aggregate offering price of up to $50 million from time to time to or through the Sales Agents (as defined herein). The sale of shares through the ATM Program could put downward pressure on the market price of our common stock.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5
There may be circumstances in which the interests of our significant stockholders could be in conflict with the interests of our other stockholders.
A large portion of our common stock is beneficially owned by a relatively small number of stockholders. Circumstances may arise in which these stockholders may have an interest in pursuing or preventing acquisitions, divestitures, hostile takeovers or other transactions, including the payment of dividends or the issuance of additional equity or debt, that, in their judgment, could enhance their investment in us or in another company in which they invest. Such transactions might adversely affect us or other holders of our common stock. In addition, our significant concentration of share ownership may adversely affect the trading price of our common stock because investors may perceive disadvantages in owning shares in companies with significant stockholder concentrations.
Accounting & Financial Operations3 | 7.0%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
The payment of dividends will be at the discretion of our Board of Directors.
We review the allocations of our Free Cash Flow from time to time based on then existing conditions and circumstances, including our earnings, financial condition, restrictions in financing agreements, business conditions and other factors. In January 2022, we introduced a structured shareholder return model to guide our allocation of Free Cash Flow, which most recently provided as follows: (a) 80% primarily in the form of debt repurchases, stock repurchases, strategic growth, and acquisitions of producing bolt-on assets; and (b) 20% in the form of variable dividends. However, in October 2024, in anticipation of entering into the 2024 Term Loan, we transitioned away from our previously established shareholder return model to a capital allocation approach that prioritizes debt reduction in alignment with the covenants contained in the 2024 Term Loan and facilitates our operating strategy while enabling investment in development opportunities. Accordingly, we suspended the quarterly variable dividend and reduced the quarterly fixed dividend to $0.03 per share. In 2024, we paid total dividends of $0.58 per share, in the form of regular fixed dividends of $0.39 per share and variable dividends of $0.19 per share. In March 2025, our Board of Directors approved a fixed cash dividend of $0.03 per share, which is expected to be paid in April 2025. There is no certainty that we will generate free cash flow, nor is the Board of Directors obligated to make any dividends and any dividends are subject to the restrictions in our debt documents as described below. The payment and amount of future dividend payments, if any, are subject to declaration by our Board of Directors. Such payments will depend on various factors, including actual results of operations, liquidity and financial condition, net cash provided by operating activities, restrictions imposed by applicable law, our taxable income, and other factors our Board of Directors deems relevant. Additionally, covenants contained in our 2024 Term Loan and 2024 Revolver could limit the payment of dividends. We are under no obligation to make dividend payments on our common stock and cannot be certain when such payments may resume in the future.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
We may not be able to use a portion of our net operating loss carryforwards and other tax attributes to reduce our future U.S. federal and state income tax obligations, which could adversely affect our cash flows.
We currently have substantial U.S. federal and state net operating loss ("NOL") carryforwards and U.S. federal general business credits. Our ability to use these tax attributes to reduce our future U.S. federal and state income tax obligations depends on many factors, including our future taxable income, which cannot be assured. In addition, our ability to use NOL carryforwards and other tax attributes may be subject to significant limitations under Section 382 and Section 383 of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended (the "Code"). Under those sections of the Code, if a corporation undergoes an "ownership change" (as defined in Section 382 of the Code), the corporation's ability to use its pre-change NOL carryforwards and other tax attributes may be substantially limited. Determining the limitations under Section 382 of the Code is technical and highly complex. A corporation generally will experience an ownership change if one or more stockholders (or groups of stockholders) who are each deemed to own at least 5% of the corporation's stock increase their ownership by more than 50 percentage points over their lowest ownership percentage within a rolling three-year period. We may in the future undergo an ownership change under Section 382 of the Code. If an ownership change occurs, our ability to use our NOL carryforwards and other tax attributes to reduce our future U.S. federal and state income tax obligations may be materially limited, which could adversely affect our cash flows. Additionally, in July 2024, the California Governor signed a bill that limits the use of California NOLs for a period of time, and we determined there is no current impact to the carrying value of and ability to ultimately utilize our California NOLs. The legislation suspended the use of the California NOL deduction for corporate taxpayers with a California net income or modified adjusted gross income of $1 million or more for tax years beginning on or after January 1, 2024 and before January 1, 2027. This legislation could have a future impact to our carrying value and ability to utilize our California NOLs.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 3
Estimates of proved reserves and related future net cash flows are not precise. The actual quantities of our proved reserves and future net cash flows may prove to be different from estimates.
Estimation of reserves and related future net cash flows is a partially subjective process of estimating accumulations of oil and natural gas that includes many uncertainties. Our estimates are based on various assumptions, which may ultimately prove to be inaccurate, including: - the similarity of reservoir performance in other areas to expected performance from our assets;- the quality, quantity and interpretation of available relevant data;- commodity prices;- production, operating costs, taxes and costs related to GHG regulations;- development costs;- the effects of government regulations, including our ability to obtain permits in a timely manner, or at all, for proved undeveloped reserves; and - future workover and asset retirement costs. Misunderstanding these variables, inaccurate assumptions, changed circumstances or new information could require us to make significant negative reserves revisions. We currently expect improved recovery, extensions and discoveries and, potentially acquisitions, to be our main sources for reserves additions. However, factors such as the availability of capital, geology, government regulations and our ability to obtain permits, the effectiveness of development plans and other factors could affect the source or quantity of future reserves additions. Any material inaccuracies in our reserves estimates could materially affect the net present value of our reserves, which could adversely affect our borrowing base and liquidity under the 2024 Revolver, as well as our results of operations.
Debt & Financing6 | 14.0%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
Added
Variable rate indebtedness under our 2024 Term Loan and 2024 Revolver subjects us to interest rate risk, which could cause our debt service obligations to increase significantly.
Borrowings under our 2024 Term Loan and the 2024 Revolver are at variable rates of interest and expose us to interest rate risk. As such, our results of operations are sensitive to movements in interest rates. There are many economic factors outside our control that have in the past and may, in the future, impact rates of interest including publicly announced indices that underlie the interest obligations related to a certain portion of our debt. Factors that impact interest rates include governmental monetary policies, inflation, economic conditions, changes in unemployment rates, international disorder and instability in domestic and foreign financial markets. If interest rates increase, our debt service obligations on the variable rate indebtedness would increase even though the amount borrowed remained the same, and our results of operations would be adversely impacted. Such increases in interest rates could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
Debt & Financing - Risk 2
We may be unable to, or may choose not to, enter into sufficient fixed-price purchase or other hedging agreements to fully protect against decreasing spreads between the price of natural gas and oil on an energy equivalent basis or may otherwise be unable to obtain sufficient quantities of natural gas to conduct our steam operations economically or at desired levels, and our commodity price risk management activities may prevent us from fully benefiting from price increases and may expose us to other risks.
To develop our heavy oil in California, we must economically generate steam using natural gas. Particularly in California, natural gas prices can be extremely volatile, as for example, prices experienced a significant increase in mid-December 2022, with gas prices briefly as high as $50.79 per mmbtu. We seek to reduce our exposure to the potential unavailability of, pricing increases for, and volatility in pricing of, natural gas by entering into fixed-price purchase agreements and other hedging transactions. We seek to reduce our exposure to potential price decreases and volatility in pricing of oil by entering into swaps, calls and other hedging transactions. We may be unable to, or may choose not to, enter into sufficient agreements to fully protect against decreasing spreads between the price of natural gas and oil on an energy equivalent basis or may otherwise be unable to obtain sufficient quantities of natural gas to conduct our steam operations economically or at desired levels. In addition, we also hedge our oil production and natural gas fuel purchases to meet the hedging requirements of the 2024 Revolver and 2024 Term Loan as described in the risk factor above. Our commodity price risk management activities as well as the hedging requirements of the 2024 Revolver and 2024 Term Loan may prevent us from fully benefiting from price increases. Additionally, our hedges are based on major oil and gas indexes, which may not fully reflect the prices we realize locally. Consequently, the price protection we receive may not fully offset local price declines. As of December 31, 2024, we have hedged gas purchases at the following approximate volumes and prices: 40,000 mmbtu/d at $4.25 per mmbtu in 2025. Our commodity price risk management activities may also expose us to the risk of financial loss in certain circumstances, including instances in which: - the counterparties to our hedging or other price-risk management contracts fail to perform under those arrangements; and - an event materially impacts oil and natural gas prices in the opposite direction of our derivative positions.
Debt & Financing - Risk 3
Our business requires continual capital expenditures. We may be unable to fund these investments through operating cash flow or obtain any needed additional capital on satisfactory terms or at all, which could lead to a decline in our oil and natural gas reserves or production. Our capital program is also susceptible to risks, including regulatory and permitting risks, that could materially affect its implementation.
Our industry is capital intensive. We have a 2025 capital expenditure budget for E&P operations, CJWS and corporate activities between $110 to $120 million. The actual amount and timing of our future capital expenditures may differ materially from our estimates as a result of, among other things, commodity prices, actual drilling results, the availability of drilling rigs and other services and equipment, the availability of permits, and our ability to obtain them in a timely manner or at all, legal and regulatory processes and other restrictions, and technological and competitive developments. 2025 California drilling campaign is expected to be comprised of sidetracks, and in Utah we are planning to drill new horizontal and vertical wells, in addition to the newly-acquired working interests in horizontal wells on properties adjacent to ours. As a result of ongoing regulatory uncertainty in California, the capital program has been prepared based on the assumption that no permits for new wells will be issued under the Kern County EIR in 2025. In addition, a reduction or sustained decline in commodity prices from current levels may force us to reduce our capital expenditures, which would negatively impact our ability to grow production. Current and future laws and regulations may prevent us from being able to execute our drilling programs and development and optimization projects. We expect to fund our 2025 capital expenditures with cash flows from our operations; however, our cash flows from operations, and access to capital should such cash flows and cash prove inadequate, are subject to a number of variables, including: - the volume of hydrocarbons we are able to produce from existing wells and our ability to bring those to market;- the prices at which our production is sold and our operating expenses;- the success of our hedging program;- our proved reserves, including our ability to acquire, locate and produce new reserves;- our ability to borrow under the 2024 Revolver and 2024 Term Loan (defined below); and - our ability to access the capital markets. If our revenues or the borrowing base under the 2024 Revolver decrease as a result of lower oil, natural gas and NGL prices, lack of required permits and other operating difficulties, declines in reserves or for any other reason, we may have limited ability to obtain the capital necessary to sustain our operations and growth at current levels. If additional capital were needed, we may not be able to obtain debt or equity financing on terms acceptable to us, if at all. Any additional debt financing would carry interest costs, diverting capital from our business activities, which in turn could lead to a decline in our reserves and production. If cash flows generated by our operations or available borrowings under the 2024 Revolver were not sufficient to meet our capital requirements, the failure to obtain additional financing could result in a curtailment of our operations relating to development of our properties. See "Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations-Liquidity and Capital Resources."
