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Lefroy Exploration Ltd. (AU:LEX)
ASX:LEX
Australian Market

Lefroy Exploration Ltd. (LEX) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:LEX

Lefroy Exploration Ltd.

(Sydney:LEX)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.35
▲(27.78% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by the pre-revenue status, ongoing losses, and continued cash burn despite recent improvement. This is partly offset by a very low-leverage balance sheet and strong current price trend (price above major moving averages), though overbought momentum indicators add near-term risk. Valuation is unfavorable/less informative given negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage
Very low debt materially reduces solvency and refinancing risk for an exploration company. This structural balance sheet strength preserves strategic optionality to fund drilling or partnerships, lowers fixed obligations, and supports long-term resilience through commodity cycles.
Growing Equity Base
A doubling of equity over five years strengthens the capital base and cushions exploration expenditures. A larger equity base supports larger programs, improves partner negotiation leverage, and reduces near-term dilution needs versus peers with weaker equity trajectories.
Improving Cash Flow Trend
Marked improvement in operating and free cash flow indicates better cost control and program efficiency. Structurally, this trend extends runway and lowers the frequency and size of future capital raises, improving the company's ability to advance targets toward resource definition.
Negative Factors
Pre-Revenue Status
Being pre-revenue means no operating cash inflows and a long, uncertain path to commerciality. The business remains binary—dependent on successful discoveries or transactions—to generate sustainable revenues, increasing structural execution and financing risk over the medium term.
Persistent Losses and Negative ROE
Ongoing net losses and negative ROE indicate invested capital is not generating returns, eroding shareholder value. This structural profitability gap can constrain access to low-cost capital and deter long-term investors until the company demonstrates a path to positive returns.
Ongoing Cash Burn and Funding Dependence
Consistent negative free cash flow creates a structural dependence on external funding via equity or debt. That reliance risks dilution or increased leverage, and limits strategic flexibility if capital markets tighten, posing a lasting constraint on program scale and timing.

Lefroy Exploration Ltd. (LEX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Lefroy Exploration Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLefroy Exploration Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral properties in Western Australia. The company explores for gold, copper, and nickel deposits. Its flagship project is the 100% owned Lefroy Gold project that covers an area of approximately 607 square kilometers located to the southeast of Kalgoorlie. The company was formerly known as U.S. Masters Holdings Limited and changed its name to Lefroy Exploration Limited in September 2016. Lefroy Exploration Limited was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Road Town, British Virgin Islands.
How the Company Makes MoneyLefroy Exploration Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the exploration and potential development of mineral resources, with a focus on gold and base metals in Western Australia. The company's primary revenue streams include joint ventures and partnerships with other mining companies who might provide funding in exchange for a stake in future discoveries. Additionally, LEX may earn income through the sale or optioning of its exploration projects to larger mining firms interested in further development. The company may also benefit from government grants or incentives for mineral exploration, which can reduce operational costs and enhance profitability.

Lefroy Exploration Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: a very strong, low-debt balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.005 and equity growth to ~US$25M in 2025) is offset by an early-stage, pre-revenue profile with persistent losses (net loss ~-US$2.6M in 2025) and ongoing negative free cash flow (still ~-US$1.5M in 2025, though improved vs. 2024).
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
The company is still pre-revenue (revenue is $0 in most years and fell to $0 in 2025 after $10k in 2022), while losses remain persistent. Net losses have widened versus 2021–2022 levels (net income of about -$2.6M in 2025 vs. -$1.1M in 2021), indicating higher spend without a corresponding ramp in income. A modest positive is that 2025 losses improved versus 2024 (net loss narrowed from roughly -$3.2M to -$2.6M), but overall profitability and operating leverage remain weak.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is a clear strength: leverage is very low (debt-to-equity stays near zero and is ~0.005 in 2025), providing flexibility and reducing solvency risk. Equity has grown over the period (roughly $11.2M in 2020 to ~$25.0M in 2025), supporting the asset base. The key weakness is ongoing negative returns on equity (about -10% in 2025), reflecting that capital is not yet generating profits.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Cash generation is the main pressure point: operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently negative, indicating the business is cash-burning. 2025 shows improvement versus 2024 (operating cash flow improved from about -$2.8M to -$1.4M and free cash flow improved sharply from about -$5.9M to -$1.5M), but the company still relies on funding to sustain operations. Free cash flow is also negative every year shown, reinforcing that self-funding is not yet in place.
BreakdownTTMDec 2026Dec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.00K0.000.000.0010.00K0.00
Gross Profit-72.00K-72.00K-97.00K-81.00K-57.00K0.00
EBITDA-1.75M-2.50M-3.08M-2.91M-2.31M-1.15M
Net Income-2.57M-2.57M-3.19M-3.00M-2.38M-1.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.75M25.75M24.99M21.37M20.44M15.29M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.68M1.68M1.35M442.00K4.25M3.35M
Total Debt114.00K114.00K175.00K236.00K295.00K0.00
Total Liabilities769.00K769.00K973.00K1.25M1.44M601.00K
Stockholders Equity24.98M24.98M24.02M20.13M19.00M14.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.86M-1.46M-5.88M-7.07M-5.62M-3.84M
Operating Cash Flow-1.45M-1.45M-2.83M-1.83M-1.67M-986.00K
Investing Cash Flow-1.24M-1.24M-2.10M-5.24M-3.39M-1.05M
Financing Cash Flow3.02M3.02M5.84M3.26M5.95M4.48M

