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Nova Eye Medical (AU:EYE)
ASX:EYE

Nova Eye Medical (EYE) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:EYE

Nova Eye Medical

(Sydney:EYE)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.19
▲(43.85% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—ongoing losses, deteriorating gross margin, and negative operating/free cash flow—despite a stable balance sheet with low leverage. Technicals are a positive offset, with price trending above major moving averages and constructive momentum. Valuation remains challenged due to the negative P/E and no indicated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Recurrent consumables + devices
Selling both surgical devices and consumables creates a recurring-revenue opportunity tied to procedures and installed base. Over months this supports predictable aftermarket sales, improves lifetime customer value, and underpins durable revenue streams if clinical adoption continues.
Low financial leverage
A low debt-to-equity ratio provides balance-sheet flexibility to fund R&D, expand distribution, or absorb temporary cash shortfalls without excessive interest burden. This preserves strategic optionality and reduces refinancing risk over the medium term.
Top-line growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates product-market traction and expanding clinical adoption. Sustained top-line momentum can enable scale, better absorption of fixed costs, and a pathway to improved margins and cash generation if operational execution holds.
Negative Factors
Negative operating & free cash flow
Persistent negative operating and free cash flows signal the business is burning cash to support operations or growth. Over a multi-month horizon this limits self-funding of investment, increases reliance on external financing, and constrains capital allocation choices.
Sharp gross margin decline
A material drop in gross margin suggests rising input costs, pricing pressure, or mix shifts. If structural, margin erosion squeezes profitability and requires sustained price or efficiency improvements to restore long-term unit economics and free cash flow generation.
Negative profitability and returns
Ongoing negative EBIT and net margins with negative ROE indicate the company is not generating acceptable returns on capital. Over months this undermines reinvestment capacity, risks shareholder dilution if funded externally, and challenges long-term value creation.

Nova Eye Medical (EYE) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Nova Eye Medical Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNova Eye Medical (EYE) is a medical technology company focused on developing innovative solutions for the diagnosis and treatment of eye diseases. Operating primarily in the ophthalmology sector, Nova Eye Medical specializes in advanced surgical devices, including their proprietary iTrack system for treating glaucoma and various retinal surgeries. The company aims to enhance the quality of eye care through its cutting-edge products, which are designed to improve patient outcomes and streamline surgical procedures.
How the Company Makes MoneyNova Eye Medical generates revenue through the sale of its medical devices and surgical products, primarily targeting ophthalmology clinics and hospitals. Key revenue streams include direct sales of surgical equipment, consumables related to its iTrack system, and ongoing sales of accessories and replacement parts. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with healthcare providers and distributors that facilitate market access and enhance product visibility. Additionally, Nova Eye Medical may engage in research collaborations and licensing agreements, contributing to its earnings through royalties and shared revenues from new product developments.

Nova Eye Medical Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue grew 12.09%, but profitability is weak with negative net profit and EBIT margins and a large gross margin decline (86.57% to 68.56%). Balance sheet leverage is manageable (debt-to-equity 0.16), yet returns are poor (negative ROE). Cash generation is a key concern due to negative operating and free cash flows.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Nova Eye Medical has shown some revenue growth, with a 12.09% increase in the latest year. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has decreased significantly from 86.57% to 68.56%, indicating rising costs or pricing pressures. Overall, the income statement reflects growth but with ongoing profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears stable relative to its assets. Overall, the balance sheet is stable but lacks profitability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Nova Eye Medical's cash flow statement reveals negative operating and free cash flows, with a slight decline in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating that the company is not generating cash from its operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting some alignment between cash flow and accounting profits. Overall, the cash flow situation is concerning, with negative cash generation from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.27M29.27M23.32M17.02M13.38M13.39M
Gross Profit18.89M20.07M20.19M842.00K-765.00K1.77M
EBITDA-6.72M-8.98M-5.98M-14.65M-7.89M-3.67M
Net Income-9.06M-9.06M-8.79M-15.29M-7.50M-4.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.50M26.50M29.88M30.36M36.63M41.99M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.05M5.05M6.15M7.42M8.00M17.80M
Total Debt3.02M3.02M3.35M1.53M1.94M3.70M
Total Liabilities7.54M7.54M8.55M7.17M6.23M6.66M
Stockholders Equity18.97M18.97M21.33M23.19M30.40M35.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.45M-6.58M-8.31M-7.52M-10.27M-15.13M
Operating Cash Flow-6.15M-6.15M-7.86M-6.72M-4.68M-12.90M
Investing Cash Flow-450.00K-364.00K-325.00K-800.00K-4.58M-3.22M
Financing Cash Flow5.56M5.56M6.91M6.82M-402.00K-61.61M

