Boeing (BA) Risk Analysis

The commercial aircraft business is extremely complex, involving extensive coordination and integration with suppliers, highly-skilled labor performed by thousands of employees, and stringent and evolving regulatory requirements and performance and reliability standards. As a result, our ability to deliver aircraft on time, satisfy regulatory and customer requirements, and achieve or maintain, as applicable, program profitability is subject to significant risks. The introduction of new aircraft programs and/or derivatives, such as the 777X, 737-7 and 737-10, takes years and involves significant risks associated with meeting development, testing, certification, and production schedules. We follow the lead of the FAA as we work through the certification process, and the FAA ultimately determines the timing of certification and entry into service. There have been significant delays on each of these development programs and if we experience additional delays in achieving certification or meeting customer commitments, or if we or our suppliers are unable to timely and effectively address issues discovered during certification and testing and/or efficiently and cost-effectively incorporate required design changes into production aircraft, our financial position, results of operations and cash flows would be adversely impacted. For example, the 777X program, which launched in 2013 and is currently expecting first delivery in 2027, recognized additional reach-forward losses of $4.9 billion and $3.5 billion in 2025 and 2024, primarily due to production challenges, certification and delivery delays, and higher estimated labor and supplier costs. A number of our customers have contractual remedies, including compensation for late deliveries or rights to reject individual airplane deliveries based on delivery delays. Delays on the 737, 777X and 787 programs have resulted in, and may continue to result in, customers having the right to terminate orders, be compensated for late deliveries and/or substitute orders for other Boeing aircraft. We must minimize disruption caused by production changes, achieve and maintain operational stability and implement productivity improvements to meet customer demand and maintain our profitability. We have plans to increase production rates on several of our commercial aircraft programs, while continuing ongoing development and production of new or derivative aircraft. These plans include increasing the 737 production rate to 47 per month in 2026, as well as further production rate increases that will require a new production line. There is risk that planned production rate increases may be delayed or not occur at all if our production health key performance indicators and rate readiness process guided by our Safety Management System do not support increasing production rates or we are unable to obtain FAA concurrence. Similarly, there is risk that planned 787 production rate increases may be delayed or not occur at all. We also continue to seek opportunities to reduce the costs of building our aircraft, including working with our suppliers to reduce supplier costs, identifying and implementing productivity improvements and optimizing how we manage inventory. If production rate changes on any of our programs are delayed or create significant disruption to our production system, or if our suppliers cannot timely deliver components that comply with design specifications to us at the cost and rates necessary to achieve our targets, we may be unable to meet delivery schedules and/or the financial performance of one or more of our programs may suffer. Operational challenges impacting the production system for one or more of our commercial aircraft programs could result in additional production delays and/or failure to meet customer demand for new aircraft, either of which would negatively impact our revenues and operating margins. Our commercial aircraft production system is extremely complex. Operational issues, including certification and/or delivery delays, quality issues, labor instability, supply chain constraints, defects in supplier components, failure to meet internal performance plans, or delays or failures to achieve required regulatory approval, result in additional out-of-sequence work and increased production costs, as well as delayed deliveries to customers, impacts to aircraft performance and/or increased warranty or fleet support costs. For example, as part of our plan to improve safety and quality and to address the issues identified by the FAA following the 737-9 door plug accident in January 2024, we slowed 737 production rates and delayed planned production rate increases to reduce traveled work in our factory and at our suppliers. These actions, as well as our recent acquisition of Spirit (Spirit Acquisition), significantly impacted our financial position, results of operations and cash flows. We and our suppliers have experienced supply chain disruptions and constraints, labor instability and inflationary pressures. These factors have and may continue to reduce overall productivity and adversely impact our financial position, results of operations and cash flows. If our commercial aircraft fail to satisfy performance and reliability requirements and/or potentially required sustainability standards, we could face additional costs and/or lower revenues. Developing and manufacturing commercial aircraft that meet or exceed our performance and reliability standards and/or potentially required sustainability standards, as well as those of customers and regulatory agencies, is costly and technologically challenging. These challenges are particularly significant with newer aircraft programs. Any failure of any Boeing aircraft to satisfy performance or reliability requirements could result in disruption to our operations, higher costs and/or lower revenues.

