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Leeuwin Metals Ltd (AU:LM1)
ASX:LM1
Australian Market

Leeuwin Metals Ltd (LM1) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:LM1

Leeuwin Metals Ltd

(Sydney:LM1)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.16
▲(7.33% Upside)
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance driven by inconsistent revenue, ongoing losses, and persistent cash burn, despite low debt. Technical signals are mixed with negative MACD and price below key moving averages (50/100DMA), while valuation impact is neutral due to missing P/E and dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage
Low leverage reduces financial risk, providing the company with greater flexibility to manage its operations and pursue growth opportunities without the burden of significant debt obligations.
Marda Gold Project Expansion
The Marda Gold Project's significant resource estimate and planned drilling campaign position Leeuwin for growth, enhancing its industry standing and offering potential financial returns.
Management Alignment
Issuing performance rights to management aligns their interests with shareholders, incentivizing long-term performance and potentially improving governance and strategic decision-making.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent Revenue
Inconsistent revenue indicates a volatile operating profile, challenging the company's ability to sustain operations and achieve financial stability, which could hinder long-term growth.
Negative Cash Flow
Persistent negative cash flow suggests reliance on external funding, which can strain financial resources and limit the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives.
Equity Decline
Declining equity reflects ongoing financial challenges, reducing shareholder value and potentially impacting the company's ability to raise capital or invest in future projects.

Leeuwin Metals Ltd (LM1) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Leeuwin Metals Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLeeuwin Metals Ltd engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of nickel and lithium projects in Canada and Australia. The company holds a 100% interests in the William Lake nickel project with 55 contiguous claims covering 96.2 km2 and one application mineral exploration license (MEL) covering an area of 427.4 km2 located in Manitoba, Canada; Jenpeg lithium project with 4 MEL applications covering an area of 841.7 km2 located in Manitoba, Canada; and Ignace lithium project with 44 granted mineral claims covering 175.6 km2 located in Ontario, Canada. It also holds a 100% interests in the Gascoyne rare earth elements and lithium project with 3 tenements covering 351 km2; and Marble Bar lithium project with one granted exploration license totaling 89 km2 located in Western Australia. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is Subiaco, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyLeeuwin Metals Ltd generates revenue through the exploration and eventual extraction and sale of mineral resources. Its revenue model primarily involves the identification and development of mineral deposits, which are then mined and sold to various industrial clients, including manufacturers and other entities requiring raw materials for production. The company may also form strategic partnerships or joint ventures with other mining firms to enhance its exploration and extraction capabilities, thereby potentially increasing its revenue streams. Additionally, Leeuwin Metals might engage in the sale or licensing of exploration data and technology, further contributing to its earnings.

Leeuwin Metals Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Leeuwin Metals Ltd faces financial difficulties, with consistent net losses and negative cash flows. Although it has a strong balance sheet without debt and high equity, the company's lack of profitability and liquidity issues present significant risks.
Income Statement
Leeuwin Metals Ltd has shown a significant increase in revenue from zero to 450,501 AUD, but the company remains unprofitable with a net loss of 6,117,406 AUD. The gross profit margin is 100% as all revenue is considered gross profit, but the net profit margin is substantially negative. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational and financial challenges.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Leeuwin Metals Ltd is relatively healthy with no debt, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0. The stockholders' equity is strong compared to the total assets, with an equity ratio of 92.6%. However, the negative return on equity due to net losses indicates inefficiencies in generating shareholder value.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement shows negative operating and free cash flows, which is concerning for liquidity. Free cash flow has declined significantly, reflecting heavy capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio and free cash flow to net income ratio are adversely affected by the negative net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.00450.50K0.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.00450.50K0.000.000.00
EBITDA-1.13M-491.17K-1.13M-876.49K-5.55K
Net Income-1.12M-6.12M-1.12M-922.40K-290.48K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.10M3.56M8.10M10.69M1.79M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.88M2.04M2.88M6.07M59.03K
Total Debt32.70K0.0032.70K0.000.00
Total Liabilities2.35M262.88K2.35M970.11K105.50K
Stockholders Equity5.75M3.29M5.75M9.72M1.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.17M-4.00M-2.17M-2.38M-1.99M
Operating Cash Flow-958.79K-403.25K-958.79K-860.70K-113.94K
Investing Cash Flow-1.24M-3.60M-1.24M-1.52M-1.88M
Financing Cash Flow3.01M0.003.01M8.33M2.10M

Leeuwin Metals Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.15
Price Trends
50DMA
0.17
Negative
100DMA
0.18
Negative
200DMA
0.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
48.65
Neutral
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:LM1, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.16, below the 50-day MA of 0.17, and below the 200-day MA of 0.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:LM1.