Nova Eye Medical Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.13
Price Trends
50DMA
0.15
Positive
100DMA
0.15
Positive
200DMA
0.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
59.00
Neutral
STOCH
47.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:EYE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.17, below the 50-day MA of 0.15, and below the 200-day MA of 0.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:EYE.

Nova Eye Medical Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
52
Neutral
AU$52.69M-5.05-44.16%25.47%14.08%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
AU$25.54M-2.66-103.74%14.84%39.64%
48
Neutral
AU$78.91M-57.25-6.35%2.23%-263.16%
46
Neutral
AU$130.03M-9.69-31.98%34.20%-23.90%
44
Neutral
AU$164.50M-15.43-70.55%-257.32%
41
Neutral
AU$63.89M-3.89-128.19%-14.25%-22.83%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:EYE
Nova Eye Medical
0.19
0.04
32.14%
AU:CMP
Compumedics Limited
0.40
0.11
38.60%
AU:CYC
Cyclopharm Limited
1.17
-1.05
-47.30%
AU:MX1
Micro-X Ltd.
0.09
<0.01
10.00%
AU:EMV
EMvision Medical Devices Ltd.
1.77
-0.04
-2.21%
AU:CBL
Control Bionics Ltd.
0.06
<0.01
8.77%

Nova Eye Medical Corporate Events

Nova Eye Medical Sets Investor Webinar to Present Quarterly Results and iTrack Update
Jan 29, 2026

Nova Eye Medical has scheduled an investor webinar for Monday, 2 February 2026 at 11:30 am AEDT, where Managing Director Tom Spurling will present the company’s quarterly results and provide an update on the iTrack Registry. Shareholders and interested investors can register online and will be able to submit questions ahead of time or participate in a live Q&A during the session, signalling the company’s continued engagement with its investor base and providing greater transparency around the performance and clinical uptake of its glaucoma treatment technologies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EYE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.19 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nova Eye Medical stock, see the AU:EYE Stock Forecast page.

Nova Eye Medical Posts Record Quarter as iTrack Sales Surge
Jan 28, 2026

Nova Eye Medical reported record global sales of US$6.1 million for the December 2025 quarter, up 38% year-on-year and 25% on the previous quarter, driven by strong demand for its iTrack technology in the US and accelerating growth in other regions. Last-twelve-month sales reached about US$21 million, growing roughly three times faster than the broader industry, while operating cash outflow was A$1.0 million, including a A$1.2 million working capital investment to support rapid sales expansion; management expects operating cashflow to continue improving as utilisation of iTrack grows and new markets such as China begin commercialising the recently approved iTrack Advance during 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EYE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.19 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nova Eye Medical stock, see the AU:EYE Stock Forecast page.

Nova Eye Reports Strong Real-World Outcomes From Global iTrack Glaucoma Registry
Jan 27, 2026

Nova Eye Medical has reported positive 12‑month clinical outcomes from its iTrack Global Data Registry, an independently managed, prospective real-world database now comprising more than 600 eyes contributed by 20 surgeons across 20 international sites. The latest annual statistical report shows 409 eyes with one-year follow-up, demonstrating an 85% success rate in reducing intraocular pressure in patients with baseline pressure above 18 mmHg and an average 40% reduction in medication use, alongside only six minor, self-resolving adverse events. These results compare favourably with other minimally invasive glaucoma surgery options and are expected to strengthen the clinical and safety case for canaloplasty with iTrack, supporting broader surgical adoption, payer engagement, market access, and future peer-reviewed publications that could further entrench Nova Eye’s position in the glaucoma treatment market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EYE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.19 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nova Eye Medical stock, see the AU:EYE Stock Forecast page.

