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ABx Group Limited (AU:ABX)
ASX:ABX
Australian Market

ABx Group Limited (ABX) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:ABX

ABx Group Limited

(Sydney:ABX)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.08
▲(12.86% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (persistent losses, sharply lower 2024 revenue, and a return to cash burn), with technical momentum providing the main offset (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). Valuation provides limited support due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / balance sheet strength
Very low reported debt provides durable financial flexibility for a junior explorer. Low leverage reduces near-term refinancing and interest burden, allowing the company to fund staged exploration or seek partners without immediate solvency pressure, supporting project development runway.
Strategic rare earth asset exposure
Ownership of multiple rare-earth and ionic adsorption clay projects aligns with long-term structural demand for critical minerals used in magnets, EVs and renewables. This commodity exposure can drive strategic interest from offtakers and partners, increasing the odds of future funding or offtake deals.
Systematic project development activities
A clear technical progression (drilling, resource definition and metallurgical testwork) reflects a methodical de-risking pathway. Sustained delivery of these milestones increases the probability of attracting JV partners or financing and helps convert exploration value into definable development assets over time.
Negative Factors
Persistent unprofitability and negative margins
Deep negative margins and ongoing losses indicate the business is not generating operating profits and will likely need external capital to progress projects. Persistent unprofitability erodes equity, constrains reinvestment, and increases the risk that future financing dilutes existing shareholders.
Steep, volatile revenue base
A small, highly volatile revenue base limits internal funding capacity and makes forecasting cash needs difficult. Large YoY declines signal fragile commercial revenue streams, reducing operating leverage and making sustained project funding and multi-year planning more dependent on external capital markets or partners.
Deteriorating cash generation / cash burn
The swing from positive cash flow in 2023 to meaningful cash burn in 2024 highlights weak internal cash generation. Continued negative free cash flow increases liquidity risk, forces reliance on fundraising or partners, and can delay project timelines if new capital is slow or costly to obtain.

ABx Group Limited (ABX) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

ABx Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionABx Group Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of bauxite resources in Australia. The company develops Rare Earth Element project for bauxite deposit in Queensland. It also develops Sunrise Project, Tasmania, and Penrose projects. The company was formerly known as Australian Bauxite Limited and changed its name to ABx Group Limited in December 2021.ABx Group Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyABx Group Limited generates revenue through the extraction and sale of bauxite and other industrial minerals. The company's primary revenue stream comes from mining operations where it extracts bauxite ore from its owned and operated mining sites. Once extracted, the bauxite is processed and sold to aluminum producers and other industrial customers. Additionally, ABx Group is involved in research and development initiatives aimed at enhancing the value of its mineral resources, which may include partnerships or joint ventures with technology firms or industry stakeholders to develop innovative solutions and expand market opportunities. These collaborations can contribute to the company's earnings by opening new revenue streams or optimizing existing operations.

ABx Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are high risk: the company remains structurally unprofitable with persistent losses, a steep 2024 revenue decline (down ~72.8% YoY), and deeply negative margins. Cash flow also deteriorated, swinging from positive free cash flow in 2023 to meaningful cash burn in 2024, despite the balance sheet benefiting from very low leverage.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Results show persistent losses and very weak profitability. Revenue is small and volatile, with a sharp decline in 2024 (down 72.77% year-over-year), and margins are deeply negative in recent years (2024 gross margin -43% and net margin around -34.5%). While losses narrowed versus 2022–2021, the company remains structurally unprofitable with negative operating earnings across the full history provided.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet is a relative bright spot due to low leverage: debt is modest in 2024 (debt-to-equity ~0.03) and was zero in prior years shown. However, ongoing losses translate into consistently negative returns on equity (about -17.7% in 2024), indicating shareholder capital is not generating positive earnings and could be pressured if losses persist.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is inconsistent and recently deteriorated. After strong positive operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2023, 2024 swung back to cash burn (operating cash flow -0.668M and free cash flow -2.608M), with free cash flow declining sharply year-over-year. The business appears reliant on funding capacity rather than internally generated cash, which increases execution and liquidity risk if negative cash flow continues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.0058.00K222.00K56.00K41.00K2.26M
Gross Profit-1.40M-25.00K-1.39M-4.02M-5.13M2.28M
EBITDA-2.91M-4.53M-3.15M-4.77M-6.11M-1.84M
Net Income-2.91M-2.00M-1.64M-3.48M-5.62M-549.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.71M19.54M21.64M16.21M19.83M16.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments257.00K724.00K336.00K2.06M6.09M901.00K
Total Debt1.57M363.00K0.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities8.62M8.31M8.91M3.11M3.08M1.98M
Stockholders Equity10.13M11.30M12.78M12.98M16.64M14.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.39M-2.61M2.54M-4.99M-2.91M-1.84M
Operating Cash Flow-1.50M-668.00K5.04M-4.88M-2.82M-1.79M
Investing Cash Flow-440.00K1.00K-8.08M844.00K415.00K1.06M
Financing Cash Flow1.76M892.00K1.31M0.007.59M721.00K