Debt & Financing - Risk 4
We may not be able to generate sufficient cash to service all of our indebtedness and may be forced to take other actions to satisfy our obligations under our debt arrangements, which may not be successful.
As of December 31, 2024, we had $450 million outstanding on our 2024 Term Loan, $63 million of available borrowing capacity and no borrowings outstanding under the 2024 Revolver, and approximately $32 million of available delayed draw term loan commitments and no borrowings outstanding under the Delayed Draw Term Loan (defined below) provided under the 2024 Term Loan. Our ability to make scheduled payments on or to refinance our debt obligations, including the 2024 Term Loan and 2024 Revolver, depends on our financial condition and operating performance, which are subject to prevailing economic and competitive conditions and certain financial, business and other factors that may be beyond our control. If oil and natural gas prices remain at low levels for an extended period of time or further deteriorate, or interest rates materially increase, our cash flows from operating activities may be insufficient to permit us to pay the principal, premium, if any, and interest on our indebtedness. In the absence of sufficient cash flows and capital resources, we could face substantial liquidity problems and might be required to dispose of material assets or operations to meet debt service and other obligations. The 2024 Term Loan and the 2024 Revolver currently restrict our ability to dispose of assets and our use of the proceeds from any such disposition. We may not be able to consummate dispositions, and the proceeds of any such disposition may not be adequate to meet any debt service obligations then due.
Debt & Financing - Risk 5
Changed
Our hedging activities limit our ability to realize the full benefits of increases or decreases in commodity prices and our potential gains or savings.
We enter into hedges to manage our exposure to price risks in the marketing of our oil and natural gas and in purchasing natural gas used in our operations, mitigate our economic exposure to commodity price volatility and ensure our financial strength and liquidity by protecting our cash flows. In addition, we also hedge to meet the hedging requirements of the 2024 Revolver and 2024 Term Loan. The 2024 Revolver and 2024 Term Loan each requires us to maintain commodity hedges which are Existing Swaps (as defined in the 2024 Term Loan), or are otherwise in the form of fixed price swaps (at market prices) or costless collars, on minimum notional volumes of (i) at least 75% of our reasonably projected production of crude oil from our PDP reserves, for each month during the twenty-four calendar month period immediately following December 24, 2024, and (ii) at least 50% of our reasonably projected production of crude oil from our PDP reserves, for each month during the twenty-fifth through thirty-sixth calendar month period following December 24, 2024. The 2024 Revolver and 2024 Term Loan each also requires us to maintain commodity hedges in the form of fixed price swaps (at market prices), costless collars, certain other collars or put options meeting conditions described in the 2024 Revolver and the 2024 Term Loan, or, with respect to the Existing Swaps, in the form of the Existing Swaps as of the effective date of the 2024 Term Loan, on minimum notional volumes, of (i) at least 75% of our reasonably projected production of crude oil from our PDP reserves, for each month during a rolling period of twenty-four calendar months commencing with the end of the then next upcoming month from the relevant minimum hedging test date, and (ii) at least 50% of our reasonably projected production of crude oil from our PDP reserves, for each month during a rolling period of twelve months commencing with the end of the twenty-fifth month from the relevant minimum hedging test date. In addition, the 2024 Revolver and 2024 Term Loan each requires us to maintain hedges in respect of purchases of natural gas for fuel in respect of 40,000 mmbtu of natural gas for fuel for each day (a) during the 18 month calendar month period immediately following the December 24, 2024 and (b) during the 18 month calendar month period commencing with the end of the next upcoming month after the applicable minimum hedging test date. In addition to the minimum hedging requirements and other restrictions in respect of hedging described therein, each of the 2024 Revolver and 2024 Term Loan contains restrictions on our commodity hedging which prevent us from entering into hedging agreements (i) with a tenor exceeding 60 months or (ii) for notional volumes which (when netted and aggregated with other hedges then in effect) exceed, as of the date such hedging agreement is executed, 90% of our reasonably projected production of crude oil, natural gas and natural liquids, calculated separately, from our PDP reserves, for each month following the date such hedging agreement is entered into, provided that each of the 2024 Revolver and 2024 Term Loan provides that the Company may enter into additional commodity hedges pertaining to oil and gas properties to be acquired, subject to the requirements set forth in the 2024 Revolver and 2024 Term Loan. While intended to reduce the effects of volatile oil and natural gas prices, such transactions, depending on the hedging instrument used, may limit our potential gains if oil prices were to rise substantially over the price established by the hedge or limit our potential savings if natural gas prices were to fall substantially below the price established by the hedge, or expose us to the risk of financial losses depending on commodity price movements and other circumstances. Our ability to realize the benefits of our hedges also depends in part upon the counterparties to these contracts honoring their financial obligations. If any of our counterparties are unable to perform their obligations in the future, we could be exposed to increased cash flow volatility that could affect our liquidity.
Debt & Financing - Risk 6
Changed
Our existing debt agreements have restrictive covenants that could limit our growth, financial flexibility and our ability to engage in certain activities. In addition, the borrowing base under the 2024 Revolver is subject to periodic redeterminations and our lenders could reduce capital available to us for investment.
The 2024 Revolver and 2024 Term Loan have restrictive covenants that could limit our growth, financial flexibility and our ability to engage in activities that may be in our long-term best interests. Failure to comply with these covenants could result in an event of default that, if not cured or waived, could result in the acceleration of all of our indebtedness. These agreements contain covenants, that, among other things, limit our ability to: - incur or guarantee additional indebtedness or issue certain types of preferred stock;- pay dividends on capital stock or redeem, repurchase or retire our capital stock or subordinated indebtedness;- transfer, sell or dispose of assets;- make investments and capital expenditures;- create certain liens securing indebtedness;- enter into agreements that restrict dividends or other payments from our restricted subsidiaries to us;- consolidate, merge or transfer all or substantially all of our assets;- hedge future production or interest rates;- repay or prepay certain indebtedness prior to the due date;- engage in transactions with affiliates;- finance our operations and other business activities because the terms of our indebtedness may require us to dedicate a portion of our cash flow from operations to service our existing indebtedness due to restrictions on our ability to obtain additional financing, make investments, lease equipment, sell assets and engage in business combinations; and - engage in certain other transactions without the prior consent of the lenders. In addition, the 2024 Revolver and 2024 Term Loan each require us to maintain certain financial ratios or to reduce our indebtedness if we are unable to comply with such ratios, which may limit our ability to borrow funds to withstand a future downturn in our business, or to otherwise conduct necessary corporate activities. We may also be prevented from taking advantage of business opportunities that arise because of these limitations. In addition, the 2024 Revolver and 2024 Term Loan each have hedging requirements which may limit our potential gains if oil prices were to rise substantially over the price established by the hedge or limit our potential savings if natural gas prices were to fall substantially below the price established by the hedge, or expose us to the risk of financial loss in certain circumstances. Our failure to comply with these covenants could result in an event of default that, if not cured or waived, could result in the acceleration of all of our indebtedness. If that occurs, we may not be able to make all of the required payments or borrow sufficient funds to refinance such indebtedness. Even if new financing were available at that time, it may not be on terms that are acceptable to us. The amount available to be borrowed under the 2024 Revolver is subject to a borrowing base which will be redetermined at least semiannually and will depend on the estimated volumes and cash flows of our proved oil and natural gas reserves and other information deemed relevant by the administrative agent of, or two-thirds of the lenders under, the 2024 Revolver. We and the administrative agent (or such lenders) each may request one additional redetermination between each regularly scheduled redetermination. Furthermore, our borrowing base is subject to automatic reductions due to certain asset sales and hedge terminations, the incurrence of certain other debt and other events as provided in the 2024 Revolver. Reduction of our borrowing base under the 2024 Revolver could reduce the capital available to us for investment in our business. Additionally, we could be required to repay a portion of the 2024 Revolver to the extent that after a redetermination our outstanding borrowings at such time exceed the redetermined borrowing base. For additional details regarding the terms of the 2024 Term Loan and the 2024 Revolver, see "Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations-Liquidity and Capital Resources."
Corporate Activity and Growth1 | 2.3%
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1
We may be unable to make attractive acquisitions or successfully integrate acquired businesses or assets or enter into attractive joint ventures, and any inability to do so may disrupt our business and hinder our ability to grow.
There is no guarantee we will be able to identify or complete attractive acquisitions. In July 2023, we announced the Macpherson Acquisition, which closed in September 2023, and we completed the acquisition of a small, highly synergistic additional working interest in Kern County, California in December 2023. Our capital expenditure budget for 2025 does not allocate any specific amounts for new acquisitions of oil and natural gas properties. If we make additional acquisitions, we would need to use cash flows, seek additional capital, or reallocate funds from other budgeted uses, all of which are subject to uncertainties discussed in this section. Competition may also increase the cost of, or cause us to refrain from, completing acquisitions. Our debt arrangements impose certain limitations on our ability to enter into mergers or combination transactions and to incur certain indebtedness. See "-Our existing debt agreements have restrictive covenants that could limit our growth, financial flexibility and our ability to engage in certain activities." In addition, the success of completed acquisitions will depend on our ability to integrate effectively the acquired business into our existing operations, may involve unforeseen difficulties and may require a disproportionate amount of our managerial and financial resources.
Production
Total Risks: 10/43 (23%)Above Sector Average
Manufacturing5 | 11.6%
Manufacturing - Risk 1
The marketability of our production is dependent upon transportation and storage facilities and other facilities, most of which we do not control, and the availability of such transportation and storage capabilities. If we are unable to access such facilities on commercially reasonable terms, our operations would likely be interrupted, our production could be curtailed, and our revenues reduced, among other adverse consequences.