Leeuwin Metals Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
45
Neutral
AU$20.35M
45
Neutral
AU$5.10M-29.48%76.12%
44
Neutral
AU$23.58M-50.00
44
Neutral
AU$7.02M-0.50-78.12%-349.06%
44
Neutral
AU$5.98M-4.58-38.30%61.60%
38
Underperform
AU$5.91M-5.45-26.98%4.35%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:LM1
Leeuwin Metals Ltd
0.16
0.06
60.00%
AU:EMT
eMetals Limited
AU:KLR
Kaili Resources Limited
0.16
0.11
287.50%
AU:SLZ
Sultan Resources Ltd.
0.01
<0.01
20.00%
AU:AIV
ActivEX Limited
0.02
0.01
100.00%
AU:PRL
Province Resources Ltd
0.01
-0.03
-70.73%

Leeuwin Metals Ltd Corporate Events

Leeuwin Metals Launches 10,000m Drill Campaign to Expand Marda Gold Resource
Jan 11, 2026

Leeuwin Metals has commenced a 10,000-metre reverse circulation drilling campaign at the Evanston deposit within its Marda Gold Project in Western Australia, targeting extensions to the current 135,800-ounce resource there and aiming to grow the broader 342,000-ounce project inventory. The program will test shallow extensions, down-dip electromagnetic anomalies and high-grade shoots indicated by prior drilling, with first assay results expected in February 2026, and the company notes it is well funded to pursue this aggressive step-out strategy, which could enhance Marda’s scale and strengthen Leeuwin’s growth position in the Southern Cross gold region.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:LM1) stock is a Hold with a A$0.16 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Leeuwin Metals Ltd stock, see the AU:LM1 Stock Forecast page.

Leeuwin Metals Grants Additional Performance Rights to Director’s Entity
Dec 28, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd has disclosed a change in director Simon Jackson’s relevant interests following the issue of 900,000 additional performance rights to his associated entity, Bigjac Investments Pty Ltd, with an expiry date of 24 December 2030. The securities were issued for nil cash consideration pursuant to shareholder approval at the company’s November 2025 annual general meeting, increasing Jackson’s exposure to performance-linked equity and further tying his remuneration to the company’s long-term performance, which may be viewed positively by investors seeking stronger alignment between management and shareholder outcomes.

Leeuwin Metals Issues 4 Million Unquoted Performance Rights Under Incentive Scheme
Dec 28, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd has issued 4 million unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, which are subject to transfer restrictions and will not be quoted on the ASX until those restrictions lapse. The move strengthens the company’s equity-based remuneration structure, aligning staff and management incentives with shareholder interests through additional performance-linked securities.

Leeuwin Metals Issues 6.8 Million Unquoted Performance Rights Under Incentive Plan
Dec 28, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd has issued 6.8 million unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, effective 24 December 2025. The new securities, which will not be quoted on the ASX, expand the company’s pool of equity-based remuneration and are intended to support staff retention and performance alignment without immediately diluting the listed share count.

Leeuwin Metals Issues 2 Million Unquoted Options Expiring in 2028
Dec 19, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd has notified the market of a new issue of unquoted options, with 2 million options to be granted that are exercisable at A$0.40 and set to expire on 19 December 2028. The options, which stem from a previously announced transaction and are not intended to be quoted on the ASX, represent a fresh tranche of equity-linked incentives that could potentially dilute existing shareholders if exercised but may also support capital structure flexibility and alignment with stakeholders over the medium term.

Leeuwin Metals to Host Investor Webinar on Marda Gold Project Developments
Dec 10, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd announced that Executive Chairman Christopher Piggott will host a live investor webinar on December 11, 2025, to discuss the maiden resource at the Marda Gold Project and upcoming exploration and drilling activities. The webinar aims to provide insights into the company’s strategy for expanding its mineral inventory, with the Marda project offering numerous targets for exploration. This initiative underscores Leeuwin’s commitment to enhancing its resource base and strengthening its position in the mineral exploration industry.

Leeuwin Metals Announces Significant Gold Resource at Marda Project
Dec 9, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd has announced a maiden Mineral Resource Estimate of 342,300 ounces of gold at its Marda Gold Project in Western Australia, achieved just nine months after acquiring the project. The company plans an aggressive drilling campaign starting in January 2026 to further increase resources and test new targets, supported by strong funding. This development positions Leeuwin for significant growth and potential financial returns, enhancing its industry standing and offering promising implications for stakeholders.

Leeuwin Metals Issues New Shares in Compliance with Regulatory Standards
Nov 25, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd has issued 469,696 fully paid ordinary shares without disclosure to investors, in compliance with relevant sections of the Corporations Act 2001. This issuance reflects the company’s adherence to regulatory standards, potentially impacting its financial structure and stakeholder interests.

Leeuwin Metals Ltd Expands Market Presence with New Securities Quotation
Nov 25, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd has announced the application for the quotation of 469,696 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code LM1. This move is part of a previously announced transaction and signifies an expansion in the company’s market presence, potentially enhancing its liquidity and attractiveness to investors.