Lefroy Exploration Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.27
Price Trends
50DMA
0.24
Positive
100DMA
0.20
Positive
200DMA
0.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
49.80
Neutral
STOCH
39.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:LEX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.27, above the 50-day MA of 0.24, and above the 200-day MA of 0.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:LEX.

Lefroy Exploration Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
AU$72.04M-22.69-10.50%32.77%
44
Neutral
AU$24.20M-0.41-48.35%
40
Underperform
AU$25.60M
40
Underperform
AU$17.45M-1.91-106.72%90.14%52.54%
37
Underperform
AU$25.10M-1.0771.37%82.48%
34
Underperform
AU$84.10M-4.06-440.50%-61.06%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:LEX
Lefroy Exploration Ltd.
0.27
0.19
217.65%
AU:MRC
Mineral Commodities Ltd
0.03
0.00
0.00%
AU:G6M
Group 6 Metals Limited
2.50
0.00
0.00%
AU:WAK
WA Kaolin Ltd.
0.03
-0.04
-59.68%
AU:WCE
Errawarra Resources Ltd.
0.21
0.18
600.00%
AU:GEN
Genmin Ltd.
0.01
-0.02
-66.67%

Lefroy Exploration Ltd. Corporate Events

Lefroy Fast-Tracks Lucky Strike into Production Ahead of First-Half 2026 Cash Flows
Jan 28, 2026

Lefroy Exploration has rapidly advanced its Lucky Strike Gold Mine from final permitting to active mining during the December 2025 quarter under a 50:50 profit-sharing agreement with BML Ventures, which funds all capital and operating costs. With mining underway, pre-strip completed, and haulage and toll milling scheduled to start in early 2026, Lefroy expects its first profit-share cash flows in the first half of 2026, supported by a recent $0.75 million cash advance and ongoing resource extension and metallurgical drilling at the Burns Gold Project that position the company for further development deals on its gold assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:LEX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.28 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lefroy Exploration Ltd. stock, see the AU:LEX Stock Forecast page.

Lefroy Exploration Posts Cash Outflows on Exploration Spend, Bolstered by Funding Facility
Jan 28, 2026

Lefroy Exploration Limited reported its quarterly Appendix 5B cash flow statement for the period ended 31 December 2025, showing net cash outflows from operating activities of A$371,000 and from investing activities of A$541,000, largely driven by exploration and evaluation expenditure and corporate costs. These outflows were more than offset by A$750,000 in cash advances received under a profit cash advance facility with BML Ventures Pty Ltd during the quarter, lifting period-end cash and cash equivalents to A$2.009 million, underscoring the company’s continued reliance on external financing to fund its exploration programs and maintain liquidity.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:LEX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.28 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lefroy Exploration Ltd. stock, see the AU:LEX Stock Forecast page.

Lefroy Exploration Options Lapse, Simplifying Capital Structure
Jan 22, 2026

Lefroy Exploration Limited has announced that 5.6 million options, each exercisable at A$0.45 and due to expire on 20 January 2026, have lapsed unexercised and ceased to exist as securities on the ASX. The expiry of these options slightly simplifies the company’s capital structure by removing a tranche of potential future equity dilution, but does not directly affect its current issued shares, leaving existing shareholders’ current holdings unchanged while reducing overhang from outstanding options.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:LEX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lefroy Exploration Ltd. stock, see the AU:LEX Stock Forecast page.

Lefroy Begins First Ore Mining at Lucky Strike Ahead of February Gold Processing
Jan 19, 2026

Lefroy Exploration has commenced mining the first ore panels from the North Pit at its Lucky Strike Gold Deposit, with initial ore intersected just 17 metres below surface and run-of-mine stockpiles set to build through January ahead of haulage. Under a profit-sharing arrangement with mining contractor BML Ventures and a toll-milling agreement with FMR Investments’ Greenfields Mill in Coolgardie for 80,000–90,000 tonnes in February 2026, the company is on the cusp of becoming a first-time gold producer in a strong Australian gold price environment, marking a pivotal shift from explorer to miner and potentially enhancing its cash flow and market standing.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:LEX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lefroy Exploration Ltd. stock, see the AU:LEX Stock Forecast page.

