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Firebird Metals Ltd. (AU:FRB)
ASX:FRB

Firebird Metals Ltd. (FRB) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:FRB

Firebird Metals Ltd.

(Sydney:FRB)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.28
▲(77.50% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by pre-revenue financial performance with ongoing losses and cash burn, despite a relatively low-debt balance sheet. Technicals show strong upside momentum but are extremely overbought, adding near-term risk. Valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Extremely low leverage and a ~A$10.6M equity buffer reduce near-term solvency and refinancing risk for an explorer. This provides durable financial flexibility to fund ongoing exploration and feasibility work, lowering the probability of urgent capital raises over the next 2–6 months.
Improving cash-flow trends
Sequential improvement in operating and free cash flow signals management moderation of spending or higher efficiency. If sustained, this trend can materially extend project runway, reduce imminent financing needs, and improve the company’s ability to advance studies and attract partners over a multi-month horizon.
Strategic positioning in lithium supply chain
A clear focus on lithium-brine plus downstream lithium chemicals aligns the company with structural growth in EVs and energy storage. Vertical emphasis on downstream processing can capture more value long-term, making the business model more resilient if projects reach commercialization.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue operating losses
The company remains pre-commercial with no revenue across multiple years, leaving long-term value dependent on successful exploration and development. This elevates execution risk: failure to convert resources into revenue could require repeated external funding and delay any durable cash generation.
Persistent negative cash flow
Chronic negative operating and free cash flow forces dependence on external capital or asset monetization to sustain operations and studies. Over a 2–6 month horizon this increases dilution and the risk of interrupted project timelines if funding or strategic partnerships do not materialize.
Erosion of equity and negative ROE
Declining shareholder equity and a roughly -21% ROE indicate capital erosion and poor capital efficiency. Continued losses could weaken the balance sheet, constrain strategic options, and raise the cost of future financing, undermining the company’s ability to fund development sustainably.

Firebird Metals Ltd. (FRB) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Firebird Metals Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirebird Metals Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of manganese properties in Australia. Its flagship project is the Oakover Manganese project that includes one granted exploration license and two exploration license applications covering an area of 360 square kilometers located in the Eastern Pilbara Region, Western Australia. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Subiaco, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirebird Metals Ltd. generates revenue through the exploration, development, and eventual production of manganese resources. The company's primary revenue stream comes from the sale of manganese ore and concentrates to various industries, including steel manufacturing and battery production. By conducting drilling programs and geological surveys, Firebird Metals Ltd. identifies and evaluates mineral deposits, which can then be developed into commercially viable mining operations. Partnerships with other mining companies and offtake agreements with manufacturers can further enhance revenue streams by securing long-term buyers for their products. Additionally, Firebird may engage in joint ventures or strategic alliances to share exploration and production costs, thereby optimizing resource development and maximizing profitability.

Firebird Metals Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Firebird Metals Ltd. is facing financial challenges with negative earnings and cash flows. The balance sheet is strong due to a debt-free position, but the lack of revenue and reliance on equity financing pose risks. Improvements in revenue generation and cost management are needed for stability.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Firebird Metals Ltd. has shown a lack of revenue generation with consistent net losses. The company recorded a TTM gross loss and negative EBITDA, indicating ongoing operational challenges. There is an absence of revenue growth, and financial results highlight a need for significant strategic changes to improve profitability.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity base with no debt, leading to a favorable debt-to-equity ratio. However, the company is heavily reliant on equity financing, which could be a risk if cash reserves deplete without revenue improvement. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a stable financial structure but low asset utilization efficiency.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
The cash flow statement reflects negative operating cash flow, but recent financing activities have bolstered cash reserves. The absence of free cash flow growth and reliance on financing activities suggest potential liquidity concerns if operational cash flow does not improve.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-213.57K-213.57K0.00-58.35K-61.62K-4.91K
EBITDA-1.01K-2.08M-4.73M-891.67K-1.10M-3.39M
Net Income-2.27M-2.27M-4.66M-952.13K-1.17M-3.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.22M11.22M12.88M6.72M4.13M5.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.50M1.50M5.07M1.30M500.65K3.81M
Total Debt335.71K335.71K0.0056.39K56.39K113.38K
Total Liabilities652.28K652.28K245.59K333.42K191.22K259.42K
Stockholders Equity10.57M10.57M12.64M6.39M3.94M4.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.05M-2.05M-3.00M-2.31M-3.24M-1.08M
Operating Cash Flow-1.92M-1.92M-2.13M-718.80K-1.00M-303.17K
Investing Cash Flow-1.69M-1.69M-1.75M-1.69M-2.24M-779.23K
Financing Cash Flow26.16K26.16K7.68M3.21M-64.00K4.89M

Firebird Metals Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.16
Price Trends
50DMA
0.17
Positive
100DMA
0.17
Positive
200DMA
0.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
80.55
Negative
STOCH
85.54
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:FRB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.20, below the 50-day MA of 0.17, and above the 200-day MA of 0.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 80.55 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.54 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:FRB.