We rely on other companies, including U.S. and non-U.S. subcontractors and suppliers, to provide and produce raw materials, integrated components and sub-assemblies, and production commodities and to perform some of the services that we provide to our customers. Many of our suppliers are experiencing inflationary pressures, as well as resource constraints and disruptions due to production quality issues, global supply chain constraints, and labor instability. If one or more of our suppliers or subcontractors continue to experience financial difficulties, delivery delays or other performance problems, we may be unable to meet commitments to our customers and our financial position, results of operations and cash flows may continue to be adversely impacted. In addition, if one or more of the raw materials on which we depend (such as aluminum, titanium or composites) becomes unavailable to us or our suppliers, or is available only at very high prices, including as a result of increased tariffs and trade restrictions, or has quality issues or defects, we may be unable to deliver one or more of our products in a timely fashion or at budgeted costs. In some instances, we depend upon a single source of supply. Any service disruption from one of these suppliers, either due to circumstances beyond the supplier's control, such as geopolitical developments, or as a result of performance problems or financial difficulties, could have a material adverse effect on our ability to meet commitments to our customers or increase our operating costs.

We are involved in a number of litigation matters. These matters divert financial and management resources that would otherwise be used to benefit our operations. No assurances can be given that the results of these matters will be favorable to us. An adverse resolution of any of these lawsuits, or future lawsuits, could have a material impact on our financial position, results of operations and cash flows, or cause reputational harm. In addition, we are subject to extensive regulation under the laws of the United States and its various states, as well as other jurisdictions in which we operate and/or market our products. As a result, we are subject to government inquiries and investigations due, among other things, to our business relationships with the U.S. government, the heavily regulated nature of our industry, accidents involving our products and in the case of environmental proceedings, our current or past ownership of certain property. Any such inquiry or investigation could result in an adverse ruling against us, which could have a material impact on our financial position, results of operations and/or cash flows, or cause reputational harm. For additional information about legal proceedings, investigations and inquiries, see Note 23 to our Consolidated Financial Statements.

Contracts in the commercial satellite industry and certain government satellite contracts include in-orbit incentive payments. These in-orbit payments may be paid over time after final satellite acceptance or paid in full prior to final satellite acceptance. In both cases, the in-orbit incentive payment is at risk if the satellite does not perform to specifications for up to 15 years after acceptance. The net present value of in-orbit incentive fees we ultimately expect to realize is recognized as revenue in the construction period. If the satellite fails to meet contractual performance criteria, customers may not be obligated to continue making in-orbit payments and/or we may be required to provide refunds to the customer and incur significant charges.

The markets in which we operate are highly competitive and one or more of our competitors may have more extensive or more specialized engineering, manufacturing and marketing capabilities than we do in some areas. In our BCA business, we face aggressive international competition intent on increasing market share. In our BDS business, we anticipate that the effects of defense industry consolidation, shifting acquisition and budget priorities, the entry and growth of private capital-backed and other non-traditional defense companies, and continued cost pressure at our DoW and non-U.S. customers will intensify competition for many of our BDS products. Our BGS segment faces competition from many of the same strong U.S. and non-U.S. competitors facing BCA and BDS. Furthermore, we are facing increased international competition and cross-border consolidation of competition, and U.S. procurement and compliance requirements that could limit our ability to be cost-competitive in the international market. There can be no assurance that we will be able to compete successfully against our current or future competitors or that the competitive pressures we face will not result in reduced revenues and market share.