The marketing of oil, natural gas and NGLs production depends in large part on the availability, proximity and capacity of trucks, pipelines and storage facilities, gas gathering systems and other transportation, processing and refining facilities, as well as the existence of adequate markets. Storage and transportation capacity for our production is limited and may become unavailable on commercially reasonable terms or at all. For example, storage and transportation capacity became scarce during the second quarter of 2020 due to the unprecedented dual impact of a severe global oil demand decline coupled with a substantial increase in supply. As traditional tanks filled, large quantities of oil were being stored in offshore tankers around the world, including off the coast of California. Where storage was available, such as offshore tankers, storage costs increased sharply. The potential risk remains that storage for oil may be unavailable and our existing capacity may be insufficient to support planned production rates in the event of another deterioration in demand or a supply surge or both. Moreover, if the imbalance between supply and demand and the related shortage of storage capacity worsen, the prices we receive for our production could deteriorate and could potentially even become negative. Additionally, if we were unable to obtain the needed storage capacity, we could be forced to shut in a significant amount of our California production, which could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition, liquidity and operational results. If we are forced to shut in production, we would incur additional costs to bring the associated wells back online. While production is shut in, we would likely incur additional costs and operating expenses to, among other things, maintain the health of the reservoirs, meet contractual obligations and protect our interests, without the associated revenue. Additionally, depending on the duration of the shut-in, and whether we have also shut in steam injection for the associated reservoirs rather than incur those costs, the wells may not, initially or at all, come back online at similar rates to those at the time of shut-in. Depending on the duration of the steam injection shut-in time, and the resulting inefficiency and economics of restoring the reservoir to its energetic and heated state, our proved reserve estimates could be decreased and there could be potential additional impairments and associated charges to our earnings. A reduction in our reserves could also result in a reduction to our borrowing base under the 2024 Revolver and our liquidity. The ultimate significance of the impact of any production disruptions, including the extent of the adverse impact on our financial and operational results, will be dictated by the length of time that such disruptions continue, which will in turn depend on how long storage remains filled and unavailable to us, which is largely unpredictable and based on factors outside of our control. In addition to the constraints we may face due to storage capacity shortages, the volume of oil and natural gas that we can produce is subject to limitations resulting from pipeline interruptions due to scheduled and unscheduled maintenance, excessive pressure, and physical damage to the gathering, transportation, storage, processing, fractionation, refining or export facilities that we utilize. The curtailments arising from these and similar circumstances may last from a few days to several months or longer and, in many cases, we may be provided only limited, if any, advance notice as to when these circumstances will arise and their duration. Any such shut-in or curtailment, or any inability to obtain favorable terms for delivery of the oil and natural gas produced from our fields, would adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations. In October 2024, Phillips 66 announced that it plans to close its Wilmington refinery in Los Angeles in late 2025. We sold approximately 15% of our California production to this refinery in 2024. Following the closure of the Phillips 66 refinery, we expect California to have approximately 1.5 million bpd of remaining refining capacity which is over five times the amount of crude oil produced in California. As a result, we do not currently expect the Phillips 66 closure to negatively impact our price realizations, however, if there were significant other refinery closures, that could have an adverse impact on our ability to market our crude production.
Manufacturing - Risk 2
Unless we replace oil and natural gas reserves, our future reserves and production will decline.
Unless we conduct successful development and exploration activities or acquire properties containing proved reserves, our proved reserves will decline as those reserves are produced. Success requires us to deploy sufficient capital to projects that are geologically and economically attractive which is subject to the capital, development, operating and regulatory risks already discussed above under the heading "-Our business requires continual capital expenditures. We may be unable to fund these investments through operating cash flow or obtain any needed additional capital on satisfactory terms or at all, which could lead to a decline in our oil and natural gas reserves or production. Our capital program is also susceptible to risks, including regulatory and permitting risks, that could materially affect its implementation." For example, beginning in the second quarter of 2022, we adjusted our capital development program due to the delays in permit issuance and insufficient permit inventory. We have continued to implement alternative capital development programs in 2024 and 2025 as a result of continued permitting issues. See "-There are significant uncertainties with respect to obtaining permits for oil and gas activities in Kern County, where all of our California operations are located, which could impact our financial condition and results of operations." In addition, if we are forced to change our near-term development plans because of delays in granting permits or delays in the resolution of the Kern County EIR, it could result in the loss of some amount of the proved undeveloped reserves as identified in our December 31, 2024 reserve report. Although we benefited from production associated with acquisitions in 2023 and 2024, there is no certainty that we will be able to continue to identify or complete attractive acquisitions. It is also possible that lower-than-expected demand and prices for commodities in the future could materially and adversely affect our future planned capital expenditures, such as our reductions in planned capital expenditures in 2020 in response to the effects of COVID-19 and the actions of OPEC+. Over the long term, a continuing decline in our production and reserves would reduce our liquidity and ability to satisfy our debt obligations by reducing our cash flow from operations and the value of our assets.
Manufacturing - Risk 3
We may not drill our identified sites at the times we scheduled or at all.
We have specifically identified locations for drilling over the next several years, which represent a significant part of our long-term growth strategy. Our actual drilling activities may materially differ from those presently identified. Legislative and regulatory developments, such as California's recently adopted setback rules, could prevent us from planned drilling activities. Additionally, as discussed under "-There are significant uncertainties with respect to obtaining permits for oil and gas activities in Kern County, where all of our California operations are located, which could impact our financial condition and results of operations," new regulations and legislative activity could result in a significant delay or decline in, and/or the incurrence of additional costs for, the approval of the permits required to develop our properties in accordance with our plans. If future drilling results in these projects not establishing sufficient reserves to achieve an economic return, we may curtail drilling or development of these projects. Accordingly, we cannot guarantee that these prospective drilling locations or any other drilling locations we have identified will ever be drilled or if we will be able to economically produce oil or natural gas from these drilling locations. In addition, some of our leases could expire if we do not establish production in the leased acreage. The combined net acreage covered by leases expiring in the next three years represented approximately 1% of our total net acreage at December 31, 2024. Based on our reserves as of December 31, 2024, if we are forced to change our near-term development plans because of delays in granting permits or delays in the resolution of the Kern County EIR, it could result in the loss of some amount of the proved undeveloped reserves as identified in our December 31, 2024 reserve report.
Manufacturing - Risk 4
Drilling for and producing oil and natural gas involves many uncertainties that could adversely affect our results.
The success of our development, production and acquisition activities are subject to numerous risks beyond our control, including the risk that drilling will not result in commercially viable production or may result in a downward revision of our estimated proved reserves due to: -     poor production response;-     ineffective application of recovery techniques;-     increased costs of drilling, completing, stimulating, equipping, operating, maintaining and abandoning wells;-     delays or cost overruns caused by equipment failures, accidents, environmental hazards, adverse weather conditions, permitting or construction delays, title disputes, surface access disputes and other matters; and -     misinterpretation of geophysical and geological analyses, production data and engineering studies. Additional factors may delay or cancel our operations, including: -     delays due to regulatory requirements and procedures, including unavailability or other restrictions limiting permits and limitations on water disposal, emission of GHGs, steam injection and well stimulation, such as California's recent limitations on cyclic steaming above the fracture gradient;-     pressure or irregularities in geological formations;-     shortages of or delays in obtaining equipment, qualified personnel or supplies including water for steam used in production or pressure maintenance;-     delays in access to production or pipeline transmission facilities; and - power outages imposed by utilities which provide a portion of our electricity needs in order to avoid fire hazards and inspect lines in connection with seasonal strong winds, which have begun to occur recently and may impact our operations. Any of these risks can cause substantial losses, including personal injury or loss of life, damage to property, reserves and equipment, pollution, environmental contamination and regulatory penalties.
Manufacturing - Risk 5
Our producing properties are located primarily in California, making us vulnerable to risks associated with having operations concentrated in this geographic area.
We operate primarily in California, which is one of the most heavily regulated states in the United States with respect to oil and gas operations. This geographic concentration disproportionately affects the success and profitability of our operations exposing us to local price fluctuations, changes in state or regional laws and regulations, political risks, limited acquisition opportunities where we have the most operating experience and infrastructure, limited storage options, drought conditions, and other regional supply and demand factors, including gathering, pipeline and transportation capacity constraints, limited potential customers, infrastructure capacity and availability of rigs, equipment, refining capacity, oil field services, supplies and labor. We discuss such specific risks to our California operations in more detail elsewhere in this section and in Part I, Items 1 and 2. "Business and Properties-Regulatory Matters" in this Annual Report.
Employment / Personnel1 | 2.3%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
The loss of senior management or technical personnel could adversely affect our results and operations.
We depend on, and could be deprived of, the services of our senior management and technical personnel. We do not maintain, nor do we plan to obtain, any insurance against the loss of services of any of these individuals.
Supply Chain2 | 4.7%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
We are dependent on our cogeneration facilities to produce steam for our operations. Contracts for the sale of surplus electricity, economic market prices and regulatory conditions affect the economic value of these facilities to our operations.
We are dependent on four cogeneration facilities that, combined, provide approximately 10% of our steam capacity and approximately 46% of our field electricity needs in California at a discount to market rates. To further offset our costs, we sell surplus power to California utility companies produced by certain of our cogeneration facilities under long-term contracts. Should we lose, be unable to renew on favorable terms, or be unable to replace such contracts, we may be unable to realize the cost offset currently received. Our ability to benefit from these facilities is also affected by our ability to consistently generate surplus electricity and fluctuations in commodity prices. Furthermore, market fluctuations in electricity prices and regulatory changes in California could adversely affect the economics of our cogeneration facilities and any corresponding increase in the price of steam could significantly impact our operating costs. If we were unable to find new or replacement steam sources, lose existing sources or experience installation delays, we may be unable to maximize production from our heavy oil assets. If we were to lose our electricity sources, we would be subject to the electricity rates we could negotiate. For a more detailed discussion of our electricity sales contracts, see "Items 1 and 2. Business and Properties-Operational Overview-Electricity."
Supply Chain - Risk 2
Operational issues and inability or unwillingness of third parties to provide sufficient facilities and services to us on commercially reasonable terms or otherwise could restrict access to markets for the commodities we produce.