ABx Group Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.07
Price Trends
50DMA
0.08
Positive
100DMA
0.08
Negative
200DMA
0.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
50.40
Neutral
STOCH
35.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ABX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.08, below the 50-day MA of 0.08, and above the 200-day MA of 0.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:ABX.

ABx Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
52
Neutral
AU$28.30M-6.72-25.50%-100.00%-182.93%
51
Neutral
AU$6.48M-3.38-37.39%-134.48%
46
Neutral
AU$14.72M-28.26%65.00%
44
Neutral
AU$13.67M-3.62-213.82%-32.39%
44
Neutral
AU$5.86M-1.96-21.73%91.79%
43
Neutral
AU$16.84M-2.30-45.16%-563.16%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ABX
ABx Group Limited
0.08
0.03
77.27%
AU:ASQ
Australian Silica Quartz Group
0.02
0.00
0.00%
AU:CR1
Constellation Resources Ltd.
0.17
-0.05
-22.73%
AU:NAE
New Age Exploration Limited
AU:DM1
Desert Metals Ltd.
0.01
-0.01
-50.00%
AU:CAZ
Cazaly Resources Limited
0.03
0.02
190.00%

ABx Group Limited Corporate Events

ABx Group Advances High-Value Rare Earths and Bauxite Projects as Funding Secured
Jan 29, 2026

ABx Group’s December 2025 quarter marked key advances across its rare earths and bauxite portfolios, underpinned by fresh funding. At its Deep Leads heavy rare earth project in northern Tasmania, ANSTO produced the first mixed rare earth carbonate from bulk material with dysprosium and terbium contents several times higher than peer products, giving ABx a significantly higher-value basket and attracting strong preliminary interest from potential separation-plant customers. Column leach tests on 26 kg samples delivered more than 80% total rare earth extraction, confirming the technical feasibility of heap leaching and giving the company flexibility in selecting lower-cost, lower-risk flowsheet options, while new exploration ground and strong drilling results at the T8 prospect further bolstered the project’s growth potential. In parallel, ABx progressed development of its ALCORE pilot plant for fluorine chemicals, fully funded and targeting completion in 2026, and advanced its near-term bauxite strategy as Good Importing International made a $2.7 million stage-one payment for 70% of the Sunrise Bauxite Project and paid an option fee for further project interests, positioning ABx for initial bauxite mining in 2026. The quarter was supported by firm commitments to raise about $6 million via a share placement, strengthening the balance sheet to fund ongoing project development and reinforcing ABx’s positioning in critical minerals and industrial materials supply chains.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ABX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ABx Group Limited stock, see the AU:ABX Stock Forecast page.

ABx Group Calls Fully Virtual Extraordinary General Meeting for March 2026
Jan 28, 2026

ABx Group Limited has convened an Extraordinary General Meeting for 2 March 2026, to be held entirely via Zoom webinar, with shareholders able to attend and vote virtually as if present in person. The company is leveraging permanent electronic communication relief under the Corporations Act to distribute meeting materials digitally, encouraging shareholders to lodge proxies early and submit questions in advance, underscoring an ongoing shift toward fully online corporate governance and investor engagement processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ABX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.09 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ABx Group Limited stock, see the AU:ABX Stock Forecast page.