Lefroy Drilling Confirms High-Grade Core at Burns Gold Deposit
Jan 7, 2026

Lefroy Exploration has reported new diamond and reverse circulation drilling results that confirm and extend the high-grade core of its Burns Gold Deposit, part of the Lefroy Gold Project southeast of Kalgoorlie. The latest drilling intersected multiple high-grade zones, including substantial near-surface oxide mineralisation, which validates the existing mineral resource model and strengthens the case for Burns as a significant high-grade component within the broader resource. Material from the new holes will be used for definitive metallurgical test work to confirm recoveries via conventional processing routes and to inform development studies, with the company explicitly positioning Burns as a potential second gold production pathway, which could enhance its growth profile and strategic standing in the competitive Western Australian gold sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:LEX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lefroy Exploration Ltd. stock, see the AU:LEX Stock Forecast page.

Lefroy Advances Lucky Strike Mine Toward First Ore and 2026 Toll-Milling
Dec 22, 2025

Lefroy Exploration has reported a strong start to mining at its high-grade Lucky Strike Gold Mine near Kalgoorlie, with 253,400 bank cubic metres of pre-strip waste material already removed from the Stage 1 pit and first ore intersections expected by the end of December. The company has completed key site infrastructure, commissioned a second waste dump to accelerate pre-strip movement, and remains on schedule to begin ore haulage in January 2026 ahead of its inaugural toll-milling campaign in February 2026, supported by a profit-sharing agreement and a $2.5 million cash advance facility with BML Ventures that leave Lefroy fully funded into 2026.

Lefroy Exploration Secures $0.75M Cash Advance to Bolster Lucky Strike Gold Project
Dec 17, 2025

Lefroy Exploration has strengthened its financial position with a second cash instalment of $0.75 million from BML Ventures as part of a Profit Cash Advance Facility Agreement totaling $2.5 million. This funding supports mining operations and exploration activity at the Lucky Strike Gold Project, positioning the company well for gold processing and profit-share distributions in 2026, while maintaining its operational momentum.

Lefroy Exploration Targets Resource Growth at Burns Gold Deposit
Dec 8, 2025

Lefroy Exploration Ltd. has commenced reverse circulation drilling at its Burns Gold Deposit, targeting the high-grade gold corridor to the north. This initiative aims to extend the resource potential of the Burns high-grade system, which already contains significant gold reserves. The company anticipates assay and metallurgical results by January 2026, which could enhance its resource base and strengthen its market position. With the gold system open to both the south and north, Lefroy is optimistic about unlocking further resource potential, marking a robust end to 2025 and setting the stage for growth in 2026.

Lefroy Exploration Begins Mining at Lucky Strike Gold Deposit
Dec 3, 2025

Lefroy Exploration Ltd. has commenced mining at the Lucky Strike Gold Deposit, with operations running continuously. The company expects to expose the first ore in late December 2025 and begin ore haulage in January 2026, with toll treating scheduled for February 2026. The project is supported by a profit-sharing agreement with BML Ventures and a cash advance facility agreement, positioning Lefroy to capitalize on the high gold prices and begin gold production early in 2026.

Lefroy Exploration Appoints New Auditor
Nov 28, 2025

Lefroy Exploration Limited, listed on the ASX under the ticker LEX, has announced the appointment of Hall Chadwick WA Audit Pty Ltd as its new auditor. This change, approved by shareholders at the recent Annual General Meeting, follows a competitive tender process where Hall Chadwick was chosen for its reputation, experience, and value. The company acknowledges the contributions of its outgoing auditor, Ernst & Young, and anticipates a productive relationship with Hall Chadwick.

Lefroy Exploration Secures Shareholder Approval for AGM Resolutions
Nov 28, 2025

Lefroy Exploration Limited, a company listed on the Australian Securities Exchange under the ticker LEX, announced that all resolutions presented at its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders were successfully carried by a poll. This outcome indicates strong shareholder support for the company’s proposed actions and governance, potentially strengthening its operational and strategic initiatives.

Lefroy Exploration to Launch Gold Production Operations in 2025
Nov 12, 2025

Lefroy Exploration Limited announced its plans to commence operations in the calendar year 2025, positioning itself as a new gold producer. This strategic move is expected to enhance the company’s presence in the mining industry and potentially increase its market value, although it involves inherent risks and uncertainties typical of the mining sector.

Lefroy Exploration Advances Drilling at Burns Gold Deposit
Nov 10, 2025

Lefroy Exploration Ltd. has commenced a diamond drilling program at its Burns Gold Deposit, targeting the high-grade core of the deposit. This initiative aims to enhance metallurgical recovery estimates and further explore the resource potential of the site. The drilling program, which includes both diamond and reverse circulation drilling, is part of Lefroy’s strategy to consolidate and expand its resource base, potentially impacting its market positioning by demonstrating the full exploration potential at Burns.

Lefroy Exploration Secures Final Approvals for Lucky Strike Gold Project
Nov 4, 2025

Lefroy Exploration Limited has received final approvals from the Department of Mines, Petroleum and Exploration for its Lucky Strike Gold Project, allowing mining operations to commence. With BML Ventures Pty Ltd overseeing site activities, the first ore is expected to be processed in February 2026. This development positions Lefroy to become a first-time gold producer, capitalizing on the strong gold market and setting the stage for a profitable year ahead.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026