Our ability to market our production of oil, gas and NGLs depends on a number of factors, including the proximity of production fields to pipelines, refineries and terminal facilities, competition for capacity on such facilities, damage, shutdowns and turnarounds at such facilities and their ability to gather, transport or process our production. If these facilities are unavailable to us on commercially reasonable terms or otherwise, we could be forced to shut in some production or delay or discontinue drilling plans and commercial production following a discovery of hydrocarbons. We rely, and expect to rely in the future, on third-party facilities for services such as storage, processing and transmission of our production. Our plans to develop and sell our reserves could be materially and adversely affected by the inability or unwillingness of third parties to provide sufficient facilities and services to us on commercially reasonable terms or otherwise. If our access to markets for commodities we produce is restricted, our costs could increase and our expected production growth may be impaired.
Costs2 | 4.7%
Costs - Risk 1
Declines in commodity prices, changes in expected capital development, increases in operating costs or adverse changes in well performance may result in write-downs of the carrying amounts of our assets.
We evaluate the impairment of our oil and natural gas properties whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying value may not be recoverable. Based on specific market factors and circumstances at the time of prospective impairment reviews, and the continuing evaluation of development plans, production data, economics and other factors, we may be required to write down the carrying value of our properties. A write down constitutes a non-cash charge to earnings.
Costs - Risk 2
Our ability to operate profitably and maintain our business and financial condition are highly dependent on commodity prices, which historically have been very volatile and are driven by numerous factors beyond our control. If oil prices were to significantly decline for a prolonged period of time, our business, financial condition and results of operations may be materially and adversely affected.
The price we receive for our oil and natural gas production heavily influences our revenue, profitability, value of our reserves, access to capital and future rate of growth, among other factors. However, the price we receive for our oil and natural gas production depends on numerous factors beyond our control, including not limited to, the following: - overall domestic and global political and economic conditions, including the imposition of tariffs or trade or other economic sanctions, political instability or armed conflict, including the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and the Israel-Hamas conflict, inflation levels and government efforts to reduce inflation or a prolonged recession;- changes in global supply and demand for oil and natural gas, including changes in demand resulting from general and specific economic conditions relating to the business cycle and other factors;- the actions of OPEC and/or OPEC+;- the price and quantity of imports of foreign oil and natural gas;- the level of global oil and natural gas E&P activity;- the level of global oil and natural gas inventories;- weather conditions;- domestic and foreign governmental legislative efforts, executive actions and regulations, including environmental regulations, climate change regulations and taxation;- the effect of energy conservation efforts;- stockholder activism or activities by non-governmental organizations to limit certain sources of capital for the energy sector or restrict the exploration, development and production of oil and gas;- technological advances affecting energy consumption; and - the price and availability of alternative fuels. Historically, the markets for oil and natural gas have been extremely volatile and will likely continue to be volatile in the future. Oil and natural gas are commodities and, therefore, their prices are subject to wide fluctuations in response to relatively minor changes in supply and demand. Global economic growth drives demand for energy from all sources, including fossil fuels. When the U.S. and global economies experience weakness, demand for energy will decline with accompanying declines in commodity prices; similarly, when growth in global energy production outstrips demand, the excess supply results in commodity price declines. Concerns over global economic conditions, energy costs, geopolitical issues, such as the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and the Israel-Hamas conflict, inflation, the availability and cost of credit and slow economic growth in the United States have in the past contributed to significantly reduced economic activity and diminished expectations for the global economy. If the economic climate in the United States or abroad deteriorate, worldwide demand for petroleum products could further diminish, which could impact the price at which oil, natural gas and NGLs from our properties are sold, affect our level of operations and ultimately materially adversely impact our results of operations, financial condition and free cash flow. Additionally, although the California market generally receives Brent-influenced pricing, California oil prices are determined ultimately by local supply and demand dynamics. Refer to Item 7-"Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations-Business Environment and Market Conditions." Historically, the waxy nature of oil in Utah limited sales to the Salt Lake City market. However, the recent success of a tight oil play in the basin has increased supply and put downward pressure on physical oil prices in the Salt Lake City market. Given these circumstances, we are endeavoring to sell our crude to markets outside of the basin where transportation options to other markets are available, though comparatively expensive. Past declines in pricing, and any declines that may occur in the future, can be expected to adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations. Such declines adversely affect well and reserve economics and may reduce the amount of oil and natural gas that we can produce economically, resulting in deferral or cancellation of planned drilling and related activities until such time, if ever, as economic conditions improve sufficiently to support such operations. Any extended decline in oil or natural gas prices may materially and adversely affect our future business, financial condition, results of operations, liquidity or ability to finance planned capital expenditures.
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 9/43 (21%)Above Sector Average
Regulation4 | 9.3%
Regulation - Risk 1
Derivatives legislation and regulations could have an adverse effect on our ability to use derivative instruments to reduce the risks associated with our business.
The Dodd-Frank Act, enacted in 2010, establishes federal oversight and regulation of the over-the-counter ("OTC") derivatives market and entities, like us, that participate in that market. Rules and regulations applicable to OTC derivatives transactions may affect both the size of positions that we may hold and the ability or willingness of counterparties to trade opposite us, potentially increasing costs for transactions. Moreover, such changes could materially reduce our hedging opportunities which could adversely affect our revenues and cash flow during periods of low commodity prices. While many Dodd-Frank Act regulations are already in effect, the rulemaking and implementation process is ongoing, and the ultimate effect of the adopted rules and regulations and any future rules and regulations on our business remains uncertain. In addition, the European Union and other non-U.S. jurisdictions are implementing regulations with respect to the derivatives market. To the extent we transact with counterparties in foreign jurisdictions or counterparties with other businesses that subject them to regulation in foreign jurisdictions, we may become subject to, or otherwise be affected by, such regulations. Even though certain of the European Union implementing regulations have become effective, the ultimate effect on our business of the European Union implementing regulations (including future implementing rules and regulations) remains uncertain.
Regulation - Risk 2
Our business is highly regulated and governmental authorities can delay or deny permits and approvals or change the requirements governing our operations, including the permitting approval process for oil and gas exploration, extraction, operations and production activities; well stimulation and other enhanced production techniques; and fluid injection or disposal activities, any of which could increase costs, restrict operations and delay our implementation of, or cause us to change, our business strategy and plans.
Like other companies in the oil and gas industry, our operations are subject to a wide range of complex and stringent federal, state and local laws and regulations. Federal, state and local agencies may assert overlapping authority to regulate in these areas. See "Items 1 and 2. Business and Properties-Regulation of Health, Safety and Environmental Matters" for a description of laws and regulations that affect our business. Collectively, the effect of the existing laws and regulations is to limit the number and location of our wells through restrictions on the use of our properties, limit our ability to develop certain assets and conduct certain operations, including through a restrictive and burdensome permitting and approval process, and have the effect of reducing the amount of oil and natural gas that we can produce from our wells, potentially reducing such production below levels that would otherwise be possible or economical. To operate in compliance with these laws and regulations, we must obtain and maintain permits, approvals and certificates from federal, state and local government authorities for a variety of activities including siting, drilling, completion, fluid injection and disposal, stimulation, operation, maintenance, transportation, marketing, site remediation, decommissioning, abandonment and water recycling and reuse. These permits are generally subject to protest, appeal or litigation, which could in certain cases delay or halt projects, production of wells and other operations. Additionally, the regulatory burden on the industry increases our costs and consequently may have an adverse effect upon capital expenditures, earnings or competitive position. Failure to comply may result in the assessment of administrative, civil and criminal fines and penalties and liability for noncompliance, costs of corrective action, cleanup or restoration, compensation for personal injury, property damage or other losses, and the imposition of injunctive or declaratory relief restricting or limiting our operations. California, where most of our assets are located, is one of the most heavily regulated states in the United States with respect to oil and gas operations, and our operations are subject to numerous and stringent state, local and other laws and regulations that could delay or otherwise adversely impact our operations. The jurisdiction, duties and enforcement authority of various state agencies have significantly increased with respect to oil and natural gas activities in recent years, and these state agencies as well as certain cities and counties have significantly revised their regulations, regulatory interpretations and data collection and reporting requirements and have indicated plans to issue additional regulations of certain oil and natural gas activities in 2025. Moreover, certain of these laws and regulations may apply retroactively and may impose strict or joint and several liability on us for events or conditions over which we and our predecessors had no control, without regard to fault, legality of the original activities, or ownership or control by third parties. Violations and liabilities with respect to these laws and regulations could result in significant administrative, civil, or criminal penalties, remedial clean-ups, natural resource damages, permit modifications or revocations, operational interruptions or shutdowns and other liabilities. The costs of remedying such conditions may be significant, and remediation obligations could adversely affect our financial condition, results of operations and prospects. In California, we are also increasingly impacted by policies designed to curtail the production and use of fossil fuels. For example, in September 2020, the Governor of California issued an executive order that seeks to reduce both the supply of and demand for fossil fuels in the state. The executive order established several goals and directed several state agencies to take certain actions with respect to reducing emissions of GHGs, including, but not limited to: phasing out the sale of vehicles with internal combustion engines; developing strategies for the closure and repurposing of oil and gas facilities in California; and calling on the California State Legislature to enact new laws prohibiting hydraulic fracturing in the state by 2024 (which CalGEM formally proposed in February 2024 and went into effect in October 2024). The executive order also directed CalGEM to finish its review of public health and safety concerns from the impacts of oil extraction activities and propose significantly strengthened regulations. At this time, we cannot predict how implementation of these actions and proposals may impact our operations. For additional information, see "Items 1 and 2. Business and Properties-Regulation of Health, Safety and Environmental Matters" and "-Risks Related to Our Operations and Industry-There are significant uncertainties with respect to obtaining permits for oil and gas activities in Kern County, where all of our California operations are located, which could impact our financial condition and results of operations" and "-Risks Related to Our Operations and Industry-Attempts by the California state government to restrict the production of oil and gas could negatively impact our operations and result in decreased demand for fossil fuels within the states where we operate." Our operations may also be adversely affected by seasonal or permanent restrictions on drilling activities imposed under the Endangered Species Act or similar state laws designed to protect various wildlife, such as the Greater Sage Grouse. Such restrictions may limit our ability to operate in protected areas and can intensify competition for drilling rigs, oilfield equipment, services, supplies and qualified personnel, which may lead