ABx Heap Leach Tests Exceed Expectations at Deep Leads Rare Earth Project
Jan 22, 2026

ABx Group has reported highly successful column leach test results on 26-kilogram bulk samples from its Deep Leads rare earth project in northern Tasmania, with more than 80% extraction of total rare earths and over 70% extraction of key heavy magnets dysprosium and terbium. The tests, conducted by ANSTO, suggest heap leaching could outperform conventional tank leaching while offering lower capital costs and greater operational flexibility, supporting ABx’s strategy to fast-track commercial production; the company also plans to commission a second mixed rare earth carbonate sample from the leach solutions to market to potential customers that have shown strong interest in its high dysprosium and terbium content product.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ABX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ABx Group Limited stock, see the AU:ABX Stock Forecast page.

ABx Group Discloses Inadvertent Breach of ASX Placement Capacity Rule
Jan 21, 2026

ABx Group has disclosed that it inadvertently breached ASX Listing Rule 7.1 by issuing 100,000 convertible notes and 1.2 million options on 11 June 2025 without valid shareholder approval, because the securities were issued more than three months after the March 2025 shareholder meeting that approved them, violating the timing requirement under Listing Rule 7.3.4. The ASX has confirmed that this issue of 11.2 million securities cannot be ratified retrospectively, though the company stressed that the breach does not affect the validity of its recent share and option issues and arose from an interpretive error, and ABx has reviewed its governance and compliance procedures, concluding that its existing processes and external advisory arrangements remain adequate to ensure ongoing compliance with the listing rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ABX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ABx Group Limited stock, see the AU:ABX Stock Forecast page.

ABx Extends High-Grade Rare Earth Discoveries in Tasmania as Australia Targets Critical Minerals
Jan 19, 2026

ABx Group has reported encouraging results from a 38-hole scout drilling program at its T8 rare earth province in northern Tasmania, with one new area, designated T30, delivering intercepts of up to 3,527 ppm total rare earth oxides (excluding cerium) at shallow depths and a 7-metre mineralised interval averaging 707 ppm. The mineralisation continues to show unusually high proportions of heavy rare earths Dy and Tb across its Temple Bar and Triangle Flat tenements, reinforcing the significance of ABx’s ionic clay rare earth province and positioning the company to potentially benefit from Australia’s new Critical Minerals Strategic Reserve, which is prioritising rare earths and aims to secure domestic production for global supply chains.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ABX) stock is a Hold with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ABx Group Limited stock, see the AU:ABX Stock Forecast page.

ABx Group Announces Breakthrough Rare Earth Extraction Results
Dec 17, 2025

ABx Group Limited has reported significant results from preliminary rare earth column leach tests at its Deep Leads project in northern Tasmania, with extraction rates reaching a record 81% for rare earths, including high yields of highly valuable dysprosium and terbium. The results confirm the feasibility of heap leaching as a low-cost production method, potentially strengthening ABx’s market position as a producer of enriched rare earth carbonate with comparatively higher market value, marking a key step towards their goal of commencing commercial production.

ABx Group Expands Rare Earths Tenure in Tasmania
Dec 12, 2025

ABx Group Limited has been granted a new exploration license in northern Tasmania, expanding its rare earth elements tenure by 18 km². This strategic move enhances ABx’s potential to grow its globally significant ionic rare earth project, which boasts high levels of valuable heavy rare earths. The company has also produced its first mixed rare earth carbonate product, which is priced significantly higher than peers due to its high content of dysprosium and terbium. This development positions ABx favorably in the market, with ongoing discussions with potential customers.

ABx Group Secures Strategic Investment for NSW Bauxite Projects
Dec 8, 2025

ABx Group Limited has received a non-refundable fee of A$300,000 from Good Importing International (GII) to extend an exclusive option to invest A$4.8 million for a 75% interest in the Taralga and Penrose Bauxite Projects in New South Wales. This strategic move strengthens ABx’s collaboration with GII, which has already invested in ABx’s Sunrise Bauxite Project in Queensland. The funds will be used for project studies, enhancing ABx’s position in the bauxite market amidst changing global dynamics, including supply disruptions in Guinea.