Firebird Metals Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
46
Neutral
AU$54.71M-18.13-19.59%66.39%
45
Neutral
AU$5.10M-29.48%76.12%
44
Neutral
AU$46.01M-12.33-106.64%-36.36%
44
Neutral
AU$2.85M-65.57%-200.00%
44
Neutral
AU$5.98M-4.38-38.30%61.60%
43
Neutral
AU$4.41M-1.19-81.85%-58.49%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:FRB
Firebird Metals Ltd.
0.29
0.19
195.92%
AU:MRD
Mount Ridley Mines Limited
0.04
0.02
208.33%
AU:AOA
Ausmon Resources Limited
AU:EMT
eMetals Limited
AU:G88
Golden Mile Resources Ltd.
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:AIV
ActivEX Limited
0.02
0.01
90.91%

Firebird Metals Ltd. Corporate Events

Firebird Metals Issues New Shares, Reaffirms Compliance Amid Battery Materials Push
Jan 14, 2026

Firebird Metals has issued 1,033,335 new ordinary shares without a prospectus under the Corporations Act’s disclosure exemptions and has confirmed it remains compliant with its ongoing reporting and disclosure obligations as a listed disclosing entity. The board-backed notice states there is no undisclosed price-sensitive information required to be released at this time, indicating the share issuance is being conducted against a backdrop of regulatory compliance and operational transparency as the company progresses its manganese-based battery materials strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FRB) stock is a Hold with a A$0.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Firebird Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:FRB Stock Forecast page.

Firebird Metals Seeks ASX Quotation for Over 1 Million New Shares
Jan 14, 2026

Firebird Metals Ltd has applied for quotation on the ASX of 1,033,335 new ordinary fully paid shares, with an issue date of 14 January 2026. The additional securities, issued pursuant to a previously announced transaction, will expand the company’s quoted share capital and may modestly enhance liquidity in Firebird’s stock for existing and prospective investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FRB) stock is a Hold with a A$0.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Firebird Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:FRB Stock Forecast page.

Firebird Commissions LMR Cathode Equipment as Manganese-Rich Battery Market Accelerates
Jan 11, 2026

Firebird Metals has completed installation and commissioning of its proprietary cathode active materials equipment at its wholly owned China pilot plant, clearing the way to begin producing advanced lithium-manganese-rich CAM from February 2026 and to supply customer samples in the second half of 2026 for technical evaluation and qualification. The LMR development program, co-funded 50% by strategic partner Taza Metal Technologies, aims to deliver higher-energy-density alternatives to conventional LFP with reduced nickel and cobalt content via high manganese substitution, and will be showcased alongside NCM and LMFP materials at Firebird’s Australian Demonstration Plant in 2026, positioning the company within a growing market as major automakers move to commercialise LMR cathodes by 2030 and as new high-energy applications such as eVTOL aircraft and humanoid robotics accelerate demand for manganese-rich battery chemistries.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FRB) stock is a Hold with a A$0.22 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Firebird Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:FRB Stock Forecast page.

Firebird Metals Issues 3.9 Million Shares, Reaffirms Regulatory Compliance
Jan 2, 2026

Firebird Metals Limited has issued 3,900,000 new ordinary shares and confirmed that the issuance was conducted without a prospectus under the Corporations Act, while affirming its ongoing compliance with Australian continuous disclosure and financial reporting obligations. The company also stated that, as at the date of the notice, there is no excluded information requiring disclosure, providing investors with assurance that the share issue has occurred against a backdrop of full regulatory compliance and transparency.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FRB) stock is a Hold with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Firebird Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:FRB Stock Forecast page.