to periodic shortages when drilling is allowed. Permanent restrictions imposed to protect threatened or endangered species or their habitat could prohibit drilling in certain areas or require the implementation of expensive mitigation measures. Our customers, including refineries and utilities, and the businesses that transport our products to customers are also highly regulated. For example, federal and state agencies have subjected or, proposed subjecting, more gas and liquid gathering lines, pipelines and storage facilities to regulations that have increased business costs and otherwise affected the demand, volatility and other aspects of the price we pay for fuel gas. Certain municipalities have enacted restrictions on the installation of natural gas appliances and infrastructure in new residential or commercial construction, which could affect the retail natural gas market for our utility customers and the demand and prices we receive for the natural gas we produce. Costs of compliance may increase, and operational delays or restrictions may occur, as existing laws and regulations are revised or reinterpreted, or as new laws and regulations become applicable to our operations, each of which has occurred in the past. For example, our costs have recently begun to increase due to new fluid injection regulations, data requirements for permitting, and idle well decommissioning regulations. In addition, we may experience delays, as we have in the past, due to insufficient internal processes and personnel resource constraints at regulatory agencies that impede their ability to process permits in a timely manner that aligns with our production projects. Government authorities and other organizations continue to study health, safety and environmental aspects of oil and natural gas operations, including those related to air, soil and water quality, ground movement or seismicity and natural resources. Government authorities have also adopted, proposed, or are otherwise considering new or more stringent requirements for permitting, well construction and public disclosure or environmental review of, or restrictions on, oil and natural gas operations. For example, there has been increased scrutiny with respect to hydraulic fracturing over the years by various state and federal agencies, which scrutiny has extended to oil and gas E&P activities more generally. This has resulted in more stringent regulation with respect to air emissions from oil and gas operations, restrictions on water discharges and calls to remove exemptions for certain oil and gas wastes from federal hazardous waste laws and regulations, amongst other restrictions. Separately, as another example, the scope of the federal Clean Water Act (the "CWA") has been subject to substantial uncertainty in recent years, which has the potential to increase permitting burdens. The EPA and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers ("Corps") under the Obama, Trump and Biden administrations have pursued multiple rulemakings since 2015 in an attempt to determine the scope of the term "Waters of the United States" ("WOTUS"). Most recently, following legal action on a January 2023 final rule, the U.S. Supreme Court's decision in Sackett v. EPA, and the enactment of a subsequent September 2023 rule, the implementation of the definition of WOTUS is split based on jurisdiction. The rule is enjoined in 27 states and being implemented in the remaining 23. Additionally, the incoming Trump administration may seek to take additional action with respect to these regulations, though the substance and timing of such action cannot be predicted. To the extent implementation of the final rule, results of the litigation, or any action further expands the scope of the CWA's jurisdiction in areas where we operate, we could face increased costs and delays with respect to obtaining dredge and fill activity permits in wetland areas, which could materially impact our operations in the San Joaquin Basin and other areas. Such requirements or associated litigation could result in potentially significant added costs to comply, delay or curtail our exploration, development, fluid injection and disposal or production activities, and preclude us from drilling, completing or stimulating wells, which could have an adverse effect on our expected production, other operations and financial condition. Changes to elected or appointed officials or their priorities and policies could result in different approaches to the regulation of the oil and natural gas industry. We cannot predict the actions the Governor of California or the California State Legislature may take with respect to the regulation of our business, the oil and natural gas industry or the state's economic, fiscal or environmental policies, nor can we predict what actions may be taken in states or at the federal level with respect to environmental laws and policies, including those that may directly or indirectly impact our operations.
Regulation - Risk 3
There are significant uncertainties with respect to obtaining permits for oil and gas activities in Kern County, where all of our California operations are located, which could impact our financial condition and results of operations.
Over the last number of years, developments at both the California state and local levels have resulted in significant delays in the issuance of permits to drill new oil and gas wells in Kern County, where all of our California assets are located, as well as a more time- and cost-intensive permitting process. The issuance of permits and other approvals for drilling and production activities by state and local agencies or by federal agencies are subject to environmental impact reviews under the California Environmental Quality Act ("CEQA") and/or the National Environmental Policy Act ("NEPA"), respectively. The requirement to demonstrate compliance with CEQA is currently resulting in (and the requirement to demonstrate compliance with CEQA and/or NEPA may in the future may result in) significant delays in the issuance of permits to drill new wells, as well as the potential imposition of mitigation measures and restrictions on proposed oil field operations, among other things. Before an operator can pursue drilling operations in California, they must first obtain permission to engage in oil and gas operations. Historically, we satisfied CEQA by complying with the Kern County zoning ordinance for oil and gas operations, which was supported by the Kern County Environmental Impact Report ("EIR"). However, the Kern County EIR was legally challenged in 2015 and the use of the Kern County EIR is currently stayed and has been stayed for lengths of time throughout the litigation. Most recently, the Kern County EIR was stayed in January 2023 by a California appellate court while they reviewed a November 2022 ruling by the lower court that reinstated the Kern Country EIR; since that time, operators have been unable to use the Kern County EIR to demonstrate CEQA compliance to receive permits to drill new wells. In March 2024, the California appellate court delivered its opinion finding certain deficiencies in the Kern County EIR and reliance on the EIR remains enjoined until those deficiencies are remedied. Accordingly, our ability to rely on the Kern County EIR to demonstrate CEQA compliance to obtain permits and approvals to drill new wells is constrained until Kern County is able to certify a new revised EIR that the Court deems fully complies with CEQA and favorably resolve the litigation. As a result of the litigation, from 2023 to year to date 2025, neither we nor any other operator received permits to drill new wells using the Kern County EIR to demonstrate CEQA compliance. In the meantime, to obtain permits for drilling new wells in Kern County we must demonstrate compliance with CEQA to CalGEM through means other than the Kern County EIR. The litigation impacting the Kern County EIR does not restrict the issuance of sidetrack and workover permits, and we have continued to receive the necessary permits to meet our production goals. However, in the latter part of 2023 and into 2024, we experienced some delays in the issuance of sidetrack and workover permits due to changes in CalGEM's CEQA review process. Permit cycle times improved around mid-year and since that time, CalGEM has been processing and approving permit applications on a more predictable timeline. We had all of the permits needed to support our 2024 planned activities in California, and entered 2025 with sufficient permits in hand to continue our development activities through the first part of the year. Similar to 2024, our 2025 capital program in California is focused on sidetracks and workovers. We currently have sufficient permits in hand that should allow us to maintain sidetrack activities in California through at least the first quarter of 2025, plus a continuous workover campaign for approximately the first half of the year. We are in the process of obtaining the remaining permits needed to support our 2025 plans in California, none of which are dependent on the Kern County EIR, while also working to obtain additional permits to support future plans. Permitting delays could adversely impact our 2025 California plans and the inability to secure permits (on a timely basis or at all) could adversely impact our business and results of operations in 2025 and beyond. If we are unable to obtain the required permits and approvals needed to conduct our operations on a timely basis or at all our financial condition, results of operations and prospects could be adversely and materially impacted. Separately, in February 2021, the Center for Biological Diversity filed suit against CalGEM alleging that its reliance on the Kern County EIR for oil and gas decisions violates CEQA, and that an independent environmental impact review in compliance with CEQA is required by CalGEM before the agency can issue oil and gas permits and approvals. Most recently, the Alameda County Superior Court ordered the parties to attend a mandatory settlement conference, although the case did not settle as a result and the lawsuit remains ongoing. We cannot predict its ultimate outcome or whether it could result in changes to the requirements for demonstrating compliance with CEQA and the permitting process, even if the Kern County EIR is ultimately deemed sufficient and reinstated. The potential impact of this and potentially future litigation contributes to the uncertainty with respect to our ability to timely obtain the permits and approvals needed to conduct our operations. Based on our reserves as of December 31, 2024, if we are forced to change our near-term development plans because of delays in granting permits, it could result in the loss of some amount of the proved undeveloped reserves as identified in our December 31, 2024 reserve report. In addition, any changes to the CEQA compliance requirements or the other conditions and requirements for permit issuance or renewal, including the imposition of new or more stringent environmental reviews or stricter operational or monitoring requirements, or a prohibition on the issuance of new permits for oil and has activities in Kern County or California as a whole, would have an adverse and material effect on our financial condition, results of operations and prospects. For additional information, see "Items 1 and 2. Business and Properties-Regulation of Health, Safety and Environmental Matters."
Regulation - Risk 4
Attempts by the California state government to restrict the production of oil and gas could negatively impact our operations and result in decreased demand for fossil fuels within the states where we operate.
California, where most of our operations and assets are located currently, is one of the most heavily regulated states in the United States with respect to oil and gas operations. A combination of federal, state and local laws and regulations govern most aspects of our activities in California and federal, state and local agencies may assert overlapping regulatory authority. Collectively, the effect of the existing laws and regulations is to limit the number and location of our wells through restrictions on the use of our properties, limit our ability to develop certain assets and conduct certain operations, including through a restrictive and burdensome permitting and approval process, and have the effect of reducing the amount of oil and natural gas that we can produce from our wells, potentially reducing such production below levels that would otherwise be possible or economical. Additionally, the regulatory burden on the industry in the past has resulted, and in the future could result, in increased costs, and consequently has had an adverse effect upon operations, capital expenditures, earnings and our competitive position and may continue to have such effects in the future. Violations and liabilities with respect to these laws and regulations could also result in reputational damage and significant administrative, civil, or criminal penalties, remedial clean-ups, natural resource damages, permit modifications or revocations, operational interruptions or shutdowns, and other liabilities. The costs of remedying such conditions may be significant, and remediation obligations could adversely affect our financial condition, results of operations and future prospects. The California state government recently has taken several actions that could adversely impact future oil and gas production and other activities in the state. For additional information, see "Items 1 and 2. Business and Properties-Regulation of Health, Safety and Environmental Matters." The clear trend in California is to impose increasingly stringent restrictions on oil and natural gas activities. We cannot predict what actions the Governor of California, the California State Legislature, or state agencies may take in the future, but we could face increased compliance costs, delays in obtaining the approvals necessary for our operations, exposure to increased liability, or other limitations as a result of future actions by these parties. Moreover, new developments resulting from the current and future actions of these parties could also materially and adversely affect our ability to operate, successfully execute drilling plans, or otherwise develop our reserves. Accordingly, recent and future actions by the Governor of California, the California State Legislature, and state agencies could materially and adversely affect our business, results of operations, and financial condition.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities2 | 4.7%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
We may be involved in legal proceedings that could result in substantial liabilities.