ABx Group Unveils High-Value Rare Earth Carbonate Sample
Dec 3, 2025

ABx Group Limited has announced the production of its first mixed rare earth carbonate (MREC) sample from its Deep Leads resource in Tasmania, which contains high proportions of valuable heavy rare earths like dysprosium and terbium. This positions ABx’s MREC with a basket price significantly higher than its peers, potentially enhancing its competitive edge in the market. The company will discuss this development in an investor webinar, providing stakeholders an opportunity to engage directly with management.

ABx Group Issues Over 63 Million Shares in New Placement
Dec 2, 2025

ABx Group Limited has issued 63,276,131 Fully Paid Ordinary Shares as part of a placement announced on November 25, 2025. This issuance was conducted without disclosure under Part 6D.2 of the Corporations Act, and the company confirms compliance with relevant provisions of the Act, indicating transparency and adherence to regulatory requirements.

ABx Group Achieves Milestone with High-Value Rare Earth Carbonate Production
Dec 2, 2025

ABx Group Limited has announced a significant milestone with the production of its first mixed rare earth carbonate (MREC) from the Deep Leads deposit in northern Tasmania. This MREC boasts a high content of dysprosium and terbium, making it more valuable than its peers, with a basket price up to 51% higher. The achievement positions ABx favorably in the market, as there is a high demand for MRECs with high Dy and Tb content due to supply risks. This development enhances ABx’s strategic importance in the rare earth industry, offering a compelling opportunity for prospective customers seeking high-quality, low-impurity products.

ABx Group Updates Securities Issuance Plan
Dec 1, 2025

ABx Group Limited has announced an update regarding its proposed issue of securities, specifically moving some of the Tranche 1 issue to Tranche 2, pending shareholder approval. The overall amount of the capital raising remains unchanged, indicating a strategic adjustment in their financial operations without altering the total funds aimed to be raised.

ABx Group Secures Funding for Hydrogen Fluoride Pilot Plant
Nov 28, 2025

ABx Group Limited’s subsidiary, ALCORE Limited, has secured full funding for its hydrogen fluoride pilot plant, with operations expected to begin in Q3 2026. This development marks a significant step in demonstrating their proprietary process and expanding into the production of fluorochemicals, potentially enhancing their industry positioning and stakeholder value.

ABx Group’s Strategic Push for a Cleaner Future
Nov 25, 2025

ABx Group Limited has released an investor presentation outlining its commitment to providing materials for a cleaner future. The presentation emphasizes the company’s strategic focus on sustainability and its efforts to position itself as a key player in the environmentally-conscious mining sector.

ABx Group Limited Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Nov 25, 2025

ABx Group Limited has announced a proposed issue of securities, specifically options expiring on November 14, 2027, with a maximum of 11,245,638 securities to be issued. This move is part of a placement or other type of issue, with the proposed issue date set for January 23, 2026. The announcement indicates a strategic step for ABx Group Limited, potentially impacting its market operations and stakeholder interests by expanding its financial instruments available for trading.

ABx Group Limited Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Nov 25, 2025

ABx Group Limited has announced a proposed issue of securities, including 37,345,679 options expiring on November 14, 2027, and 74,691,358 fully paid ordinary shares. This move is part of a placement or other type of issue, with the proposed issue date set for December 2, 2025. This announcement could potentially impact ABx Group’s market position by increasing its capital base, which may be used for future growth opportunities or operational needs.

ABx Group Secures $6 Million for Rare Earths and ALCORE Projects
Nov 25, 2025

ABx Group Limited has successfully raised approximately $6 million through a share placement to sophisticated and professional investors. The funds will be used to advance the Deep Leads rare earth project in Tasmania and to construct the ALCORE pilot plant for hydrogen fluoride production. This strategic move, supported by both Australian and international investors, aims to accelerate the company’s growth and strengthen its position in the rare earths and fluorine chemical markets. The placement reflects strong investor confidence and is expected to facilitate strategic partnerships and near-term production.