Nova Eye sets investor webinar to discuss December 2025 sales and glaucoma focus
Jan 19, 2026

Nova Eye Medical has released a presentation ahead of an investor webinar scheduled to discuss its December 2025 sales results, outlining the clinical context in which it operates by highlighting how blocked ocular drainage canals cause fluid build-up, raised intraocular pressure and eventual optic nerve damage. While the document is largely introductory and framed by standard investment disclaimers, it underscores the company’s focus on addressing glaucoma-related pathology, reinforcing its positioning within the eye-care market as it prepares to update investors on trading performance and the commercial traction of its glaucoma-focused technologies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EYE) stock is a Sell with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nova Eye Medical stock, see the AU:EYE Stock Forecast page.

Nova Eye Medical Sets Investor Webinar to Deliver Half-Year Sales Update
Jan 14, 2026

Nova Eye Medical has scheduled an investor webinar for Monday, 19 January 2026 at 11:30 am AEDT, during which Managing Director Tom Spurling will present a sales update for the six months ended 31 December 2025 and take questions from participants. The event signals an effort by the glaucoma-focused device maker to increase transparency and engagement with shareholders ahead of releasing detailed half-year figures, offering investors an early window into trading performance and operational momentum in its key markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EYE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.17 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nova Eye Medical stock, see the AU:EYE Stock Forecast page.

Nova Eye Posts Record Quarter as U.S. Glaucoma Device Sales Surge
Jan 11, 2026

Nova Eye Medical reported record global sales of US$6.1 million for the December 2025 quarter, up 38% year-on-year and 25% on the previous quarter, driving six‑month revenue to US$10.9 million, a 29% increase on the prior corresponding period. For the twelve months to 31 December 2025, group revenue reached about US$21 million, up 24% and roughly three times the estimated industry growth rate, underpinned by sustained strength in the US market—where iTrack Advance has delivered six consecutive halves of sales growth at an annualised rate of about 40%—and robust gains in Rest of World markets, while China lagged ahead of expected 2026 sales of iTrack Advance following its recent approval. These results, which are subject to audit, highlight Nova Eye’s accelerating market penetration in minimally invasive glaucoma surgery and reinforce its competitive positioning within the sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EYE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nova Eye Medical stock, see the AU:EYE Stock Forecast page.

Nova Eye Medical to Quote New Securities on ASX
Dec 5, 2025

Nova Eye Medical Limited has announced the application for the quotation of 12,000 ordinary fully paid securities on the ASX, with an issue date of December 8, 2025. This move is part of an employee incentive scheme and signifies the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its market presence and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EYE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nova Eye Medical stock, see the AU:EYE Stock Forecast page.

Nova Eye Medical’s AGM Resolutions Receive Strong Shareholder Support
Nov 27, 2025

Nova Eye Medical Limited held its Annual General Meeting on 27 November 2025, where all resolutions were carried with significant majorities. The resolutions included the adoption of the remuneration report, the re-election of directors Victor Previn and Daniel Webb, and the approval of an employee incentive plan. The approval of these resolutions reflects strong shareholder support and is likely to positively impact the company’s governance and operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EYE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nova Eye Medical stock, see the AU:EYE Stock Forecast page.

Nova Eye Medical Expands Global Footprint with iTrack™ Advance Success
Nov 27, 2025

Nova Eye Medical Limited has made significant strides in the glaucoma surgical devices market with its iTrack™ Advance, achieving a 26% increase in US sales and a record $29.3 million in revenue. The company is expanding globally, with regulatory approval in China and a strong presence in Germany, while enhancing production capabilities to meet growing demand.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EYE) stock is a Hold with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nova Eye Medical stock, see the AU:EYE Stock Forecast page.

Nova Eye Medical Hosts Webinar on iTrack Advance™ with Glaucoma Expert
Nov 17, 2025

Nova Eye Medical Limited has announced an upcoming webinar featuring Dr. Mahmoud A. Khaimi, a renowned glaucoma specialist, who will discuss the clinical advantages of the company’s iTrack Advance™ surgical device. This event highlights Nova Eye Medical’s commitment to advancing ophthalmic treatment technologies and may enhance the company’s industry positioning by showcasing the effectiveness of their minimally invasive glaucoma solutions to stakeholders and potential clients.

Nova Eye Medical’s Strategic Focus on Eye Health Solutions
Nov 5, 2025

Nova Eye Medical Limited has released a presentation for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, highlighting their ongoing efforts in addressing eye health issues, particularly those related to high intraocular pressure. The announcement underscores the company’s commitment to advancing medical technology solutions in the eye care sector, which could have significant implications for their market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026