Like many oil and natural gas companies, we are from time to time involved in various legal and other proceedings, such as title, royalty or contractual disputes, regulatory compliance matters and personal injury or property damage matters, in the ordinary course of our business. Such legal proceedings are inherently uncertain and their results cannot be predicted. Regardless of the outcome, such proceedings could have a material adverse impact on us because of legal costs, diversion of the attention of management and other personnel and other factors. In addition, resolution of one or more such proceedings could result in liability, loss of contractual or other rights, penalties or sanctions, as well as judgments, consent decrees or orders requiring a change in our business practices. Accruals for such liability, penalties or sanctions may be insufficient, and judgments and estimates to determine accruals or range of losses related to legal and other proceedings could change materially from one period to the next.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 2
We may incur substantial losses and be subject to substantial liability claims as a result of catastrophic events. We may not be insured for, or our insurance may be inadequate to protect us against, these risks.
We are not fully insured against all risks. Our oil and natural gas E&P activities, are subject to risks such as fires, explosions, oil and natural gas leaks, oil spills, pipeline and tank ruptures and unauthorized discharges of brine, well stimulation and completion fluids, toxic gases or other pollutants into the surface and subsurface environment, equipment failures and industrial accidents. We are exposed to similar risks indirectly through our customers and other market participants such as refiners. Other catastrophic events such as earthquakes, floods, mudslides, fires, droughts, contagious diseases, terrorist attacks and other events that cause operations to cease or be curtailed may adversely affect our business and the communities in which we operate. For example, utilities have begun to suspend electric services to avoid wildfires during windy periods in California, a business disruption risk that is not insured. We may be unable to obtain, or may elect not to obtain, insurance for certain risks if we believe that the cost of available insurance is excessive relative to the risks presented.
Taxation & Government Incentives1 | 2.3%
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 1
Potential future legislation may generally affect the taxation of natural gas and oil exploration and development companies and may adversely affect our operations and cash flows.
In past years, federal and state level legislation has been proposed that would, if enacted into law, make significant changes to tax laws, including to certain key U.S. federal and state income tax provisions currently available to natural gas and oil exploration and development companies. Such proposed legislation has included, but has not been limited to, (i) eliminating the immediate deduction for intangible drilling and development costs, (ii) repealing the percentage depletion allowance for oil and natural gas properties, (iii) extending the amortization period for certain geological and geophysical expenditures, (iv) eliminating certain other tax deductions and relief previously available to oil and natural gas companies, and (v) increasing the U.S. federal income tax rate applicable to corporations (such as us). It is unclear whether these or similar changes will be enacted and, if enacted, how soon any such changes could take effect. The passage of any legislation as a result of these proposals and other similar changes in U.S. federal income tax laws could adversely affect our operations and cash flows. Additionally, in California, there have been proposals for new taxes on profits that might have a negative impact on us. Although the proposals have not become law, campaigns by various special interest groups could lead to future additional oil and natural gas severance or other taxes. The imposition of such taxes could significantly reduce our profit margins and cash flow and otherwise significantly increase our costs.
Environmental / Social2 | 4.7%
Environmental / Social - Risk 1
The Climate Corporate Data Accountability Act and Climate-Related Financial Risk Act both impose climate-related reporting obligations including GHG emissions which could result in additional costs for compliance, restrictions on our access to capital, and increased litigation and reputational risk.
The Governor of California signed the Climate Corporate Data Accountability Act ("CCDAA"), or SB 253, into law on October 7, 2023, alongside the Climate-Related Financial Risk Act ("CRFRA"), or SB 261. The CCDAA requires both public and private U.S. companies that are "doing business in California" and that have a total annual revenue of $1 billion to publicly disclose and verify, on an annual basis, Scope 1, 2 and 3 GHG emissions. The CRFRA requires the disclosure of a climate-related financial risk report (in line with the Task Force on the Climate-related Financial Disclosures recommendations or equivalent disclosure requirements under the International Sustainability Standards Board's climate-related disclosure standards) every other year for public and private companies that are "doing business in California" and have total annual revenue of $500 million. Reporting under both laws would begin in 2026, though the Governor of California has directed further consideration of the implementation deadlines for each of the laws. Both laws have been challenged in the U.S. District Court for the Central District of California. While the litigation remains in its early stages, to date the court has dismissed all of the plaintiffs' claims except for the First Amendment challenge. No stay has been granted pending resolution of this litigation so both laws are currently in effect. Further, on September 27, 2024, the California Governor amended both SB 253 and SB 261 by signing into law Senate Bill 291 ("SB 291"), which extends the time in which CARB has to promulgate implementing regulations for SB 251 until July 1, 2025, a delay of six months. Otherwise, SB 291 does not change reporting deadlines. Currently, we are still assessing the potential impacts of these laws; however, implementation may result in additional costs to comply with these disclosure requirements as well as increased costs of and restrictions on access to capital if our disclosures are not perceived as meeting applicable third-party verification of GHG emissions and climate-related criteria. Separately, enhanced climate-related disclosure requirements could lead to reputational or other harm to our relationships with customers, regulators, investors or other stakeholders. In addition, we may also face increased litigation risks arising from enhanced climate-related disclosure requirements relating to alleged damages resulting from GHG emissions from our operations, statements alleged to have been made by us or others in our industry regarding climate change risks, or in connection with any future disclosures we may make regarding reported emissions, particularly given the inherent complexity of multiple, overlapping GHG reporting regulations with respect to calculating and reporting GHG emissions.
Environmental / Social - Risk 2
Increasing attention to environmental, social and governance ("ESG") matters may impact our business.
Increasing attention to, and social expectations on companies to address, climate change and other environmental and social impacts, investor and societal explanations regarding voluntary or mandatory ESG disclosures, and increased consumer demand for alternative forms of energy may result in increased costs, reduced demand for our products, reduced profits, increased investigations and litigation, and negative impacts on our stock price and access to capital. Increasing attention to climate change and environmental conservation, for example, may result in demand shifts for oil and natural gas products and additional governmental investigations and private litigation against us. To the extent that societal pressures or political or other factors are involved, it is possible that such liability could be imposed without regard to our causation of or contribution to the asserted damage, or to other mitigating factors. While we may participate in various voluntary frameworks and certification programs to improve the ESG profile of our operations and products, we cannot guarantee that such participation or certification will have the intended results on our or our products' ESG profile. Moreover, while we may create and publish voluntary disclosures regarding ESG matters from time to time, many of the statements in those voluntary disclosures will be based on expectations and assumptions or hypothetical scenarios that may or may not be representative of current or actual risks or events or forecasts of expected risks or events, including the costs associated therewith. Such expectations and assumptions or hypothetical scenarios are necessarily uncertain and may be prone to error or subject to misinterpretation given the long timelines involved and the lack of an established approach to identifying, measuring and reporting on many ESG matters. Additionally, while we may also announce various voluntary ESG targets in the near future, such targets are often aspirational. We may not be able to meet such targets in the manner or on such a timeline as initially contemplated, including, but not limited to as a result of unforeseen costs, unanticipated changes in societal behavior, or technical difficulties associated with achieving such results. To the extent we do meet such targets, they may be achieved through various contractual arrangements, including the purchase of various credits or offsets. We cannot guarantee that there will be sufficient offsets available for purchase given the demand from numerous businesses implementing net zero goals, or that, notwithstanding our reliance on any reputable third-party registries, that the offsets we do purchase will successfully achieve the emissions reductions they represent. Some of these arrangements may receive scrutiny from certain constituencies who criticize the methodology of offsets or do not believe offsets should be utilized to neutralize GHG emissions. Also, despite these aspirational goals, we may receive pressure from investors, lenders, or other groups to adopt more aggressive climate or other ESG-related goals, but we cannot guarantee that we will be able to pursue or implement such goals because of potential costs or technical or operational obstacles. In addition, organizations that provide information to investors on corporate governance and related matters have developed ratings processes for evaluating companies on their approach to ESG matters. Such ratings are used by some investors to inform their investment and voting decisions. Unfavorable ESG ratings may lead to increased negative investor sentiment toward us or our customers and to the diversion of investment, to other industries which could have a negative impact on our stock price and/or our access to and costs of capital. Moreover, to the extent ESG matters negatively impact our reputation, we may not be able to compete as effectively or recruit or retain employees, which may adversely affect our operations. Certain public statements with respect to ESG matters, such as emissions reduction goals, other environmental targets, or other commitments addressing certain social or conclusion initiatives, are becoming increasingly subject to heightened scrutiny from public and governmental authorities. For example, the SEC has recently taken enforcement action against companies for ESG-related misconduct, including alleged "greenwashing," i.e., misleading information or false claims overstating potential ESG benefits. Certain non-governmental organizations and other private actors have also filed lawsuits under various securities and consumer protection laws alleging that certain ESG statements, goals, or standards were misleading, false or otherwise deceptive. Certain social and inclusion initiatives are the subject of scrutiny by both those calling for the continued advancement of such policies, as well as those who believe they should be curbed, including government actors, and the complex regulatory and legal frameworks applicable to such initiatives. More recent political developments could mean that the Company faces increasing criticism or litigation risks from certain "anti-ESG" parties including various government agencies. Such sentiment may focus on the Company's environmental or social or inclusion initiatives which anti-ESG proponents may assert as unlawful, political or polarizing in nature or are alleged to violate laws based, in part, on changing priorities of, or interpretations by, federal agencies or state governments. Consideration of ESG-related factors in the Company's decision-making could be subject to increasing scrutiny and objection from such anti-ESG parties. As a result, the Company may be subject to pressure from the media or through other means, such as governmental investigations, enforcement actions, or other proceedings, all of which could adversely affect our reputation, business, financial performance, market access and growth. Accordingly, there may be increased costs related to review, implementation, and management of such policies, as well as compliance and litigation risks based both on positions we do or do not take, or work we do or do not perform. Such ESG matters may also impact our customers or suppliers, which may adversely impact our business, financial condition, or results of operations.
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 6/43 (14%)Above Sector Average
Economy & Political Environment3 | 7.0%
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 1
Inflation could adversely impact our ability to control our costs, including our operating expenses and capital costs.