We derive a substantial portion of our revenue from the U.S. government, primarily from defense related programs with the United States Department of War (DoW) and contracts with other government agencies, including NASA. Levels of U.S. defense spending are very difficult to predict and may be impacted by numerous factors such as the evolving nature of the national security threat environment, U.S. national security strategy, U.S. foreign policy, the domestic political environment, macroeconomic conditions and the ability of the U.S. government to enact relevant legislation such as authorization and appropriations bills. The government may also constrain discretionary spending by instituting enforceable spending caps. The timeliness of annual appropriations for U.S. government departments and agencies remains a recurrent risk. Congress may fund government departments and agencies with one or more continuing resolutions, which could delay new programs or competitions and/or negatively impact the execution of certain program activities. A lapse in appropriations for government departments or agencies would result in a full or partial government shutdown, which could impact our operations. In the event of a prolonged shutdown, requirements to furlough employees in the DoW, the Department of Transportation, including the FAA, or other government agencies could result in payment delays, impair our ability to deliver commercial airplanes or perform work on existing contracts, delays in the certification of new aircraft or otherwise impact our operations, negatively impact future orders, and/or cause other disruptions or delays. There is uncertainty regarding which government functions would shut down or continue operations during a lapse in appropriations, and corresponding uncertainty regarding the extent or magnitude of potential impacts to our operations. For additional information on U.S. government appropriations and budgets, see "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations – Additional Considerations – U.S. Government Funding" on page 31 of this Form 10-K. In addition, there continues to be uncertainty with respect to future acquisition priorities and program-level appropriations for the DoW, NASA and other government agencies, including changes to national security and defense priorities, and tension between modernization investments, sustainment investments, and investments in new technologies or emergent capabilities. Future investment priority changes or budget cuts, including changes associated with the authorizations and appropriations process, could result in reductions, cancellations, and/or delays of existing contracts or programs or future program opportunities. Any of these impacts could have a material effect on our financial position, results of operations and/or cash flows. As a result of the significant ongoing uncertainty with respect to both U.S. defense spending and the evolving nature of the national security threat environment, we also expect the DoW to continue to emphasize affordability, innovation, cybersecurity and delivery of technical data and software in its procurement processes, including the implementation of cybersecurity compliance requirements on the Defense Industrial Base, for which the supply chain may not be fully prepared. If we and our suppliers are unable to adjust to these changing acquisition priorities and policies, our revenues and market share could be impacted.

In 2025, non-U.S. customers, which include Foreign Military Sales through the U.S. government (FMS), accounted for 46% of our total revenues and 60% of Commercial Airplanes revenue from customer contracts. We expect non-U.S. sales will continue to account for a significant portion of our revenues for the foreseeable future. We are subject to risks of doing business internationally, including: - changes in regulatory requirements or other executive branch actions, such as Executive Orders;- changes in the global trade environment, including potential deterioration in geopolitical or trade relations between countries;- disputes with authorities in non-U.S. jurisdictions, including international trade authorities;- imposition of domestic and international taxes, export controls, tariffs, duties, embargoes, sanctions and other trade restrictions;- tariffs, duties or other costs attributable to the importation of raw materials, parts, products and services, which could impact sales and/or delivery of products and services outside the U.S. and/or impose increased costs on us, our supply chain or our customers;- changes to U.S. and non-U.S. government policies, including sourcing restrictions, requirements to expend a portion of program funds locally and governmental industrial cooperation or participation requirements;- fluctuations in international currency exchange rates;- volatility in international political and economic environments and changes in non-U.S. national priorities and budgets, which can lead to delays or fluctuations in orders;- the complexity and necessity of using non-U.S. representatives and consultants;- the uncertainty of the ability of non-U.S. customers to finance purchases, including the availability of financing from the Export-Import Bank of the United States;- uncertainties and restrictions concerning the availability of funding credit or guarantees;- the difficulty of management and operation of an enterprise spread over many countries;- compliance with a variety of non-U.S. laws, as well as U.S. laws affecting the activities of U.S. companies abroad; and - unforeseen developments and conditions, including terrorism, war, epidemics and international tensions and conflicts. While the impact of these factors is difficult to predict, any one or more of these factors could adversely affect our operations. The global trade environment remains highly dynamic and continues to evolve. Current U.S. trade policy includes the imposition of baseline, sectoral or country-specific tariffs on imports. Other countries have announced retaliatory actions or plans for retaliatory actions. Tariffs and any retaliatory actions could significantly increase the cost of our products and, particularly with respect to our commercial aircraft, result in lower demand for our products, delivery delays, and terminations of orders by customers. China is a significant market for commercial aircraft and we have long-standing relationships with our Chinese customers. Overall, the U.S.-China trade relationship is challenged due to tariffs, sanctions, and export restrictions, as well as other economic and national security concerns. For example, in the second quarter of 2025, certain customers in China paused accepting our deliveries in response to ongoing tariff negotiations between the U.S. and China. Although deliveries to those customers have since resumed, if we are unable to deliver aircraft to customers in China consistent with our assumptions and/or obtain additional orders from China in the future, we may experience reduced deliveries and/or lower market share. Impacts from potential deterioration in geopolitical or trade relationships between the U.S. and other countries, particularly China and European Union member states, including as a result of the risks described above, could have a material adverse impact on our financial position, results of operations and/or cash flows.

