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Axia Energia Sa (AXIA)
NYSE:AXIA

AXIA Energia (AXIA) AI Stock Analysis

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AXIA

AXIA Energia

(NYSE:AXIA)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(30.34% Upside)
The stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and strategic initiatives highlighted in the earnings call. However, financial performance concerns, particularly negative net income and valuation challenges, weigh on the score.

AXIA Energia (AXIA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AXIA Energia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAXIA Energia SA, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and commercialization of electricity in Brazil. The company generates electricity through hydroelectric, thermoelectric, nuclear, wind, and solar plants. It also owns and operates 44 hydroelectric plants with a total capacity of 42,293.5 megawatt (MW); and 66,539.17 kilometers of transmission lines. AXIA Energia SA was formerly known as Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobrás. AXIA Energia SA was incorporated in 1962 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
How the Company Makes MoneyEletrobras generates revenue through multiple streams primarily focused on the sale of electricity. The company's revenue model includes the sale of energy generated from its diverse portfolio of power plants, which includes hydroelectric, thermal, and renewable energy facilities. Eletrobras also earns money through long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with distributors and large industrial clients. Additionally, the company receives revenue from the transmission of electricity via its extensive high-voltage transmission network. Key partnerships with other energy companies and governmental entities further enhance its revenue potential, especially in joint ventures for energy projects. Eletrobras is also influenced by regulatory frameworks set by the Brazilian government, which can impact pricing and revenue generation.

AXIA Energia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company shows strong gross profit margins and a stable balance sheet. However, the negative net income and declining revenue growth are concerning. Cash flow generation is positive, but the conversion to net income could be improved.
Income Statement
The income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate at -2.38%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a strong gross profit margin of 82.35% and a decent EBIT margin of 29.74%. The net profit margin is negative, indicating a net loss, which is a significant weakness.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet is relatively stable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity is low at 5.49%, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio stands at 41.02%, reflecting a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive free cash flow growth rate of 3.66% in the TTM period, which is a positive sign. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.60, indicating that cash flow from operations is not fully covering net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.83, showing a healthy conversion of net income to free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue42.64B46.09B36.57B35.30B35.99B29.31B
Gross Profit18.22B20.38B17.96B18.65B25.78B19.86B
EBITDA5.18B25.13B13.29B9.39B14.63B11.42B
Net Income-5.79B11.90B4.48B3.77B5.87B6.39B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets266.50B289.87B267.06B270.22B188.30B178.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.65B29.83B18.97B22.93B15.67B13.96B
Total Debt75.32B78.24B61.83B61.15B46.14B49.10B
Total Liabilities157.16B167.87B154.59B159.19B111.89B105.22B
Stockholders Equity109.29B121.86B112.33B110.50B76.12B73.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.15B9.29B4.12B-24.35B-10.92B1.80B
Operating Cash Flow16.76B12.39B8.24B9.28B-8.23B4.20B
Investing Cash Flow-7.40B-8.66B827.04M-28.80B123.99M2.44B
Financing Cash Flow-12.54B9.80B-6.76B30.07B-8.45B-6.69B

AXIA Energia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Last Price9.59
Price Trends
50DMA
100DMA
200DMA
Market Momentum
MACD
RSI
STOCH
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AXIA, the sentiment is undefined. The current price of 9.59 is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of ―, equal to the 50-day MA of ―, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of ― indicates undefined momentum. The RSI at ― is undefined, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of ― is undefined, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a undefined sentiment for AXIA.

AXIA Energia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025