Leeuwin Metals Ltd Successfully Passes All AGM Resolutions
Nov 25, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd announced that all resolutions proposed at its Annual General Meeting were successfully passed. This includes key resolutions such as the re-election of a director, approval of a 10% placement facility, and the issuance of performance rights to key executives, which are expected to strengthen the company’s governance and operational capabilities.

Leeuwin Metals Director’s Securities Interest Update
Nov 20, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd has announced a change in the interests of its director, Christopher Piggott, in the company’s securities. The change involved the conversion of 450,000 performance rights into fully paid ordinary shares, resulting in an increase in the number of shares held by Tito Holdings Pty Ltd, a related entity. This adjustment reflects internal financial maneuvers and may impact the company’s stock distribution and stakeholder interests.

Leeuwin Metals Ltd Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Nov 20, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd has announced the quotation of 1,250,000 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code LM1, effective from November 20, 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its capital structure and potentially improve its market positioning, offering stakeholders an opportunity to engage with the company’s growth trajectory.

Leeuwin Metals Unveils Promising Gold Intercepts at Marda Project
Nov 11, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd has announced promising results from recent drilling at the Evanston trend within the Marda Gold Project, revealing further shallow gold intercepts and new electromagnetic anomalies. The company plans to commence a 10,000-meter RC drill program targeting these new findings, indicating potential for a larger mineralized system. With a strong financial position following a recent placement, Leeuwin is poised for growth, aiming to deliver a maiden mineral resource estimate for the project, enhancing its industry positioning and offering significant implications for stakeholders.

Leeuwin Metals Ltd Updates AGM Notice with New Resolutions
Nov 3, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd has issued an addendum to its Notice of Annual General Meeting, introducing new resolutions and a replacement proxy form for shareholder voting. The resolutions include ratifications of prior share issues and approval for issuing options to the lead manager, reflecting strategic moves to strengthen the company’s financial positioning.

Leeuwin Metals Advances Marda Gold Project with High-Grade Discoveries
Oct 30, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd has reported significant progress in its Marda Gold Project during the September quarter, highlighted by the completion of a 5,000m drilling program at the Evanston Prospect. This program, the first large-scale drilling in 20 years, confirmed multiple shallow, high-grade gold intersections and identified new zones of mineralization. The company is set to commence a 10,000m follow-up drill campaign in November 2025, supported by a recent $5.8 million placement to fund accelerated exploration efforts. The results have positioned Leeuwin to potentially define its maiden Mineral Resource Estimate, marking a transformational phase for the project.

Leeuwin Metals Ltd Issues New Securities on ASX
Oct 30, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd has announced the issuance of 24,680,852 ordinary fully paid securities, which will be quoted on the ASX as of October 30, 2025. This move is part of previously announced transactions and is expected to enhance the company’s market presence and liquidity, potentially impacting its operational capabilities and stakeholder interests positively.

Leeuwin Metals Issues New Shares in Compliance with Corporations Act
Oct 30, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd has announced the issuance of 24,680,852 fully paid ordinary shares at A$0.235 per share as part of a placement announced earlier. This move complies with relevant sections of the Corporations Act 2001, ensuring transparency and adherence to legal requirements, which may impact the company’s market positioning and investor relations.

Leeuwin Metals Ltd Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting
Oct 24, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd has announced its Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for November 25, 2025, in Subiaco, Western Australia. The meeting will cover the company’s annual financial report, the adoption of the Remuneration Report, the re-election of Director Christopher Piggott, and the approval of a 10% Placement Facility. These resolutions aim to address key governance and financial strategies, potentially impacting shareholder value and company growth.

Leeuwin Metals Ltd Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Oct 23, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd has announced a proposed issue of securities, including 2,000,000 options and 25,150,548 ordinary fully paid shares, with the issue date set for October 30, 2025. This move is expected to enhance the company’s capital structure, potentially strengthening its market position and providing additional resources for future growth initiatives.

Leeuwin Metals Secures $5.8M for Aggressive Marda Gold Exploration
Oct 23, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd has successfully raised approximately A$5.8 million through a placement to institutional and sophisticated investors, which will be used to accelerate exploration at the Marda Gold Project. The company plans to commence a 10,000m reverse circulation (RC) drilling program in November 2025, targeting the Evanston prospect to test down-hole electromagnetic (DHEM) conductors and other identified targets. This funding positions Leeuwin to expand its exploration activities and potentially increase its resource base, with assays pending for 31 completed holes and ongoing DHEM surveys. The placement was well-supported by existing and new investors, reflecting confidence in the project’s potential to create substantial value.

Leeuwin Metals Ltd Initiates Trading Halt for Capital Raising Announcement
Oct 21, 2025

Leeuwin Metals Ltd has requested a trading halt on its securities, effective from 21 October 2025, pending an announcement regarding a capital raising. This trading halt is expected to last until the announcement is made or until the commencement of normal trading on 23 October 2025, indicating a strategic move by the company to potentially enhance its financial position.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025