The U.S. inflation rate has become more significant in recent years. Similar to other companies in our industry, we experienced inflationary pressures on our operating costs- namely inflationary pressures have resulted in increases to the costs of our goods, services and personnel, which in turn, have caused our capital expenditures and operating costs to rise. Such inflationary pressures have resulted from supply chain disruptions caused by the COVID pandemic, increased demand, labor shortages and other factors, including the conflict between Russia and the Ukraine. During 2024, inflation rates began to stabilize and even decrease. We are unable to accurately predict if such inflationary pressures and contributing factors will continue through 2025. To the extent inflation begins to increase again, we may experience further cost increases for our operations, including natural gas purchases and oilfield services and equipment as increasing oil, natural gas and NGL prices increase drilling activity in our areas of operations, as well as increased labor costs. An increase in oil, natural gas and NGL prices may cause the costs of materials and services to rise. We cannot predict any future trends in the rate of inflation and a significant increase in inflation, to the extent we are unable to recover higher costs through higher commodity prices and revenues, would negatively impact our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 2
The Inflation Reduction Act could accelerate the transition to a low-carbon economy and could impose new costs on our operations.
In August 2022, President Biden signed the IRA into law. The IRA contains hundreds of billions of dollars in incentives for the development of renewable energy, clean hydrogen, clean fuels, electric vehicles and supporting infrastructure and CCS, amongst other provisions. In addition, the IRA imposes the first ever federal fee on the emission of GHGs through a methane emissions charge. The IRA amends the Clean Air Act to impose a fee on the emission of methane from sources required to report their GHG emissions to the EPA, including those sources in the onshore petroleum and natural gas production categories. The annual methane emissions charge began in calendar year 2024 at $900 per ton of methane, increased to $1,200 in 2025, and will be set at $1,500 for 2026 and each year thereafter. Calculation of the fee is based on certain thresholds established in the IRA. In addition, the multiple incentives offered for various clean energy industries referenced above could further accelerate the transition of the economy away from fossil fuels towards lower- or zero-carbon emission alternatives. Relatedly, in November 2024, the EPA finalized a rule implementing the requirements of the IRA methane emissions fee; namely, to impose and collect an annual charge on methane emissions that exceed specified waste emissions thresholds from facilities reporting more than 25,000 metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent of greenhouse gases per year pursuant to the petroleum and natural gas system source category requirements of the agency's Greenhouse Gas Reporting Rule, which limits the use of netting and other exemptions available under the IRA for reducing the methane fee. We cannot predict whether, how, or when the new administration might take action to revise or repeal the methane charge rule. Additionally, Congress may take actions to repeal or revise the IRA 2022, including with respect to the methane emissions charge, which timing or outcome similarly cannot be predicted. To the extent that the methane charges and various incentives for clean energy industries are implemented as originally promulgated, this could decrease demand for crude oil and natural gas, increase our compliance and operating costs and consequently materially and adversely affect our business and results of operations.
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 3
Global geopolitical tensions and related price volatility and geopolitical instability could negatively impact our business.
In late February 2022, Russia launched significant military action against Ukraine. The conflict has caused, and could intensify, volatility in the prices of natural gas, oil and NGLs, and the extent and duration of the military action, sanctions and resulting market disruptions have been significant and could continue to have a substantial impact on the global economy and our business for an unknown period of time. There is evidence that the increase in crude oil prices during the first half of calendar year 2022 was partially due to the impact of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine on the global commodity and financial markets, and in response to economic and trade sanctions that certain countries have imposed on Russia. Alternatively, a cessation of the hostilities between Russia and Ukraine as a result of a negotiated withdrawal or otherwise could cause commodity prices to decline, which would reduce the revenues we receive for our oil and gas production. Additionally, on October 7, 2023, Hamas, a U.S. designated terrorist organization, launched a series of coordinated attacks from the Gaza Strip onto Israel. On October 8, 2023, Israel formally declared war on Hamas, and the armed conflict is ongoing as of the date of this filing. Hostilities between Israel and Hamas could escalate and involve surrounding countries in the Middle East. Although the length, impact and outcome of the military conflicts between Ukraine and Russia and between Israel and Hamas are highly unpredictable, these conflicts could lead to significant market and other disruptions, including significant volatility in commodity prices and supply of energy resources, instability in financial markets, supply chain interruptions, political and social instability and other material and adverse effects on macroeconomic conditions. It is not possible at this time to predict or determine the ultimate consequence of these regional conflicts. Any such volatility and disruptions may also magnify the impact of the other risks described in this "Risk Factors" section.
Natural and Human Disruptions2 | 4.7%
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 1
Our operations are subject to a series of risks arising out of the threat of climate change that could result in increased operating costs, limit the areas in which we may conduct oil and natural gas E&P activities, and reduce demand for the oil and natural gas we produce.
The threat of climate change continues to attract considerable attention in the United States and in foreign countries. Numerous proposals have been made and could continue to be made at the international, national,regional and state levels of government to monitor and limit existing emissions of GHGs, as well as to restrict or eliminate such future emissions. As a result, our oil and natural gas E&P operations are subject to a series of regulatory, political, litigation, and financial risks associated with the production and processing of fossil fuels and emission of GHGs. In the United States, no comprehensive climate change legislation has been implemented at the federal level. However, with the U.S. Supreme Court finding that GHG emissions constitute a pollutant under the CAA, the EPA adopted rules that, among other things, established construction and operating permit reviews for GHG emissions from certain large stationary sources, required the monitoring and annual reporting of GHG emissions from certain petroleum and natural gas system sources in the United States, and together with the DOT, implemented GHG emissions limits on vehicles manufactured for operation in the United States. However, from time to time, certain administrations have taken actions to repeal or revise such climate-related actions. For example, the regulation of methane from oil and gas facilities has been subject to uncertainty in recent years but, in December 2023, the EPA finalized more stringent methane rules for new, modified, and reconstructed facilities, known as "OOOOb", as well as standards for existing sources for the first time ever, known as "OOOOc". Under the final rules, states have two years to prepare and submit their plans to impose methane emissions controls on existing sources. The presumptive standards established under the final rule are generally the same for both new and existing sources and include enhanced leak detection survey requirements using optical gas imaging and other advanced monitoring to encourage the deployment of innovative technologies to detect and reduce methane emissions, reduction of emissions by 95% through capture and control systems, zero-emission requirements for certain devices, and the establishment of a "super emitter" response program that would allow third parties to make reports to EPA of larger methane emission events, triggering certain investigation and repair requirements. The rules have been subject to legal challenge, and in February 2025, the D.C. Circuit Court granted the EPA's motion to hold the cases in abeyance while the agency reviews the final rules. While the Trump administration may take action to repeal or modify the final rules, we cannot predict the substance or timing of such changes, if any. Moreover, compliance with the new rules may affect the amount we owe under the IRA, signed into law on August 16, 2022, which imposes a fee on the emissions of methane from certain sources in the oil and natural gas sector. However, compliance with the EPA's methane rule would exempt an otherwise covered facility from the requirement to pay the fee. For additional information, please see "-The Inflation Reduction Act could accelerate the transition to a low-carbon economy and could impose new costs on our operations." The requirements of the EPA's final methane rules and, as applicable, the IRA's methane emissions fee, could increase our operating costs and accelerate the transition away from oil and gas, which could adversely affect our business and results of operations. Moreover, failure to comply with these requirements could result in the imposition of substantial fines and penalties, as well as costly injunctive relief. Additionally, various states and groups of states have adopted or are considering adopting legislation, regulations or other regulatory initiatives that are focused on such areas as GHG cap and trade programs, carbon taxes, reporting and tracking programs, and restriction of GHG emissions, such as methane. For example, California, through the CARB has implemented a cap and trade program for GHG emissions that sets a statewide maximum limit on covered GHG emissions, and this cap declines annually to reach 40% below 1990 levels by 2030. Covered entities must either reduce their GHG emissions or purchase allowances to account for such emissions. Separately, California has implemented the LCFS and associated tradable credits that require a progressively lower carbon intensity of the state's fuel supply than baseline gasoline and diesel fuels. Recently, CARB finalized amendments to the LCFS program to include increasing 2030 carbon intensity targets from 20% to 30% and extending carbon intensity reduction targets to 90% by 2045. The final rulemaking package was submitted to the Office of Administrative Law on January 3, 2025, but on February 18, 2025, the Office of Administrative Law issued a Notice of Disapproval citing clarity and incorrect procedure as grounds for its disapproval. CARB may resubmit the finalized amendments within 120 days of receipt of the disapproval decision after resolving the identified issues. CARB has also promulgated regulations regarding monitoring, leak detection, repair and reporting of methane emissions from both existing and new oil and gas production facilities. In addition to the various actions described requiring California to achieve total economy-wide carbon neutrality by 2045 California has separately adopted a law requiring the use of 100% zero-carbon electricity within the state by 2045. Additionally, the Governor of California requested that the CARB analyze pathways to phase out oil extraction across the state by no later than 2045; however, the 2022 Final Scoping Plan, the blueprint for the state's carbon neutrality goals, determined such a phase out was not feasible because of continued projected demand for fossil fuels in the transportation sector notwithstanding significant projected decreases in demand for fossil fuels for such uses by 2045. Notwithstanding this, CARB will continue to assess opportunities for phase down in its next five-year scoping plan. The 2022 Final Scoping Plan also outlines a plan to phase out natural gas use in buildings, amongst other carbon emission reduction matters. We cannot predict how these various laws, regulations and orders may ultimately affect our operations. However, these initiatives could result in decreased demand for the oil, natural gas and NGLs that we produce, or otherwise restrict or prohibit our operations altogether in California, and therefore adversely affect our revenues and results of operations. California residents, as a whole, are highly focused on climate change matters, particularly as certain physical and economic impacts, such as the inability to secure reasonably priced insurance, becomes a heightened issue. As a result, California politicians have taken, and are expected to continue to take, steps that may make it more difficult or costly for traditional energy companies to operate in the state. For example, California has, similar to other states, attempted to introduce legislation creating a "climate superfund" whereby the state has recourse to recover financial damages from companies for the impacts of climate change. New York and Vermont have recently passed such laws and, although the legislation proposed in California has not meaningfully advanced at this stage, climate superfund laws which target larger oil and gas companies could negatively impact our business and financial condition. At the international level, in 2021, the United States formally rejoined the Paris Agreement, which requires member nations to submit non-binding GHG emissions reduction goals every five years. However, on his first day in office, January 20, 2025, President Trump signed an Executive Order once again withdrawing the United States from the Paris Agreement. Additionally, the Executive Order withdraws the United States from any other commitments made under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and revokes any purported financial commitment made by the United States pursuant to the same. It is unclear what participation, if any, the United States will have in future United Nations climate-related efforts. Notwithstanding these actions, some states, including California, have, through the United States Climate Alliance, indicated a continued commitment to the goal of the Paris Agreement. The full impact of these recent developments is uncertain at this time. Governmental, scientific, and public concern over the threat of climate change arising from GHG emissions has resulted in increasing political risks in the United States, including climate change related pledges made by certain candidates for public office. Prior federal actions have included bans on new oil and gas leases on public lands, calls for more stringent regulation of methane emissions from the oil and gas sector, increased use of zero emission vehicles, restrictions on pipeline and LNG export infrastructure, and increased emphasis on climate-related risk across agencies and economic sectors. Litigation