Firebird Metals Director Evan Cranston Boosts Indirect Share and Option Holdings
Jan 2, 2026

Firebird Metals director Evan Cranston has increased his indirect stake in the company through related entity Konkera Pty Ltd, participating in a shareholder-approved share placement at $0.15 per share and receiving additional incentive options. Following the transaction, Cranston’s associated entities now hold a larger parcel of fully paid ordinary shares and a significantly expanded suite of unlisted options with exercise prices ranging from $0.30 to $1.00 and expiries between 2026 and 2028, underscoring management’s financial exposure to the company’s future performance and aligning director incentives with shareholder outcomes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FRB) stock is a Hold with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Firebird Metals Ltd. stock, see the AU:FRB Stock Forecast page.

Firebird Metals Issues 13.2 Million Unquoted Incentive Securities
Dec 30, 2025

Firebird Metals Limited has notified the market of the issue of 7.2 million unquoted performance rights and a total of 6 million unquoted options to employees under its incentive scheme. The options are split evenly between tranches exercisable at $0.30 and $0.40, both expiring on 30 December 2028, and the new securities are not intended to be quoted on the ASX. The move underscores Firebird’s use of equity incentives to retain and motivate staff while potentially diluting existing shareholders if the rights and options are ultimately exercised.

Firebird Metals Issues 6 Million Unquoted Options Expiring in 2028
Dec 29, 2025

Firebird Metals Ltd has notified the market of the issue of 6 million unquoted options, split between 3 million options exercisable at $0.40 and 3 million options exercisable at $0.30, both expiring on 6 December 2028 and issued on 24 December 2025. The new options, which are not intended to be quoted on the ASX and form part of previously announced transactions, indicate ongoing use of equity-based instruments to fund operations and align stakeholder incentives, potentially affecting the company’s capital structure and future dilution for existing shareholders.

Firebird Metals Seeks ASX Quotation for 3.9 Million New Shares
Dec 29, 2025

Firebird Metals Ltd has applied to the ASX for quotation of 3.9 million newly issued ordinary fully paid shares, dated 24 December 2025, under an Appendix 2A lodgement. The additional securities, which follow a previously announced transaction under an Appendix 3B, will expand the company’s quoted share capital and may modestly increase liquidity in its stock for existing and prospective investors.

Firebird Metals Issues New Shares to Bolster Market Position
Dec 10, 2025

Firebird Metals Limited has issued 13,733,332 ordinary shares without disclosure to investors, as per the Corporations Act, and confirms compliance with all relevant reporting obligations. This issuance is part of Firebird’s strategic efforts to strengthen its market position in the manganese technology sector, particularly in the EV and energy-storage markets, potentially impacting its operations and stakeholder interests positively.

Firebird Metals’ MFP Precursor Surpasses China Standards
Dec 9, 2025

Firebird Metals Ltd. has announced that its MFP precursor cathode active material (PCAM) has outperformed China industry standards in several key performance parameters. The company has completed over 150 test batches, producing around 200kg of MFP PCAM, and has supplied 30kg to a potential customer for further testing. This development marks a significant technical milestone for Firebird, validating its proprietary production process and positioning the company to progress towards commercialisation with its Australian Demonstration Plant set to open in 2026.

Firebird Metals Ltd. Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Dec 8, 2025

Firebird Metals Ltd. has announced the quotation of 13,733,332 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of December 8, 2025. This move is part of previously announced transactions and is expected to enhance the company’s liquidity and market visibility, potentially impacting its operational capacity and stakeholder value positively.

Firebird Metals Ltd. Reports Successful AGM with All Resolutions Passed
Nov 28, 2025

Firebird Metals Ltd. announced the successful outcomes of its Annual General Meeting held on November 28, 2025, with all resolutions passed by a significant majority. Key resolutions included the re-election of directors, approval of placement shares, and the issuance of incentive options, indicating strong shareholder support and strategic alignment for future growth.

Firebird Metals Secures Energy-Saving Kiln Patent and Plans Australian Demonstration Plant
Nov 27, 2025

Firebird Metals Ltd. has secured a patent for its energy-saving kiln technology, which is a key component of its integrated concentrate-to-battery-materials flowsheet. This innovation demonstrates up to 70% energy savings and opens pathways for commercial kiln sales to Western manganese sulphate producers. Additionally, Firebird plans to establish an Australian Demonstration Plant (ADP) to showcase the conversion of manganese concentrate into high-purity battery materials. The ADP is expected to unlock multiple revenue streams through technology licensing, equipment supply, and downstream production, positioning Firebird for strategic partnerships in the battery value chain and providing a first-mover advantage in markets outside China.

Firebird Metals Director Increases Stake
Nov 19, 2025

Firebird Metals Limited announced a change in the director’s interest notice involving Evan Cranston. Mr. Cranston, through Konkera Pty Ltd, acquired 191,244 fully paid ordinary shares via an on-market purchase, increasing his total holdings in the company. This acquisition could indicate a positive outlook from the director towards the company’s future prospects, potentially impacting investor confidence and market perception.

