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Headwaters Co., Ltd. (JP:4011)
:4011
Japanese Market
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Headwaters Co., Ltd. (4011) Price & Analysis

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4011 Stock Chart & Stats

¥2887.00
-¥160.00(-2.84%)
At close: 4:00 PM EST
¥2887.00
-¥160.00(-2.84%)

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls Say
Strong Revenue GrowthHeadwaters shows sustained top-line expansion: reported accelerating 2025 revenue growth and a multi-year positive trend (Fundamentals.RevenueGrowth ~34%). Combined with its AI software and consulting revenue mix, this durable demand backdrop supports continued platform adoption and long-term contract opportunities, helping stabilize medium-term revenue trajectories even if margins cycle.
Healthy Gross MarginA roughly 44% gross margin indicates the company retains significant value from sales of AI software and services. Sustained high gross margins provide structural buffer to absorb higher SG&A or R&D, enable reinvestment in product development, and support pathway to restored operating leverage once cost structure normalizes.
Diversified AI Services ModelHeadwaters earns from software products, consulting fees, custom AI projects and partnerships. This multi-channel model mixes recurring product revenue with project/consulting work, reducing single-channel exposure, enabling cross-sell, and providing structural resilience across cycles as enterprise digital transformation demand persists.
Bears Say
Rising LeverageLeverage materially increased in 2025, raising financing and refinancing risk and reducing balance sheet flexibility. With equity still positive but ROE collapsing, higher debt amplifies downside in stress scenarios, constrains strategic optionality, and increases fixed costs that can pressure earnings over the medium term.
Negative Cash GenerationThe switch to negative operating and free cash flow is a structural concern: persistent negative cash conversion forces reliance on external funding, limits capacity to self-fund growth or R&D, and weakens the company’s ability to service higher debt, making capital allocation and long-term investment less secure.
Profitability CompressionDespite robust revenue and healthy gross margin, operating and net margins collapsed in 2025 and EPS plunged, signaling deteriorating cost control or unfavorable mix. This undermines durable earnings power and suggests the firm may struggle to convert revenue growth into sustainable shareholder returns without structural cost or pricing fixes.

Headwaters Co., Ltd. News

4011 FAQ

What was Headwaters Co., Ltd.’s price range in the past 12 months?
Headwaters Co., Ltd. lowest stock price was ¥2010.00 and its highest was ¥4530.00 in the past 12 months.
    What is Headwaters Co., Ltd.’s market cap?
    Headwaters Co., Ltd.’s market cap is ¥7.88B.
      When is Headwaters Co., Ltd.’s upcoming earnings report date?
      Headwaters Co., Ltd.’s upcoming earnings report date is May 20, 2026 which is in 20 days.
        How were Headwaters Co., Ltd.’s earnings last quarter?
        Headwaters Co., Ltd. released its earnings results on Feb 18, 2026. The company reported ¥3.29 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of N/A by ¥3.29.
          Is Headwaters Co., Ltd. overvalued?
          According to Wall Street analysts Headwaters Co., Ltd.’s price is currently Overvalued. Get more investment ideas with TipRanks Premium
            Does Headwaters Co., Ltd. pay dividends?
            Headwaters Co., Ltd. does not currently pay dividends.
            What is Headwaters Co., Ltd.’s EPS estimate?
            Headwaters Co., Ltd.’s EPS estimate for its next earnings report is not yet available.
            How many shares outstanding does Headwaters Co., Ltd. have?
            Headwaters Co., Ltd. has 3,845,744 shares outstanding.
              What happened to Headwaters Co., Ltd.’s price movement after its last earnings report?
              Headwaters Co., Ltd. reported an EPS of ¥3.29 in its last earnings report, beating expectations of N/A. Following the earnings report the stock price went up 1.406%.
                Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Headwaters Co., Ltd.?
                Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in JP:4011
                What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
                Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology

                  Company Description

                  Headwaters Co., Ltd.

                  Headwaters Co.,Ltd engages in planning and developing artificial intelligence (AI) applications in Japan. It is also involved in the digital transformation, AI platform operation, cloud service operation, cloud robotics service, and robot application production activities. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

                  Headwaters Co., Ltd. (4011) Earnings & Revenues

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