ABx Group Initiates Trading Halt for Capital Raising Announcement
Nov 20, 2025

ABx Group Limited, listed on the Australian Securities Exchange under the ticker ABX, has requested a trading halt on its securities pending an important announcement related to a capital raising initiative. The halt is intended to manage the company’s continuous disclosure obligations and will remain in effect until the announcement is made or until normal trading resumes on November 25, 2025. This move indicates a strategic financial maneuver by ABx Group, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

ABx Group Limited Updates Director’s Interest
Nov 17, 2025

ABx Group Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically for Ian Levy, involving the acquisition of 781,250 fully paid ordinary shares and 781,250 options. This change was approved during the Extraordinary General Meeting held on November 13, 2025, and reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to align management interests with shareholder value.

ABx Group Issues Unquoted Securities as Part of Strategic Transaction
Nov 17, 2025

ABx Group Limited has announced the issuance of 7,812,500 unquoted securities in the form of 2-year options exercisable at 10 cents each. This move is part of a previously announced transaction, and these securities are not intended to be quoted on the ASX, indicating a strategic financial maneuver to potentially raise capital or incentivize stakeholders.

ABx Group Limited Issues Unquoted Securities
Nov 17, 2025

ABx Group Limited has announced the issuance of 46,875,000 unquoted securities in the form of 2-year options exercisable at 10 cents each. This move is part of previously announced transactions and is not intended to be quoted on the ASX, potentially impacting the company’s financial structure and stakeholder interests.

ABx Group Issues Shares to Directors Post-Shareholder Approval
Nov 17, 2025

ABx Group Limited has issued 1,562,500 Fully Paid Ordinary Shares to its Directors following shareholder approval at an Extraordinary General Meeting. This issuance is part of a previously announced Share Placement and was conducted without disclosure under Part 6D.2 of the Corporations Act 2001. The company confirms compliance with relevant provisions of the Corporations Act and states there is no excluded information that needs to be disclosed.

ABx Group Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities
Nov 17, 2025

ABx Group Limited has announced the quotation of 1,562,500 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of November 17, 2025. This move is part of previously announced transactions and could potentially enhance the company’s market presence and liquidity, benefiting stakeholders by providing more opportunities for investment.

ABx Group Secures Shareholder Approval for Key Resolutions
Nov 13, 2025

ABx Group Limited, an Australian company listed on the ASX, announced the results of its 2025 Extraordinary General Meeting. All resolutions, including the ratification of prior share issues and the approval of issuing free attaching options under the September 2025 Placement, were carried with significant majority votes. This outcome reflects strong shareholder support for the company’s strategic initiatives, potentially enhancing its market position and operational capabilities.

ABx Group Expands High-Grade Rare Earth Drilling in Tasmania
Nov 11, 2025

ABx Group Limited has commenced drilling to expand its high-grade T8 rare earth elements mineralisation in Tasmania, following government and landholder approvals. The discovery of high-grade dysprosium and terbium, critical for modern technologies, positions ABx strategically amid China’s export restrictions on these elements, and the company is exploring low-cost, low-impact development methods.

ABx Group Achieves High-Purity Rare Earth Results in Tasmania
Nov 6, 2025

ABx Group Limited has announced successful results from its Deep Leads ionic adsorption clay rare earth project in Tasmania, confirming the high purity of its mixed rare earth carbonate (MREC) product. The tests showed over 98% retention of rare earth elements with near-complete removal of impurities, particularly aluminium, which enhances the product’s appeal to potential customers. The company plans to deliver its first MREC product sample by the end of November, which is expected to attract strong interest from potential customers due to its high dysprosium and terbium content, low impurities, and cost-effective production process.

ABx Group Advances Rare Earths and Chemical Production Initiatives
Oct 31, 2025

ABx Group Limited has reported significant progress in its heavy rare earths and clean fluorine chemical production initiatives. The company achieved high extraction rates of dysprosium and terbium under benign leach conditions, with ANSTO on track to deliver a mixed rare earth carbonate product sample by Q4 2025. Additionally, ABx secured a $3 million placement to advance its Deep Leads project and support working capital needs. The company is also advancing its bauxite projects with new investment agreements and exploration leases, positioning itself strongly in the market for rare earths and industrial chemicals.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 24, 2026