Firebird Metals Advances Manganese Projects with New Feasibility and Scoping Studies
Nov 18, 2025

Firebird Metals Ltd. has released a feasibility study for its Battery Grade Manganese Sulphate Project Stage 1 Processing Plant in China, highlighting the technical and economic potential of the project. The company is also evaluating the Oakover Manganese Project through an updated scoping study, although uncertainties remain regarding funding and project viability. These developments could impact Firebird’s market positioning and shareholder value, as the company explores various strategies, including potential sales or joint ventures, to realize value from its projects.

Firebird Metals Director Increases Shareholding
Nov 17, 2025

Firebird Metals Ltd. announced a change in the director’s interest, with Evan Cranston acquiring 170,949 fully paid ordinary shares through an on-market purchase. This change reflects an increase in Cranston’s indirect interest in the company, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future prospects and impacting stakeholder perceptions.

Firebird Metals Announces Director Change and Securities Interests
Nov 5, 2025

Firebird Metals Ltd. announced the cessation of Peter Allen as a director effective October 31, 2025. The notice details Allen’s interests in the company’s securities, including performance rights tied to specific milestones such as resource announcements and long-term offtake agreements. This change in directorship may impact the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder relationships, given Allen’s significant holdings and involvement in the company.

Firebird Metals Advances Manganese-Rich Battery Strategy with New Patents and Strategic Partnerships
Oct 30, 2025

Firebird Metals Ltd. has secured two Chinese patents for its proprietary LMFP material, advancing its manganese-rich cathode strategy. The company received an Expression of Interest from Taza Metal Technologies to purchase up to five kilns, potentially generating over US$10 million in revenue. A capital raising of A$6 million will support the establishment of a demonstration R&D center in Western Australia and accelerate the LMFP/HPMSM strategy. Leadership changes include the appointment of Ron Mitchell as CEO and Evan Cranston transitioning to Executive Chairman.

Firebird Metals Ltd. Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting
Oct 29, 2025

Firebird Metals Ltd. has announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting, scheduled to be held in person on November 28, 2025, in Western Australia. Shareholders are encouraged to access the Notice of Meeting and related documents online, in line with recent legislative changes, and can vote by proxy using the company’s online facilities. This meeting is a significant event for stakeholders as it provides an opportunity to discuss the company’s performance and future strategies.

Firebird Metals Announces Proposed Securities Issue to Bolster Capital
Oct 29, 2025

Firebird Metals Ltd. has announced a proposed issue of securities, totaling 6 million options with expiration dates in December 2028, at exercise prices of $0.30 and $0.40. This move is part of the company’s strategy to raise capital, potentially enhancing its financial position and enabling further development of its mining projects, which could impact its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Firebird Metals Ltd. Announces 2025 AGM Details
Oct 29, 2025

Firebird Metals Ltd. has announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting (AGM) will be held in person on November 28, 2025, in Peppermint Grove, Western Australia. Shareholders are encouraged to access the Notice of Meeting and related documents online, as hard copies will not be distributed unless previously requested. The company has provided instructions for online proxy voting and contact information for shareholder inquiries, ensuring stakeholders are informed and able to participate effectively in the AGM process.

Firebird Metals Ltd. Announces Key Resolutions for Upcoming AGM
Oct 29, 2025

Firebird Metals Ltd. has announced its upcoming Annual General Meeting scheduled for November 28, 2025, where shareholders will vote on several key resolutions. These include the adoption of the remuneration report, re-election of directors Ashley Pattison and Brett Grosvenor, approval of a 7.1A mandate to issue additional equity securities, ratification of prior share placements, and approval for further share issuance. The outcomes of these resolutions could significantly impact the company’s governance and capital structure.

Firebird Metals Appoints New CEO to Drive Strategic Initiatives
Oct 27, 2025

Firebird Metals Limited has appointed Ron Mitchell as its new Chief Executive Officer, effective November 3, 2025. Mitchell, with over 25 years of experience in the mining and lithium-ion battery industry, is expected to drive the company’s strategic initiatives, including the establishment of an Australian laboratory and the continuation of its LMFP and LMR development in China. Evan Cranston will transition to Executive Chairman, while Peter Allen steps down as Managing Director to take on a consulting role, ensuring continuity in the company’s strategic direction.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 16, 2026