risks are also increasing, as a number of parties have sought to bring suit against oil and natural gas companies in state or federal court, alleging, among other things, that such companies created public nuisances by producing fuels that contributed to global warming effects, such as rising sea levels, and therefore are responsible for roadway and infrastructure damages as a result, or alleging that the companies have been aware of the adverse effects of climate change for some time but withheld material information from their investors or customers by failing to adequately disclose those impacts. There is also a growing trend of parties suing public companies for "greenwashing," which is where a company makes unsubstantiated statements designed to mislead consumers or shareholders into thinking that the company's products or practices are more environmentally friendly than they are. There have also recently been increasing financial risks for fossil fuel producers as certain shareholders currently invested in fossil-fuel energy companies concerned about the potential effects of climate change may elect in the future to shift some or all of their investments into non-energy related sectors. Institutional lenders who provide financing to fossil-fuel energy companies also have become more attentive to sustainable lending practices and some of them may elect not to provide funding for fossil fuel energy companies. Additionally, in March 2024, the SEC released a finalized rule that established a framework for the reporting of climate risks, targets, and metrics. However, the future of the rule is uncertain at this time given that its implementation has been stayed pending the outcome of legal challenges. Moreover, on February 11, 2025, SEC Acting Chairman Mark T. Uyeda requested that the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit not schedule arguments in the case while the SEC reconsiders the final rule. While the SEC may, under the new presidential administration, seek to repeal or otherwise modify the rules, we cannot predict whether such action will occur or its timings. For more information, see "Regulatory Matters-Regulation of Climate Change and Greenhouse Gas Emissions." The adoption and implementation of new or more stringent international, federal or state legislation, regulations or other regulatory initiatives that impose more stringent standards for GHG emissions from oil and natural gas producers such as ourselves or otherwise restrict the areas in which we may produce oil and natural gas or generate GHG emissions could result in increased costs of compliance or costs of consuming, and thereby reduce demand for or erode value for, the oil and natural gas that we produce. Additionally, political, litigation, and financial risks may result in our restricting or canceling oil and natural gas production activities, incurring liability for infrastructure damages as a result of climatic changes, or impairing our ability to continue to operate in an economic manner. Moreover, climate change may also result in various physical risks, such as the increased frequency or intensity of extreme weather events or changes in meteorological and hydrological patterns, that could adversely impact our operations, as well as those of our operators and their supply chains. Such physical risks may result in damage to our facilities or otherwise adversely impact our operations, such as if we become subject to water use curtailments in response to drought, or demand for our products, such as to the extent warmer winters reduce the demand for energy for heating purposes. Such physical risks may also impact our supply chain or infrastructure on which we rely to produce or transport our products. One or more of these developments could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operation.
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 2
Changed
A significant amount of our operations are in California, much of which is conducted in areas that may be at risk of damage from fire, mudslides, earthquakes, floods or other natural disasters or extreme weather events.
We currently conduct operations in California near known wildfire and mudslide areas and earthquake fault zones. A future natural disaster, or extreme weather event, such as a fire, mudslide, flood, drought or an earthquake, could cause substantial interruption and delays in our operations, damage or destroy equipment, prevent or delay transport of our products and cause us to incur additional expenses, which would adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations. In addition, our facilities would be difficult to replace and would require substantial lead time to repair or replace. For example, from time to time severe winter storms caused operational challenges, production downtime, and much higher natural gas prices in California, and extreme, adverse weather conditions, including flooding, have also at times impacted our operations and production levels. These events could occur with greater frequency as a result of the potential impacts from climate change. The insurance we maintain against earthquakes, mudslides, fires, floods and other natural disasters would not be adequate to cover a total loss of our facilities, may not be adequate to cover our losses in any particular case and may not continue to be available to us on acceptable terms, or at all.
Capital Markets1 | 2.3%
Capital Markets - Risk 1
Added
Our operations and financial performance may be negatively affected directly or indirectly by changes in trade policies and tariffs.
In recent years, the United States increased tariffs for certain goods, which triggered other nations to also increase tariffs on certain of their goods. In recent weeks, the current administration has made many announcements regarding tariffs and the extent and duration of such tariffs remain uncertain. If maintained, the newly announced tariffs and the potential escalation of trade disputes could pose a risk to our business and also directly impact our operating expenses. For example, the United States recently announced 25% tariffs on imported steel which are likely to lead to increased material costs.
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 2/43 (5%)Above Sector Average
Competition1 | 2.3%
Competition - Risk 1
Competition in the oil and natural gas industry is intense, making it more difficult for us to acquire properties, market oil or natural gas and secure trained personnel.
Our future success will depend on our ability to evaluate, select and acquire suitable properties, market our production and secure skilled personnel to operate our assets in a highly competitive environment. Also, there is substantial competition for capital available for investment in the oil and natural gas industry. Many of our competitors possess and employ greater financial, technical and personnel resources than we do.
Sales & Marketing1 | 2.3%
Sales & Marketing - Risk 1
We have significant concentrations of credit risk with our customers and the inability of one or more of our customers to meet their obligations or the loss of any one of our major oil and natural gas purchasers may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
We have significant concentrations of credit risk with the purchasers of our oil and natural gas. For the year ended December 31, 2024, sales to PBF Holding, Chevron and Phillips 66 accounted for approximately 30%, 28% and 10%, respectively, of our sales. This concentration may impact our overall credit risk because our customers may be similarly affected by changes in economic conditions or commodity price fluctuations. We do not require our customers to post collateral. If the purchasers of our oil and natural gas become insolvent, we may be unable to collect amounts owed to us. Also, if we were to lose any one of our major customers, the loss could cause us to cease or delay both production and sale of our oil and natural gas in the area supplying that customer. Due to the terms of supply agreements with our customers, we may not know that a customer is unable to make payment to us until almost two months after production has been delivered. We do not require our customers to post collateral to protect our ability to be paid.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 1/43 (2%)Above Sector Average
Technology1 | 2.3%
Technology - Risk 1
Information technology and operational failures and cyberattacks could significantly affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
We rely on electronic information systems and networks to communicate, control and manage our operations and prepare our financial management and reporting information. User access and security of our sites and systems are critical elements of our operations, as are cloud security and protection against cybersecurity incidents. Without accurate data from and access to these systems and networks, our ability to communicate, control and manage our business could be adversely affected. We face various cybersecurity threats, including attempts to gain unauthorized access to sensitive information, or render data, or systems unusable. We also face threats to the security of our facilities, third-party facilities and operational technology and infrastructure, such as processing plants and pipelines. We are also susceptible to threats from malicious threats and advanced nation state threat actors. We have experienced cybersecurity incidents but have not suffered any material adverse impacts to our business and operations as a result of such incidents. Our implementation of various procedures and controls to monitor and mitigate security threats and to increase security for our information, facilities and infrastructure may result in increased capital and operating costs. Moreover, there can be no assurance that such procedures and controls will be sufficient to prevent security breaches or other incidents from occurring. If a security breach were to occur, it could lead to losses of sensitive information, critical infrastructure or capabilities essential to our operations, misdirected wire transfers, an inability to settle transactions or maintain operations, disruptions in operations or other adverse events. If we were to experience an attack and our security measures failed, the potential consequences to our business and the communities in which we operate could be significant and could harm our reputation and lead to financial losses from remedial actions, loss of business or potential liability, including regulatory enforcement, violation of privacy or securities laws and regulations, and individual or class action claims. The energy industry has become increasingly dependent on digital technologies to conduct day-to-day operations, and the use of mobile communication devices has rapidly increased. Industrial control systems such as supervisory control and data acquisition ("SCADA") systems now control large-scale processes that can include multiple sites across long distances. The Company's technologies, systems, networks, including its SCADA system, and those of its business partners may become the target of cyberattacks or security breaches. In addition, the frequency and magnitude of cyberattacks is increasing and attackers have become more sophisticated. Cyberattacks are similarly evolving and include without limitation use of malicious software, surveillance, credential stuffing, spear phishing, social engineering, use of deepfakes (i.e., highly realistic synthetic media generated by artificial intelligence), attempts to gain unauthorized access to data, and other electronic security breaches that could lead to disruptions in critical systems, unauthorized release of confidential or otherwise protected information and corruption of data. We may be unable to anticipate, detect or prevent future attacks, particularly as the methodologies used by attackers change frequently or are not recognized until deployed. We may also be unable to investigate or remediate incidents as attackers are increasingly using techniques and tools designed to circumvent controls, to avoid detection, and to remove or obfuscate forensic evidence.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.

FAQ

What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
    The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
      They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
        It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
          How do companies disclose their risk factors?
          Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
            Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
              Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
                According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
                  How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
                  Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
                    You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
                      Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
                        A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
                          What are all the risk factor categories?
                          TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
                          1. Financial & Corporate
                          • Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
                          • Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
                          • Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
                          • Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
                          2. Legal & Regulatory
                          • Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
                          • Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
                          • Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
                          • Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
                          3. Production
                          • Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
                          • Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
                          • Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
                          • Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
                          4. Technology & Innovation
                          • Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
                          • Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
                          • Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
                          • Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
                          5. Ability to Sell
                          • Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
                          • Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
                          • Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
                          • Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
                          6. Macro & Political
                          • Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
                          • Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
                          • International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
                          • Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.
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