Our business may be impacted by disruptions including threats to physical security or our information technology systems, extreme weather or other acts of nature, and pandemics or other public health crises. Any of these disruptions could affect our internal operations or our suppliers' operations and delay delivery of products and services to our customers. Any significant production delays, or any destruction, manipulation or improper use of Boeing's or our suppliers' data, information systems or networks could impact our sales, increase our expenses and/or have an adverse effect on the reputation of Boeing and of our products and services.

We face various cybersecurity threats, including attempts to gain unauthorized access to our systems and networks, denial-of-service attacks, threats to our information technology infrastructure, ransomware and phishing attacks, and attempts to gain unauthorized access to our company-, customer- and employee-sensitive information. These threats come from a variety of actors, some of which are highly organized and sophisticated, such as nation-state actors and criminal enterprises. In addition, the techniques used in cyberattacks evolve rapidly, including from emerging technologies, such as advanced forms of automation and artificial intelligence. As cyber threats increase in volume and sophistication, the risk to the security of these systems and networks – and to the confidentiality, integrity, and availability of the data they house – continues to evolve, requiring constant vigilance and concerted, company-wide risk management efforts. A cyber-related attack or security breach, whether experienced directly or through our supply chain or third party-service providers, could, among other serious consequences, result in loss of intellectual property; allow unauthorized access to or cause the publication of various categories of sensitive, proprietary or customer data; cause disruption or degradation of our business operations; compromise our products or services; and/or result in reputational harm. There is no guarantee that our controls, policy enforcement mechanisms, monitoring systems or contractual arrangements will be sufficient to prevent or mitigate the risk of cyber-related attacks or incidents, or allow us to detect, report or respond adequately or in a timely manner. We have experienced, and may in the future experience, whether directly or through our subsidiaries or our supply chain, third-party service providers or other channels, cyber-related incidents. There is no guarantee that a future cyber-related attack or incident would not result in significant operational, regulatory, or financial impacts that could materially affect our business strategy, results of operations or financial condition. In addition, we manage information and information technology systems for certain customers and suppliers. Many of these customers and suppliers face similar security threats. If we were unable to protect against the unauthorized access, release or corruption of our customers' or suppliers' confidential, classified or personally identifiable information, we could suffer a loss of business, face regulatory actions or face financial or other losses that could materially affect our business strategy, results of operations or financial condition.

Our company runs on a complex global technology infrastructure consisting of millions of physical and digital systems dispersed around the world and managed by different parts of the business. This decentralized model exposes us to a variety of risks. For example, integrating and maintaining interoperability across numerous, geographically dispersed systems may result in inefficiencies, increased costs, and operational disruptions. Further, ineffective monitoring or inconsistent policies across systems may result in errors, fraud, or noncompliance with regulatory requirements. Decentralized systems also may increase the risk of unauthorized access, data breaches, or noncompliance with data privacy laws and other regulatory requirements governing the handling and control of sensitive data.